₦airaland Forum

lhordspy:
This is the real picture here not all these cut and crop pictures..

your mumu ehn. Very long

Vinnie2000:
All thanks to the 'Roadmaster'and his STEALING PARTNER, Oborevwori whom he wants to Install by Fire by Force!

Abeg for Presidential, Deltans should vote PETER OBI.

Governorship, Omo-Agege. Let's Try him and See!

Delta will vote PO but for the omo-Agege own that's what I can't tell cause he is APC. Although he would be far better than that sheriff.

Sheriff na confirm Agbero

Omoyoruba101:
Bro lie.
Pdp is Winning both presidential and governorship elections in delta state.

dey for Yoruba land dey know say PDP go win Delta.

The way obi will clear Delta will shock you

Prettygirl200:
lemme

hehehe...the first person you can decieve is yourself my dear. But carry on

Dnight:
Only a fool will be comfortable in a relationship where your wealth is all that is holding your partner.
Before some ignorant people come here and call me broke
I am far from broke
I was broke and I was lucky enough to have a woman stick with me through that period
I pray you all experience real love

that's the spirit bro. Keep it up

Prettygirl200:
My dear don't mind them, Nigerian men are all useless, broke and stupid. When u tell them u Want a rich man they will start ranting, calling their mothers leaches and materialistic. Mutewww

I want a rich girl too. Are you rich??

sqlPAIN:
This mentality is mostly common among Nigerian guys and honesty it's disgusting mentality to me...

I was watching a prank video on YouTube where a guy pretended to be an ice cream selling and tried to asked some girls out to see if anyone would give him a chance. Only about 2 girls out if like 12 he approached gave him their number. What I noticed in the comments section were comments of guys saying the two girls who gave him their number were real women and that the others were fake. I've seen a lot of guys even on nairaland here with such stuupidd mentality. Ask yourself this question, if you were an ice cream seller or a broke or poor man, Shey you go date yourself if you be woman ni?

If I find myself in such situations as a guy man, going into a relationship would not even cross my mind, not to talk of being the last thing on my mind. My biggest priority would be to hussle. Hussle and more hussle till I make enough to get myself a better life...

Abeg make una stop dey castigate women for wanting the best, it's human to want the best things and it's logical.

from your list I can tell your age already.

So na men when get money be the best abi? The celebrities that divorce here and there, they too don't have money abi? Yes finance is important and that does not mean the ice cream seller can't foot bill. Out ladies these days are just lazy ass women who wants a soft life without lifting a finger (and when I mean lifting a finger I don't mean just working for money) Immediately you use money as a deciding factor for a relationship, you have already gotten it wrong. Little wonder we have broken home here and there.

No body wants to be contented again and work with a man to achieve the kinda life you want. They all want the already made money cos for their mind, that's life. No wonder they are always the victim of ritual killings.

And let me tell you something you don't know. That ice cream seller might be a better giver than even a man who has fleets of cars. But they won't see it cos their mind already told them, this one can't possibly give me money. Omo, I wonder where that mentality of give me money come from. God Abeg


Guys, shine your eyes before una marry o

JasonScoolari:
Osé migwo!!! Happy new year sir.

I say make I educate the Ofurukpé before he go disgrace himself.

Warri

I hail o.

casualobserver:
No i said it clearly that there were only 2 parties. it is even more difficult to win with any convincing margin when there are 3. which makes it even more important that you have states where you have no opposition...i.e you arent sharing votes.

it is even more difficult when the majority of voters Obi is cannibalising are PDP voters.

This is what is going to happen:

Obi will cannibalise PDP votes in the south enough to put him in the race but not enough to win the south. he will do well to come second in the south. Southern APC votes are largely intact because the kind of people who will vote for Obi would never have voted for APC anyway. Atiku will not win the south, he may not even come second.

Middle belt will be shared whoever wins will have a total margin for the whole region of not more than 200k votes

North: Obi has no hope here. it is a battle between Atiku and Tinubu. No matter what happens in the North obi will not have enough votes to become president. Even if he wins the middle belt and south he will win with a small margin and because he has no presence in the North, at least one of his opponents will quickly surpass him so he is as good as finished. Atiku will damage Tinubu here, the question is how much damage and will the damage be enough to overcome the damage Obi has done to him in the SS,SE and middle belt? I dont think so because for Obi to do well in the south and middle belt, it means Atiku has been decimated and comes with a huge deficit.

This may shock you but Atiku did not win ANY state in the North by more than 53% the last time. All the 11 states where he got more than 60% were all in the south...the very same states under threat by Obi

See below

I understand what you're saying but worse come to worse there would be a run off. Because Tinubu will not get votes from the south (mark my words) the percentage he will get from the south will shock you. Forget these rallies my brother. He can also not defeat Atiku in the north.

