Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:32pm On Oct 29, 2025 |
emmanuelewumi: They are smart, they will start a gradual supply of the forex in their custody.
The most important thing is stability which we currently have.
Then a gradual appreciation of Naira, probably over a period of 2 to 4 years. The most important thing is stability. Not going above N1500 again in the next 5 years will be good. Staying below N1500 in the next 10 years will be excellent. Dropping to N1000 looks unlikely but not impossible. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:02pm On Oct 29, 2025 |
Payunsin: My farm is in Ibadan in a year I sell over 2000 bags of litter. The buyers are mainly 99% from the north and this is the same way they buy From all my co farmers. how can you believe a person that transport a trailer load of litter from Ibadan to the North is stupid. Relax and learn opportunities remain in this country.. This litter you are talking about is a huge business, there is a place called Akindele in Ibadan, lots of people are making a living from it. What I can infer here is, perhaps for drier climates poultry droppings are excellent for fertilizing some crops without the risk of causing fungi wahala that wetter climates are prone to. Those buying definitely see value. It will be great our university or knowledge systems capture what works best for each climatic area and local soils in the area amongst other variables. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:54am On Oct 29, 2025 |
mikeapollo: I saw it shortly before the last AG but I could not attend. He has virtually dribbled the investors. Probably partly why the AGM was held online The original clause was something like to distribute the shares and/or their monetary value to shareholders. I guess he is now interpreting the monetary value as ''some of''.
My fear is that they may decide to allow the new, incoming investors (after the capital raise) to take part in the share redistribution, thereby diluting the ration of the pre-existing shareholders. It makes sense to not distribute tranche 3-6 but to sell it to a new investor and use the money to pay off debts and speedup business turnaround. I have always said this is the better option for current investors. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:41am On Oct 29, 2025 |
emmanuelewumi: Initial plan was to list Dangote Refinery shares on London Stock Exchange, but now he thinks it make Investment sense to list on NGX.
Why?
Because he is betting on the fact that Naira is currently undervalued and N1000 to $1 is possible soon If naira appreciates significantly then banks will record forex losses. Their share prices will then take a hair cut. Perhaps they would be able to reclaim some of the windfall tax they paid to mitigate losses. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:32pm On Oct 27, 2025 |
With the way Aradel is jetting ahead, there should be hope for Oando  . Renewed Hope that Oando will be lifted sooner or later as Mr Time pleases.  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:58pm On Oct 23, 2025 |
ositadima1: Ok, I think batteries are the biggest challenge. Apart from the vehicles themselves, you don’t really need much infrastructure, especially in countries like Nigeria that don’t already have extensive systems in place. Many homes today run entirely on solar power. Yes, it’s expensive, but that cost mostly comes from the batteries. Imagine if batteries became dirt cheap, I’d bet that more than half of Nigeria would be powered by solar energy.
Currently, most EVs run about 300 to 400 miles on a single charge. With cheap and fast-charging batteries, your only limitation would be the number of solar panels you can connect. By my calculation, one full day of solar charging could give you over a week of city commuting. If you charge intermittently, you could practically drive for free. I’ve read about battery swap systems, like how we used to exchange gas cylinders, so you could travel from town A to B, swap your battery, and continue your journey.
Businesses that charge batteries with solar will spring up everywhere, trust our entrepreneurial spirit. I’m telling you, the only real issue is the cost and capacity of these batteries, and once those improve, we’re good to go.
Regarding Dangote Refinery, nobody sees it all, not even me or you. Technological shifts often happen suddenly and unpredictably. A few years ago, no one could have predicted AI would advance this far this fast. I’m not arguing to win; I’m just saying it’s very likely that when the technology breaks out, developing countries might actually be the ones to adopt it fastest. It all comes down to economics, people will always choose the cheaper alternative over patriotism or sentiment. I see car parks like Marina being covered with solar panels very soon once a major entrepreneur gets the permit. Perhaps Oando Energy may get it. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:50pm On Oct 23, 2025 |
Itzlinda: You’re right that change is constant, but transition speed varies depending on infrastructure and global equity.
Unlike phone or AI that transition happen very fast, switching to EV cars require huge physical investment in infrastructure--power grids, roads raw material etc.
So if developed countries have such resources in abundance, developing countries are far behind and don't have capital to support EV infrastructure overnight. Nigeria is still producing less than 5000MW with incessant national grid collapse. I don't think Petroleum cars will die. But the usage will shrink in developed countries while it lingers in developing countries for a very long time.
