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Chimex38's Posts

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InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 12:01pm On Sep 10, 2025
OBAGADAFFI:
They cannot adapt because the GSM(Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) licence is for the FEW BIG PLAYERS with national coverage.
That GSM(Mobile Network Operators (MNOs) licence gave them massive leverage over smaller CDMA telcos.

No CDMA company can get the Licence, even VISAFONE, which came laterr, was bought over by MTN.
Buy shares within your competitors..
Leadway insurance does it to other insurance firms.

Most tech companies do as well.
So if your business seem crash and your competitors skyrockets. You could use returns of your investments to adapt.
That's his angle.
Not necessarily buying a licence.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 6:37am On Sep 09, 2025
Frangel:
There is no rule tying publicly listed companies to 50 kobo nominal value. Most listed companies' share capital have 50kobo nominal values. However, some have N2.00 nominal value (AxaMansard) and 20kobo (or 2kobo?) for MTN and InterBrew.

See share capital nominal values as currency denominations used in an economy.
Thanks for sharing more insight.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 10:18pm On Sep 08, 2025
Care4:
Is there any rule tying publicly listed companies to the 50 kobo nominal value? When will the NGX moved to ₦1 or so considering the economy?
I believe it's related to the minimum share price of a stock.


A stock with nominal value of ₦1(cost price) can go as low as ₦0.20k Selling price.
Selling price is far lower than cost price.

For NGX to move to ₦1, then the minimum selling price will also be raised as well.

Never bothered to find out though but that's what I think about it.
If the smallest companies are consistently above ₦1 selling price even in their worst days, probably they will do it..

Even with the economy, companies are still making EPS of 1-10k grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:56pm On Sep 08, 2025
Fred2020:
The Nigerian Exchange Limited (NGX) has suspended, effective September 1, 2025, the trading of shares in three insurance companies: Regency Alliance Insurance Plc, International Energy Insurance Plc, and Universal Insurance Plc.
you didn't get me..
Anytime their is a company suspension from NGX, at least an insurance company must make the list.

The day an insurance company does not make the list. That is the beginning of their Glory days.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 4:33pm On Sep 08, 2025
Fred2020:
Has probably been discussed here, but how common is it for insurance companies to be suspended?
The year no insurance company make a suspension list.

It's gonna be a new dawn for the sector. grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 11:55am On Sep 08, 2025
KarlTom:
PZ, NB an MB .
In Hindsight...
Science/TechnologyRe: Blood Moon: Nigeria, Other Nations To Witness Lunar Eclipse September 7 by chimex38: 8:13pm On Sep 07, 2025
lacastre:
Not yet that red for here
Red enough..
At least the Night is much brighter than normal.
Science/TechnologyRe: Blood Moon: Nigeria, Other Nations To Witness Lunar Eclipse September 7 by chimex38: 8:12pm On Sep 07, 2025
determination26:
I'm such a huge fan of stargazing and the likes, wish I had better equipment to capture this rare occurrence
Cool..

Here it's raining heavily☔
But it's obvious outside is brighter than usual at this time.

It's cool when scientists predictions come to pass.
Fascinates me, and I marvel at the power of numbers and calculations..
They are not all that gibberish.
Science/TechnologyRe: Blood Moon: Nigeria, Other Nations To Witness Lunar Eclipse September 7 by chimex38: 8:07pm On Sep 07, 2025
Who has seen or experienced the phenomenon.
post evidence.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:04am On Sep 07, 2025
MrSamsung:
The guaranteed dividends of preferred stocks, are the always above inflation, any experience?
I don't have experience. Just research and reading..
From deductive reasoning, i am not sure if it will always be above inflation. It will be relative to the profit of the company.

But they could be paid more than common shareholders in a given year or where common shareholders aren't paid at all sef.
also, they get first right of settlement incase of company liquidation or bankruptcy compared to common shareholders.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38:
MrSamsung:
At the bolded, I am very appreciative for the information because to me it makes no sense mentioning it if it was of no use for an investor. Maybe for the accountants it is useful.

