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Casualobserver's Posts

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Politics › Re: ADC Releases 2027 Timetable, Fixes May 25 For Presidential Primary by casualobserver: 2:56pm On May 03
I am sorry for anyone contesting under ADC. If you don’t leave now and you lose the case, you are screwed! If you leave now and Bala and co are settled and withdraw their case, you can’t come back to ADC.
Politics › Re: 'Struggle not over' - Atiku reacts to Supreme Court Judgement on ADC leadership by casualobserver:
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Politics › Re: 'Struggle not over' - Atiku reacts to Supreme Court Judgement on ADC leadership by casualobserver: 9:47pm On Apr 30
ogododo:
Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar has warned Nigerians against celebrating too early, despite the Supreme Court’s affirmation of Senator David Mark as leader of the African Democratic Congress (ADC), saying the real political battle still lies ahead.

The message marks a shift from legal victory to political mobilisation, as the opposition moves to convert courtroom success into momentum ahead of the 2027 elections.

In a statement, Atiku cast the ruling as both a validation of the party’s leadership and a call for sustained national resolve.


https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1KUH2UFoRt/
ADC has come with their deception. The Supreme Court did not affirm the David Mark leadership. It merely removed the status quo order.
Politics › Re: The Implications Of The Supreme Court Judgement On ADC Matter by casualobserver: 9:36pm On Apr 30
fergie001:
I can't support Wike on anything, I rather support Bala Gombe 😂
After a Tinubu leaves office, I can’t see any politician currently in the political space I will leave my house to vote for except Wike.
Politics › Re: Ibadan Convention: Uncompromised PDP faction reacts to Supreme Court Judgement by casualobserver: 9:33pm On Apr 30
Having now heard from Wike and others. The court did not make any judgement regarding Anyanwu. They could not have because the issue was never part of the case at the high court, you cannot introduce new issues at the appeal court or Supreme Court.

Wike is fully in charge of PDP. Sam Anyanwu is national secretary!
Politics › Re: BREAKING: Supreme Court Hands Over PDP Back To Seyi Makinde Group by casualobserver: 9:05pm On Apr 30
PROPHETmichael:
Whichever way the judgement fall, it still would have been victory for Tinubu and Wike, because the whole idea is to create an opposition party that will split the opposition’s votes. The next step now is for the PDP to merge with ADC.
PDP is not merging with any ADC. I don’t understand why people cant see beyond their noses. The main power brokers in what is left of PDP right now are Saraki, Wike, Lamido and Makonde. Saraki, Wike and possibly Lamido are positioning for 2031. It is not in their interest to help Atiku or Obi to the presidency at the expense of their own ambitions. For them, a PDP in sleep mode for 2027 suits them. Then they can come out guns blazing in 2031 when Obi and Atiku are politically retired and Tinubu is also not on the ballot.


Why would you go through all this to hand the ticket to 2 deserters who destroyed your party? The only major player in PDP willing to work with ADC is Makinde and really he has nothing to offer except a war chest.
Politics › Re: Breaking: Supreme Court Restores David Mark-led ADC Leadership by casualobserver: 8:40pm On Apr 30
seunmsg:
The Supreme Court actually dismissed David Mark's appeal as the leave of court was not obtained. As a result, the appeal is incompetent and whatever decision was made in respect of the preservatory order by the Supreme Court has no force of law. Basically, all parties will return to the Federal High court for a decision on the matter. So, the status quo remains. Let's stop misinterpreting the judgement and misleading the people.
And that status quo has been overtaking by yesterdays judgement and court order. Both of which have NOT been set aside!

Politics › Re: Ante Bellum: ADC Supporters Celebrate At The Supreme Court (video) by casualobserver:
When the one eyed man leads the blind, the blind know not what they are celebrating.

Honestly you must really be devoid of a lot of grey matter to follow the ADC.

I have said it many times, if I was a supporter of the opposition I would be very angry with them for the manner in which they have bungled my support. Not only snatching defeat from the jaws of victory in 2023 but failing to learn from their errors and continuing with their anyhowness! ……but then if I can support this lot I’m probably not too bright myself!

