OmoFiditi: Wike unfortunately you are not ruling over people with empty brains that you can order to vote however you want. Rivers is not a feudal oligarchy, they are educated and forward looking people who can think for themselves.
You are interested in your political preservation, they are interested in the future of their children. They will not sacrifice the future of their children just to keep you politically relevant. It is you who should listen to your people and follow their political leanings this time, because they have decided already.
Rivers state coffers is not your birthright. If your candidate loses, you can run away from the country before hand over date with your immunity intact. Rivers people do not have such luxury. Thiefnubuu will lose in Rivers and get less than 15% of the votes. Know this and have peace.
He doesn't believe Obi can win and he doesn't want Atiku to win hence the support for Tinubu.
He is already sharing buckets of rice and collecting account details of persons in each ward here in Rivers with the promise of sending 30k each just for them to vote Tinubu. I hear he is targeting 20votes per polling units.
He even used force on all local government chairman and counselors to deliver for him. So he might as well get votes for Tinubu.
But I know alot of people will disappoint him. He will be shocked. The way they hate Tinubu here ehn.
I was present at a presidential rally or political rally for the first time in my life. I purposely travelled from my place to the venue just to examine if Obi can possibly cause major upset to Tinubu ambition in Lagos as purported by many supporters of Obi.
From what I saw, Tinubu will win Lagos state convincingly the same way Atiku will win Adamawa state. I project landslide victory for both of them in their respective states.
Though, there were empty seats at Tinubu rally today but not as many as the ones in the pictures posted by Reno. The pictures were taken very early.
Below are the pictures I took from the rally.
okay now it's a lie. You hate lies. When it was Obi turn, this same Reno lied with fake pictures and you believed and was happy.
lhordspy: They think they can fool us. They think we are bunch of obidient secondary school kids that started politics 2015. We have been in this game for long.
We will make sure we uproot and dig out all these funny lies and resist any avenue or means of trying to push a fraudster, Peter Obi down our throat.
ANAP denied it. They even released a statement claiming the Jet was used in Coffin transportation not for Obi . If something is not really fishy, why denying it? .
No wonder they projected obi to win Kastina, Lagos and Adamawa, Osun, ondo. Little did we know they have been the one sponsoring the clown.
I can't be fooled twice. I forgive Buhar! for fooling me in 2015. I won't make same mistake again with an incompetent disaster like Obi.
That's why you will always be fooled cos you're on your way to be fooled again by your principal. Continue
Legitisreal: The thing about most people supporting obi is that they just want to believe what they feel and damn every antecedent.
Even when obi was in apga, his region and SS have been voting PDP so how come it's him that suddenly made people to vote PDP in 2019?
Who where they ever going to vote, so obi base is already acertained as PDP block.
You talk of change but we have seen more massive change in history (the two where headed by the core north and Yoruba in 1993, 2015).
How come in the two igbos didn't buy into it? When you figure it out, you would see that the region the change is coming from also matters
You want to ignore voting pattern over the years but these are like consistent past questions to an exam.
You group SE/SS as one for obi simply because of voting history and antecedent
You talk of obi getting other voters but the areas he is banking on is not as if apc was even relevant in it same PDP voters
The North is where he would have harvested new voters because I believe I have addressed why the SW votes would always be split since history (one side is guaranteed again for tinubu) while atiku and obi shares the half or less than half which is same voters
Let me shock you now that whether you see propaganda videos 10 times a day it doesn't change the fact that they are politically under a state.
Then the question is what has the state done that is different from the previous voting pattern
If igbos like duplicate video from all across the markets of obi, it's for example the same abia, enugu, imo, ebonyi which we know their maximum voting capacity can be watered down by two states up north
well, you seem to believe more in the regional and past voting structure. The election is in 7days. I will remind you bro. Cheers
At least you do try to look at reality politically, for sure I get your point of the election looking different.
But in reality 95% of those chanting obi now or saying change are PDP block b4, question is how much was PDP itself able to do in 2019 election without fraction?
At bolded of yours, we call it three but in reality it's LP dividing already established PDP base, they aren't penetrating those that would even keep voting apc in their 45% upwards from Yorubaland down north
In reality there is already a voting block even when you keep saying we the people are the structure, there is never absence of a block.