I just google it now, company buy/sell it's preferred stocks at nominal value(please correct me more if I google it wrong)
Also, companies comes to the market to seek capital, through IPO or Right issue. internally, what happens is they convert some of their assets(previously unconverted) to shares. This passes through regulations and SEC before approval to avoid issuing more than what you have or ambiguous/undefined/leased assets, etc

For example,lets say company A bought a new asset at ₦70,000 current valuation and wants to issue it at shares to the public(PO) at ₦30 per share, it will be converted at its nominal value. That is:
₦70,000/₦0.50k= 140000 so 140,000 shares will be issued.

That is also why the ₦0.50k is always stated to show at what price it's assets were converted to shares..


But nevertheless such shares will be purchase at its Real Value;(
selling price at the NGX or listed price if its public Offer(PO) or Right offer price(RO)).
In this example case, OS purchased @ ₦30(Real Value)

Also, if you go to the equity section of any financial statement,
Share capital is made up of OS X nominal Value
(OS X ₦0.50k).
It makes sense because this is the actual amount the assets were divided to issue the shares in the first place
(as shown above).

Share Premium
on the other hand is now
(Real price -Nominal price) X OS
For the given example above, share premium= (₦30-₦0.50) X 140,000= ₦29.5 X 140,000 OS =₦4,130000

Both addition of share Premium and share capital make up the equity Capital of a company.

Most people will tell you forget that nominal price(₦0.50k) as a common shareholder or investor but focus on the real price("₦30" ) as the case may be which is understandable as you may not need it in your money making venture. Usually rests with the company management and their accountants.
But you seem curious. smiley
few others might benefit.


https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Real_and_nominal_value

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:13am On Sep 07, 2025
MrSamsung:
At the bolded, I am very appreciative for the information because to me it makes no sense mentioning it if it was of no use for an investor. Maybe for the accountants it is useful.

I just google it now, company buy/sell it's preferred stocks at nominal value(please correct me more if I google it wrong)
Yes. But they are guaranteed dividend. unless they convert to common shares.
I was as curious as you are as well, some yrs ago so I researched as well.
that's when I came across preferred shares. I am no expert.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38:
MrSamsung:
Thanks. I know all this already but I only asked when the English statement used is not clear/simple and straightforward because my curious and alert mind is always asking: "is there something I am missing perhaps a secret profitable deal(s) or opportunities I am not using or maximizing"

For example in your case when you mentioned "except co-founders", your statement was simple and straightforward but not clear without inserting a timeline(only possible timeline). So if I were a co-founder, with your "except co-founders" statement, I wanted to jump on the opportunity.

On the other hand I don't consider myself as I-too-know even on the things that I know, that'swhy I asked(though at times the questions might sound unreasonable/stupid with those who view it as common knowledge that you should know). Also other reasons eg. knowledge gets updated and we have to unlearn and relearn. Because at the end of the day with reminders and being reminded, we are persuaded or convinced even in the things that we do know.

Once again thanks
I think this has to do with preferred shares or company shares of some sort.

1) Shares held by preferred shareholders are not part of issued shares(OS) we generally see. So shareholders fund are not diluted when preferred shares are issued.
2) Companies statements under equity shows those that have preferred shares or company(treasury) shares.

3)Preferred shares are paid fixed dividends every year
Unlike you and I that are common shareholders.

4) Preferred shareholders have no voting rights at meetings unlike common shareholders.

5) Common shareholders may not get shares dividends every yr if a company makes loss but preferred shareholders will get the accumulated dividends shares they've lost if the company resumes payment over the years.
preferred shareholders might be paid from retained earnings but common shareholders may not at companies discretion.
6)The preferred shares are usually very large and usually held on for a life(HODL) like founding members or some form of sentimental or strategic value to holders.

TO ANSWER YOUR MAIN QUESTION!!
6) Irrespective of current share price(SP) of a company, MOST Preferred shares are sold at the nominal value if the owners want to sell(₦0.50k).
They can't sell at the appreciated price of the stocks.

Please fact check me...
May be wrong on some.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:21pm On Sep 06, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
Presco can't get a loan at 35%, even little me get loans at 26% to 29%.

Dividend payout ratio of Presco is currently about 60% up from 40%, and the 5 years compounded annualized earning growth rate is over 35%.

