₦airaland Forum

Ginalex:
I don kuku liquidate another set of FI. Na me and WAPCO tomorrow. #buythedip. Unrealized gain in TIP is what is keeping my portfolio afloat

The way you buy the dip with happiness and glee, it makes me admire your courage.

I saw somewhere where you bought DANGSUGAR, I shook my head because, you need to buy more dip.

Now you talking of more dips to buy without being strategic to know if those stocks have found support.

If you follow only discounted price to buy dips, you will keep buying dips so much so that, you will be the one giving people wanting to dump the stock a life line.

Mpeace:
Dangote refinery IPO will deal with this market. I have sold some stocks to reserve money fo the IPO

You selling stock to reserve money for Dangote IPO is like selling a land after years of accumulated value just to take the money to Bet Naija shop to place odds on Bets.


Have you asked yourself. What if after the buying hype fades and valuation didn't hold up?

That means your money will be trapped due to FOMO.

How Spacex turned out should have given you a clue.

Oasisblue:
If only I have some crystal ball to spot a sotck that will do the kind of rally SanDisk did over the last 10 months, I wuld have retired now

You just didn't follow the news, that was why you missed out lol. Nigerian stocks took all of your time.


After the news back then, the earning jumped, it now triggered even more buying.

deathwing:
I wonder if NVIDIA still has room to run. It’s not like it will suddenly become a $10t and give 2x. Thinking of switching to Micron

Tech/Semiconductors stocks closed last week weak, even white house had to tell OpenAI not to release their new chapgtp update.

Nvidia is currently looking for support for new rally while Micron is currently running away with hype as smart investors are slowly dumping on retailers.

Fundamental is good but technically, It will be the worst time ever to buy Micron, but you can wait for a pull back but if you already have Nvidia, plan to avearge down once it reaches new support level.

Neurotika:
I find these contrasting views somehow interesting. But I usually prefer grounding my analysis in concrete numbers.

For instance, suppose Nestle traded at #200 in 2006 and stands at #1,300 in 2026. A #50 million investment made in 2006 would today be worth approximately #325 million (ignoring dividends and bonus issues). That represents a 550% total return, or roughly 9.81% per annum compounded.

By comparison, a MMF delivering a steady effective annual return of 11% over the same 20-year period would have grown the same #50 million into about #403 million…that’s a 706% total return.

So viewing it from the capital appreciation lens alone, a solid MMF will usually outperform an average stock over long periods. Equities’ real edge comes from dividends, especially when reinvested. But these are purely based on management discretions which makes your returns more uncertain….

At the end of the day, the route taken doesn’t matter. The destination is the real deal. Just ensure you don’t build wealth on assumptions, regardless of the path you choose.

you said "By comparison, a MMF delivering a steady effective annual return of 11% over the same 20-year period would have grown the same #50 million into about #403 million…that’s a 706% total return."


This is where your analysis broke down because, Can you even trust that MMF will remain steady at 11% for 2 decades without getting lesser returns, and I know It will swing up past 11% in some years too but this rate isn't steady like it's cracked out to be.

2 decades in typically enough for at least 2 macros economy circles in a country, so running your maths on a steady 11% returns over 20 years is greatly flawn and doesn't hold water at all.

Comparing it to Equities investment is abysmally redundant. I refuse to do such comparison with you, a better comparison should have been long term government BOND.


Just one good large cap company in the stock market with good capex and good dividend paying history will shatter the dream returns of MMF long term.

AncestralPowers:
Well said, many people are underestimating the power of long term MMF investment, if you have huge funds in money market fund, with patience and monthly or quarterly compounding, you are definitely going to do well as the best performing stocks/equities out there...

Sir, you forgot to factor in monthly quarters and years when the economy will improve, inflation gets under control, MPR gets cut and the government no longer needs much of investors money, as a result, MMF rates will dip drastically below the double digits interest we see now.

You also forgot to factor in banks lack of need for investors extra cash when CBN improves on banks C.R.R (cash reserve ratio) and CBN loosen it's tight policy on "Standing facility corridor".

When you consider those two alone, you will realize that, you only having this conversation now because Nigeria macros is temporary bad but it will not remain like this forever for MMF to keep earning double digits daily interest. It's only a matter of time.

Enjoy what you can get now.