1: Atiku faction. How do my ou buy a party that had 13 legal cases, how do you buy a party without reading their constitution? Where was your due diligence?
2: Obidient faction. How do you jump from a party you control to become an afterthought in a party despite having 6m votes. How do you leave the security of LP knowing you were the beautiful bride without securing certain commitments? Party Chairman…not you, secretary….not you. VP slot not you, presidential slot not you….so what are you doing there? How can you be so reckless with the hopes of 6m suppprters?
Politics › Re: Ibadan Convention: Uncompromised PDP faction reacts to Supreme Court Judgement by casualobserver: 7:51pm On Apr 30
I have not really followed PDP and their wahala but I will wait until the Wike faction speaks. It is usually the faction that is on the right sideof the law.
Politics › Re: ADC: Supreme Court Upholds David Mark's Appeal, nullifies ante bellum judgement by casualobserver:
My advice to anyone seeking election in the David Mark faction of ADC is to go and find and register yourself in a party without yawa within the next 10 days! May 10 is the deadline!

You will just work for nothing!

Current state of the law taking the combined effect of yesterday and todays judgement.

Mark faction is illegal, ADC Congress was illegal, whereas previous decision was of its own volition, INEC is now ordered and bound by a court order not to recognize the outcome of that Congress or the David Mark led faction.

Todays judgement has not vacated the court order to INEC. Todays judgement has no effect on yesterdays court judgement!

Politics › Re: ADC: Supreme Court Upholds David Mark's Appeal, nullifies ante bellum judgement by casualobserver:
maestroferddi:
You are trying to console yourself so we can relate...

What was the judgement of yesterday, if I may ask?

You are funny I have to say...

Why is it difficult for you to see that this latest judgement has made yesterday's hastily procured ruling an academic exercise?

Or is a Federal High Court now superior to the Supreme Court?

Whatever you are parading as a judgement stemmed from the obscure ruling of the Court of Appeal in asking that the status ante bellum be maintained instead striking out the reliefs sought for for fundamentally lacking merit.

The Supreme Court averred that the Court of Appeal was not supposed to have entertained jurisdiction over that case brought before it giving the legal precedence set by the apex court in sundry cases.
Cc: Maestroferddi &

Internal party affairs are non justiciable except in 3 circumstances
1: breach of electoral act
2: breach of court order
3/ breach of party constitution.

Many of you talk but have no idea what the actual judgement is.

Apart from this is you and your co travelers attended and paid attention in school you will realize the Supreme Court asked them to go back to the trial court. Why would the Supreme Court ask them to go back to a trial court if the matter at hand was an internal party affair?

What was the matter before the Supreme Court? Jurisdiction!

They will now go back to the federal high court and answer your matter.


Irrespective of the Supreme Court ruling. Yesterday the court declared the David Mark faction illegal and directed INEC not to recognize them. Until that is removed on appeal, the David Mark faction remains illegal!

The Supreme Court removed the status quo ante bel, it did not make a determination on whether they are legal or not. Nor did it reverse yesterdays judgement pronouncing them illegal. A court cannot determine a matter not before it.

Please you half educated people, the matter before the Supreme Court today was jurisdiction….not whether David Mark Faction is legal or not. The Supreme Court said go back to the high court and determine that matter.

Again let me stress, a court has declared them
Illegal and instructed INEC no to recognize them. Until the judgement from that court is overturned, David’s Mark’s faction is not recognized in Law.

Also bear in mind. May 10 is the deadline for submission of party register. If your name is not in a party’s register of members by May 10, you can’t contest in that party and you can’t be a member of 2 parties.

So go and contemplate your future. Anyone contesting under David Mark faction of ADC is wasting his time. If you win, the court will later determine your candidacy invalid.

Politics › Re: ADC: Supreme Court Upholds David Mark's Appeal, nullifies ante bellum judgement by casualobserver: 5:19pm On Apr 30
OgwuEgo:
That's a lower court the supreme Court is the highest.
Many of you need to go back to school. The matter before the supreme court is different from the matter that was decided yesterday. Until the judgement of yesterday is reversed on appeal, todays judgement is largely irrelevant.
Politics › Re: ADC: Supreme Court Upholds David Mark's Appeal, nullifies ante bellum judgement by casualobserver: 5:17pm On Apr 30
Comments here show just how poorly educated our so called educated Nigerians are.


The supermen court says return to the federal high court and answer the case. All they did was remove the ante-belum order. But that is now irrelevant because the David mark leadership was declared invalid yesterday.
Politics › Re: Lagos 2027: Jandor Withdraws From Governorship Race by casualobserver: 3:09pm On Apr 30
You bought form today after GAC endorsed a candidate and withdrew tomorrow. These politicians need to stop insulting our intelligence and if they continue we need to stop giving them airtime.
Politics › Re: 2027: De-register ADC, ZLP, Accord Party, others - AGF Fagbemi tells Court by casualobserver: 12:16pm On Apr 30
Macphenson:
Even the AGF cannot hide his bias and bigotry. Just imagine the kind of people we have in power. One thing am happy today is that power is transient. Malami is a testament.
Excuse me, is he breaking the law or enforcing the law?