PDP won the same SE/SS and some middle belt in 2019 (is this not the highest possible outcome obi is "wishing" for).
What is now the decider?
The North as usual, with what buhari is doing to tinubu now and the tears from ganduje, etc that tinubu is hoping on, it is safe to say tinubu would be finished up north by atiku
If you say kwanwanso would split atiku vote then ask yourself how important was his vote to atiku when he supported in 2019, apart from Kano, atiku would win him well all over north
North is smart, forget buhari winning atiku, when in power they try to finish one line first before going for another of theirs
Where tinubu is missing it?
Tinubu is only hoping on the block fanatic apc supporters many of whom are buhari group, but he doesn't realize their fanatism to apc whether good or bad is their loyalty to north.
And this fantism favor them to switch parties depending on which side benefits north more, I guess tinubu already know buhari and his people are working against him.
The fanatism tinubu gets in south west apc, he can't get in north because Yoruba apc supporters have no other party to run to but north does
Obi in Southwest
Expect tinubu to pick the usual 50% of apc here, this time he would make it 55%-60% because a son is contesting.
It's the reality of tribal politics in SW, you either believe or not but you have seen his last Oyo reception
So tinubu would clear all SW states, the hope of obident is that SW would give LP votes but these so called SW Christian's and liberals are already the PDP voting block that gets 40/45%
The yorubas in apc (acn) seem to see support for apc as support for their political survival, and reality is they have nowhere else to go.
So it's a case of how much can obi take of 45% which PDP would still take inside, either way obi game is over if it's just SE/SS that he aims for win.
Let me not even go into wike, because apc is already taboo in SS/SE, do you think like his other colleagues he would have problem marketing atiku which has been done before
Wike cannot market Atiku or Tinubu. So his politics of silence fits him best.
Let's not forget majority of the people who gave PDP votes did because of Obi. Did you see Lagos, Ogun, Oyo results the last time? Well we will be decieving ourselves if we think it's only PDP voters obi is collecting. It will shock you. I have friends in kaduna and trust me, that results will shock many. Nigerians are tired. It is only the fanatics who don't think about how Nigeria is dating, only thinking about party that would vote an APC even in the west or a PDP even in the south( with this logic, you should know obi/kwankwaso collected voters from both PDP and APC.
Again, you still making the mistake of using the last election to decide. See, 85% of those block votes from every region would be scattered this time. Unless from the region the said candidate is from. No block votes like before. No body will inherit Buhari's combined votes from West and north. It will be shared. Watch out
In reality, I am projecting a rerun like Inec once said. Because from what I am seeing, none of them would meet the requirements to be announced winner.
Legitisreal: the question is how many people did you meet cos even Nigeria census can't reach the majority and where did you carry it out, cos the 2019 own of buhari been preferred generally bursted everything
it remains the Igbo propaganda, because they where the ones who campaigned for atiku in 2019 because of obi, nobody outside igboland gave a bleep about him till this propaganda, there has been free and fair election since and Lagos etc are yet to leave tinubu hands
obi doesn't even believe he would see 25% on far north, there is a reason he is going all Christian approach to maximize Christian votes
Are you even sure kwanwanso won't step down before next week, look what buhari is doing to tinubu, it's one north
fair enough to reality, but don't say atiku have no ground here, cos PDP does as a party, obi would still face issues here because he is only looking at taking PDP traditional votes as the ardent apc voters are already fixed at tinubu
The so called undecided, liberal, Christian's are still PDP traditional block, he would get some but party faithful ardent won't follow
Hence obi is helping tinubu in the sw, I can see why you said 25% cos obi and atiku would battle for that 40%
not might, atiku would get his mandatory 25% here in SE because the PDP structure is there, senators across PDP would be voting same day so they would mobilize their support on a streak, not many would adhere but the much that would do would solidify atiku 25% above
In SS you would be shocked Delta, Bayelsa, Akwa Ibom, Edo PDP would win one or two states here, the Governors are fully on ground, voting pattern here is very strong, and if there is an upset I can assure you no way PDP is getting less than 45% which makes it a worthless win for obi in SS
If you know middle belt is a free for all why then have your likes added it as a region for obi?
