AMINDA's Posts
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Why are Tinubu's Northern appointees not speaking up for the President? Or are their voices not loud enough? This is the repercussion of throwing respected Northern voices to the side in favour of lightweights, sycophants and yes-men from the North that are ever ready to sing the mandate song. Their voices don't resonate with Northerners. Now, Tinubu is finding himself increasingly isolated from the North. |
WizardOfNG:Why not start with equity towards the Southeast? Is Tinubu not usurping the turn of the Southeast or does Southern turn only mean Yoruba turn? Southern turn but you all are preventing Igbos from voting in Lagos. P.S: This was Reno Omokri, Tinubu's defacto spokesman today on Twitter.
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professorPABX:Tinubu has surprisingly betrayed all the strong Northerners that could have stood for him. Elrufai, Kashim Imam, Ganduje, even Kashim Shettima. Who is Tinubu relying upon to convince Northerners to now vote for him coupled with the hardship? The lightweight Northern pretenders around him singing "on your mandate we shall stand."? Tinubu had it all, but he fumbled it. So much for a master strategist. |
seunmsg:You mean same way Tinubu asked "where are the cows?" when he was asked to comment on the alleged killing of Yorubas by herdsmen? It's okay for Tinubu to throw his own region under the bus just to secure Northern votes but a sacrilege for Atiku to also pander to his base. Show me a single press release or statement by the person you alleged to be Atiku's consultant that can be directly attributed to Atiku. The days of the Lagos-Ibadan media propaganda superiority are long gone. |
Disinformation. The unethical habit of lifting the opinions of supporters of a candidate from twitter and attributing them to the candidate needs to stop. There are many Yoruba Conservatives on Twitter advocating for Igbos to be banned from voting in the Southwest, no one calls them Tinubu's media aides. Tinubu exploited religion and ran on muslim-muslim ticket in 2023. He wouldn't have done so if religious sentiment is not a factor in winning elections. |
naptu2:Those are just applications for registration and they have not been registered by INEC, just like ADA. They will likely not be registered before 2027. |
seunmsg:Which Southsouthern electorate told you that or are you talking about the governors who have no dog in the fight and are only positioning for 2031? I'm sure real Southsouthern electorates will come on this thread and tell you what the reality is on ground but you can follow the conversations here to hear from the real people. https://www.nairaland.com/8483643/reply-2027-tinubu-taken-over |
seunmsg:Behind the smile, we can see through the fear and trepidation. The governors will need to actually kill to successfully rig Tinubu in the South. Not all of them have the cajones or incentives to go all out and do that for Tinubu like Wike did, especially if it is against Peter Obi. Wike only did it because it was a matter of survival for him. Okowa couldn't even do it for himself as an incumbent governor and vice presidential aspirant in Delta. Tinubu's pathway to re-election are actually slimmer now than they were in 2023 because he has been tested and has not performed to expectations. Unlike 2023, he wouldn't be running on renewed hope and "I built Lagos", he would be running based on his performance. |
seunmsg:Don't forget that the Southsouth and Southeast are familiar with Atiku and have actually voted him multiple times in the past. It's Tinubu who's unpopular, unwanted and actually lost in the South in 2023. The Southeast will never vote Tinubu even at gunpoint. The Northcentral have always been evenly split in ALL elections. Nothing has changed. |
seunmsg:Not on the first ballot because he will lack the spread but he will CERTAINLY get the majority of the votes amongst the 3 candidates (maybe 4 with PDP). This will take the elections into a run-off between Atiku and the first runner-up (Obi or Tinubu). Infact, Just like 2023, Obi will defeat Tinubu in the South if the elections are free and fair but it wouldn't be. Better tell Fayose not to sell the narrative of North vs South in 2027, it will only cost Tinubu his re-election chances. Atiku has a more solid grip on the North than Tinubu does on the South. Forget the governors. |
The prospects of Obi running as a third force is still in play. Unlike 2023, Obi will do damage to Tinubu's Southern bloc votes and the North will no longer rescue him with 5.6m votes. |