I explained why smart investors are selling ARADEL.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWnFCNP6tWs

I explained why smart investors are selling ARADEL.



https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cWnFCNP6tWs

Jaakay:
Vfd group or Japaul? Which should i load more?

you should study those two companies fundamentals to make a long term investment decision however if you looking to take a swing trade. By my technical analysis, Expect Japaul to dip even further as there is still volume of money left from May rally, lots of investors thought, it was a slight dip for Japaul and that it will recover, sadly we lost japaul to the deeper dip last week Wednesday after it was hit by ASI weakness, may his soul rest in peace.


Vfd group was actually on the path of recovery but the collapse of ASI and the lingering fear in the market is holding it back and it's now consolidating. Same consolidation that struck Sterling bank and Jaizbank for weeks is happening to vdf group now.

nosa2:
Access is holding strong but I'm not one to gloat.

Let's see where all the gas and refinery arguments will get

Access is weak and it will be weak into next week.

Slammmmmmmm:
My portfolios just dy receive bashing, home and abroad. As I dy scoop the dip, it’s getting dipper… observation mode

Please only buy on recovery to avoid this.

Kesta22:
Which stocks are good to buy now that the price are going down?

Prices are not fully down yet. It's a sentimental war going on between long term investors and short term swing traders.

KarlTom:
ARADEL might have reached its plateau IF SEPLAT doesn't tank further...

Every mallam to his kettle

lol I laugh at this, Track Seplat Volume this week. Something fishy is going on. Smart money are selling but they doing it in such a way that they don't want to crash the stock suddenly. That's the reason for the fishy volume changes this week.

ghm:
Please, I kindly seek your advice – should I sell my Aradel shares? Honestly, I am at a loss as to what to do.

My average price is below ₦800, and my P&L is over 147%.

Your guidance would be greatly appreciated.

Disregard that loss, it's called paper loss. As long as you are not needing that money invested to feed. Close your investment app for now and go attend to other life issues.

I am strongly against buying the dip for now except you have enough cash to spare. But even if you do have the cash — by my calculation, Aradel will still go down further so hold on and only buy the dip on recovery otherwise, you will keep buying the dip and the dip will keep dipping.

I can help you figure out the recovery phase.

But to keep things simple, just hold on because Aradel business isn't dead yet.

SerDuncan:
wow , my CSOF investment is going through some serious Yakubu

hopefully, it picks up soon

Newton's First Law of Motion – an object remains at rest or in uniform motion unless acted upon by an external force. (uninvested money)


Newton's Second Law of Motion – F = ma (force equals mass × acceleration). (Huge money invested equals huge returns)


Newton's Third Law of Motion – for every action, there is an equal and opposite reaction. (When the stock market goes up, it comes down to correct, regardless it was invested in CSFO)



Lastly, Albert Einstein said something about compound interest being the 8th wonder of the world. Yeah right, so when you wait, it will compound.

May our portfolio turns out to be like dead people portfolio. Amen

doggedfighter:
I quite agree

My red days were bearable with Cardinal stone but with Zedcrest and
Paramount they were huge. Paramount is worse with their magic.

I quickly ported and have been stuck with Cardinalstone ever since.

There's something they're doing right.
Equity is great with Cardinalstone.

That's because, CS doesn't invest 100% fund into Equity, they also hold some high yield old bond but not heavy on it, that's why you get that peanut payment during the weekend.

harry2sexy:
There's no ripple effect anywhere.
There's imbalance in the charts, btc needs to touch 40k, 35k so as to balance out the charts.

If it goes to 120k from here, then the chart is balanced, and when the chart's balanced, you can't make profit.

Anyways, if you were using 100x leverages, then by all means, follow this relief pump up for 1-2% profit but to expect 10% up from here is prime delulu.

At least 1% of a 100,000k prop firm is about 700$ after profit split but I look at the chart from the eyes of a swing trader.

I don't have time like I used to to stay on the charts anymore so 59k can go to 61k before it goes to 56k, then 56k to 59k, then 59k down to 52k, like that like that.

please next time, speak English

CSblackpink:
It has bounced back, and more greens are to come soon; however, inflation might affect the market due to the war.

Impressive

CSblackpink:
Is anyone here trading Korean tech stocks?

Hope this market is back up bro. I saw it in the news that it plunged last week.

Arijude:
ok bro thank you very much. I really need your guidance. Tell me what to buy

click on my profile and read the first topic, then you will be welcome to the family.

harry2sexy:
What about today's crash?

