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BabsO2's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:32pm On Apr 25
If so there is a high likelihood of reversal for UBA’s insider related impairment provisions in coming quarters or years. Not like those other impairments that never reverse.
robobo:
What the CBN is trying to achieve with the 100% provision for insider related credit (whether performing or not)is to force bank directors with interest in other businesses not to borrow from the bank they own/ are directors in. This will ensure that those other businesses they own does not enjoy interest rate subsidy from their directors bank and also ensure they dont tie down the bank they own with bad credit. In short it will force those other businesses to compete for funding with thier competitors at a fair rate
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:43am On Apr 24
Okay o
robobo:
Ohhh. That was a response to a post by Agba. I stated it as "COULD" because no one can read wale's mind. Which is one of the reason i stated transparency and adequate communication as a key thing lacking from the management.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:03pm On Apr 23
robobo:
I dont understand the bolded
robobo:
My reading of the Oando recent moves (2025/2026),, particularly after the Eni acquisitions.
1.
6. Oando might find it true worth/ balance after the clean up (which could take as much as 18-24 months to fully implement). WT could also decided to go private at that point (as mentioned by Agba)

Selah
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:17pm On Apr 23
robobo:
He go be like film IF/WHEN wale attends to those things i highlighted above.
Reserves valuation already support N429. Other synergies can boost it up easily to N500. But N1k is way off if there is no further devaluation.

Looks like you have muted the delist thoughts you shared earlier this year grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:11pm On Apr 23
BabsO2:
Those invested in Oando gather here.
I have the following NAV valuation based on reserves computed as follows
Company NAV per Share
Oando N429
Seplat N 8,980
Aradel N997

Oando is at a deep discount based on reasons already discussed upandan here. Most especially will its turnaround succeed in view of its debt over load. This NAV of N429 is the value those lending money to Oando see and are taking a good cut of. And the market has discounted it to current price of N39 to reflect its high risk turnaround profile.

As low margin revenues from trading goes down, will management succeed in transforming Oando into
👉 A leaner upstream-focused energy company
👉 With stronger balance sheet
👉 With sustainable free cash flow
👉 With higher reserve monetisation efficiency
And work towards its NAV based on reserves?
mikeapollo:
What valuation do you think is realistic based on hydrocarbon reserves?
Recall they still have more oil resources that could be reclassified as reserves in medium to long term
This was my AI assisted calculation in February.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:59pm On Apr 23
Sideways trading till clarity emerges for lift off.
KarlTom:
It's a New Dawn for OandO... grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:56pm On Apr 23
megawealth01:
Otu lule loni grin
Sideways trading
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:48pm On Apr 23
Recall Oil went into a slump after the acquisition. No one was expecting the slump.

mikeapollo:
I think Wale and his team went into upstream business (from downstream filling stations) with little or no experience whatsoever in the sector!
Probably the reason they bought Conoco Phillips at an overvalued price, among other issues.
The inexperience is the biggest challenge and undoing.
It could have been different if he had worked in the upstream sector e.g. in a global oil company like Shell, Chevron etc. before acquiring Unipetrol/Oando or if he had gone into partnership with experienced professionals in the upstream sector.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:44pm On Apr 23
robobo:
My own na btw N500 -N1000 after the book is cleaned (1. negative equity cleared 2. Adequate working capital has been raised (so less dependent on bank borrowing) and 3. dividend restored)
This steep valuation is not supported by hydrocarbon reserves valuation.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:56pm On Apr 23
ETI has luled while First Bank bullheads. I cautiously sold a little First Bank to push my ETI dividends to 4 digits when ETI was sub 50. Good to see First Bank charging ahead grin

ETI now N69.90
First Bank N78.3

right now
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:28pm On Apr 23
e don dey reach to fast and pray shocked
Krisuba:
I hope Bank result will not extend to may!! This suspense is getting too much
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:22pm On Apr 23
I reject that. Oando is growing deep roots. Fresh, strong green shoots will spring forth sooner or later with bountiful fruits. Those of us that held on got our shares in CSCS in March 2026. Those March shares are worth more than 5% dividend yield if sold right away.


megawealth01:
E dey lule like WALE no send us again grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
shocked grin
KarlTom:
... wink
We got shares in March 2026 credited into CSCS now
The shares were worth more than 5% yield if one sold them off grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:55pm On Apr 22
Agbalowomeri:
He will push it to 300 and sell grin
He may sell some to frontier investors later in the year or next year at N150 or N300 sef
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m):
Don’t focus too long on the price. Glance and move to something else. It’s like planting a yam or a seed. You don’t dig it out to confirm if it is rotten or developing roots. It may have rotten and died. And it may be developing roots. Pray OANDO is developing roots to the benefit of all stakeholders and shareholders.