You refer me once again to the last election where we have Buhari in the ballot and from a ruling party, how do you expect Atiku to win convincingly? Now it's an Atiku against A Tinubu in the north and you are projecting that Atiku wouldn't win states with wide margines?? Ha, you must really think so much about Tinubu.

If not that he is coming up using the ruling party, he won't even come out 3rd.

I am not still sure about Obi presence in the north but he will get votes that he needs from there in specific states.

He will win In the middle belt low margined or not but you see the SS/SE? Expect nothing less than a 80-90% victory.

casualobserver:
Nigerians tend to talk out of ignorance without looking at the data. The middle belt has never been an election decider and the most inconsequential zone in Nigeria. Why? because the middle belt vote is always split. Every major party does well in the Middle belt such that whoever wins does not win by much even when there were only 2 main contenders. Go and check the election results for the middle belt going way back to the days of Zik/Awo.

If I get 500k votes and you get 450K, yes I won that state but all that state has contributed to my overall victory is 50k votes out of 950k available voters. Do you now understand the inconsequence of marginal states....they are not king makers? Elections are decided by states where you command 80-90% majority. look at 2019 for instance just one relatively small state...Yobe wiped out the victory of PDP in ALL the middle belt states.

many of you do not understand elections. Elections are not won by the number of votes you get in a state, they are won by the cumulative difference between your votes and the opponents! if you get 2m votes in a state and I get 1.95 million, your 2m votes do not help you become president especially if I have a state where I have 700k votes and you only get 70K.

it really is amazing how naive, ignorant and uninformed Nigerians are about the mathematics of elections especially that elections are basically arithmetic.

in 2019 Atiku won Adamawa with only 38k votes out of a total votes of approx 800k despite 410k people voting for him

In Benue the difference was 9,000 votes (i repeat nine thousand votes) out of a total of 700k votes and 356k Atiku votes

in Nassarawa Buhari won by only 6,000 votes,

In kwara Buhari won by 178K, Plateau out of 1m votes PDP only won by 80k votes

and so on and so forth.

Add all the PDp victories in the middle belt and just 1 small state of Yobe wiped out all their gains...why? because Yobe votes were not shared....out of 547k votes in Yobe, 497 went to Buhari and 50k to Atiku, leaving Buhari with a margin of 447k to absorb defeats in other states. the irony is that Yobe has less voters than each of all the middle belt states, yet powerful enough to wipe out whatever happens in a whole region......because the votes are shared!! i hope you understand now why Tinubu won the election the minute Obi left PDp and declared for LP...he shared the votes making it impossible for either him or PDP to win.

so the key to victory is having states where your votes are not shared. that is why Tinubu will win the election 1st ballot.

Traditionaly stronghold states of PDP like SS/SE will be shared with Obi voters diluting the margin of victory in those states. APC are the only party with their core stronghold states relatively intact, states like Yobe, Borno. if Obi cannot dent APC in the North he is not winning this election, trust me because the states he will win or do well will be marginal. Even in the SE he will contend with PDP. who is contending with APC in states Borno and Yobe?

Dont forget, i said small Yobe state with only 500K votes wiped out PDP's entire gain in the middle belt without even using the bazooka Borno votes.

lease look at the data before you talk

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Nigerian_general_election.


For those who do not understand english, you win a presidential election by adding the difference between you and your opponent in one state and all the other states and whoever is ahead is the winner. so if you are winning states by 20k 8k, 40k when your opponent is winning states by 700k, 900k, 1m....you are not in the race!!! if you get 1m votes in a state and your opponent gets 900k or 1.1m, you are not heading to Aso rock unless you have states that will give you 500k, 700k, 1m difference between you are your opponents. it is not the number of votes you get that matters but the difference!

Obi has no nothern presence so by definition he is out of the race before it starts, his only effect in this race is to make Atiku not win

States cannot be giving your opponents 1m, 1.5m 1.7 m difference and you have no states to deliver that for you and you expect to win. Emotions aside, it is mathematically impossible!

the only error you made in this your long data analysis is that you forgot all other elections happened when we had just 2 major parties contenting.

Now? We have 3. And the 3 people are from strategic areas who would want to vote for their own. You are still making the mistake using older election results to analyze what will happen. You are one of the many people this election results will shock.

* You think PMB is on the ballot. We're the whole north gave him their votes plus the sharing of middle belt and other zones.
* You still think the west who decided the 2015 election would be the decider
* You still think having block northern votes alone would win you the election of the whole of Nigeria.

1, If election rigging is minimized even to it's bearest minimum say 30%, those block votes will disappear.

2, Don't expect no block votes for any candidate from a region he isn't from. Which leave us with the middle belt deciding factor.

