₦airaland Forum

Penguin2:
To the end that whatever inroads Tinubu is celebrating to have made into Obi’s traditional voting bloc, Obi has made inroads elsewhere to balance and even surpass it.

Obi hasn't made any inroad apart from Kano which isn't Tinubu's domain

AMINDA:
This is not the first aide that Barau will be sacking for anti-party, by the way. He may eventually sack his whole cabinet.

Ganduje sacked several sides in 2023 that betrayed him for kwankwaso. How did it end? You are a political novice. Purge the enemies in your ADC first

AMINDA:
Atiku does not exist in Kano, but the topic is about Barau having to sack his aide for supporting Atiku. Whatever floats your boat. You are at liberty to continue to tickle yourself. Happiness is free.

You are the one disturbing all the threads with anti Tinubu messages to tickle your self to camouflage the pain of a looming Atiku defeat. The topic is about barau but you mischievously introduced Atiku, are you forgetting? How does it tally? Nothing concern atiku with kano

AMINDA:
APC is getting desperate. Their only strategy appears to be splurging money on every nomenclature and their dog in order to pose for photo-ops as evidence of the party's popularity. The latest embarrassment was going to scout for previous ADC candidates who contested elections before the party was adopted as the coalition vehicle and planting the news about the defection of "ADC candidates". Desperation.

But your ADC is moving about with its vanguard through APC campaigns and arranging video shops to paint a fake picture of rejection. Is Umar sale that defected in sokoto also fake?

AMINDA:
How many people will they eventually sack? Barau himself is a closet supporter of Atiku after Tinubu scuttled his gubernatorial ambition just to receive Kwankwaso's in-law, Abba Kabir, into the APC. It's not the ones who are openly supporting Atiku they should be wary of. It's the closet supporters. This Rainbow Coalition must go round!

All the closet supporters where revealed in 2023. No normal politician will support Atiku over tinubu. Tinubu didn't scuttle his Guber ambition, it is the turn of Kano south. By 2035, it will be the turn of Kano north and Barau won't have any challenger.
By the way, atiku does not exist in Kano. In terms of loyallists, atiku have no loyallists as compared to obi and Tinubu. Those hanging around him are just economic supporters...I haven't even mentioned several ADC members still loyal to the Bala camp

thatigboman:
no wahala. Temi is the most entertaining and she will win. Sunday is not far.
Flora will go far Sha because neche and nomy people are voting her. But im voting temi because she has been so entertaining. The best.

Is it not obvious Aikou is winning oga

slivertongue:
APC and ADC will Gombe. I suspect adc will win

In presidential not Guber. Gwamna is the next governor.

Penguin2:
Whether he wins it by just one vote or even loses it, you agree that the votes he will garner will cancel out the votes that Tinubu will get in Southeast and Southsouth, abi?

To what end

thatigboman:
Temi ke? Temi the winner of the show!!!

Aikou is winning

clarocuzioo:
What the north is cooking for Tinubu in 2027 is unprecedented. There's a reason they are seriously lobbying south east politicians against what he did in 2023.

Why is ADC always the ones posting it

FSBoperator:
Bauchi, Gombe, Adamawa are majority Christian.

Bornu is 50:50.

Only Yobe is majority Muslim but there is still a significant Christian population.

NE is not homogenous as the NW when it comes to religion and tribes.

The reason Christians don't get positions is because they are divided more along tribal considerations. The Muslims, are however more united along religious lines.

Borno is 80 20 like Yobe. How many christians do you meet in Borno

greatiyk4u:
Borno and yobe were forced and manipulated into joining Islam for a reason I won't discuss here.... Originally Bura people of Borno state are traditional worshippers until lately.....just check out the section of Borno and Adamawa hit by Boko haram and understand what I mean....I lived in Biu, Yadi buni and Maiduguri to understand what i mean
Gombe is 60-40 Muslim to Christians while Adamawa is 65% Christians just that they are powerless

You are very funny and mischievous. Borno and Yobe where all in kanemi Borno empire. They where Muslims even before the Dan fodio jihad sir. Most Christians where also traditionalists before converting to Christianity.
I know southern Borno has a lot of Christians but Borno as a whole is Muslim dominated same as Yobe. Gombe north is Muslim dominated, Gombe central is Muslim dominated. Only Gombe south has sizeable christians. I can agree Adamawa and Taraba are Christian dominated but north east as a whole is a Muslim enclave

AMINDA:
Allow! They think Rainbow Coalition is only limited to Rivers.

They will mobilize extra votes

greatiyk4u:
One secret is that there are slightly more Christians in North East than Muslims but the Muslims are more powerful, hence, a reason they are oppressing them

Not true. Borno, Yobe, Bauchi, Gombe are Muslim dominated. Adamawa is 50 50. Only Taraba has slightly more christians. You are dead wrong

MichaelSokoto:
Only hi-neck server tempering can guarantee a Tinubu victory and u know it!
So stop whyning urself!

Rigging or no rigging, nothing for obi

MrSly:
Tinubu will loose the election.