If he is breaking the law please tell us what law he is breaking?
Politics › Re: Kwankwasiyya Visits Obidient Headquarters, Signals 2027 Collaboration by casualobserver:
The will split the votes again and Tinubu will win, the only difference is that this time Tinubu will get 12m votes.

Obi has no brain cells. Kwakwanso is using him to keep his name in the spotlight. Kwakwanso’s real target in 2031. If you were Kwakwanso, what would you do knowing full well you can’t defeat Atiku and if Atiku wins you can’t take over from him? You’d convince a man with a low IQ and no capacity for strategic thinking with a large followership, to run knowing he can’t win but knowing it will give you exposure and hopefully endear you to his 6m supporters ahead of 2031 when no southerner will contest.

Be under no illusions, I have said this many times, apart from Atiku every Northern politician with an ambition to be president sees Atiku as a threat to that ambition and wants Tinubu to win. A Tinubu victory retires Atiku politically and leaves 2031 a clear uncontested level playing field in 2031 for aspirants from the North. As a northerner, after Buhari and Atiku, everyone else is on the same level
Politics › Re: Ogun 2027: We Endorse You 100 percent - Aliko Dangote To Senator Adeola (Video) by casualobserver: 9:19am On Apr 30
Outside of Lagos, his biggest business investment is in Ogun state. If you like don’t secure your investments.
Politics › Re: Peter Obi, Kwankwaso Ticket Can’t Give ADC Numbers – NWC Member, Oladimeji by casualobserver: 9:15am On Apr 30
Biggeststar01:
Not really. Every opinion on the 2027 election is based on emotions and preferences. Your analysis itself is an emotional display. Insisting that a candidate should not and cannot be elected is drawn from emotions. Emotional people are always certain. A candidate that is sure about his popularity doesn’t need glitches to win.

Difference between me and you is, you want Peter Obi anywhere but in Aso rock. I, however, want Tinubu to sit up, or be replaced by Obi or anyone else.

If Tinubu wins, I’ll still be here, nothing spoil. If Obi wins you’d likely change your account and disappear for a while, because you have displayed fatuous overconfidence by insisting on a reality you cannot deliver.
You clearly wouldn’t recognize data based analysis since by your own admission every opinion is based on emotion. I don’t have time to interact with emotional people so let’s wait till the 2027 elections. Since you have admitted your submissions are emotional, engaging you further adds no value to the topic or to my life.

Since you have nothing but emotional comments to make, I see you disturbing my Mentions, I block you. Like I said come back in 2027.
Car Talk › Re: What's Your Car's Current Fuel Efficiency Ratio (MPG)? by casualobserver: 5:31pm On Apr 29
tosyne2much:
This is very objective 👍

When people talk about fuel economy, they start talking about injector, nossle, 02 sensor, catalyst, spark plugs without talking about driving habit

In fact, driving habit can even significantly reduce the fuel consumption of a car that is said to be a fuel gruzzler
As a matter of fact, during the 1970s Fuel crisis in the USA, a national speed limit of 55mph (<90kph) came into force to force drivers to consume less fuel. The law was only abolished in the early 1990s. And at one point all American spec cars no matter how powerful had a maximum speedometer reading of 85mph or ~ 140km/h. Not that the car couldn’t do more but it wouldn’t read above 85mph to discourage drivers.
Car Talk › Re: What's Your Car's Current Fuel Efficiency Ratio (MPG)? by casualobserver:
joromii:
I don't see how you'll drive a 3.7L V6 and get 25mpg with the AC on in Lagos. Maybe in interstate travelling, that can work
The problem with most Nigerians is 1) they were not properly taught how to drive and 2) petrol had been very cheap so they have developed very bad and fuel inefficient driving habits 3) most don’t understand the physics of motion.

