₦airaland Forum

fergie001:
This statement coming from her is very unfortunate.

What will now happen to the Yorubas opposing Tinubu?

Very unfortunate. The Igbos have always voted in a "one-way traffic" every single election and at the end of the day, they are left with nothing because they always back the wrong horse. No other region votes this way.

P.S: Account is likely a parody. That's not Chimamanda Adichie.

Like a little child saying, "Hey everyone, see how unbothered I am". If you have to release a press statement to say you're not bothered, then you're bothered as hell.

Svoboda:
Tinubu created his own downfall with his arrogance and hubris. I am even surprised. I expected a humble tinubu right after he won president considering that more votes were cast against him than for him in2023.

I believe he is seeing the handwriting on the wall. The worst part is that he has allowed his appointees from the south blame Buhari for everything bad about his govt.

I actually expected more.

Exactly. Now, the Yorubas are playing the victim. After winning with 5.6m Northern votes out of his total 8.3m, one would expect him to be more humble until at least, a second term is secured. But he chose to believe his own hype that is backed by nothing. Where are his Northern allies in 2023 who helped campaign for his election at great personal costs to their brand? Where is Elrufai? Where is Ganduje? Where is Kashim Imam? Where soon will be Kashim Shettima? All cast aside and betrayed. The story is even worse when you look at the people he has cast aside in the Southwest. Story for another day.

Old news. This appointment was made while he was still Chairman of APC. Tinubu sacrificed Ganduje for Kwankwaso and now Kwankwaso is having second thoughts about joining APC. Goes to show that the master strategist is willing to throw anyone and everyone under the bus to actualize his own inordinate ambition.

Adaisback:
that girl is not igbo and she is not obidient. Mikano boys are out now. All of them have activated their nairaland account again, many of them are here to confuse us in the name of obidient but we true obidients knows ourselves

Better tell Obi to decamp out of the ADC now if he expects to be handed over the ticket on a plate, because it won't happen. If Obi cannot face Atiku, Amaechi and others in a primary, how can he defeat Tinubu in the general election? Would he also pull out of the election because he fears that Tinubu will "buy" the voters? Tell Obi to decamp now or be prepared to vote Tinubu in the general election. Either outcome is welcome. Obidients didn't even know Obi was part of the coalition until 24 hours before unveiling. The coalition has been making buzz long before that. His presence is just an added bonus.

Every businessman and politician has since discovered that the fastest way to get Tinubu's favour and attention is to be patronising to him. Thats why you find them naming monuments after him. Tinubu has low self-esteem and suffers from chronic megalomania. He's like the proverbial king who has no clothes on but has no one to tell him.

Just take a look at Bayo Onanuga celebrating a newspaper advertisement after the government tried unsuccessfully to wreck him. They'll soon include it as one of Tinubu's achievements.

Chidibe212:
El rufai will possibly or probably Deputize Peter Obi in 2031.

Moreso, he will even be given a ministerial Postion or a higher position WHEN ADC wins this 2027 election

So how can Tinubu or APC buy him back?

@AMINDA what do you think also?

Yes. This is very realistic. Both Elrufai and Obi have the advantage of youth. They can afford to play the long but strategic game. Afterall, Tinubu did the same by making Osinbajo VP to Buhari while he waited for his turn. Just as the North repaid Tinubu by voting massively for him against their son Atiku, they would do the same by voting Obi if they get the support of the Southeast. The North remembers and they are not betrayers.

Didijiji:
Elrufai sold Tinubu to the north in 2023

In 2027 he will buy him back

Fear Mallam Nasir Elrufai

Anyone who disputes this will learn the hard way in 2027. Tinubu lost his re-election bid when he betrayed Elrufai and let him leave the APC.

helinues:
So Atiku will only serve 4 years ? How will you sell Atiku presidency in Southern part of Nigeria most especially in South West and South South in 2027?

What new thing would Atiku be bringing to make the difference? Return subsidy payment?

Give it a rest already. Atiku does not need votes fron the Southwest and Southsouth. Minus Tinubu's 5.6m Northern votes in 2023, how many votes did he get in the South? Tinubu is unpopular even in the South, hence why APC handles like yours are getting worked up. Atiku will sweep the North clean including most of that 5.6m votes.

Southsouth is positioning for VP in 2031 under APC, and that's why their governors are decamping to APC. Obi deputising Atiku will at least ensure the Southeast has one foot in the Villa. What will Tinubu offer the Southeast that can surpass that? Just the phantom victory of claiming "Southern Presidency" which we all know is just Yoruba Presidency and strictly for Yorubas? Allow every region to make the political calculation that will favour it. Politics is not an emotional sport.

seunmsg:
Why do you need 97 lawyers to defend a fake lawsuit? That’s quite ironic to me. Shows they are scared of something somewhere.

Why did Tinubu hire more than 20 SANS to defend his Chicago State University scandal? Was he scared of something? These lawyers are rendering the service pro bono.