The dividend payout ratio of Nahco is 90% and their 5 year compounded annualized earning growth rate is about 40%.

Please let the shareholders breath, dividends don't lie.

We want our companies to keep on paying us our dividends


We can always reinvest our dividends or use it to diversify our investments
I think you guys are on the same side.
Over time, he's saying a company that has a good capital allocator in management(PRESCO) with less payout ratio from earnings in 2019-2020ss relative to OKOMU that pays out more %rate in dividend from their earnings(2019-2024). can go on to do a huge EPS turnover in 2024/2025 due to ROIC
(as you often say) and economics-of-scale and thus surpass Capital appreciation multiples and probably dividends in comparison to the former(OKOMU) that consistently pays out higher dividend rates with little reinvested profit compared to PRESCO in the early 2020s.

He also alluded this to BETAGLAS that was stagnat few yrs ago due to more compounding of profits as reinvested capital with little dividend payout.

Overtime in 2025. The shareprice has done multiple baggers and even more payout ratio for those who HODL the shares during the so called stagnation and poor payout yrs.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:07pm On Sep 06, 2025
starpower:
You are right to some extent, but there’s another point of view. If a company like Okomu makes revenue of ₦1,000, with net profit of ₦200 (which is impressive) and free cash flow of ₦150, but is currently trying to increase its palm oil refining capacity by 100%, it will need about ₦600 in capital expenditure over the next three years.

Do you think it’s better they reinvest earnings, or take loans at the current 35% interest rate? If there’s an opportunity to reinvest earnings at impressive rates of return, it’s usually better to let good quality management reinvest in the business. In four years’ time (not even factoring inflation), Okomu could potentially double earnings due to economies of scale from higher refining capacity and upgraded machinery. If the market assigns the right earnings multiple, you could easily have 3x your current purchase price — sometimes even 10x, like Beta Glass for those who bought in 2023.

The key is having a good capital allocator in management, running a business that consistently earns above-market returns on capital employed, and having a long horizon to grow. With that combination, you can have 1000× sef.

For context: I got Presco at an average small unit of ₦42, and Okomu at ₦68. But note this — Presco reinvested more earnings back into the business, while Okomu paid out more dividends. Those dividends have compounded well from 2020 till date. Now imagine if Presco had Okomu’s current earnings multiples — Okomu has gone 15×, while Presco has gone 35×.

So, to correct your assertion: quality stocks compound at a greater rate than real estate. Real estate mostly depreciates, and rental income often just covers repairs. You mainly make capital gains due to inflation. But a stock in a quality business — with high returns on invested capital, great management, strong pricing power, and a durable economic moat — doesn’t need to pay dividends. It’s better for such a company to keep compounding earnings.

I actually learnt this late, but I’m now making better choices after understanding. For example, ₦300k invested in 2020 compounding 35× is now ₦10m. Compare that to a 10% yield dividend stock — ₦30k yearly × 5 years = ₦150k, maybe the stock goes 4× after, so you end up with ₦1.35m (and that’s before deducting 10% withholding tax!).
You make a great point.
Thanks
IslamRe: What Non-muslim Scholars Said About Prophet Muhammed (PBUH)! by chimex38: 12:08pm On Sep 05, 2025
CorperKola:
Depends on which testament yeah
Our friends that are stuck in the old testament
We can see how they treat their neighbours
They are jews then.
Even both the Saducees & Pharisees from the NT are stuck in the Old Testament.
Meaning, they are jews.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:31am On Sep 05, 2025
Panadee:
Happy Holidays!!!

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2025/09/fg-makes-tax-identification-mandatory-for-banking-allied-services/

Meanwhile, get your TINs ready for banking, stock trading, etc from the 1st of January next year.
I wonder how this will affect our Naija brethren in the diaspora with stakes in the NGX.
I think getting BVN and NIN for them back then was a big hassle.

