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Cadillac15's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 12:58pm On Dec 08, 2017
mendes911:
Oga CP has no recommendation on Caverton anymore. He's done "chopping" this one and has moved on.

tongue tongue tongue
There is a very thin line between good analysis and Monkey hunting. Current price and locodemy have been crossing that line consistently and making good gains off ignorant members here.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 9:38am On Dec 08, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 9:31am On Dec 08, 2017
mendes911:
So 18 multiplied by 2.31 is 33huh?
No sir. FMN's last price was 34.7. Divide it by 2.31. it will give u 15.021 which is the fair price of DF if you want to use that parameter as a determinant.

I see DF as the stanbic of the flour industry.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 6:25am On Dec 08, 2017
safepaulooo:
Flourmills eps is almost 3 times DF.....I. e 317k vs 137k, at least the price gap logically should equate same multiple
It's not almost. The exact ratio from his presentation is 1: 2.31. if I use that principle to compare prices, Dangote should be above 18 naira as of today.

And you wonder why tritritri will always sell low to buy high and also pay commission on it grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 6:20am On Dec 08, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
Have you bothered to think whether they might need the proceeds from asset sale to plough into the business? You dividend expectation might be a tall call

As per comparison with FMN.....hmmmm
Going by the rules, if you dispose a company's asset, you are supposed to share the proceeds amongst the shareholders and creditors if the coy is bankrupt or the shareholders alone if the coy has positive retained earnings.

It is left for the shareholders to now decide wether to give you back to further the business and that will be decided at the AGM.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 6:14am On Dec 08, 2017
GANDALF1:
Now my verdict.

If you have Dangote flour in your portfolio, treasure it for the next 6months to 1year. When the price is compared to flour mill's price of 33+, thats a great discount for a stock that should be selling above Flour mill's price as of today.

My humble prediction is that while, they might declare a little dividend, say 50k or 40k, the possibility of a bonus share is very high and the only thing holding it is that move.

Dangote flour mill is Gold and That's It.
Wow. Very good job. Slept off before you could finish but after going through your presentation, I have no doubt that my decision not to sell any of my units yesterday was an excellent one.

The dividend call might be tough though I am expecting a bonus of like 1 share for every 4 held. So if dividend comes, that's Jara.

You should do this often please. Won't mind paying though.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 11:10pm On Dec 07, 2017
Waiting oooo
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 10:54pm On Dec 07, 2017
GANDALF1:
screenshot 2
Continue. I'm with you sir
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 11:05am On Dec 05, 2017
fxuser:
Zenith
breaks 25 on vol ! it is ready

DangFlour
breaks 11 , on full bid
expect new 52 wk high brk out


FBN
breaks higher , expect new 52 wk high brk out

Ucap
break higher !
God bless the day I researched this stock kiss
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 11:26pm On Dec 02, 2017
Englishgold:
I thought he was a great investor with enough knowledge. But the way you shun him @myjoy shows you are somewhere trapped. Anyway, enjoy your difficult moment. you once deceived me to buy Diamond Bank and THANK You later last April and landed in mess instead. Enjoy your hard times.This is NSE for you.
grin grin grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 5:31am On Dec 02, 2017
straffing:
I have a hunch you are not in the Fidelity train going by the sound-bite of your post. I would not know other better reasons ( maybe price volatility by your reasoning) that will be considered in opting for a particular stock other than good dividend payment history and a growing EPS. Those two variables are clearly on the side of Fidelity bank. It does appear that you mis- timed the market and missed the opportunity to a position.
Im sorry am this direct.
Guess you are quoting me. Go check my posting history. I don't need to be in a stock to comment about it. I'm currently in DF and don't plan leaving it anytime soon and guess what, I'm not in it because of dividend.

Go check my earlier prediction on CI Leasing and Carverton.

I study the market and my posts are what I think of the market at the time of my posting. I don't have any unit of Fidelity, never planned to buy, not planning to buy in the future. Sorry my post hurt u. Ok?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 12:02pm On Dec 01, 2017
bigjay01:
Oh boy carry time with this your epistle! No just spoil market for me. Everyone mut pay their school fees. That is the way the cookie has always crumbled! Greater fool theory is a very established fact.