Babachir Lawal is right. APC's strategy of scattering all opposition parties has turned out to be a blessing in disguise for the ADC. No one is even talking about the PDP nor Labour anymore. As things stand, no political party is even stable enough to be a third force. So much for being a master strategist.

Why is everyone using this redundant line as a talking point against the coalition? It's not effective. So, should new politicians be downloaded from the internet? Nigerians are willing to go back to their state of well-being in both Jonathan's and Buhari’s tenures

Plot twist. Tinubu is working for coalition. Allegedly.

This Emirship debacle is one of the reasons why Tinubu lost Northern votes. It is just bad optics for a Yoruba-led federal government to be using federal might to interfer in a chieftaincy matter that is constitutionally a local government affair. Northerners will retaliate once they gain power.

Plot twist. Tinubu is working for coalition. Allegedly.

danvon:
It has already happened before and it failed against Buhari.

That was when PDP was still worth something.

Tinubu is not Buhari! Buhari has 12m organic voters that would follow him to the ends of the earth and back, how many organic voters does Tinubu have even in his Southwest? Northerners gave him 5.6m out of his total 8.3m votes in 2023. Atiku/Obi pulled 11m votes against Buhari. Do the maths!

In 2023, the North gave Tinubu 5.6m votes, gave Atiku 6.9m votes and gave Kwankwaso 1.4m votes. These are all presumed to be Northern Muslim votes because the Christians in the North voted Obi. You can see that when it comes to sheer numbers, the North has the advantage but that doesn't mean Northerners alone can make someone a president.

Tinubu has lost a huge chunk of his Northern votes to Atiku so Atiku is set to pull better numbers this time than all 3 candidates although without Obi, he may not get the constitutional spread. On the other hand, it is hard to tell if Obi's Northern Christian votes are still intact. It's also hard to tell whether Obi's Southsouth votes are still intact with the decamping of virtually all the Southsouthern governors.

Even if Obi decamps and contests as a stand-alone candidate, his Southeastern voting bloc may be splitted between realistic Obidients like this Op who would want to hedge on the VP slot and die-hard Obidients. Despite all their threats, Obidients won’t be voting Tinubu. They would rather boycott the election leading to voter apathy.

Mynd44:
Does Peter Obi's supporters think they can win without Atiku? This goes both ways.

There has to be true and honest discussion between them else, it will be over quickly

Atiku supporters and Obi's supporters forget they are going against an incumbent who understands politics. Ask Saraki how his "defiance" ended.

Even with their strongest team of Atiku as candidate and Obi as running mate, it will still be difficult to defeat Tinubu they are still fighting.

In 2023, the North gave Tinubu 5.6m votes, gave Atiku 6.9m votes and gave Kwankwaso 1.4m votes. These are all presumed to be Northern Muslim votes because the Christians in the North voted Obi. You can see that when it comes to sheer numbers, the North has the advantage but that doesn't mean Northerners alone can make someone a president.

Tinubu has lost a huge chunk of his Northern votes to Atiku so Atiku is set to pull better numbers this time although without Obi, he may not get the constitutional spread. On the other hand, it is hard to tell if Obi's Northern Christian votes are still intact. It's also hard to tell whether Obi's Southsouth votes are still intact with the decamping of virtually all the Southsouthern governors.

Even if Obi decamps and contests as a stand-alone candidate, his Southeastern voting bloc may be splitted between realistic Southeasterners who would want to hedge on the VP slot and die-hard Obidients. Despite all their threats, they won’t be voting Tinubu. They would rather boycott the election leading to voter apathy.

No one would step down for anyone. All aspirants would subject themselves to primaries. As popular as Buhari was in 2015 with his 12m supporters, he subjected himself to APC primaries. If Obi can't face Atiku in a primary, how does he intend to face Tinubu in the general election?

Obidients should take it easy. It's always pragmatic to manage expectations in order not to be disappointed. We all know the Southeast deserves the presidency and no better candidate than Obi right now from the South but there are Nigerians in other parts of the country as well who may not think so. Obi may need to do more to introduce himself to the North and warm himself into their hearts, but outright demand won't cut it.

Contrary to Obidients thinking he has the largest bloc of votes, he doesn't. In 2023, the North gave Tinubu 5.6m votes, gave Atiku 6.9m votes and gave Kwankwaso 1.4m votes. These are all presumed to be Northern Muslim votes because the Christians in the North voted Obi. You can see that when it comes to sheer numbers, the North has the advantage but that doesn't mean Northerners alone can make someone a president.