80% of the fuel you burn is to overcome inertia from standstill. Once a car is in motion you require very little fuel to maintain your speed. This applies to all cars up to about 100km/h and quite frankly there are very few roads or road conditions in Lagos that warrant you traveling above 100km/h. However if you drive without regard to the road conditions ahead of you, you will find yourself constantly accelerating and braking. You can go from one traffic light to another and only need to accelerate or brake once or you can drive like a typical Nigerian and accelerate and brake 5 times. There are cars ahead of you, you accelerate like a mad man, you move 10-30m and you have to brake….that’s why your consumption is high and you keep changing your brake pads. A knowledgeable person never goes above the speed warranted by the general traffic conditions he is in. He rarely has to press his brake and most times all that is required a gentle press on the accelerator.

Try the same route tommorow and instead of looking at your Speedo, look at your rev counter, don’t accelerate dramatically if the road in front of you is not free. Try and drive in such a way as you minimize the number of times you press your brake and your rev counter is roughly @1500. You will be shocked!!

AC is not the reason your consumption is high, it’s bad driving habits, constantly accelerating hard beyond what is warranted by the road conditions.

Think of a car like a fridge with an old style compressor. E.G a 250w fridge, Each time you turn on the fridge, you can draw up to 1200w just to start the compressor. Once it starts and settles, consumption drops to 250w, it can even drop to below that once it achieves the set temperature but if you keep switching it off and on, every time it restarts the compressor will draw 1200w. That’s how a car works. You need more energy to get it to a certain speed that to maintain it at that speed.

Finally another thing. Put your hand out of the window with your palm facing the wind. The higher your speed the higher the force of the wind against your palm and hence the more the wind resistance the car has to overthe more petrol you are burning to overcome that wind force against you. You start to feel that heavy force at about 100-120km/h. That’s why when you travel at say
160/170km/h you can burn twice the petrol of someone traveling at 100km/h.
Car Talk › Re: What's Your Car's Current Fuel Efficiency Ratio (MPG)? by casualobserver: 10:47am On Apr 29
OkanlawonB:
Converted to Liters per 100 kilometers, 16.2 mpg is 14.5Liters/100kilometers.

This your engine na Gbese.
Many Nigerians don’t know how to drive a car efficiently. Every small gap in the road they accelerate hard only to brake ( rinse repeat) and as such burn more petrol than they need to.

I can drive that car on the same route and get at least 25mpg and arrive at the destination no more than 1 minute later.
Politics › Re: Tinubu Fears The North; He's So Scared Of Northern Nigeria - Deji Adeyanju by casualobserver: 10:42am On Apr 29
Dailybellz:
Tinubu only fears the North and northern leaders as far as 2027 is concerned. They are so scared northern Nigeria are planning to surprise him which is why all the fear of ADC. There is no one in southern Nigeria that worries him. He thinks the North want to give him GEJ treatment.

You mean Ayo Fayose’s candidate for 2027 and the obidients, lol. Only northern Nigeria can stop Tinubu from rigging the 2027 election if they decide to oppose him. Forget about southern Nigeria, it’s gone. The North only hears go when they decide and not come. They have too much capacity.
Honestly, Deji Adeyanhju is a very unintelligent man!
Romance › Re: Man Dump Lady After Her Family Gave Him Ridiculous Marriage List by casualobserver: 5:41pm On Apr 28
did I see 5 fat cows?
Politics › Re: Exposed! Senator Ireti Kingibe Collected $65,000 For A Contract That Never Exist by casualobserver: 5:23pm On Apr 28
a new Nigeria is possible people!
Politics › Re: Rejoinder To; "Support For Obi Tribalistic"( Shehu Sani) By Atsenokhai Aloy by casualobserver: 5:09pm On Apr 28
whoever wrote the article is being manipulative. Most ibos reside outside the SE so to say because he got 67% outside of the SE, therefore his support is not tribal is an attempt at manipulating the figures.

The very fact that a man like Obi can be put forward as a presidential candidate is in itself tribal. Evidence that tribe matters more than competence.
Politics › Re: Peter Obi, Kwankwaso Ticket Can’t Give ADC Numbers – NWC Member, Oladimeji by casualobserver: 4:44pm On Apr 28
@Biggeststar01
some things are obvious. the problem with Nigerians is they dont think but instead are guided by their hearts, desires and emotions and ignore what is so obvious and staring them in the face.

I made this post before a single Northern governor defected and I said NO northern Governor will support Atiku. even his own state, The governor left PDP and instead of following him to ADC he went to APC!

you people just need to start looking at things without emotions.

casualobserver:
Think about it. You are a northern governor (irrespective of party), why would you support Atiku to take away your ambition when if you wait 4 years you could be president? Who are the people that control delegates again? Exactly the governors! Better understand that Northern governors of both PDP and APc will support Tinubu in 2027 because it is not in their interest for Atiku to be president.
Politics › Re: Peter Obi, Kwankwaso Ticket Can’t Give ADC Numbers – NWC Member, Oladimeji by casualobserver:
Biggeststar01:
Nairaland political analyst. Ok, I have time today.