Taraba is northeast, they are ardent followers of atiku because he highest employer of labour here, remember mama taraba resigned her minister appointment with buhari to support atiku,
Abuja benue and plateau can never give anyone 75% go and check the voting history, since 2015 it's always split
45%/55%, With PDP on the ballot obi won't even see 60% here because he is banking on traditional PDP voting block, just like SW some would come to him that are taken away with his stories, but not less than half of the same block would remain for PDP
Apc already have ardent supporters that would vote them here just like SW whether person is dieing or not is not their concern
So it's really a stalemate in Abuja, benue, plataue but in kwara, Nassarawa, kogi, Niger while apc and PDP are sharing states here LP would be absent
So PDP has a better ratio in fighting with LP and Apc at different battleground
I like the way you explained your points. You might just have a point. The only error in all this you typed is that you still making a mistake, thinking this election would be as every other elections we have witnessed in the passed where we always have just two major parties going head to head.
* Secondly, that a state government is from a particular political party don't mean the state will vote in that direction. It's all changed now. This is the reason why Wike cannot announce that he supports APC because he knows the street is for OBI yet these are same people that would vote his governorship candidate. If he comes out openly, his candidate will lose.
This time around we have too many defining factors. And yes I agree with you for the middle belt. Whoever wins from region shouldn't get more than 55 - 60% as the other two parties would dig up votes too. But it remains the deciding region still.
Beolly: Taraba is North East not middle belt, Niger, Nasarawa, Plateau are majorly Hausa speaking States and then Kwara with a Yoruba majority. You can talk about Obi winning benue and splitting vote with the other candidates in Abuja and Kogi nobody will drag that with you.
you might be right, but I can bet with you. OBI will win in Plateau state.
Once again I have to say this. It's not about tribe this time
4tomandchi: When we say Igbo are the problem of the Igbo tribe some people go the make noice tell me watin Wike see for that old Tinubu.
Imagine a Tiv man endorsing OBI. At this point if Obi no go win make Atiku win.
Wike must be disgraced!!!
Anyway, wike no fit come out to ask people to vote Tinubu. He won't try it. 96% of people in this rivers are for obi and 65% of these same people will vote wike's PDP candidate. If he tries to announce Tinubu, that means his candidate won't win. That would be a win for Abe, the governorship candidate of SDP.
90% northerners don't have access to Internet and would be voting
since 2011, yorubas and igbos north where alligned with Gej
In 2015 yorubas unleashed propaganda for buhari without igbos, but north was with them
You can see where your polls failed in 2019 because no public opinion really fancied buhari then how did he win? (Their fake rushed edit can't sell such lie)
In 2023 igbos are unleashing propaganda without yorubas as public opinion but no north
In all the result since 2011 the north remains the determining factor
First of all, the polls where not conducted online.
Secondly, the igbos propaganda as you call it, is not without a certain tribe or region. Look at PO, he isn't telling you that igbos alone would vote for him. I can tell you with a free and fair election, more Yoruba's will vote PO than more Yoruba's voted GEJ. We all know igbos didn't even vote Buhari.
Tell yourself the truth. In the far North....Atiku will win (just that kwankwaso would share his votes) Tinubu will come second and obi might just get 25% in some states (based on the igbo and christain population)
In the West....Tinubu will win. But he has a serious battle to do with Obi. Obi will surly get more than the 25% needed in major states. Atiku has no grounds here.
In the SS/SE....Obi will win clearly ( Atiku might have his required 25% from very few states here in the SS but not the SE. Tinubu has absolutely no grounds here.
The deciding factor of this election would be the Middle belt which is the NC. The Kogi, Benue, Taraba, Abuja, Jos etc. This would be a serious battle because they all will get votes here no doubt. But OBI has upper hand here now. States like Abuja, Benue and Plateau are now over 75% for him. This is why they project his chances higher
Frankiss44: Werey ask you governors why the CBN wasn't cc in the case... But the same CBN governor hosted diplomats and envoys yesterday and told them there is no going back from tthe January 10th date.. You are here quoting law while country is burning and citizens are confused.. Omo as I dey talk to you I don spend 3500 from my old currency oh.. The more the days, the harder it is to spend... You can be keeping yours, that's your fuc*ING business
I no even get one naira of the old notes again. No be my hand the thing go die those when wan hold am, make them continue. Maybe them wan show their great grand children the notes. Who knows
RenaissanceGuy: But that was what your ravenous footsoldiers kept on saying—on the social media—that they would shut down Lagos. Alas they couldn't occupy up to 20% of a 50K capacity venue. Because they prefer to stay on the SM chasing after who gets the highest Retweets. It's sad, but that's what it's.