Hence why the essence of this coalition is to bring two collusus from both regions together to have that much needed handshake across the Niger in order to remove the government in power. It won't be done via threats nor outright demand but by negotiations, mutual respect, and political horsetrading. Threatening the North to vote Tinubu, if otherwise, is not really the threat they think it is. There are already Northern politicians waiting patiently to succeed Tinubu in 2031, and they will try to work for his re-election. The North never puts all its political eggs in one basket. Can't say the same for the East.

press9jatv:
What's the fate of Peter Obi and Atiku followers here. Nawaoooo

Ironic that it takes an Ajibola Bashiru from Iragbiji, Osun State to say that the North is still behind Tinubu. Why aren't Tinubu's loyalists in the North loudly and openly canvassing for him? His disgraceful and treacherous treatment of his erstwhile Northern allies like Elrufai and Ganduje has come back full cycle to haunt him. No influential Northerner with ambition will put their neck on the line for Tinubu in 2027. It's also why Kwankwaso is hesitating to join the APC.

Mind games. APC are scared. Their only option is to scuttle the ADC to allow Tinubu run unopposed.

Adaisback:
what are you even saying? You should be praying that Atiku should contest alone coz that's what will make many obidients and even Nigerians to vote for tinubu

You Obidients should take it easy. It's always pragmatic to manage expectations in order not to be disappointed. We all know the Southeast deserves the presidency and no better candidate than Obi right now from the South but there are Nigerians in other parts of the country as well who may not think so. Obi may need to do more to introduce himself to the North but outright demand won't cut it.

Contrary to you thinking Obi has the largest bloc of votes, he doesn't. In 2023, the North gave Tinubu 5.6m votes, gave Atiku 6.9m votes and gave Kwankwaso 1.4m votes. These are all presumed to be Northern Muslim votes because the Christians in the North voted Obi. You can see that when it comes to sheer numbers, the North has the advantage but that doesn't mean Northerners alone can make someone a president.

Hence why the essence of this coalition is to bring two collusus from both regions together to have that much needed handshake across the Niger in order to remove the government in power. It won't be done via threats nor outright demand but by negotiations, mutual respect, and political horsetrading. Threatening the North to vote Tinubu, if otherwise, is not really the threat that you think it is. There are already Northern politicians waiting patiently to succeed Tinubu in 2031, and they will try to work for his re-election. The North never puts all its political eggs in one basket. I can't say the same for the East.

Tinubu should just throw in the towel and go home. It's over!

The ADC will be a very formidable opposition party even in Tinubu’s Southwest.

Afonjacoward (what a username), your link is broken. Fix it.

Lol. APC is really struggling to put together a convincing narrative for Tinubu's re-election campaign. The man was only banking on destroying all opposition parties and running unopposed.

Can't say about spread but Atiku will get at least 10 million votes across the Northern states if he's on the ballot. Forget the noise. Tinubu has lost a huge chunk of his 5.6m Northern votes in 2023 to Atiku. He has to find a way to make up for that in the South. Even if Obi contests separately in a three-horse race, Tinubu would come third in a free and fair election. He can only come second if he rigs out Obi in the South. Men lie, women lie but numbers don't.

Freshtruth:
Tinibu. Has already project kwankwaso as is next vice. So Adc should forget Kano state

Same way you were told that Adeleke has decamped to APC right? That's APC propaganda on overdrive. Kwankwaso has rejected Tinubu's pleas to become his Vice despite the sacking of Ganduje. On the other hand, the damage has already been done on his relationship with Shettima. Tinubu has no pathway to re-election. He would even come third in 3-horse race.

owobokiri:
Why does Wike feel this inordinate need to be the defender and fighter of Tinubus presidency?
Not like he is the Minister of information or the Presidents Chief press Secretary. Why is he fighting everybody and attacking both real and perceived enemies of Tinubu? Is he the only Minister there? Why is he always disturbing the airwaves with his crocodile growls? Na only him them don make Minister before!?

He's the one who stands the most to lose. First because of the number of enemies he has made and also because of his illegally amassed possessions like the latest Abuja lands saga.

Elrufai was speaking scientifically when he said the President had a disapproval rating of close to 90%, the worst ever by a President in the country's history. Meticulous politicians always run the simulations and then place their stakes. Men lie, women lie but numbers don't. "The guy is gone!" - MNAE.

His last remaining strategy was to suppress every opposition party and run unopposed but that has blown in his face with the unveiling of the ADC.

After buying off all the Southsouthern governors, Tinubu is already working on causing voter apathy in the East by releasing Nnamdi Kanu. So where would Obi's bloc votes come from? If Nnamdi Kanu reaches a deal with the FG to start threatening "No referendum, no election". Can any Easterner dare him enough to come out to vote? Can Obi defend his votes in Southsouth? If yes, Tinubu would not have succeeded in declaring a State of Emergency in Rivers and getting away with it. Tinubu won't try it in the North.

Saying this on a pulpit is wild. Wike is now acting like a cornered rat. The emergence of the ADC and the fact that key players kept the details secret until the final moments was something that Wike and the APC never saw coming. Wike is now on the defensive. His use as a wild card in the PDP is now redundant. Tinubu will now give him an ultimatum to fully defect to the APC or be fired as minister.

This one is just running Nigeria like his personal enterprise. No accountability. No transparency.