₦airaland Forum

FatimaAbubakar:
Atiku is a greedy fellow. Obi/Kwankwaso or nothing.

It is time Obidients face Tinubu and cease attacks on Atiku. They may still stand to benefit from Atiku’s voting bloc. This is politics. For all we know, this defection may be yet another strategy of the coalition.

Elrufai, the Genius and original Master strategist to the Master tragedist already said in an interview 8 months ago that 2027 will be a three-horse race and will go into a run-off in the worst case scenario. The truth is that, everything will depend on momentum. If the OK ticket builds enough momentum, Tinubu will not have it easy in the South. If he sticks with the muslim-muslim ticket, his little gains in the Christian middlebelt will be eroded and Obi will benefit. If he replaces Shettima, he risks the ire of the Muslim North. Tinubu's best shot is for Obi not to be on the ballot at all. Otherwise, his only pathway will lie in the North, just like in 2023.

The truth is that, everything will depend on momentum. If the OK ticket builds enough momentum, Tinubu will not have it easy in the South. If he sticks with the muslim-muslim ticket, his little gains in the Christian middlebelt will be eroded and Obi will benefit. If he replaces Shettima, he risks the ire of the Muslim North. Tinubu's best shot is for Obi not to be on the ballot at all. Otherwise, his only pathway will lie in the North, just like in 2023.

Kdon2:
You seems to have comprehension problem. Work on it. Don't just jump on thread. Maybe you should search for the video yourself to confirm the sequence of event not just emotional display.

Here's the video. Obi and his Obidients are more excited about the OK ticket than Kwankwaso is. That alone says a lot.

Kwankwaso Dragged The Party Card

Kwankwaso Dragged The Cap From Obi

Kwankwaso’s Body Language

Omo Generational Lesson!!! pic.twitter.com/p8CAG19RZs

— Dr Alhaji Kowope Cole 🇳🇬🇸🇸 (@Magixlamy_) May 4, 2026

seunmsg:
Including the cap. He quickly hijacked the card and also dragged the first cap. Kwakwanso’s body language is not encouraging at all.

That primaries Obi is running away from, he must undergo it in the NDC. Kwankwaso will insist on primaries as stipulated by the electoral act. Obi does not know what he has gotten himself into.

HAD TO ZOOM!!!

YOU PEOPLE WILL LEARN

PULLED THE FUCKING CAP AWAY FROM HIM pic.twitter.com/K2GEm745jV

— Dr Alhaji Kowope Cole 🇳🇬🇸🇸 (@Magixlamy_) May 4, 2026

WizardOfNG:
Now you are talking. Quit messing around with Fulani born-to-rule supremacists you have been worshipping (Atiku, Malami etal) and embrace Tinubu and Yorubas that reality and history factually confirms are your partners in progress.

It is time you people drop your egos and begin thinking of your generations unborn.

I am watching good Morning Nigeria on NTA right now and I urge Nairalanders to tune in right now.

Loads of intelligent and knowledgeable expert, from all ethnicity and region, talking about the power sector. Engineers etal.

They all recognise the huge challenge lack of liquidity, due to non cost-reflective tariffs, is causing.

Every single one of these experts is giving credit to Tinubu, for his effort to tackle issues holistically, as the President who has a truly workable and well-structured path forward for our power sector.

Once we arrive Nairaland, the narrative is skewed by folks like you who should know better yet cannot rise above sentiments and emotion.

You will begin calling Adelabu names pandering to the functional illiteracy of most folks here even as you are educated enough to work out the obvious.

If you truly care to see a great Nigeria and SE then start by rejecting the prejudices, sentiments and biases preventing you seeing and saying the truth.