Why the focus on just Osun state? Is local government autonomy working in other states? Tinubu only used it as a bargaining chip with the governors. The initial plan was to empower local government chairmen and circumvent the governors for election purposes. The governors apparently pledged to all support him and in return, they get to control the local government funds despite a supreme court ruling. |
Yet, the Federal government removed subsidy to reduce borrowing, and now borrows to reduce the effects of subsidy removal. |
gidgiddy:This is grandstanding and is a disservice to the upcoming generations in the Southeast. Other regions suffer all the vices you stated above but at least they have infrastructure brought about by being in the corridor of power. Rails (think Kaduna-Abuja rail and Lagos-Ibadan rail), roads (think 15 trillion Lagos-Calabar highway), ports (think Lekki deep seaport) and bridges. The igbos are highly industrious, but they mostly thrive outside the Southeast where they utilise these infrastructure even better than the original inhabitants. The SW is increasingly becoming more Conservative and will increasingly become more hostile to the Southeasterners. The best time to be strategic and develop your region for the sake of the young generation is now. No group of individuals no matter how rich can bring that level of development in the SE. You need government funds. This is politics, you won't get what you deserve out of pity but only through politicking and strategic alliance. But do you. |
sleek214:You are correct and you can't blame them. Despite the postulations on social media, every potential Obidient today once voted Atiku/Obi in 2019, so it will be a matter of the lesser evil and familiarity. The ones who wouldn't vote Atiku would rather abstain than vote Tinubu. |
Making this election a battle between North vs South will cost APC dearly. If we are talking sheer numbers, in a 3-horse race with Tinubu, Atiku and Obi in the race, there will be no clear winner on the first ballot. Atiku will sweep the North and have the majority votes amongst the trio but MAY not have the required spread. Obi and Tinubu will slug it out in the South and Tinubu will triumph over Obi but only due to rigging. Tinubu will have the required spread but not the majority votes. Obi will get good numbers but will neither get the spread nor the majority votes. In the end, the elections will go into a run-off between Atiku and Tinubu with whomever Obi endorses becoming President. Tinubu has no answers for a coalition ticket having Atiku and Obi on a single ticket. |
Fayose is certainly on Nairaland. He is right though, PDP is dead. |
Demolaeby:Lol. Agbadorians sef. Is it paranoia or what? You all sound pathetic with this line. Since Kwankwaso, Aregbe, Obi, Atiku and Elrufai are all working for Tinubu, why not we just call the election and declare Tinubu reelected? |
The APC will end up expending a lot of money to keep doing this in all parties but they are barking at the wrong tree. In the meantime, the game changers and real master strategists in the coalition continue to strategise. Meanwhile, Tinubu is still struggling to fill the crater created by Elrufai's exit from the APC. Kwankwaso has likely played Tinubu yet again by having him sack Ganduje just to solidify his base. Now Tinubu is left with no Kwankwaso and no Ganduje. APC members in Kano are already feeling betrayed hence the decamping you keep seeing. |
oyeb15:That singular action has become Tinubu's albatross in the North. No Northern leader with ambition trusts him after that and the Northern electorates see him as a betrayer who doesn't keep his words. In the end, he gained nothing from that action but lost a lot. |
Lol. You can keep clutching at straws to keep yourself happy. I know how disappointing it must be. Don't worry, Kwankwaso is still negotiating with Tinubu. He just need more concessions and Tinubu will grant it. If the deal fails, Kwankwaso cannot split Northern votes like you would think. If he runs solo, he can't best his 2023 numbers and it will still be restricted to only Kano. It is in APC's best interest to stop the open disrespect of Kashim Shettima. It could also be that Kwankwaso has played Tinubu yet again by having him sack Ganduje just to solidify his base. Now Tinubu is left with no Kwankwaso and no Ganduje. APC members in Kano are already feeling betrayed hence the decamping you keep seeing. |