Today is ripple effect of what happened yesterday.

Yesterday, BTC broke past 60,000 dollar support, that has been a psychological support but it breached it yesterday so this has created more panic to sell.

If you held your local government chairman accountable the way you holding vdm accountable.

Nigeria will be a better place.

Beeron:
You should hold on for now:

Disregard their incoming result.
Disregard the news in the middle East.

The reason you need to hold on longer is simple. At this current level, no Institutional buyer will accumulate Aradel, people that are buying now are retailers that their money don't move the market as much. But once institutional money enter the market, Aradel will move.

The risk for entering now is if retailers eventually gets tired, consolidation will happen and if that happens, Aradel will fall back down to the level Institutional buyers are comfortable to buy.

Even if retailers push up ARADEL from this level and everything goes smooth, it won't be long before it gets to overbought region. And I can promise you, another correction will happen.

So hold on for now.

missuzoma, do you remember this advice I gave you regarding Aradel?

You should be thankful already.

Beeron:
House

BTC is currently weak, there is no any buy prospect for now.

If you currently in any crypto trade (spot or futures) and want to know the status of the trade.

Post it here, I will do a research and tell you what's going on.

if you even have US stocks, ETFs or even Nigeria stocks and want to know what's up with it.

I will help you research it. Just post it here.

House

BTC is currently weak, there is no any buy prospect for now.

If you currently in any crypto trade (spot or futures) and want to know the status of the trade.

Post it here, I will do a research and tell you what's going on.

iLegendd:
Since it's BlackRock, we won't consider it a dump, right? It's not even up the the level I'm expecting. You're probably new.

Dude this recent dump began last month early May, it all started after it was on the news that Saylor sold off. After that news came out, BTC turned weak, then followed by Iran and U.S both agreeing a deal, it further weakened it.

Stop acting like some sort of btc custodian here, you just as vulnerable to market volitility as anyone.

iLegendd:
As long as you're not one of those scammers hiding under different monikers. The first time in my life coming across your moniker. If I have in the past, I probably can't recall.

It's only BTC and it's based on 8 boxes in 4 years. I doubt you'll be here for long cuz most of you get excited with BTC and after some heavy losses, you quit and no one will hear from you again.

So, who will hold the bet money? I don't want to.

You funny. First, go back to read my initial challenge. I said, money doesn't have to get involved but I am in for the challenge.

I haven't been paying attention to this thread but after these condescending words of yours. I will frequent this place going forward.

It will be a play ground for me to help people predict btc volitile move and other coins and also shatter that your nonsense box method.

Again, my challenge goes beyond BTC. Any coin of your choice.

Beyond BTC because if your strategy works, it should work for all speculative instruments too not only btc.

iLegendd:
I used to be like you. Focusing on RSI or SRSI and refused to learn there is something called extended oversold. Don't worry, you'll learn from experience.

Since it won't be that deep, how deep will it be and when will it happen? Be specific, not vague, else I'll lose interest in conversing with you.

you can't tell me be specific when you have vague period of 7 days for a fall to happen without not being specific. Do not put me in a box. BTC is speculative instrument yet you want me to be specific. You a joke.

And get lost if you lose interest in conversing with me like it's some privilege. That's narcissistic.

CSblackpink:
Cool bro, huge rally from Micron today. I'm expecting huge gains from tech stocks tonight.

That's a nice one.

iLegendd:
Seven days left for a giant crash. It'll happen in one of those days.

yesterday's crash was because of Blackrock exiting the market.

iLegendd:
I don't gamble, but I feel I should start one for BTC. This is how it'll work.

For each of the boxes of Boxnalysis, I'll say something like: BTC can never go to 87k in honeydew box. Who is against it?

Then, a bold and confident analyst will come out and say, "It's a lie, I challenge you that it'll hit 87k and above."

From here, we place the bet.

If this sounds like a good idea, click like, else click share.

The problem is who will hold the money. For me, I don't want to hold another person's money. I wish there is a trustworthy platform that can hold it for us. I don't know of any.

I will take you on — on this.

Name any coin, btc or any shitcoin.

We don't have to bet on it. But I'm taking you on, on your challenge.

Alexas58:
The bull run is here
Be careful how you short

chief no bull run anywhere lol

The market is weak.