When will you lot accept that opposition is not an attack on your region? Was Tinubu not in opposition for over 14 years before becoming president? Must all Northerners and indeed, all Nigerians support Tinubu? Enough Northerners already support Tinubu. He got 5.6m votes in the North, far larger than he got in the South. All Northern governors are also in the APC. But it will be foolhardy for you lot to think Tinubu will cease to be opposed under a democracy. Even Makinde and Adeleke from the SW oppose Tinubu and justifiably so because Tinubu also opposed Obasanjo. Grow up please and tell Tinubu to stop stifling, incarcerating and intimidating opposition figures. That's not democracy. It is this high-handedness and intimidation that is fast eroding his Northern base.

ufotunang:
... kwankwaso is not selfish like Atiku... kwankwaso knows that it's the turn of the south..obi and kwankwaso had already had a meeting together and discussed and kwankwaso have agreed with Peter Obi.. that is why they are mingling and moving together...kwankwaso will contest for president in 2031 when it's the turn of the north

Kwankwaso contested the 2023 presidential elections after 8 years of Buhari. Then, he refused every overtures to deputise Obi. Pray tell, at what point did he realise that it was the turn of the South?

tishbite41:
We don hear
But let me tell you this for free, Atiku is one of the Fulani supremacists who don't want the Igbos to rule
He has been an enemy of the SE
The real truth is that Wike is the nemesis of Atiku, not Peter Obi

Atiku has contested the presidential elections three times. First time he chose Ben Obi as Vice. Second time he chose Peter Obi as Vice. Third time he chose Ifeanyi Okowa as Vice. When did Atiku become an enemy of the East? Well, we will be here when you lot will come back to declare Kwankwaso an enemy of the Southeast. Until emotions are removed from national politics, we will continue to go round in circles, arriving at the same point.

Mrexcell:
The vp position is almost worthless i don't think the south east needs it they will keep fighting with dignity to get the ultimate price in the land no matter how difficult it gets that's the only noble and reasonable thing to be doing right now instead of allowing themselves to be used by desperate corrupt politicians who actually have no future solid plans for them but only themselves, family and fellow political associates.

No, the VP is almost always a ladder to the presidency. In 1999, Atiku, a northerner was VP to Obasanjo and the North became president. Goodluck Jonathan, a Southsoutherner was VP to Yar'adua and the SS became president. Osinbajo was VP to Buhari and the Southwest became president. Shettima is now VP to Tinubu and power is set to head North. These patterns are to real to be coincidences. As at today, the Southeast has no pathway to presidency that does not involve going through the VP route. This is why it will be politically wise for the SE to fully back Tinubu in 2027 to stand a chance at being the VP in 2031. Leave the emotions aside and quit the superiority politics already. The upcoming generation of the East will thank you for it.

SeeWahala:
You borrowed and chop all those loans I and my southeastern brothers and sisters will be paying . . . Yes, I agree 👍

We will join you and your own descendants to be paying back those your loans which did absolutely nothing to reduce the poverty rate or increase the health indices in your region

you keep boasting of cornering and eating all the yams but at the end of the day it's still you and your people begging at every junction on the country and looking malnourished more then even those you stole food from

PDP/ADC is dead 🤗 and the burial is being televised for all to see and enjoy

That wasn't an insult. Just a hard reality check but I know that will be your comeback. Respect to the enterprising spirit of the Igbos but no matter how many Obi Cubanas they are in the SE and how many individual road projects they embark upon in the East, it won't amount to the scale and opportunities that a Lagos coastal road will bring, or a rebuilt Carter bridge, or a renovated airport or seaport, etc. It's time to quit these emotional politics and play politics to win. The Southeastern children yet unborn will thank you for it. Let them have the opportunity to live and thrive in their own region with dignity and respect. This has to happen sooner or later. Goodbye.

Mrexcell:
The south east has absolutely nothing to gain by voting tinibu next year tinibu already had an agreement with buhari before both even formed the apc so even if the south east massively voted for buhari in 2015 no one would have still expected a narcissist and selfish tinibu to step down for a south east politician to get the apc presidential ticket in 2023. Tinibu has earlier told u his mentees that power is isn't served on a plate to anyone but taken yet u are still here arguing of waiting to be served this means u are not even a real tinibu follower sef?

No, they do. In order to give the likes of Uzodinma and Umahi a short at VP in 2031, the Southeast must vote enmass for Tinubu in 2027 or watch that slot go to Wike, Akpabio or someone from the SS if they deliver. That's how politics at the national level is played. The SE does not have a pathway to the presidency without going through the VP route. 2027 will have been the fastest and most potent opportunity like it was for the Southwest in 2015 but the SE failed to take it. Politics is not an emotional sport.