Its valuation based on hydrocarbon reserves is gooood.



Itzlinda:
I don de add weight since I offloaded my oando shares. Oando would move 4% up today and 6% down next week.

This stock fit mess up with person mental health.

I will jump in once I see clear breakout
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:42pm On Apr 17
grin
HesInMe:
You think Aradel and Oando's businesses are comparable? I own both; I'm not so sure.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:37pm On Apr 17
Be patient. The ride will start in due season. Just like Aradel rested sub 450 and some despaired, while others laughed. Now it’s shining.

megawealth01:
I doubt Wale very well 😔
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:31am On Apr 15
nosa2:
I'm not selling.
Perhaps UBA and Access will get some moves if them do better dividend. Looks like investors see results as Audio if not backed by reasonable (commensurate) dividend. grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:24am On Apr 15
nosa2:
Did you buy your ETI?

Up 10% already.

Analysts have started to analyse
The small availability at market open already mopped up completely within a few minutes. No more availability on the floor. ETI set to climb into 60 by tomorrow shocked shocked
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:58am On Apr 14
nosa2:
I realty hope people bought their ETI.

Now watch as analysts start to recommend the stock
Quickly exchanged some First Bank for ETI this morning.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:52am On Apr 14
megawealth01:
Na wetin Wale wan turn am to bayi?
There is hope he will change. I used to be bearish on Oil. But it looks like for the next 2 decades there will be good demand for oil. Hopefully Wale should stabilize Oando in the next 5 years.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:04am On Apr 14
mikeapollo:
If a lifeless UBA could be this ''sexy'' to you, I wonder how you would describe Agba's babes who attract all his attention, vibes, energy etc.? grin grin
Stop that. UBA is full of the life expected from shares grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:01am On Apr 14
nosa2:
Quarterly results should be huge improvements.

Hopefully the rocket will be ignited tomorrow.
All offers cleared on the floor in first hour of market open. Market waiting for more offers. This dividend resumption after two years pause coupled with improved fundamentals is making ETI attractive for dividend investors once again.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:03pm On Apr 13
lasisi:
is this food or pepper spray. Even Access won't try this...
ukay2:
Good one from ETi.....
That's about 10% of EPS being paid out. And about 5% dividend yield. That dividend yield is poor compared to the Zenith or GTCO. At current market price a PE of 2 is not bad if the EPS can be sustained.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:56pm On Apr 13

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:16pm On Apr 08
GeneralDae:
There is something I have observed about this Cardoso era which is strange to me.

In the past, naira and foreign exchange reserves improved with increase in crude oil prices (and logically so) but in Cardoso’s era, naira and FX reserves both struggle with increase in crude oil prices and world instability but starts improving again when the escalation is down.
There’s increasing non oil FX revenues changing how reserves build up. And oil production is not as high as it used to be, while population has grown with corresponding growth in imports requiring forex despite increasing poverty measured by per capita income.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:48pm On Apr 08
EDUECO:
Impairmeny charges is just another name for the money for the management.

And Zenith Bank just acquired a Kenyan bank and part of the money could also be money used in acquisition of the Kenyan bank.
I guess the bulk of Zenith impairment is due to challenging business environment and failed businesses that cannot payback what they have borrowed as planned. Access will likely have more of money for management than Zenith in impairments.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:14pm On Apr 08
Sunrisepebble:
That would be a generational buying opportunity.
I’m not a bank analyst, so forgive my rough math. Assuming Zenith have exited their forbearance as at FY25, the way GT had in FY24. If they have GT’s level of impairment in FY26 and assuming earnings are flat and payout ratio is also flat. You’re looking at an EPS of N39 and a DPS of N15+
Short and sweet whisper. Perhaps UBA will grow like this too.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:49pm On Apr 08
chimex38:
Ngx has unpaid dues to Ngx.. grin
Looks resolved by changing address string & perhaps some payment
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:00pm On Apr 07
TerraCota:
Zenith AFS 2025

https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/46591_ZENITH_BANK_PLC-_QUARTER_5_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_APRIL_2026.pdf


Proposed a final dividend of N8.75 which in addition to the N1.25 per share as interim dividend amounts to N10.00 per share
What's happening the site is not opening? Looks NGX has unpaid dues or what. Make them resolve am quickly.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:00pm On Apr 07
.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:56am On Apr 07
GeneralDae:
Nigeria owns only 7.25% of the refinery.
Why is Dangote asking more than 7.25% of the refineries needed cargoes? NNPC can be become a petroleum products seller as well and not be a crude only (and petroleum products importer, that one with wide open corruption gates)

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