I hope FG makes it easier this time around or they'll end up creating lots of dormant accounts, make TIN no turn to passport renewal process cry
It's been done already. It's called Non-Residential BVN (nrBVN).
https://nibss-plc.com.ng/nrbvn/

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:13am On Sep 05, 2025
Hogwarthtrades:
It's a matter of when not if. Global oil consumption would slowly fall off. China per usual would likely be the first to make a major impact going off how the oil consumption in that country have started to stall.Next step, slow to sharp fall in coming years.

So far China energy projection is looking at cutting off about 10 million barrels per day from it's consumption in 2 decades. My money would be probably by end of the next decade at the current rate they are moving. The question becomes what industry in alternative energy space is able to build it's capacity to ensure it absorb that much capacity?

Three sectors that should absorb the crude oil and derivative demand while switching to clean energy (using china as a base case) :
I. Electric Vehicles; from agriculture to every facet of logistics you can think of. Aviation industry may be a tough nut to crack (Palm kennel oil as sustainable fuel may be a serious contender)
II. Wind, solar,
III.Nuclear
IV. Honorable mention metallurgical coal.
The approach for searching for areas to invest is to look into public companies in industries listed above for opportunities, we may be unto something. Time would tell.
To me, EV is not top in the scheme of things.

It is heavy industries and Companies that use heavy equipment that require high starting power, fluctuating power requirements like motors, compressors, heavy coolants, those used in Oil and Gas industry, offsore drilling and Onsure etc used by beer factories, packaging equipments for consumer goods, long term storage cooling facilities that will be tested.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:34pm On Sep 04, 2025
See the people telling Nigeria and Africa to transition to clean energy? huh undecided cheesy cheesy angry grin

The more you look,the less you see.

Africa,my Africa, wisdom is profitable to direct.

https://www.nairaland.com/8512114/worlds-top-25-countries-oil

Global oil consumption in 2024(Million barrels per day)

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 3:21am On Sep 04, 2025
chimex38:
100%.
This volatile nation. grin
Some of the longest privately run companies in Nigeria from inception still in existence today whose existence don't look like fading out like Microsoft, Google, Opera, Tesla, Oracle,IBM.
Whether listed on Ngx or not.
But have whethered Naijas Volatility.

Banks(FBN,Wema,Union, Stanbic)
DIL(Dangote Cement)
Promasidor NIG(cowbell)
MTN(relatively new, but looks long term stay in naija)
Cadbury,Nestle,Mobil,Total
Julius Berger, Dantata, PZ,Unilever,Shell,UAC, Ellah,PWC, Delliote
Tantalizer, Aiico, Leadway,ABC Transport, Chisco(Night Bus), Young Shall Grow,
Peace Mass Transit
Newspapers(Punch, Vanguard)
Longman(LearnAfrica).
some Naija group of schools
(Loyola, CKC, Corona)
etc.....
......
these ones never close shop. Prefer to die fighting grin

THIS IS DEFINITELY NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 2:36am On Sep 04, 2025
crownprince2017:
Omo, I dey learn oooo.
Game is game, no sleeping on the bike.. grin grin

buffet hold forever ideology no fit work for Nigeria ooooo, you must hold touch light every time to see clearly. Because those money bags in Nigeria are ready to add your change to their own. grin grin
100%.
This volatile nation. grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 2:34am On Sep 04, 2025
crownprince2017:
grin grin

To be candid, banks and endless dilution na 5 and 6.

They will make plenty eps but will declare shikini money.

Someone said na accounting profit be the bulk of the money but I disagreed. Is access using accounting profit for all this acquisitions.

I just believed that those guys are either starching those cash for the right time to delist or finding a way through acquisition to siphon the money.

This is my opinion about Nigerian banks
I agree to an extent.
It's a sector that deals entirely in numbers. And that makes it prone to manipulation.
It's precisely cuz of the above that they won't delist. They need to earn and retain the trust, honesty and goodwill by being "outwardly" transparent where possible especially with competitors around grin
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38:
nosa2:
He should trust you because....? You added bro?
"trust me bro"
More like the caveat emptor to anyone who reads it to do his/her DD. Irrespective of the "trust" word.
It's our Naija linguistic jargon grin
"trust me bro" means:
It's not a fact.
I don't have a legit source. Just my personal instinct/forecast.