SeeWahala:


You see the issue we have with all of you who still do CHOP - I - CHOP politics in Nigeria you feel Peter Obi wants to join you and follow the old ways of supporting whatever will bring goodness to just only his own region or household while neglecting the rest of the nation that's selfish politics and it is not what Peter Obi is all about

If you haven't figured that out by now then tell me so I carry a bigger bucket and more towels for your tears to not drench the ground we are managing to stand on 🤗

Don't worry, keep being emotional in the amalgamated entity that is Nigeria. Southeastern children yet unborn will be exempted from paying the loans that are being used to build Lagos coastal road and Sokoto-Badagry.

yaroyaro619:
Only God will judge Atiku for his hatred for Igbos

What about Amaechi? Should he also have stepped down and supported Obi? Keep bandying the word hatred around. If everyone seems to hate you, maybe it's time for self-introspection. Kwankwaso will insist for primaries to be conducted in the NDC. Just wait and see. Obi was told long before he joined that zoning was not on the table. He can't claim to have been lied to.

SeeWahala:
Well, from the way you've been crying, wailing and gnashing teeth all over nairaland since yesterday one can actually argue with certainty that it is YOU who Peter Obi has left in ADC holding the alleged "short end of the stick"

Not exactly. You can argue about individuals but when you talk about regional interests, the North is currently VP to Tinubu from the SW, and power will head North in 2031. The North also voted Tinubu and gave him 5.6m votes. Just before Tinubu, Buhari was president for 8 years, just as Osinbajo from the SW was VP. Like I said, remove the individuals from the equation, the only question that matters at the end of the day is, "what's in it for my region?". If all you care about is teaching Atiku a lesson, then I can't help it. Atiku is just one old man and a former VP too.

Mrexcell:
Every sane nigerian already knows kwankwaso will only get less than 2m votes from kano and the rest of the nw if he goes ahead to win the ndc party ticket because of the current sentiments of
zoning between the north and the south nigeria is operating. Nobody will freely give the south east the presidency without fighting for it Obi already knows this that's why he is fighting to get it all those useless advice for the south east to align and massively vote for the ruling party so that they will later be rewarded with the presidency are just nothing but political deception to get free votes, igbo politicians like orji kalu, uzodinma, rochas, umahi etc that has worked against the political interests of the igbos for the apc over the years why haven't they been rewarded with the presidency?

All the efforts of those men you cited have all been in vain because the Southeast voters have refused to vote for the party. Has the SE ever voted APC in the presidential elections? Tinubu was also a regional champion and opposition leader in the Southwest but it wasn't until he convinced his people to back Buhari under the newly formed APC that he became president. At the time, the SE was calling APC a Yoruba party and even voted out Ngige who would have become Senate President. Playing national politics is a different game entirely. Voting in protest without an alliance with any of the two regions will amount to a waste. Nothing emotional about it. Right now, it will pay the Southeast more to fully back Tinubu's re-election.

Peter Obi went with respected Southeastern leaders like Abaribe, etc to an elaborate event in Enugu to declare for the ADC. He has now left without a little care for any of those men or their political ambitions and the collective interest of the Southeast. That is not how to lead. I now understand the likes of Alex Otti and Obaze better. Even Zubby Michael who joined the ADC a few weeks ago was placed in the dark and has now been left with the short-end of the stick.

tishbite41:
Everywhere don blur for Atikulates

I hope you guys are in to actually win the election this time and not just to purportedly teach Atiku a lesson? Last time, the goal was to win Lagos, it seems the goal this time will be to make Atiku cry. Meanwhile, the North and the Southwest continue to rotate power between themselves and amass loans for projects sited in both regions that the Southeast will contribute in paying. When will the Southeast actually play politics to win? Genuine question.

aswani:
I am not talking about President Tinubu and El Rufai's relationship, I am talking about the hatred and name calling that Obidients have for Northern politicians like El Rufai and how that one suddenly attained Sainthood in their eyes when Peter Obí joined ADC.

