₦airaland Forum

LordAdam16:
There is a science to it.

The S400 has three gradations.
An S400 system has eight battalions.
A battalion has 7 or 8 launchers.

India bought 5 systems.

In peace time, Crimea alone had 4 battalions.

It is critical to know exactly what Russia delivered.
A single unit, a battalion, or a system.
Crimea is heavily defended because when Ukraine takes out a radar, launcher, power unit, or whatever component of an S400 unit, there is redundancy from other launchers and battalions as well as prompt replacement of the damaged component(s).

Ideally, Iran would have several battalions for each military district, mirroring Russian deployment patterns. Western Iran will have the highest count. Tehran proper would have a dedicated battery.
But they're conducting emergency preparations.
Precisely why I opined that they need density from whatever they can procure.
They don't have the luxury of time.
China has at least 200 HQ-9 batteries.
China has already delivered an improved HQ-9B to Egypt.

The Israelis are reporting that talks are at an advanced stage for Chinese jets and ADs.
Deliveries may have commenced, as these reports are a lagging indicator, but I'm uncertain that the Persians will be able to keep it under wraps (a secret) especially if they obtain multiple batteries.

As Writer submitted, Iran needs better OpSec.
The 12D war made it seem like Iran was porous.
It wasn't at the onset. It had a tightly integrated blanket with a few deficiencies they were on track to close by end of the year.
Israel's success was in infiltrating Iran, identifying locations of the nodes, and deploying agents to take them out with ATGMs and drones.
They also had to complement this with a system-wide hack of ADs in the Western and Central military districts.

Launchers are out in remote locations.
The range of Israeli Spike ATGMs is up to 5KM.
Essentially, you have to secure a radius of up to 7KM for safety (153 square kilometers).
Around every non-overlapping installation.

Acquisition is top priority.
But you must protect them particularly from threats they're not designed to counteract.

Again, taken together, these are the reasons why the Israelis want another go as soon as this month.
Iran will steadily become a fortress the longer they wait.
A large and integrated deployment of Russian + Chinese + Iranian homegrown systems is nightmare fuel for any pilot.

-Lord

LordAdam16:
They need density.

More of everything they can lay their hands on.

China would have to expedite deliveries. Only they can send enough to blanket all of Iran on short notice.

China has a missile force deployment in Saudi Arabia.
A relic of the Cold War era.
This was a foundational reason for Saudi Arabia orchestrating the Iran-SA detente.
With SA opting for US air defense systems, China has no constraints in supplying ADs to Iran.
Still, for at least courtesy sake they'll have to hash things out with the Saudis.

China has nuclear capable missiles operated by Chinese troops in Saudi Arabia while simultaneously providing ancillary targeting services to Iran for their homegrown missiles.

-Lord

Enter the S400 Triumf. This changed everything. Whatever doubts anyone may have regarding the Chinese armaments are erased as the Triumf fills in the gap with its tried and tested capabilities.

It gets even scarier for the enemy and better for Iran with something else...

bryght4u:
Could you please provide your link to the story of Russia's successful delivery of very enriched Uranium to Iran?
I know LordAdam16 mentioned it the other day but I thought it's just hearsay

WriteerNg:
⚡Belarusian President Lukashenko:

If Europe and Russia were together, there would be a power stronger and more terrible than China.

LordAdam16:
Jolani's Foreign Minister heads to Russia tomorrow.

-Lord

Masterviolence:
Just a few hours ago, multiple powerful FAB bombs were dropped by Russia in the city of Pokrovsk, very serious, and very dangerous!

I told you, folks!
I said it before anyone else that when Russia hits Pokrovsk with these bombs, I’d report it. And guess what? It just happened. Exactly as I predicted.

Thank you for your attention to this matter.

WritterNg:
⚡President Putin attends the flag-raising ceremony for the new Knyaz Pozharsky nuclear submarine

Built for stealth, power, and long-term deterrence, it anchors Russia’s strategic naval forces for the decades ahead.

shoodboi2:
I have left them to their vices. As Alamkir famously said, anyone who uses religion to justify violence is a terrorist.