Alhaji would not have built 25bn refinery with that existential threat. Agree with the bold summary. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:45pm On Oct 23, 2025 |
mikeapollo: Very true and apt. But I dont see anything replacing aviation fuel in our lifetime. Aircraft using batteries? Mbano! I no go board such plane lailai ! Perhaps Jet fuel may become a major refinery output for Dangote for several decades. Also oil companies like Oando, Seplat and Aradel, need to keep costs down to remain profitable under low oil prices. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 12:41pm On Oct 23, 2025 |
ositadima1: No, I don’t think so. Lithium isn’t the only viable substance for making batteries. We have sodium in abundance, and scientists are working to use it as a replacement for lithium, they’re not there yet, but they’re close. There are also other elements and technologies being developed that could serve the same purpose.
I don’t know how old you are, but let me give you a few historical examples. Kodak, in the 1980s and early 1990s, was what Samsung or Apple is today, a market leader in photography, especially in film. When digital photography was being researched and tested, Kodak dismissed it, believing it would never work. They ignored diversification and failed to invest in the new technology. Eventually, the Kodak empire was destroyed by digital cameras and the rise of digital images.
There are many other examples like that, Blockbuster vs. Netflix, Nokia/BlackBerry vs. Android. Even the small devices we hold in our hands today, which we call phones, were once unimaginable. Computers in the 1970s were so large that only institutions could afford them. Today, each of us carries a mobile computer. Change is constant. I tend to bet global EV take up may be faster than expected with major disruptions occurring in five to ten years  This will keep crude oil and petrol prices down to reduce EV uptake pace. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:58am On Oct 17, 2025 |
Agbalowomeri: At current price and with CBN's hawkish pose, how many of the banks will pay 10% dividend yield? At current prices Access fit reach 10% dividend yield  Many banks will struggle to achieve 10% dividend yield at current prices. 10% is a high number o. But 7.5% is doable for many banks. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:59am On Oct 17, 2025 |
emmasoft: With the way inflation numbers are going, expect lower rates everywhere across all fixed income-related investment windows, but DON'T STOP INVESTING, you can only change strategy, don't stop if you still want to win in this investment game I think this could cause a reprice upwards of many stocks. It will be good to see a discussion of which stocks will reprice up and why. For example I think banks may reprice up for two reasons. Firstly their dividend yield could make them not too bad for income, secondly they have attractive low price earnings and the earnings will get less impairment costs as less businesses default in a lower interest regime thereby solidifying the PE’s and even dropping them further if prices don’t go up. Many companies under the load of high borrowing costs will breath small and get more oxygen to grow. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:55am On Oct 09, 2025 |
Raider76: They are used to paying high taxes in their countries Most likely if Nigeria no collect their home country go collect. Now if Nigeria collects they likely will not need to pay nadding for their home country. Indeed it may not bother them. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:06pm On Sep 18, 2025*. Modified: 8:23pm On Sep 18, 2025 |
megawealth01: UBA analysis seems to be topping today's discussion from what I've read so far from intelligent contributors here
If you no chop good dividend abeg manage price appreciation. UBA moved from sub 6 to its current price. Tony na man you be joor  In the issued report it can be seen how he lifted a FAT chunk of rights. TOE and key directors have put their strength into raising the value of UBA shares. That's good enough signal for value investors. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:55pm On Sep 18, 2025 |
ositadima1: Zenith paid ₦1 last year, so that’s about a 25% increase. It should slowly push past ₦70, and possibly ₦100 (which is my fair value). If Zenith has a fair value of N100, then UBA fair value must pass N75. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:33pm On Sep 18, 2025 |
emmanuelewumi: Dangote sells to West African countries at N56 discount?
Is that part of the deal to add additional N56 to what local consumers will pay
And this N56 will be shared among some stakeholders.
Just musing The exports may be priced on the reduced marginal cost to produce more products after a production level is attained. After X units are produced the increased marginal cost of producing dx for export is lower. Hence exported goods can be sold at a lower price. This makes exports more competitive and creates little hiccups if export ceases for whatever reason for the producing company ops. Everything need not be a conspiracy. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:00am On Sep 16, 2025 |
Ding |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:49am On Aug 28, 2025*. Modified: 9:05am On Aug 28, 2025 |
zendi: Keep your eyes prayerfully on crude oil.