If it were a street rally, they'd have told us that more than a hundred thousand people attended, but since it was a venue whose capacity is known by everyone, they couldn't provide any spin.
if you have sense, you should know the difference between what's a lie and what you see on ground. But I will allow you continue fooling yourself.
lhordspy: You people act like robot. Like you are been programmed to say same rubbish. Is this line not tiring to use guys. Always 'they will take money and vote obi'
Very useless assertion.
if you get sense, you go k ow say wetin you talk na nonsense.
You don't know rivers politics. Ameachi was even a governor but couldn't do it then I spite of all he did. I know at least 5 of this 200k SA's. I can assure you, unless wike will tie a police man to each of them to the polling units, that's when they will vote APC. It will shock you. PO will clear rivers 94%. Watch out
backnbeta: Bubu is not at war with Tinubu because Tinubu is a bad person, NO. He's at war with and not supporting Tinubu because he will rather have another Abokey become the president! Good for Tinubu though; he forgot the golden rule: "trust and deal with an Abokey at your own peril". The plan is for them to enthrone Atiku, I hope it fails
this is exactly what I said. They did it to Awolowo he struggled. They did it to MKO he died now Tinubu. Make God no let am die before him time. Those northerners cannot be trusted. Mostly those Cabals
OGHENAOGIE: so what do u expect him to say if he said vote APC u ll come here to type nonsense of wanting to rig the process... Those of u supportive obi are living in lala land next month Ina go well back
you dey river and water dey enter your eye.
Be there trying to sound intelligent when you know you're not.
Are you more informed than Tinubu himself?? Carry on
This Election will shock alot of people. In this next 30days to election, alot will come out.. just yesterday, Buhari asked Nigerians to vote any party they like regardless of religion.
Go and listen to what Tinubu days ago. Siting sabotours in his own party.
We all know PDP can only get votes in the north cos the SS/SE where he normally gather his votes are wiser now and are all behind obi.
Obi on the other hand is growing so fast in the north where Muslim clerics are now endorsing him. Watch Bauchi, Bornu and Kaduna rallies.
God is about to take this country back to where is supposed to be.
But why are they always coming to confess? Why not confess their other numerous ungodly affairs also?
Some claim he promised to marry them for someone who has been married since 2004. If not that the scripting is poor...so, the man told them he'd divorce his wife and marry them, and they believed him!
I have been thinking about this too. If you agreed to sleep with him and had an affair in private why come out now? Na so you dey come out since when other men dey sleep with you?
I watched that halima video, that was all fake. Showing pictures of him when he was young, how does that prove they had an affair. I can have those if I really want to.
There is something fishy and God will expose it. I am not in support of anyone, let God be the judge
People who don't know about Delta politics won't understand.
Ibori is still fully PDP, and he is the grand patron of Delta politics. He is only fighting against Okowa who refused to be loyal and wants to install an Agbero who we all know as governor as against a well known lawyer.
Imagine MC oluomo contesting for governor of Lagos.
Ibori is only supporting Agege not APC. Him and Tinubu are strong enemies
OriOko88: He tried. But I doubt if kano will give him 25%. Kano vote is so much divided.
Yes Kano votes are divided obviously but one thing I like about LP rally is that, whoever you see at the rally and more persons who couldn't come due to one or two commitments are for him for real, not those paid guys who will end up voting for another candidate.
I think kwankwaso has this too. So 25% is sure here for him. Because the Igbo community and a great faction of the Christain community will vote him
If you watch well, you will see the handwriting on the wall that this is done by opposition parties.
They even called their selves unknown gunmen . If una like make una no wise up.
I heard yesterday APC was paying up to 150k for one PVC in Rivers and they are seriously looking for guys to sell. This is how desperate they have become.
If Tinubu mistake win this election, Nigeria will not recover in 50years
JOemmy: They really tried this is a party without any state governor in nigeria.
And they don't pay one naira to nobody to attend their rallies.
There are alot of LP supporters who didn't turn up due to commitment, work and stuffs. Unlike other parties that will pay you, buy you food ND still provide transportation