3, that north you're giving to APC. Atiku will shock you. OMG this election would be sweet. Northerners that I know would vote Tinubu as against Atiku?? I laugh�.

Note: it is only the northern christains that would wanna go sideways.

February isn't far

casualobserver:
Well done but it is not nsukka or SE voters that will make him president. Let us see his crowd in Katsina, Kano, Maiduguri, Kaduna, Ilorin, Jigawa, Yobe, Kabba, etc. In short anywhere North because crowd yourself all you like in the south especially SE, without Northern votes no presidency for any southern candidate and vice versa no Northerner can win without southern votes!!!

This is why Inec us projecting a rerun. From the look of things, everybody will win their zones. It's just unfortunate for Atiku cos kwankwaso will divide the norht with him. And then we have the northern christains and Igbo people.

Whoever middle belt votes massively for will win the election. And as it stands, PO has upper hand there

The lowest obi will get in this state is 96%

[quote author= post=119962696]Obi just arrived Okpara Square Enugu for his campaign watch the crowd that welcomed him through the link below
https://www.facebook.com/1336531132/posts/pfbid0A3QAW7fxU8eR1nCb867hcKrF9uAFp8JSzusQbYRzFH2DLAdxTAGT422qm9wWuh9rl/[/quote]Are you same Anambra first son on Twitter??

Moh247:
When is he going to Zaria or ABU Zaria isn't a University

Fear fear Obi

He will be in KD and you will witness it

Kyase:
Just 5% is required

Who is decieving you nah. You need 25% bros

BEJV:
bros talk true.. Wetin be this? For a whole ruling party... Can you compare it with the population obi got at Ibadan rally? Shame nor just dey catch u

And them pay all these people.

Election go really shock many people

Because next of kin no dey think twice before then withdraw

Latakia:
So na your papa get TVC abi

The same TVC Tinubu came out and said it's not for him during endsars?? Lolz....una no just wise.

They are bringing what Happened in 2021 to front page in 2023. Because PO is involved ��

Once you see Tinubu news agents you go just know immediately

Guyman01:
Why paying taxes to UK if they are not doing business and making money from there?
That is prudent management and knowing when to quit an unprofitable venture.

This struck off happened since 2021 and you are telling us in 2023 as breaking news

No mind them. Mumu people

Abfinest007:
I will say it again and again. all we are doing, is for 2027, not 2023 that has been won by obi already


Delta state and Edo state I can't tell which of these state is more obidient

Delta, Edo, PH, Benue, All eastern states aside ebonyi, ABJ. PO will get 95% votes and above.

Any other thing aside that, then it was rigged.

Mrkumareze:
Many of OBI supporters are just waiting for election day, rally no be our issue. I was 15 minutes away from his Asaba rally but I didn't go cos I have already prepared my pvc for him.

exactly what happened in pH. Alot of people went to work. Some went to shop. There wan no need to visit the stadium. They already know who to vote. My colleagues all are for LP.

id911:
People were so many on the roads so it was impossible for his convoy to drive through. When my Delta PDP friends used to tell me they'll vote Peter Obi, I didn't use to believe them until I saw the passion Deltans exhibited when Obi visited.


The PDP VP Presidential Candidate, Dr.Okowa will find it difficult to win Delta State for Atiku.

. No matter how they try to rig Delta election for presidency. PO will clear it all.

Candidlady:
Chichi 23 years old


Ican never dress like this

Iwont be comfy

Watch perverts salivate over the fourth picture

wait, I don't understand. Do they make money from these nudes ?? Cosss ha

Praktikals:
I dont want my child to be a Liar and thief like Peter Pandora (The lying machine).

Oga Its easy. Just say Amen to the prayer. Leave plenty talk

TimT:
Lolzzzz... Anything God wan talk, we sha no wan hear Tinubu name ooo

I dey tell you.��

Moh247:
Obj endorsed Atiku in 2019 how did it end?!

This isn't 2007 where he rigged Yaradua, or 2011 where he forced Jonathan

At least you remember 2007 and 2011.

DenreleDave:
Is ph so cool like dt? I tot dey said pH is chaotic

Don't let no one decieve you. Oh is a wonderful place to live with lots of opportunities

Nazgul:
When a woman starts pressurizing you for marriage and even offers to foot half of the bills, run for your life. Cos there's something she isn't telling you about herself which you'll end up discovering too late.

this isn't always the case though

sapele914:
Disbursed to who, and for what? Nonsense Pdp Criminals, who have now carried their corrupt tendencies to the porous Labor party.

Go and ask the judge. Na me judge the case.

sapele914:
Obidients no just get sense sha? Doyin Okupe a convicted felon along with the labor party of felonious pdp runaways is history.

Wetin concern Obidients for this talk now?? Common to get sense una no just fit get.

Mumu