Brent should absolutely not drop below $60, because Nigeria's cost of production is said to be above $40. Indeed, some forecasts are projecting lower prices in coming years for crude oil. It requires close watch. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:44am On Aug 28, 2025 |
mikeapollo: Oando will surely pay for our patience.. It is a must At current prices Oando will deliver better value to an Investor compared to Aradel or Seplat. DYOR. Not an investment advice. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:41am On Aug 28, 2025 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:24pm On Aug 19, 2025 |
BabsO2: 16Apr2025 = 60Kobo 19Aug2025 = 40Kobo Transcorp Dividends Paid in last 2 years for shares traded today28May2024 = 40Kobo 19Aug2024 = 40Kobo 16Apr2025 = 60Kobo 19Aug2025 = 40Kob |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 11:00pm On Aug 19, 2025 |
Streetinvestor2: How did uarrive at #1. I thought the interim dividend is 40kobo 16Apr2025 = 60Kobo 19Aug2025 = 40Kobo |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:48pm On Aug 19, 2025 |
Transcorp paid N1 total dividend so far this year very very promptly today. This stock was discarded at huge discounts between 2019 and 2022 at prices <= N1 (equivalent of below N4 of the equivalent shares on sale right now).
It pays to speculatively accumulate discounted shares once one sees valid meaningful supporting arguments.
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:14pm On Aug 19, 2025 |
SonofElElyonRet: click on the earlier posted link Meanwhile, can't find that my post on the thread anymore.. Great. It's actually in both news articles that Ellah's top priority is to start pay dividend immediately its cashflow positive. I talk am yesterday - dividends will come in a year or two. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:41pm On Aug 19, 2025 |
SonofElElyonRet: "Mordi stated that Ellah Lakes remained committed to sustainable value creation for shareholders, stressing that once the company became cash flow positive, its top priority would be the distribution of dividends" @EDUECO and other Anti Ellah "ECHOES"  Where did he state this better dividend talk? Abi he read our comments here yesterday on dividends  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:39pm On Aug 19, 2025 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 8:01pm On Aug 18, 2025 |
EDUECO: It should be 7 to 10 years if the management is honest. With so many loans converted to shares, dividend payments is doable in a year or two. In fact Ellah management are better off embracing a strategy of being seen as a dividend growth business. It will soften the ground for future seeds of expansion. It will make the large volume of shares they currently hold more valuable on the medium term as well as in long term. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 7:11pm On Aug 18, 2025 |
KarlTom: A NEW DAWN  A new dawn of benefits to shareholders |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:51pm On Aug 18, 2025 |
chimex38: I will personally report your moniker to Wale  You no go receive tranche 2..😂😂 If he sees it he will give me jara in Tranche 2. Perhaps double it for me for the good PR |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:48pm On Aug 18, 2025 |
emmanuelewumi: If you invest in solid dividend growth companies, the dividend grows faster than inflation and rent increase
1 million units of Nahco paid a dividend of N2.9 , million last year, same 1 million unit paid a dividend of over N5 million this year Transcorp has been paying increasing dividends yearly too. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 6:36pm On Aug 18, 2025 |
EDUECO: I call Dividend Stock Investment the 'Invincible Real Estate' !  Ellah will join steady dividends paying stock like PRESCO & Okomu in a year or two. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:37pm On Aug 18, 2025 |
emmanuelewumi: I am still buying Presco, Nahco, Zenith, Aradel, GTCO and Okomu
This month of August these wonderful stocks and bonds, will give me a modest dividend and coupons of almost N6 million Nah so Transcorp and PRESCO dey load dividend this week. Each one bought at very cheap speculative prices. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 4:06pm On Aug 18, 2025 |
emmanuelewumi: It was an integrated energy firm when the public offer was marketed 20 year ago
Also spent over $1 billion for the purchase of ConocoPhillips asset about 13 years ago, we thought that would be the game changer.
That does not mean things won't change in the future, afterall the motto of the company is " Oando- the future". Each year, Oando usually anchors the Chairman’s statement and front-page message around a theme phrase (e.g., in 2018 it was “Unrelenting Drive”, in 2020 it was “Resilience through the Storm”). Current theme should be share distribution is here And the next one “Enjoy turnaround cash dividends” |