₦airaland Forum

RISQUE:
You guys don't know what's coming. E go shock APC how them go take lose elections.

Do your own predictions

raumdeuter:
So you think Wike will be alive and APC wont win Rivers state

My brother, that is a worst case scenario result

AKWATGOLD1:
This is likely to be 2027 general election voting pattern. It clearly shows that Jagaban will win the election.

Exactly

kettykin:
Even if Obi wates this life time opportunity by contesting under LP will he also miss out on Niger delta votes. Coming back to North , will states like the North West vote Tinubu rather than Atiku when Buhari is no long there to direct votes.

Buhari is gone , the north is back to the drawing table . The north will not vote Tinubu ar best I am seeing a repeat of June 12 where north will vote a northerner , the eastern votes will go for LP and there will be no consensus

Even when buhari was alive, he wasn't decisive in endorsing anyone. He was reluctant. No northerner can inherit that vote, Atiku doesn't fit into that profile therefore votes will be divided. Atiku can only manage to win his NE. Tinubu will likely win NW with kwankwaso aligning with him. Tinubu already has north central. Niger delta will be shared between Tinubu and obi, atiku is out. He will fail woefully down south

Judgementa1:
Neither Atiku or obi have any sure path to the presidency.

2023 result President Tinubu was able to garnered 25% in 30 states.

Atiku had 25% in 21 states.

While obi scored 25% in 16 states.

Forget the opposition noise, 2027 will still be a workover for APC as a result of their national
spread and strength.

True

Validated:
I like your renewed hopelessness on "ifs". It is normally a Nigerian thing especially when we are about to be defeated in football matches and lose qualifying for next round. Then we will be like "If Argentina beat Brazil by 2.0, then Japan draws with South Korea", then let us pray that Super Eagles beat Columbia by 3.0. Then we will qualify.

The raw truth is that "Tinubu has no pathway to be reelected" - ElRufai. This is the raw truth. Those who helped him to rig in the North have largely abandoned him. That means to get 4 million from the North is not possible. Atiku Abubakar has inherited his votes up North. SEis locked down as in 2023. South South is impregnatable. Forget Tampolo and Sherrif, they are deceiving Tinubu to avoid EFCC harassment. Even Wike cannot deliver Rivers State. Fubara may be quiet, but not a dunce. He cannot help Tinubu as Wike could not do in 2023.

So El rufai helped him to rig yet he lost kaduna? Guy, rest sentiments won't allow you analyse politics

kettykin:
Everything seems nice until you get to Niger delta and you realize that the figures are just posting with little bearing. If anything is to go by ADC will win the election because there will be no PDP or LP

Obi will certainly contest under LP and pdp will present someone under PDP to reduce Atiku votes

ayomilore:
You can't have a near accurate prediction until some weeks to election,many things will definitely come to play to determine the eventual winner. You can't so much under rate APC in southeast with 2 APC sitting Governors and about 2 others who may be secretly working for PBAT reelection who will definitely mobilize voters on election day. APC will do better in North Central than what was recorded in the last election.
If Kwankwaso in Northwest is eventually picked as running mate to Tinubu then the game is practically over for the opposition candidates.

By and large, the race is still open to all the contenders depending on who among them could play the game better to his advantage.

I will adjust from next year

Zocalite:
Why should tinubu win osun?

A kind of tinubu will win in your life and generation forever

No one will fight for Atiku in osun. Almost all politicians are for jagaban

WhizdomXX:
With Obi QED.

Obi won't pair Atiku

NORTHWEST ZONE

KEBBI: APC 50% ADC 40% PDP 7% Lp 3%

SOKOTO: APC 46% ADC 40% PDP 10% LP 4%

ZAMFARA: APC 40% ADC 30% PDP 26% LP 4%

KATSINA: APC 48% ADC 42% PDP 7% LP 3%

KADUNA: APC 30% ADC 40% PDP 10% LP 20%

JIGAWA: APC 50% ADC 37% PDP 10% LP 3%

NORTH EAST ZONE

YOBE: APC 50% PDP 42% PDP 6% LP 2%

BORNO: APC 55% ADC 35% PDP 5% LP 5%

Bauchi: APC 28% ADC 35% PDP 35% Lp 2%

GOMBE: APC APC 30% ADC 45% PDP 20% LP 5%

TARABA: APC 25% ADC 30% PDP 20% LP 25%

ADAMAWA: APC 20% ADC 45% PDP 20% LP 15%

NORTH CENTRAL ZONE

KWARA: APC 55% ADC 25% PDP 15% LP 5%

NIGER: APC 45% PDP 40% PDP 5% LP 10%

NASARAWA: APC 30% ADC 25% PDP 15% LP 30%

KOGI: APC 50% ADC 25% PDP 10% LP 15%

BENUE: APC 35% ADC 20% PDP 10% LP 35%

PLATEAU: APC 30% ADC 20% PDP 10% LP 40%

FCT: APC 28% ADC 20% PDP 10% LP 42%

SOUTHWEST ZONE

LAGOS: APC 44% ADC 10% PDP 5% LP 41%

OGUN: APC 60% ADC 20% PDP 5% LP 15%

ONDO: APC 65% ADC 15% PDP 5% LP 15%

EKITI: APC 55% ADC 25% PDP 10% LP 10%

OSUN: APC 50% ADC 35% PDP 10% LP 5%

OYO : APC 55% ADC 25% PDP 10% LP 10%


SOUTH EAST ZONE

ANAMBRA: APC 5% ADC 5% PDP 0% LP 90%

ENUGU: APC 10% ADC 5% PDP 10% LP 75%

ABIA: APC 15% ADC 10% PDP 0% LP 75%

EBONYI: APC 15% ADC 10% PDP 0% LP 75%

IMO: APC 25% ADC 15% PDP 0% LP 65%

SOUTH SOUTH ZONE

CROSS RIVER: APC 40% ADC 18% PDP 2% LP 40%

AKWA IBOM: APC 35% ADC 20% PDP 15% LP 30%

RIVERS: APC 38% ADC 15% PDP 5% LP 42%

BAYELSA: APC 35% ADC 15% PDP 20% LP 30%

DELTA: APC 25% ADC 20% PDP 15% LP 40%

Edo: APC 30% ADC 15% PDP 5% LP 50%


Mynd44
Fergie001
Penguin01
Casualobserver
Ogaema
Ogascomax

PulaPower:
Lie? Did Osun vote for Atiku in 2019 or not?