However, one thing i will never do is hunt monkeys.
You are different. What about others we have seen on this thread? Anyway, I'm just doing my good deed for today. Happy sallah
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 11:44am On Dec 01, 2017
Standardguy:
With the expected further crash in interest rate next year and FGN decision to settle completely a percentage of maturing Treasury bills, the dividend payout by coys yearly may be higher than the interest received that year on the amount invested. Looking carefully, future investors will be asking where they were when prices where as low as they are today and when DMO starts settling treasury bills rate may go down to low or mid single digit.
Also, most of the coys you see today with some struggling to survive will become more profitable as they will have more cheaper funds turn their businesses around (which is the reason FGN is deciding tobcrash rates) hence more dividend resulting from lower interest.
Good guy. You got my point completely. But note that the herd effect will also affect moribund companies with bad corporate governance and all other negative factors. So it's important to invest in companies that will not packup when the bears come in future. And don't forget that the market moves in crest and troughs. So it may take 7years of plenty but famine will still show up one day.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 11:14am On Dec 01, 2017
Toluway:
Are you saying Good Financials History of good Dividend Payment are not enough to make Fidelity and Afriprud good stocks? ?
They are anough and I never labeled them as bad stocks if you read carefully. What I'm saying is given our environment and short term nature in this country, you will wake up to find out that you are the only one in a bus traveling to a destination that is different from what is on your booking ticket. Capisce?
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 10:51am On Dec 01, 2017
Agbalowomeri:
Is this when they exit? In fact, I am coming to beat you up for wrong information. Show your address
Some exit before then. Sorry I omitted that part grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 10:32am On Dec 01, 2017
I normally don't like posting in bullish periods because of the popular knowledge that everyone becomes an expert in such periods.

But I feel obliged to give some thoughts to newbies as they pay their NSE fees.

What is suddenly moving the market? Why are prices going up generally? The answer is simple. No more 18%+ interest in Treasury Bill. No more 16%+ interest in Bonds. All the monies that left the market as a result of the sudden increase of interest rates at the peak of our recession is returning back to the stock market. This is good for the market but has a very big disadvantage to inexperienced traders. Why? Because all the stocks will appreciate in price cool Will they remain so? No huh Why? Because investors will soon discern the good stocks from the bad and hence offload the bad to unfortunate hands who will then hold them through the bearish period or sell at a loss lipsrsealed

In all this, it is important to know everything about the company you are buying their shares, what is in it for you, what is moving their price and most importantly, your exit plan when poo hits the fan. I give you an example, what's special about Fidelity Bank? Is their numbers the best in the banking index? No cheesy then why is everyone looking their way right now? huh Simply because they declare good dividend historically. Now, you follow the band wagon, buy Fidelity because of this fact, not planning your trade. After the dividend play and ex-dividend date, the players will exit and this will pull back the price. Why? It will no longer be fruitful to hold Fidelity until the next dividend period chikena.

Another of such company is Afriprud. These are even companies with good financials o. So what happens to you if you had gone ahead to buy caverton because the price is rising with the general bull? Or CI Leasing? Or even Skyehuh

Anyway, I'm in my house. If my opinion annoyed you, come and beat me grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 10:08am On Nov 17, 2017
I laugh when pple make some drastic comments about stocks just in a bid to drive down the price in other for them to position. If you want to be successful in NSE, it's simple. Be your own boss and avoid herd mentality. Conduct your due diligence and forget about price flunctuations. Set your targets and revise them as more reports come in.

I'm not were I want to be yet but I know God willing, I will get there in terms of stock studies and trend analysis. I have increased my holdings in Dangote flour and I pity those selling because of the comments on this forum.

Before you sell, consider the commission on sales and the commission it will cost you to buy the same quantity of shares again. Then consider the current holders of the stock. What if they are not WILLING to sell even with your bid? Will you shoot them?

Anyways, every mallam with his kettle
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 10:58pm On Nov 12, 2017
richie9093:
As promised, here are the links for the movies, documentary and series. Sorry for being a little bit late.

