AwesomeJ's Posts
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Omonigeriarere:By the way, there's no difference between these two statements you wrote here. The fact that you think there's a difference is the basis of your arguments. There isn't. |
Omonigeriarere:No, your statement was based on an assumption otherwise is utterly redundant. You have to choose between accepting you made a statement based on a faulty assumption Or That you made a statement that doesn't follow logic. You're guilty of at least one. There's nothing wrong in admitting to mistakes |
Omonigeriarere:They're just quoting yesterday's PMA rates. They're not rates anyone can get at anytime today. |
Omonigeriarere:Somethings are logically implied. If you really thought his bid was up to N50m, You're trying to tell me that your actual statement to him was: "Bro, I know your bid is more than N50m, the thing is you can't really set your own bid unless you're doing more than N50m" On what planet will he not look you with side eye. Your statement is more like "Bro, I know your bid is only N10m, the thing is you can't really set your own bid unless you're doing more than N50m" Only then does it follow. |
Omonigeriarere:By that statement, you're assuming his bid was less than N50m. If not you would have known that it was an unnecessary statement to make |
Streetinvestor2:Personally, I prefer StanbicIBTC in these matters. And I think we established them as the best bank in this aspect back in the day when we were sharing experiences. Sometimes in 2018 I guess. I don't have a recent experience with them, But I still think they would have handled even 20.4% for you successfully. |
Omonigeriarere:So why did you assume he doesn't have N50m? Pay attention to where he stated that the banker suggested a rate to him and you would realize that he was to set his own bid, meaning his bid may have not just been N50m but perhaps even N500m. We shouldn't assume that this thread is not good enough for billionaires to be part of. |
364 days rates actually went up marginally today. I would have been surprised if 20% bid failed. P.S The guy who posts these results is on Instagram.
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Streetinvestor2:It'll be strange if 20% fails today's auction, especially since subscription rates seem to now be tapering. |
omakay:My GUESS is 15% which is effectively 13.5% after tax? Why not put the money in an MMF. You can get higher rates, and you can liquidate anytime. You may need the money before the 30 days if say an opportuinity shows up, or you may not need it yet after the 30 days, and wish to hold the investment a little longer. MMF makes it super easy to determine the exact time you want to liquidate, and you'll certainly get a higher rate. If you still really prefer the time deposit, you may need to contact your account officer as the rates offered vary from branch to branch sometimes. |
RayRay06677: ![]() Okay Think of this like this: Assuming you know a business, The total assets that business has is like N32 million (total money they're using for the business), The owner's actual money after removing what he owes to vendors and creditor is like N3million. The business makes like N 250,000 gross earnings per month. If the owner wants to sell that business to you and Japa. You will get everything in the business, the entire N32m capital, the N3m equity and the 250k monthly earnings. How much would you think is a fair deal to pay the owner? How about N5m? or at least N3m? On the stock market, you can buy everything for N700,000. That's what the current pricing of some Nigerian banks are. In the case of Fidelity sha, the pricing for thesame assets is like N2m. |
Wotowotoman:It never hurts to seek second or third opinion. |
RayRay06677:It depends on why you want to buy. The bank's books look healthy: PE is just about 2.5x (Q1 '24 annualized, avg price of N10) gross earnings and net earnings are both up about + 100% yoy PBV is 0.69x Total assets are nearly $5bn, shareholder's funds at about N467bn, I do not have the NPL figures but I expect it's under 7% However, I should add that while these numbers are cool, there are banks with even cooler numbers. some with PEs as low as 0.3x, and PBV of like 0.25x. The risk of license revocation is almost non existent for FIDELITYBK as the bank isn't in distress., maybe highest, they may sack the bank's management if anything(like MD and CBN director are dragging land ).When Skye Bank went under, the terrifying numbers had been showing in their books for years prior. Heritage Bank isn't publicly traded, so their books weren't as open, But anyone who know the history from OmegaBank to SpringBank to Enterprise Bank to Heritage Bank should have said "That's not why I came to Lagos "There's still another bank that has been operating without any money of their own (negative shareholder's funds- they are deep in debt) for years now, the mystery of why that banks keeps surviving regulatory hammer is only understood by nigerian poiliticians. |
ZEAK:I do not. If there are people in the house who know and probably have good experience buying gold jeweleries or gold bars, please comment for us to learn from you. Thanks. |