Goes to Benue and shifts responsibility on security to the governor. Removes subsidy, devalues the currency, and then shifts responsibility to the governors. Rinse and repeat. |
joeyswift:would you be saying this if Kwankwaso had decamped to APC yesterday? Oya, now tell us how irrelevant Kwankwaso has become. How is Tinubu fairer than Buhari when Buhari shared appointments across the North (Northwest, Northeast and North Central) but Tinubu is only focused on the Southwest and Yoruba speaking parts of the North Central? Are you one if those who suddenly remembers that the North is one when it concerns appointments? |
Nothing to see here. Tinubu and betrayal of allies are like 5 and 6. He's the master of use and dump. Tinubu and his vendetta for any businessman or captain of industry who dares to do anything for opposition figures is simply pathetic. Its the main reason why he raided Dangote's headquarters on allegation of dollar racketeering and sought to kill his refinery until Dangote "succumbed" and became his sycophant. It was also why he had problems with Sanwo-olu on fictitious allegations that he funded Atiku. Tinubu is an authoritarian who lives in morbid fear of opposition. |
Story for the gods. The Abuja-Kaduna-Kano Road that Kwankwaso referenced was started by Buhari with the Kaduna-Kano section 90% completed and completion date for the entire stretch due by 2024. Umahi resumed as Works Minister and immediately revoked the contract from Julius Berger sighting project variation which was as a result of Tinubu's ill-timed currency devaluation. He then awarded it to an obscure Infiouest construction company that nobody has ever heard about for almost the same amount requested by Julius Berger. Work has since stopped on the stretch with all concentration on the 15 trillion Lagos-Calabar coastal road (Lagos section only). Kwankwaso is right. |
ChiefOloye:Yes, they did but Tinubu is also culpable due to long held grudge against Elrufai. They began their 2031 campaign from day one and damaged Tinubu's reputation in the North. Now, Femi Gbaja has fallen out of favour with Tinubu and Ribadu is clearly too lightweight to succeed Tinubu in the North. He can't even win a gubernatorial primary against a woman in his state, but he wants to use federal power to fight all his adversaries. Northerners won't vote Ribadu in 2031 even if he's the only candidate on the ballot. |
APC is even more bothered about Obi being in the coalition than even diehard Obidients. Obi took them unawares because plans had already been perfected on how to neutralize him in the labour party and brazenly rig him out. It's similar to how Atiku left the PDP for Wike when the strategy was to fight him in the PDP and have Seyi Makinde win the ticket and then endorse BAT. Now, the compromised PDP and APC are confused on how to contain Obi and Atiku. |
Tinubu is already laying the groundwork for Akpabio's neutralisation by having his man, Bamidele fight him in the Senate. Only the naïve are unaware of that. IF Tinubu wins his reelection bid, he will cut off and neutralize all the powerbrokers with ambitions or aspirations in favour of his own puppets whom he will prop up to succeed him. The likes of Wike would also be dropped and disgraced. Kwankwaso saw all these in advance and applied his number six. But before doing so, he embarrassed Tinubu by having him drop Ganduje and getting him to come to Kano to bend the knee. You gotta love Jagora! |
RichBoy247:Isn't your list of people who purportedly betrayed Tinubu getting too much? You forgot Fayemi, Sanwo-olu, Ambode, etc. You know there's an adage that says "if everyone around is crazy, maybe you are the one that's insane". |
richiemcgold:Is Akpabio not taking dressings from the body language of Tinubu. Ditto Wike. Or is it only Tinubu that has the monopoly of high-handedness? Tinubu is already laying the groundwork for Akpabio's neutralisation by having his man, Bamidele fight him in the Senate. But Akpabio is not a pushover. |
richiemcgold:Isn't that Tinubu's style? To use and dump. Only the naïve are unaware of that. IF Tinubu wins his reelection bid, he will cut off and neutralize all the powerbrokers with ambitions or aspirations in favour of his own puppets whom he will prop up to succeed him. The likes of Wike would also be dropped and disgraced. Kwankwaso saw all these in advance and applied his number six. But before doing so, he embarrassed Tinubu by having him drop Ganduje and getting him to come to Kano to bend the knee. You gotta love Jagora! |
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