Billions Season 1: www.gomovies.to/film/billions-season-1-8817/

Billions Season 2: www.gomovies.to/film/billions-season-2-19342/

Too Big To Fail: www.gomovies.to/film/too-big-to-fail-9715/

Wolf Of Wall Street: www.gomovies.to/film/the-wolf-of-wall-street-2777/

Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps: www.gomovies.to/film/wall-street-money-never-sleeps-4295/

The Big Short: www.gomovies.to/film/the-big-short-7619/

Trading Places: www.gomovies.to/film/trading-places-18654/

Margin Call: www.gomovies.to/film/margin-call-3830/

You'll need IDM (Internet Download Manager) or any other application similar to IDM to download them. I would have dropped the torrent links but I don't know how savvy people on here are, as that one is a bit more complicated.

Let me know if there's anything else smiley.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 12:19pm On Nov 09, 2017
locodemy:
The guy who told me i am deceiving newbiews should now watch out for NUMBERS.Nobody can deceive NUMBERS.
For me,with the help of currentprice i am making money with NUMBERS.
That guy might be right. Let me tell you a little about myself.

I joined NSE in 2007 through Rolex securities (folded now).

Was heavily loaded on Bagco and PHB as at the day they were delisted. Only God saved me from Japaul as my bank refused to remit my money during their IPO in 2007.

Its not about buying a stock. Anybody can do that if you know what to do.
Its about selling the same stock when the chips are down wink

A likely scenario in this waking up of Caverton is that newbies will jump in, then the experienced hand will sell to them only for the newbies to find out the have nobody to sell to lipsrsealed Then caverton will not declare dividend shocked hence no motivation to continue holding the shares huh Then they will get tired and sell at a loss to the experts again cool
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 9:08pm On Oct 30, 2017
yinka2011:
oga, no offense but your info is wrong. This is the correct top gainers and top decliners of today - direct from easykobo
Bro. The way u are trying to lure bnsitl to this your easykobo site is appalling and beginning to piss me off. Hardly do you make a post here without refering to the shitty site. Now, i have made up my mind that even with a berretta poimted to my skull, i will never visit it.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 2:27pm On Oct 30, 2017
1
sellydion:
DF deal should be a balm.

Indomie( Sanjay): Alhaji, I learnt you want to sell the noodle line of biz

Alhaji: Yes my Indian friends, are you interested.


Sanjay : We are very much interested we need to consolidate our position as no1 in Nigeria.

Alhaji: That is right we will surely sell to you if we agree.

Sanjay: Why not Alhaji?

Alhaji: Sanjay, can you pay N3.2b for the line hope you have inspected it.

Sanjay: Hum. this is okay but we can't cough out such money else we collapse our cash flow

Sanjay: Can you allow us to pay over 7 years

Alhaji: 7 years too much, okay based on some conditions

Sanjay: Alhaji lets know your terms, we are willing.

Alhaji: 1. You become our strategic partner, DF will supply flour at best and competitive price to all your manufacturing plants .

2. Any amount not paid per term will attract interest of 2%

Sanjay: This will be a strategic move for us and you. We will continue to maintain our no 1 in Nigeria.
DF flour sales will also increase beating competitors. The deal is sealed.
suspected this too
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 10:07am On Oct 30, 2017
Mpeace:
I am here sir, and humbled. Can't help but congratulate on ur loot. You were right, cash from the sale of the noodle section reflected in the q3 result. Ride on sir.
*handshake* i go remember you
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 9:54am On Oct 30, 2017
Where's Mpeace, ma nigga? angry angry grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 9:44pm On Oct 28, 2017
Points to note from the screenshots attached.

1. Retain earnings is now in positive of over 1.4billion. Hence dividend is assured if they put up this same feat in the next 3months.

2. The noodles transaction has been concluded and recognised. Hence the jump in profit from the noodles department to .844billion.

So we can value DF as or more than DS.

Fair price between N14-16. No longer selling again

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 8:57pm On Oct 28, 2017
tritritri:
The bear was much on friday..
There's this house i have been eyeing. Told dangote to make 20m for me b4 December so i can buy it with my profit. Guess what, i am already in profit of close to 22m as at friday.

Just wanna sit back and enjoy this Christmas that came early

Glory be to God
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 5:00pm On Oct 27, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 5:00pm On Oct 27, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 4:59pm On Oct 27, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 4:59pm On Oct 27, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 4:58pm On Oct 27, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 4:57pm On Oct 27, 2017
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Cadillac15(m): 2:20pm On Oct 27, 2017

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