I said the same thing! Tinubu will win, but Atiku will still get votes!

Atiku won with just 9k votes which is useless in the long run. Adeleke campaigned very hard for him. Now that adeleke has withdrew, he can only manage 25%

PulaPower:
Adeleke might have supported Atiku but one thing about Osun/Atiku is that they always voted Atiku! Even before Adeleke..

Atiku himself said it that Osun is the only state that is always certain for him! Osun will still vote Atiku in 2027 but Tinubu will win!

You lie. Buhari won osun in 2019. Tinubu will surely win Osun this time

WhizdomXX:
I see ADC winning 22 states + FCT in a free but unfair 2027 election. APC carrying Kano heavily,but losing Lagos and the North in general by slim margins. He will then be heavily beaten in the south.

ADC with or without Obi

fergie001:
This Bola Tinubu too Sabi this politics.

The greatest in Africa

mrvitalis:
Lol that's one thing I like about the North... They don't hide where they stand

Now that it's fake, it means they stand with Tinubu. He will crush Atiku up North

dalongjnr:
Ok o!
Good one for the disclaimer.

North will divide

ogascomax:
Wetin concern just one Emir fake and political endorsement just to excite the president wife. That endorsement equal to nothing. Even the Emir's family would not vote Tinubu.
What will happen in 2027 if that year exist it will shock all you all.

Let them endorse Atiku na. When Tinubu wins again, I believe you will start worshipping me

slivertongue:
Yes APC won in 2019, 2023 but the times has changed. Atiku will do well in South because Obi is there

Nothing has changed. Obi will never pair with Atiku, is it not obvious? It is Tinubu vs atiku vs obi

slivertongue:
And I say majority of us won't vote for the ethnic centered president. Tinubu will struggle to get 4 million votes

You said so in 2019, 2023 so you have no point.my point will supercede yours. Only Gej can defeat Tinubu. Even if Atiku manages to win the north, he will fail woefully down south

fergie001:
Osun APC resisted with everything even though Tinubu was open-minded about it. Osun APC feel they can win it, Adeleke has been at loggerheads with some of his NASS members and the fight with Aregbe, APC there feels they can nick it.

Adeleke has been the one begging to join.
He is my very good friend anyways. I know nah

I think the resistance from Baba Akande was the turning point. But they need Adeleke to stop Atiku from taking Osun again

fergie001:
This is confirmed.

The deal is off the table...... He is PDP now! He should go and beg Aregbe jareh! I want him to win because of my good friend, Johnny

What happened

slivertongue:
You obviously don't know much about the north beyond some distortion on the internet. Not even the sultan, emir of Kano or shehu of Borno can dictate for the hungry and angry peoples of the North

Oga, northern Talakawas are controlled by the Imams, royal father's and popular politicians. Atiku will never get northern bloc votes, rest oh

slivertongue:
Daura in Katsina not the whole of the north. The last time I checked PDP won the 2023 presidential election

Yes but it is the ancestral home of the hausas and the emir is one of the top 5 in the north. He represents and influenced his people and listens to his people. For him to have done this, it means other Emirs are also in support.
He was very close to buhari and must have had his permission. This has never happened sir. Atiku is not rated sir

slivertongue:
The emir of daura asked them to shout tinubu OTP in 2027

Oga, this clearly shows that the north is with Tinubu

ogascomax:
The permutations are changes with greater dynamics. Tinubu had substantial votes even in Katstina State but this time it will change rapidly.

It will change for the better for him. The endorsement by the Emir will give him bigger votes in Katsina and across the north. With presidential powers, he can increase his votes and suppress that of Atiku

ogascomax:
Dey play. Plus Buhari Atiku won Keratins State. Now Buhari is not alive to open ballot paper.

Lol, buhari body language clearly shows he didn't want Tinubu. Is it not obvious that the north don't like Atiku? Can an emir support a southerner against Buhari? Atiku will still win Katsina by 1k while Tinubu buried him in Kano by 500k

searchlight:
I bet you that one vote is definitely not going to Tinubu

It will. They hate Atiku

dalongjnr:
With the way the coalition is going,if we're not careful,it will break before it starts collating.
I saw a lot of selfish interest and I voiced it out.
If those interest are not well managed and harmonise, it may end up in disarray and disaster.

Tinubu will be reelected

dalongjnr:
Well,never again in a long time ⌛️ will the north have someone in the place of Buhari.
He was an enigma,a colossus,a one of a kind of a leader who comes once or twice in a century

The votes will divide between Tinubu, Atiku, kwankwaso

dalongjnr:
I support her in that aspect.
The suspension is excessive and undemocratic.
Absolute power 🔋 💪 corrupt the system.

Has she apologized in two dailies and paid fines

opes:
It will be better to give the PDP ticket to a strong candidate from the North, with that, Atiku is done. Kwankwaso won't join ADC, it is either he joins APC or contest again under NNPP.

I think that's what wike will do. Bala Mohamed or Fintiri will fly PDP ticket to weaken Atiku in NE