1. In a normal circumstance, a political candidate usually loses support after becoming the incumbent regardless of how they perform. This is especially true if there is a deviation between what they promised vs what they delivered (of course there are exceptions). This is the usual eventuality.

2. Tinubu has lost more support than all potential ADC aspirants. He has definitely lost support in the north, especially the central north. He never won down south and this is likely going to repeat itself, unless the usual alternative path to victory is utilized. I honestly don’t know where APC fans get their confidence from. Even Tinubu doesn’t act this cocky.

3. If El Rufai had remained in APC and Kwankwaso decided to join in, you probably would have seen this as proof that the “north is secured”. However, if the three major northern elites in ADC rn decided to back one candidate, what happened in 2014 would likely repeat itself.

4. The myth that the north is a political monolith, with constituents that have no direction of their own. Completely indivisible and having no factions, has been exposed as false over time. I don’t see why people still persist on it. The opinion of the northerner from Plateau, differs from the one from Kano, which also differs from the one residing in Adamawa, Benue, kaduna etc. they’re not the same, they don’t reason alike.
The fact that their opinions seem to align sometimes doesn’t mean they always agree.
Note: When I say the north, I mean it’s people, not its elites. By the way, an APC spokesperson taught me this as he dismissed El rufai’s desertion as inconsequential. Before you start contradicting yourselves.

5. There’s a reason out of a few potential candidates, APC chose to single out one man. This is the first time in history where minsters leave their duties to slander a political candidate. The fact that the APC prefers an opposition led by Atiku instead of Obi proves they know who can unseat T-bobo.

6. Very few Nigerians will base the 2027 on ethnicity and religion. This alone, breaks your pattern.
i had debates like this before the 2023 election. everything...i repeat everything i said turned out to be. Even down to to Go and examine my post history if you like. These days I dont have time for engagements on nairaland because I find most are emotional.

We have less than a year. save my post and come back to me in 2027 if you find I was wrong.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Iran Says US No Longer In The Position To Dictate Policy To Other Nations by casualobserver:
Angelfrost:
They had a choice to be diplomatic and more strategic... At least get other nations on board.
America is on the brink of bankruptcy. what diplomacy? Diplomacy assumes you believe this is about Nuclear weapons..it's not! Let me tell you something about Nuclear weapons...nobody is ever going to use them because it assures your own destruction. Its about the US economy and US debt. do nothing they collapse, they had to try something. what they are trying to do is to secure as much of the worlds Oil producers as possible not because they need the Oil but to control the currency the oil is sold.

The petrodollar keeps the world awash with dollars, those dollars you earn when you sell oil end up in the US financial system as Oil producing countries with excess dollars buy US debt and equities. Demand for US debt keeps interest rates low. The US economy is predicated on low interest rates. Both the ability of the Americans to finance a lifestyle beyond their means and for the govt to continue to borrow. The US economy is a ponzi scheme. Everu ponzi scheme requires frsh money to keep the payments to the early investors, when new money stops coming in, the pyramid collapses....thats also why they are called pyramid schemes.

We would have been next...or will be next. Trump hasnt been showing interest in Nigeria because he likes Christians. its not about minerals or Oil but the dollar.

do you know what it means to be $40T in debt? what it means to have $9T of debt due this year? what it means to face refinancing $9T you borrowed at 1% at today's rate of 4%? Now do you know what it means to try to execute that in an environment where people are selling oil in other currencies other than the dollar?

i am not a fan of the US and I dont like Trump. i am trying to explain to you that there is actually rationality behind the madness. It was their only option to save the US economy. If anything, the madness and lack of composure in the behaviour of the US tells you how bad a shape the US economy is in.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Iran Says US No Longer In The Position To Dictate Policy To Other Nations by casualobserver: 3:57pm On Apr 28
Angelfrost:
America has never been this ridiculed by a smaller nation in history...!

Trump and his cabinet should never have started this war... It was so ill-advised.
they didnt have a choice.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Iran Says US No Longer In The Position To Dictate Policy To Other Nations by casualobserver: 3:56pm On Apr 28
UAE has quit OPEC effective May 1

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