Each person should check himself or herself to determine whether they're using religion to justify violence.

shoodboi2:
When Germany committed genocide against the Jews, you blamed Germany. But now that the Jews are committing genocide against Palestinians, you are blaming Hamas. Make it make sense.

Israel has stolen land, demolished homes, schools, hospitals, and roads in Gaza, but we should blame Hamas.

Israel has killed over 200 Palestinian journalist in Gaza, most of them in targeted attacks, but we should blame Hamas.

Israel has blocked aid coming into Gaza and has only allowed small amounts to arrive at Israeli-controlled areas where Palestinians are shot and bombed by Israeli soldiers, American mercenaries, and Israeli-funded Islamic State terrorists, but we should blame Hamas.

Israel has set up Islamic State group to fight against Hamas inside Gaza, but we should blame Hamas.

Just yesterday, the Israeli parliament voted to take control of the entire West Bank, do we also blame Hamas for that? We all know Hamas does not control the West Bank, but you will still blame them anyway.

What about earlier this year when Israeli soldiers fired in the air when western diplomats visited the West Bank? Do we also blame Hamas?

What about the World Food Kitchen volunteers Israel bombed in Gaza despite knowing they were World Food Kitchen employees and allowing them to go in? Do we also blame Hamas?

Deflecting the blame on Hamas is just the latest talking point for you guys. In the beginning it was flat out denial.

When Israel first bombed Al-Shifa hospital in November 2023, you and your boys here all claimed it was Hamas that bombed the hospital.

Once it became glaring, even to the blind that Israel was bombing hospitals, you all switched to Hamas was hiding under the hospital.

When the bombing continued, it turned into "Hamas is preventing people from leaving the hospitals".

And now that even that has been busted, it has turned into "Yes, Israel is bombing hospitals but we should blame Hamas for Israel bombing the hospital." Make it make sense.

I know you are trying too hard to support Israel, irrespective of what it does. But you shouldn't do it in such a way that its just too obvious that you are too biased. It's weird and odd.

Alamkiir:
Israeli National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir said:
“We will not allow a single gram of aid into the Gaza Strip until its people kneel and beg. Gaza must be leveled to the ground. There is no such thing as innocent people.”

shoodboi2:
Teacher: 23jerryking, why did you copy Mullah's homework?

23jerryking: I didn't copy sir. I just created my version.

😂😂😂

shoodboi2:
When Iran copies the US, it is a copy or reversed engineered drone. But when the US copies Iran, it becomes a version and not a copy.

It is the same way you guys will say Israelis were killed. But when it comes to Palestinians, you say they died.

When the US invades Vietnam or Iraq, it is the Vietnam or Iraqi war, but when Russia invades Ukraine, it is Putin's war.

When others attack Israel, it is called an aggression, but when Israel attacks others, it is a preemptive strike.

When Palestinian resistance abduct Israelis, they are hostages. But when Israeli soldiers abduct Palestinians, they are prisoners.

Keep playing your word games.

While you are working overtime to claim the Shahed 136 was made with western parts, your white masters are also working overtime to claim the US copycat, the Lucas, is based on a certain US-made FLM 136 target drone (and not the Shahed).

Funny things is the even that FLM 136 is another copy of the Shahed. They even copied it down to the name. Like WTF? The West has really fallen.

You have already listed the Shahed 136 as being made from parts from everywhere across the world except Iran. We can all see where this is going.

Within the next few weeks and months, you all will rewrite history to claim it was Iran that copied the US and not US that copied Iran. It's your way

LordAdam16:
Alamkiir was commenting on China's FM most recent outpouring of support for Iran.
It's almost becoming a weekly affair.

On Syria, I don't think anyone has called out Russia during this episode.
If Druze militia can hold up Jolani terrorists until Israeli air strikes arrived, it is as clear as day that the SAA should have vanquished Jolani with Russian air support.
They sold out Assad.

Time will correct many wrongs.
For now, Iran and Russia are sitting on the sidelines and clinking glasses.
It is a miracle that they were able to keep Syria stable despite the harsh sanctions.

