TonyeBarcanista:
By TonyeBarcanista


Tonye Barcanista is a political analyst and social commentator. He writes on Nairaland.com and @TonyeBarcanista on Twitter

IamAtikulate:
Some people are really foolish.

Barcanista is political commentor. He writes on Nairaland and Twitter.

I was hoping to see, He writes for Sun or any of the mainstream media. So writing half baked opinions on Nairaland now makes you a political commentor.

No go find work. Keep depending on Atiku free dollar.

Atiku will lose the South WOEFULLY, he will contend with Tinubu in the NE.

Tinubu will lose NW, he will contend with Atiku for NE and will lose the South

Peter Obi will lose NW and NE, he will win the South, Abuja and contend with Atiku for NC

But in the mind of a supposed political commentor, the favorite to win the South is a pretender.

Phools like you are making things difficult for PDP.

No matter how we deny it, LP is formidable candidate. If Peter Obi collapse his structure today and move with 70% of his supporters, PDP will win the election before 12PM.

But only phools like you deny it, but secretly hopes he comes around.

ochejoseph:
Atiku and the PDP remains Nigeria's only hope of salvaging anything from the damage done by APC and their goons.

Its easy to shout obidient without looking at the mathmatical possibility of his Victory. A vote for LP and Peter obi in my view is an indirect vote for Tinubu.

Okoroawusa:
Tonyebarcanista, you see that this life no balance?

Majority of the people attacking you here were Atikulating with you in 2019. So I leave you to do the math...

Hahahaha!... 2023 go funny die!

TonyeBarcanista:
By TonyeBarcanista


Tonye Barcanista is a political analyst and social commentator. He writes on Nairaland.com and @TonyeBarcanista on Twitter

Adexxi:
Emeka , Obituary will never rule this country infact no ibo man will near aso rock . ...know this and know peace

IamAtikulate:

A sick will not rule this country.

Be guided

Ebi2233:


Stop deceiving yourself even his own Governor have come out and say his people should vote Apga and that's not Obi.

Ebi2233:

Politics is discussion dont come and say people are worried because how can people be worried over Structureless and strong hold less party?


Anybody who know politics know that these people will ask their supporters to vote for the party because they are either coming back or bringing people and all the campaigns are at same time.
8,740 Councillors, 774 LGAs 360 House of Reps
109 Senators,
36 Governors.
Hundreds of thousands of people live from their office because they employ people, help family and help villages and Labour Party own none of these and you say wetin??
Councillor, Assembly members, Reps members, Senators, Governors all with their supporters with so many people.
Are either coming back or supporting their party candidates.


PDP and APC don share am finish
No one Obi get and you say win wetin??
You think say Presidential Election na councillorship elections?
Don't you know that all these political offices and their millions of people live from there and you say wetin.
think now? Ehn?
Osun Election, Labour Party contested too.
Why dem no win?
All PDP Governors joined forces to allow Adeleke win.
Think now?


Even one state Obi will not win.
PDP and APC have Youths and elders too but Obi have no Governor and his cartel.

Ebi2233:


Keep quiet na God tell you say na Obi in dey support?
Keep quiet.

Ebi2233:


Fear for a structure less party?
Mumu talk.

sammytovic:
That is where most of you get your calculations and permutations wrong . So you think only people you meet are the only one to decide who wins. No wonder when you finally get to know who wins, you start shouting election is rigged.

Ebi2233:


Stop deceiving yourself even his own Governor have come out and say his people should vote Apga and that's not Obi.

ochejoseph:
Atiku and the PDP remains Nigeria's only hope of salvaging anything from the damage done by APC and their goons.

Its easy to shout obidient without looking at the mathmatical possibility of his Victory. A vote for LP and Peter obi in my view is an indirect vote for Tinubu.

TonyeBarcanista:

This reality is only known to the political enlightened. Some people assume falsely that their influence on Social Media is synonymous to them being a political heavyweights even when they lack basic knowledge of the rudiments of politicking and electioneering

Ebi2233:
With all proper analysis done, Atiku naim get this election.

Insult the OP from now till tomorrow.
This is pure fact and it doesn't change the reality.
Igbo know nothing about politics.
How can a Strong hold less and structure less party win Presidency in Nigeria.
Nigerian Presidential Elections no be Councillorship Election oo.

TonyeBarcanista:
By TonyeBarcanista


Tonye Barcanista is a political analyst and social commentator. He writes on Nairaland.com and @TonyeBarcanista on Twitter

TonyeBarcanista:
By TonyeBarcanista


Tonye Barcanista is a political analyst and social commentator. He writes on Nairaland.com and @TonyeBarcanista on Twitter

TonyeBarcanista:

Hope you know that the north traditionally votes one of theirs in any of the major Parties during presidential election? When PDP had the centre it only won most parts of Northwest because of Yar'adua was a northerner (Fulani) while neither Jonathan nor Obj defeated Buhari in the Northwest in 2003, 2011 & 2015 respectively. However, I'm not writing off Tinubu but I see him as playing second fiddle in the NW

TonyeBarcanista:
By TonyeBarcanista


Tonye Barcanista is a political analyst and social commentator. He writes on Nairaland.com and @TonyeBarcanista on Twitter

casualobserver:
The sad this about the Obidient movement is that when he loses, people will be demoralized and only in the aftermath and post morterm will they realise they missed a chance for genuine change not because Obi lost but because Obi was the wrong person to spearhead the movement.

An opportunity for a genuine paradigm shift will probably never come again because the wrong person is heading it, a movement for a new order headed by Peter Obi is ab initio a fraudulent movement!!! APGA for 10 years PDP, PDp for 8years, a member of Jonathans Govt for 3, Vice presidential candidate to Atiku, a member of 3 different political parties, one of the biggest importers of basic consumer goods including the much derided imported toothpicks, no factory to his name, no gasp on the issues and ideas except telling us the problems we all know....the man is a fraud and it is a travesty to those who want a new order that this charlatan is the one spearheading the movement.

it will go down as a generational opportunity wasted because poor thinking Nigerians decided to make an opportunist, a con man and a charlatan the arrowhead of the change movement.

The problem with Obi failing (as he will) is that the 2 parties will consolidate their grip on power knowing the risk of a genuine new order and how close they could have come to extinction if they (the so called Obidients) only had a credible and more acceptable leader. Furthermore many of the youth behind the Obidient movement will be older and age makes us all less enthusiastic and more cynical and accepting of the status quo…especially if he is humbled at the polls!!! It will only serve to “prove” the fallacy to many that you cannot win an election unless you are in one of the 2 big parties, when in reality the reason the Obidient movement failed is that it was flawed from the beginning, based on falsehoods and emotion and lacking ideology, a clearly articulated plan and most importantly a credible figure head which is what you need to upset the status quo anywhere.

TonyeBarcanista:
Obi cannot win any state in the southeast. His candidacy is similar to the late Ikemba Odumegwu Ojukwu in 2003 presidential contest. Ojukwu was the candidate of APGA and APGA prides itself on the Igbo movement, yet Ojukwu lost in his Nnewi and the entire Southeast to Obasanjo despite being backed by Ohanaeze. Truth is, you can't win without structure in politics

OGHENAOGIE:
the North vote one of their own is the biggest lie ever told... 1993 mko Abiola under SDP defeated Ibrahim Tofa of NRC... Mko was voted for by majority of Northerners... Let me sound it here tinubu and APC is the favorite for next year elections... APC ll win states like kaduna katsina borno yobe zamfara Sokoto name them... Atiku can only hope the margin isn't much simple