He will bury obingo in core north

U09ce:
I don't foresee that. Benue and Nasarawa will go to Obi, Niger will sway to Atiku

Tinubu won benue in 2023 and came close 2nd in NASARAWA. Ortom that was supporting obi is now supporting Tinubu. No how Tinubu won't do well in both states

U09ce:
He can't get 25% in the others

So he won't get in Benue, nasarawa, niger

Hueyreckless0007:
I highly doubt that. Northerner are really pissed off with his administration

Core northerners

U09ce:
Kaduna
Borno
Kwara
Kogi

These are the only ones I'm 80% sure

What of the others

Gunayo:
If the election is devoid of rigging, Tinubu will only win South west. He cannot win any south south state not to talk of south east. Forget Woke ranting. He is only relying on rigging and thuggery which might fail him. In general He will win by rigging and there will be chaos most especially in the North. Things will normalise after some days of unrest.

He doesn't need to win SS and north, just significant votes

DickenClarq:
From someone who have tour at least 12 Northern state for the last 2 and half month and currently in one for now till first week of October.

I can confidently tell you Tinubu will have 25% in any state in the North.

The North are just attracted to incompetent president since Buhari regime.

It's like an addiction to them


May God help us

Which states can you say tinubu will win up North

He will likely get the spread in all northern states. Only Adamawa and fct might deny him.

Penguin2:
One of the masterstrokes that Obi struck going into the 2027 election is getting Kwankwaso to be his running mate. His 2023 running mate couldn’t even win his polling unit.

Now, the activities of NDC so far in Kano has been so refreshing and has pointed to some interesting results that await us in 2027.

Going by activities so far, it’s safe to say that Peter Obi will win Kano in 2027.

But even if he doesn’t, the votes he will garner in Kano alone will be enough to cancel out whatever inroads Tinubu and Atiku will make in Southeast and Southsouth combined.

I think mentioning Atiku here is mere academic because he is currently nonexistent in any state of the South; not even in middle belt. Which always leaves me wondering how his supporters are thinking he would win the election.

Obi won't win Kano by more than 200k votes since kwankwaso won by 400k

AMINDA:
Okay o. Meanwhile, Tinubu campaign in the North be like...

Market no good. Harka sai lalacewa take🤣! pic.twitter.com/7wkOp4J9Ip

— Omar 🗣 (@Omarkhalidsaleh) September 26, 2026

Then again Atiku ADC has won zero polls

AMINDA:
Phewww! This is very rich coming from someone supporting a candidate who ran on Yoruba Lokan and muslim-muslim ticket. Tinubu became president with Hausa-Fulani votes. The South never voted for him amd still won't vote him in 2027. He even lost Lagos and Osun. The likes of Adeleke and Segun Sowunmi have made it clear that the only reason they are supporting Tinubu is because he is Yoruba but you draw the line at Northerners supporting Atiku. The anti-Tinubu wave is spreading very fast. Even tiktok is currently banned in several parts of the North because of this. What is coming is heavy o. APC members in the North are declaring support for Atiku citing Adeleke's position on supporting Tinubu because he is Yoruba. This Rainbow Coalition must go round.

Yesterday at Gezawa market in Kano, during our grassroots work, we met an APC member. He looked us in the eye and swore to God he will vote Atiku in 2027.

We asked him why.

He said: “Governor Adeleke has already told the world he will support Tinubu because Tinubu is his Yoruba… pic.twitter.com/YRaFUrL7q3

— Abdul-Aziz Na'ibi Abubakar (@jrnaib2) September 26, 2026

Only a child won't know it's a rehearsed move. So you are hoping for defections from APC yet you try to downplay massive defections from your dead party? Keep hoping, your party will soon be empty

Svoboda:
It's not necessarily about APC but Tinubu. He doesn't own APC, for that matter. The northerners are wise enough to distinguish between Tinubu and APC.

I thought it was about APC. So many will vote top to bottom

AMINDA:
"The beating is A.I."

- Akpakomiza2

Yet you keep losing elections and your members keep defecting

Sheuns:
Tinubu will perform poorly in the southwest. He can’t and won’t have up to 70% of total votes cast in the south west.

He just needs 60%

AMINDA:
Lol. This is an improvement from you labelling it A.I. E go soon clear.

Besides, it is just one community. You can't use one to quantify the whole Kebbi. They may be aligned to Malami. Don't be guilty of hasty generalization.
Meanwhile, a top ADC chieftain in sokoto Umar Saleh has joined APC

AMINDA:
Okay, noted. Happening in Kebbi state. Event brought to an abrupt end after MC chanted "Sai Tinubu".

YANZU YANZU: Matasan Jega Local Government, Jihar Kebbi, a filin wasan Makarantar Haliru Abdu, inda a yau aka gudanar da bikin buɗe gasar cin kofin da mai girma Gwamnan Jihar Kebbi ya sanya a Jega.

Yayin da MC ya fara kiran sunayen manyan baki, sai aka fara cewa: “Sai Tinubu!” pic.twitter.com/VcjOlcwocC

— COMRDE SULEIMAN ABUBAKAR BARDE (@Comrdebarde) September 25, 2026

Lol, same group of stage managed Atiku boys moving around to create a false agenda.

AMINDA:
Indeed. Elrufai's former Chief of Staff will deliver Kaduna to Tinubu.

He doesn't need to. He just needs to note vote Atiku