We desperately need a parallel economic system.
This is the major reason why I'd be ecstatic if Trump follows through and enacts 100%+ secondary tariffs on Russia.
The Axis has tried not to upset the cart because many in the Global South are still linked to the Hegemon economic system.
A secondary tariff escalation will be a net positive like the SWIFT ban turned out to be.

-Lord

Alamkiir:
The point is we need to here from Russia, what side are they on?

FoolishBoy419:
BREAKING: IDF blames 'technical error' after Gaza officials say children collecting water killed in strike.


Just another day in Gaza. Shame on Hamas

LordAdam16:
By the way, the Iran Supreme Council today announced wartime mobilization of resources for the production of ballistic missiles.

It appears like its late but I can see how planning something this complex could take 2 weeks.
They do need to make huge arrangements with China for precursors and other logistics before bringing 1500 facilities online (that's from their statement).

Iran is preparing for war. And if Satanyahu does not attack, Iran will provoke an attack when it feels it has acquired a large enough stockpile.
All they have to say is that they've significantly increased their 90% enriched Ur stockpile and it'll push Satanyahu's mumu button.

Or maybe they're exaggerating since it is now undeniable that the war will resume soon. Or it's a bit of both.

-Lord

At the bolded, I got rolling with laughter.

That man head no correct again o.

Iran is preparing, no doubt, but the question on everyone's mind is have they solved the counterintelligence problem?

FoolishBoy419:
Exactly. Israel would have devastated them completely if they'd allowed themselves to fall into chaos. But the question is, how many more of these cells are available in Iran? This is where the main problem lies. High profile heads need to start rolling fast. Some members of the opposition parties made questionable statements during the war. Go after them. Make people pay for this costly negligence. Pezeshkian said Israel attempted to kill him without providing a shred of evidence. Do some digging.

Israel lied to the world about having complete air supremacy. With jets flying everywhere, Iran would have been foolish to be packing 20+ launchers in one area when their tunnels are designed to enable sneaky and high-volume strikes. Those drones and spike weapons did 80% of the job

WritterNg:
But let's be honest, the way Putin has been acting lately. We don't know if he secretly wants Iran to not have Nukes.

Remember he offered to supply Iran with enriched uranium.

LordAdam16:
Superb submission.

I always account for incompetence when discussing anything remotely involving the mullahs.
We all know a war is coming.
The WSJ reported within the last 48 hours that when they met, Trump informed Satanyahu that he prefers a negotiated settlement but is not opposed to another Israeli attack.

Iran knows what is coming and should be preparing for it.

But we're talking about the mullahs.
So prepare to be surprised.

I mean Haniyeh was assassinated so long ago you'd have thought there'd be no repeat, because they'd fixed that vulnerability.
But there was a repeat and even other new schemes.

-Lord

LordAdam16:
We shall see the impact of these selective busts in subsequent round(s).

As it is quite possible that Tel Aviv gave the order to cease or throttle attacks to conserve capabilities when it became obvious that the ambitious regime change operation was doomed to fail in the first round.

I am of the opinion that if you do not gut the upper echelon that potentially aided these saboteurs, all they're doing is rearranging musical chairs.
A double agent in counter intelligence could give up or trade these inactive factories while building new, sophisticated capabilities.
The busts of factories, safe houses, and low-value agents like illegals pacifies the leadership and population.
But it changes little strategically because the capability was already exposed in round one and would have had limited potency in subsequent rounds.

This way Iran will always be playing catch-up.
Israel with its capacity for pre-emptive strikes will retain the ability to deal spectacular blows in the first salvo.
Israel also has the capacity to end the round prematurely thanks to its nuclear arsenal and US backing.

Logically, Israel could systematically degrade Iran through short bursts of conflict.
Israel will sustain significant damage to be fair, but since it can ask for ceasefire whenever it wants, they can avoid costlier wars of attrition.
To war planners, this tradeoff is not be a deal breaker.

The only way to truncate this plan is to drastically improve counter-intelligence from an F to an A- before the next round.
A tall order for even the most capable of countries.