Also, El Rufai failed the security clearance, or whatever the correct them is, and that is not President Tinubu's fault. He was put forward by him for an appointment so the bitter poisoned dwarf can blame himself and his antecedents as governor of Kaduna state for his fall from grace.

Without prompting he opened his mouth to start indicating himself about bugging people and hopefully his sting in custody humbles him a bit.

Indeed. Elrufai failed the security clearance under Tinubu's rubberstamp national assembly but Bello Matawalle, Yahaya Bello and Okowa did not. Indeed, cowards die a thousand times before their deaths. Elrufai is unbreakable and scores will be settled as long as time tarries.

SlavaUkraini:
Bros this one sounds like conspiracy theory

But then again what is Obi afraid of in contesting Primaries ?

But I don't see any Primaries taking place here.

Obi will be the Flag bearer and Kwankwaso will be the VP candidate

If they lose to Tinubu, in 4 years time, Kwankwaso will be the Presidential Flag bearer and Obi will be the VP candidate...

That should be their understanding...

If Kwankwaso has no qualms throwing Atiku and all other senior coalition members that went to Kano to personally receive him, under the bus by leaving in just 6 weeks, is it Peter Obi he will now be loyal to? Don't forget he held series of meetings with Tinubu just before Abba defected. He was set to become Tinubu's Vice but apparently Tinubu had other plans on how to utilise him. Obi might have just set the Southeast back politically by a few years.

aswani:
You are joking right, you know Obidients don't care about that!

Did you not see them hailing El Rufai when their Oga joined ADC?

Kwankwaso will still collect from them, you just watch.

Is it the same Elrufai that Tinubu begged in Kaduna and took to Chatham house to help him answer questions that you're referring to? Same Elrufai that made Tinubu president? This same Elrufai that Tinubu has now illegally incarcerated due to fear and cowardice? Go ask Tinubu about Elrufai's capacity.

Fake news. Where is the link?

Watch the body language of Kwankwaso. He might insist on contesting the NDC primaries with Obi. Kwankwaso has nothing to lose. He has probably struck a deal with Tinubu. That's why he has Abba Kabir in the APC for insurance purposes. Obidients appear to be more excited about the OK ticket than Kwankwaso is. Lessons!

Kwankwaso Dragged The Party Card

Kwankwaso Dragged The Cap From Obi

Kwankwaso’s Body Language

Omo Generational Lesson!!! pic.twitter.com/p8CAG19RZs

— Dr Alhaji Kowope Cole 🇳🇬🇸🇸 (@Magixlamy_) May 4, 2026

seunmsg:
We can all see that Peter Obi is the one paying that jobless former mayor. It was Gutterman in 2023, Mike Arnold is the foreign lackey in 2026/2027. Same shit, different toilet, same outcome.

Mike Arnold became known to Nigerians when Ribadu and Reno Omokri packaged him to Nigeria to come say there was no Christian genocide. Nigerians never paid notice to him until he called them both out for having lied to him. He also dropped proofs.

DoTheNeedful:
You forgot that he ran on the structure of PDP, which is no longer viable. Some of those governors worked for Atiku too. There is not way Atiku would win Osun again or any of the SS states. SS was like the spiritual home of PDP.

That said, I don't see ADC on the ballot in 2027.

So why did the Structure of PDP vote for Atiku when they knew it was the turn of the South? Is Atiku now in the APC? Can you see how your argument falls flat on its face? Despite Seyi Makinde's revolt against Atiku, Atiku got over 180k votes in Oyo state.

DoTheNeedful:
That is my personal opinion. I have never been against Obi's presidency, even in 2022. I am not speaking for other Tinubu supporters. I have posted it multiple times on this forum that Tinubu is serving a term that should go to South East.

However, I am strongly against the Northern arrogance in Nigerian politics. Atiku's lack of respect for zoning is emblematic of that arrogance.

Atiku won Akpabio's Akwa Ibom, Goodluck Jonathan's Bayelsa and Adeleke's Osun state in 2023 just after 8 years of Buhari’s presidency. Even Wike very nearly became his Vice until he chose Okowa. Maybe you should have reminded the people that voted for him in those states that it was the turn of the South.