It usually includes the word "bro". Nothing personal cheesy

InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:02pm On Sep 03, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
If I am interested in ACCESS (or any stock for that matter) and it doesn't get to my level, I no buy noni.

Bank stocks that are doubtful for a 10% dividend no fit see my money grin At this level, I'd rather do fixed deposit
#GTCO will.
#closely followed by Access
#Then Zenith
Source: trust me bro cool
FamilyRe: Which One Dey Pain Pass? by chimex38: 2:43pm On Sep 03, 2025
Angelfrost:
Sorry Boss... I didn't mean to be harsh or offensive. grin

I just firmly believe that gas finishing even at night cannot ever be compared to that Transformer packing up... We are talking months to years without light in this country, depending on the area you live in.

It's a terrible experience abeg.
I agree though.
Transformer is a bigger issue cause of the timeline to fix, cost implication and opportunities missed, etc..

People don't usually classify it cuz its a neighborhood thing.
So one does not feel it alone.
But yes, in this part of the world transformer blow out is the worst with usually no flexible alternative.
Which is very sad really.
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 2:36pm On Sep 03, 2025
awesomeJ:
I didn't say foreign countries.

I said negative interest rate markets.

Just like the money rate in Nigeria is currently +27.5%

There were countries whose interest rates were below 0, so playing in the debt market in such countries mean you effectively pay interest for lending out your money. And the borrower earns interest for borrowing.


Japan was the most recent to exit such rates last year. (Japan is the one I can recall I should say)

You can look it up.
@bolded OK. understood. I was just making reference to Germany you mentioned.


Yes.. You are right, I know of Japans -ve interest rate then.

I was only curious on investing avenues with such rates..
How can I PAY interest for LENDING money and the BORROWER EARNS interest on it?
and PEOPLE actually key-in?

What benefit outways the finance on the lenders end? huh

This one dey cause HEADACHE shocked
FamilyRe: Which One Dey Pain Pass? by chimex38: 2:31pm On Sep 03, 2025
Angelfrost:
That's just carelessness on your own part.

You can gauge the level of gas you have at any time.

Once the level has fallen very low, you take it for refill...

Just like car fuel... Do you wait until it's fully empty before refueling?!!
be calming down with the tone.

Car has "visible" gauge.
Car is used on the road where Fuel stations are as well..
So chances.


Besides one can be too occupied with deadlines and activities and just simply miss timing the level if gas .
One could even create appointment to fill the gas and then totally forget on one's return.
Only to remember when the food is already on fire cheesy
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 2:23pm On Sep 03, 2025
awesomeJ:
-> CP discounts are prorated, so yes for 270 days, you'll get the 15.64% discount, your actual yield would be around 18.5%
-> Yes, CPs are subject to 10% WHT. Then you also pay fees to the bank or finance house through which you buy. Fees should be under 1%, less than 0.5% if you find efficient folks like StanbicIBTC

-> MMF management fees is a portion of the earnings ALONE! Except your MMF is invested in Germany or some other negative interest rate markets, MMF will always make returns.
Explain this MMF -ve interest rate in foreign countries Biko.
like one is charged on the capital for investing or.....
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 2:15pm On Sep 03, 2025
Yoursfaithful:
https://dailypost.ng/2025/09/03/bpe-to-list-two-discos-genco-in-ngx-privatise-91-fg-assets/
Transmission needs to be flexible for them to list on NGX and maximize their market beyond their base operation especially for the Gencos..
Though it'd good the TCN is now being unbundled to take care of these.
FamilyRe: Which One Dey Pain Pass? by chimex38: 2:07pm On Sep 03, 2025
Cum4me:
Gas done finished and you don't have money na wahala ooo grin
Naaa. Gas don Finish and you have half-don food with expensive ingredients in it.
Hungry and it's 11pm and you stay in a gated FLAT!
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 2:02pm On Sep 03, 2025
Payunsin:
I want to sell my fbn but I notice Otedola dey defend am at N32 gidigba
They still need to come to market for 2nd tranch of recapitalisation.
Deadline is near.
5-6months
InvestmentRe: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:39am On Sep 03, 2025
crownprince2017:
grin grin grin

Agba meat don land...
grin

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