ZEAK:Basically FGN and corporate euro bonds are good foreign currency assets to hold. However, their primary markets are scarce(they don't happen too frequently), then their secondary market has steep entry amount ($200,000 as of my last knowledge. Maybe $100,000 these days) So one way around it is to buy dollar mutual funds (some take as little as $1000) I'm also aware some folks use apps like Risevest and Bamboo to buy FCY stocks, but personally I don't hold accounts with fintechs. For precious metals, Gold is quite easy to buy I think. As long as you buy from the right vendors who sell the real deal. One gram of gold was doing around 20k 4 years ago, today, it's around 100k. Some people are probably eyeing to sell their wedding rings sef 😁😁 But not all foreign currencies are worthwhile o. Don't go and buy Zig or CFA o, that's not why we came to Lagos 😁😁, that's not why we followed night bus. |
narite:The risk certainly exists, but it's not a risk of whether they will pay the 10m you invest for instance, they certainly will, they don't need to look for money to pay, they don't even need to expend any ink or paper to print physical notes, the computer program that will credit you is running already. It's just waiting for Date.Now() to equal your maturity date, then it updates your balance in the database while the CBN people might have even forgotten they borrowed any money. The risk now is whether when that 10m comes, it will be worth something. If instead of buying a car two years ago with 10m, I decided to buy 2-year savings bond, the entire coupons and capital from that investment cannot cover 70% of th cost of buying that same model today. That's the real risk, but it's not peculiar to Tbills investors, it affects everyone who earns in the local currency. That's why you see people who aren't even Tbills investors dey vex pass T-bills investors, cos their money has lost so much value that they need 750k to buy just one ram. It's why pension contributors are sort of being short changed, they celebrate 15% CAGR on a currency that does like -30% annually. The point to take here is no one should hold more than 50% of their assets in instruments that have no potential for capital appreciation, if they're serious about building wealth. Stocks, real estate, precious metals(gold and the likes), FCY debt instruments, etc should get in the mix cos they have the potential for capital appreciation and thus are great hedging instruments. |
exclusiveoloori:The only real risk with holding sovereign assets denominated in their local currency is the currency losing value. The risk of you not getting your funds doesn't exist, cos the government doesn't need to look for naira to pay you, they can simply just type in numbers to create trillions. They recently created 40trn that way via ways and means and intervention funds. No court can arrest them. The only restraint is the more they print, the less the currency is worth. 5m during covid was almost $15,000, today it's only worth about $3300. Now, as the poster above me wrote, if the currency loses value, then it's not only holders of TBills that become affected, it affects everyone including the regular Joe who now has to save up to 3m just to buy keke napep, something 700k would have bought if the currency was better managed. Summary is the 20% discount rate poses no risk. And Emefiele actually elevated rates too from 2017-2019, discount rates were over 17% on long-dated papers. |
[quote author=Itsrm post=130449797][/quote]Thank you. |
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Khyrvxjzy:So in the post you quoted, what does it seem like he's doing if not asking questions. I hope your comment was made as a joke sha, otherwise it describes you more than whom you're addressing. |
emmasoft:Perfectly said. |
awesomeJ:The PDF is available on CBN's website. The homepage |
NTB Q3 Calendar
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NTB Q3 Calendar |
Esthered:I don't have all your answers sha, but one thing I know is if 4m is all you have available now, you may want to gather more funds before you think of building. Otherwise, you may end up realizing that the money you expect to complete your carcass finishes at foundation level. Plus rental yield is hardly ever above 15%. |
Streetinvestor2:Some people just like arguments. Sometimes you ignore them, sometimes you put them in their place. The fx situation seems to be beyond the CBN's efforts though. The market traded over $350m at an average of 1191 yesterday (meaning most trades settled below 1200), still, the rates closed at 1329, today it's 1484. I think the market will need news of a substantial inflow to go to levels the CBN wants. Who has heard anything about the balance of Afrexim facility? Last I heard, they should be disbursing about now. |
Mpeace:Yes sir. Good for the market, good for our country too. |
Elsueno:You know that cos you were his CFO?? |
Businessday reports NNPCL has signed off on the SEPLAT/MNPU deal, I think the market will break 100k again in a few says!!! |
I'm sure if I had engaged you in a conversation about NAFEM's closing rate yeterday, you would have flaunted thesame pattern of arguing with incomplete information. |
Itsrm:So the fact that you couldn't buy below 1100 is proof that dollar never traded below 1000, even when the person who has authority on the matter confirmed such trades on national TV. I pity someone who hires someone with your thinking pattern for a lawyer with your "I couldn't buy below 1100, therefore no one ever bought below 1000" argument. I don't have to disclose my trades to you but I'll indulge you. The last dollar cash I sold in April, I sold at 1080, the aboki was ready to sell at 1100 at the time. One week after then dollar crashed by another #100, going by your funny argument, if i had waited that extra week the aboki wouldn't have paid less than 1100 for my USD. You're on your own. If you want facts and not just baseless arguments, check channels TV or nairametrics for headlines of naira trading at 980 and rest. |
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