SmartPolician:
Many young people may not like Tinubu, but we have so much to learn from his foray in politics. In 2015, Tinubu stepped aside for Buhari to become president and waited for 8 years. He even spent so much to make sure Buhari won the APC primary ticket.

The politicians we have today are too intolerant to support one person and this has led to fragmentation that will give Tinubu an easy victory.

A better show of his political prowess was to have been bold in facing his opponents at the polls instead of using the courts, incarceration and intimidation to force his way into power. That's reminiscent of Sani Abacha, not master strategy.

DoTheNeedful:
For some of us in the South, checking the North is more of priority. I am perfectly fine with Obi's presidency.

We hear you. After 8 years of Obasanjo as President and 8 years of Osinbajo as Vice, Tinubu had no business contesting against Obi in 2023. Its the turn of the South but your man Friday is disenfranchising Obi in whatever political party he goes. Is Obi not Southern enough to contest against him?

DoTheNeedful:
That is fine! I am not against Obi's presidency. I am not one of those APC supporters who hate Obi. Tinubu vs Obi is my dream match-up so that I am happy with anyone. It is the turn of the South.

My earlier fear about Obi was being a stepping stone to a Northern presidency.

Yes, but which part of the South? After 8 years of Obasanjo as President and 8 years of Osinbajo as Vice, Tinubu had no business contesting against Obi in 2023. Its the turn of the South but your man Friday is disenfranchising Obi in whatever political party he goes. Is Obi not Southern enough to contest against him?

DoTheNeedful:
Implosion is better than not being on the ballot. ADC will not be on the ballot next year. Mark this!

Then Tinubi will have rolled back all the advantages that a three-horse race bestows on him. Obidients should be careful with their messaging and how they throw invectives at Atiku. They might still need to rely on his voting bloc.

DoTheNeedful:
Without Obi, Atiku can never be president. Obi's and Kwankwaso's exit from ADC is a big blow. Those two added a lot of steam to ADC. I don't see anything that can excite anyone about an 80-year-old Atiku.

Besides, ADC have many serious legal landmines ahead of them. They would need a lot of luck to scale through unscathed. Any serious politician with ambition would not stay in ADC any longer.

I strongly believe that the David Mark's faction will not be on ballot next year. Heaven will not fall! It would have been different if all the major opposition leaders like Obi, Atiku, Amaechi and Kwankwaso were united in ADC. Taking ADC out of ballot in such scenario would be difficult. With Obi and Kwankwaso out and forming a strong opposition, ADC can be dealt with without much resistance from the public.

I see Obi vs Tinubu contest next year.

If Tinubu takes ADC out of the election, he would have shot himself in the foot. The anger will make the North vote Obi/Kwankwaso enmass.

Most of Akume's men already defected from the APC. Will they come back? The rift between Akume and Alia is not the kind that can be settled with mere presidential directive and press statement. It goes deeper than that.

Pantami just rejected the consensus candidate chosen in Gombe and is set to head to court. Adelabu has done same in Oyo and IG in Nassarawa. In Kano, Abba has denied Barau, Ado Doguwa, Kawu Samaila, and others return tickets. The implosion is inevitable.

Sen. Tanko Al-makure has a right to his opinion, but he has no right on other things he doesn’t know, even if he gave birth to me. If I decide to go and brief President Tinubu with a prepared candidate, and I didn't carry Sen. Almakure along, that is not his right.

- Gov. Sule… pic.twitter.com/wGWt7ywBkp

— Imran Muhammad (@Imranmuhdz) May 3, 2026

SuperEagles:
Just rhe way Peter Obi will not be able to get 10% in any Northern state as Atiku remain his only pathway to victory in the North This is why stated earlier that we have LUNATICS as opposition leaders.

These fools know they need to work together to have any chance of victory but the fools can not drop their silly ego to make that happen.

So if Obi wins the Southeast and Southsouth in a landslide like he's now set to do and Atiku wins the North with better margins than he did in 2023, where will Tinubu's votes come from?