I must add, though, that Iran did think fast on its feet to counter the sabotage operations during the war.
Sure, they did eventually turn to asking saboteurs to turn themselves in for amnesty, which demonstrates that they were overwhelmed.
Nonetheless, it was excellent on Iran's part to significant degrade a robust capability acquired over years within a few days.
And while a nuclear scientist was assassinated in Tehran on the last day of the war, the volume of sabotage attacks dipped while the apprehension of agents and confiscation of munitions increased as the war progressed.

In agreement with you, I also think Iran scored a big win in foiling Israeli plans for an even deadlier pager-style attack.
They were prematurely gloating about their established plan(s) and how its execution would shock the world.
They even gave a timeline. Then, nothing.
Again, it could just mean they called off the operation when regime change operation looked like it was doomed, and they could preserved the plan for execution in subsequent rounds.
For now, however, Iran has enough time to dismantle it, if they haven't already done so completely.

-Lord

FoolishBoy419:

Iran's intelligence have uncovered a second clandestine drone manufacturing facility in Tehran operated by Israel’s Mossad.

Authorities say several individuals have been detained, and a cache of high-tech drone components has been seized.

WritterNg:
⚡Zelensky:

Russia attacked with 26 cruise missiles and 597 drones, more than half of them are “shaheeds”.

More than 20 missiles and the vast majority of strike drones were neutralized.

WritterNg:
And every drone strikes shatters the previous records in terms of number of drones launched.

Russia produces at least 600 drones and 20 missiles daily. So they can launch 400 and save 200.

FPVdrone:
⚡🎯✅ 🚨 IRAN'S RETALIATION: 90% OF MISSILES HIT ISRAELI TARGETS IN FINAL STAGES OF CONFLICT

In the closing days of the 12-day conflict between Iran and Israel, over 90% of Tehran's missiles successfully hit their intended targets, it claims.

Iranian Parliament Speaker MohammaGhalibaf says this marks a decisive moment in the war.

LordAdam16:
It was a symbolic message.

The US was informed ahead of the attack.
They fired 30 Patriot interceptors.
Iran still took out the radome with precision.

Message delivered!

-Lord

SonOfWords:
You put succinct words to my thoughts, soon as I saw the update😂.

Imagine hiding government officials because one Russian drone loitered briefly in your airspace. But you get mouth dey yap nonsense when passed a microphone.

A very comic sight indeed.

WritterNg:
⚡Lithuanian government officials sent to shelters after Russian Gerbera drone flies into Lithuanian airspace.

Warri South local government officials running into shelters for fear of ordinary Russian drone.

Na Nigerian police Russia go take overrun this council when war breaks out between it and NATO .

WritterNg:
⚡Russian Iskander strike turns Ukrainian deployment site to dust.

A devastating Iskander missile strike erased a Ukrainian temporary deployment point in the Nikolaev region

Sends shockwaves through the area.

Russian Iskander strike turns Ukrainian deployment site to dust

A devastating Iskander missile strike erased a Ukrainian temporary deployment point in the Nikolaev region

Sends shockwaves through the area pic.twitter.com/IjskYZnAz1

— RT (@RT_com) July 10, 2025

In the mind of Elensky (he doesn't deserve the Z),God will never forgive the person that created this Iskander missile platform. It has punished Ukraine beyond any other missile in history.

LordAdam16:
Is it not shocking that after that massive security breach, no senior official has been executed or imprisoned.

In what world will Israel be able to infiltrate Iran so badly without agents at virtually all levels of the government and military.
They are only dealing with the lowest rung of the ladder. The illegals and operatives.
No purge. Nothing.

Stalin would have executed entire departments or sent them to Siberia.

Or maybe it's happening in secret.
Or maybe its a step-by-step and they'll get to the higher-placed traitors in one fell swoop.
But I cannot be hopeful when their history of counter-intelligence is poor.

We all know if China had suffered such a breach.
We will not be able to count the number of officials that would have disappeared permanently.

-Lord

FoolishBoy419:
🇨🇳 China is building a Doomsday Train.

Armed with DF-41 ICBMs (15,000 km range, 10 MIRV warheads).
It can strike anywhere on Earth — and launch on the move.