₦airaland Forum

SteveDGreat:
If I ask you to mention the 10 candidates now you will spend like 10 minutes searching Google.

PDP turned it to tribe by giving Atiku the ticket.
Tinubu tuned it to Religion by picking a Muslim.

Obi is just a Christian attending Church programs and Yiu guys are having heart attack.

Wait let campaign start and these big Churches hold their end of the year programs, Una go see real church Mobilisation.
Una never see anything yet

Give it a rest....how many of these pentecostal pastors reckon with catholics as a real Christians to begin with.
Fyi,there are many other party members among those church congregation,thinking they will now abandon their parties candidates and vote for Obi will be another wonder of the world.

Penguin2:
So you already know God’s plan for 2023?

Ever heard of vox populi vox dei?

I hope you will agree with this your theory when other candidate apart from your candidate is declared the winner.
I will remember this your quote.

IamAtikulate:
Trump won by positioning himself as an Evangelican and this also made Christians outside the USA to love him.

The mistake of Tinubu picking a Moslem Moslem ticket will sweeping OBI into aso rock.

Stop talking what you know absolutely nothing about....Trump won election based on race theory he sold to his dummy Republicans and the rest. Nobody takes him serious about religion.

So according to you,apc members will abandon their own candidate and vote another party candidate because of religion??.
How does it even sound to your hearing??.
Reason they keep telling you people to focus on trading and leave politics alone cos you guys know absolute nothing about.

I saw the tweet and I was not surprised politicians will always be politicians.they are all there for what they will benefit and nothing more.
How can babachir Lawal who has been with tinubu project since 2011 suddenly became the most vocal critic of tinubu just because of religious differences.
It shows tinubu was right after all by not picking any of them as his running mate.no single loyalty.

kingsways:
Something is about happen


God has remembered Nigeria


Nigeria needs to be producing not borrowing

Nothing ,I mean absolute nothing is about to happen.
Nobody ever in the history of democracy has ever won an election on religion card..

Rest in peace please.
I expect you guys to be happy that tinubu committed a political gaffe that will truncate his election.
Why the whining again??.

Those shouting up and down have no plan of voting him even if he picks oyedepo or catholic pope.
The main question is what do they want him to do?.if he picks Christian, you people will come and say oh Muslim north will not vote for him,now he picks Muslim north,you are still saying Christian south won't vote for him.
One thing am sure of is that no voters will change their preference just because of a choice of running mate religion.
This is purely done under political consideration.
Let the man rest.

In 2015, apc had a Christian pastor,CAN didn't support the ticket calling buhari a jihadist.

People who were never going to vote for APC are the most pressed about the religious bent of APC's ticket.

JoeNL22:
Senate is not federal.
Bro......the party leadership said lawan is the consensus but the Northerner governors said no. The party leadership and Tinubu are not in talking terms.
That was why when Buhari heard about the report that he supported a Muslim/muslim ticket he came out to tell them that he wouldn't support a Muslim/muslim ticket. So what does that mean. As far as am concerned its Tinubu running not APC, if you notice this, you will discover that Apc are not really campaigning for Tinubu. They know something we don't

Beer parlor gossips...
Can you quote where buhari opposed Muslim Muslim ticket??.
How is apc not campaigning for tinubu when the campaign season has not started ??.
It's seems you guys enjoy basking in euphoria of falsehoods.
Continue..

Totilopussylick:
Nigeria politicians makes themselves an enemy of her citizens that voted them to be whom they are.

Can he walk alone till he gets home without

Those fearlessly security men surrounding him .

Come to Germany, a politician walks about without a single security man watching after them.

Rest oga,
Is buhari an ordinary politician or a president of a country?.
If you don't have anything to say,why not keep quiet.

Olaoluwa122:
We in the south don't want tinubu...

How many are we??.
Tinubu is a political leader and his party control the southwest..
Obi is from the south too...so anybody from them can win but not another northerner.

JoeNL22:
Has Tinubu won or contested any election at federal level?

Yes senatorial election but you and I know tinubu has the biggest chance of wining in apc..no need flogging this issue abeg.
You can't know more than the party leadership especially the governors that know the candidates strength.
Why did Atiku won pdp primary, because they believed he has the brightest chance of all the aspirants.this is politics 101 bro.

JoeNL22:
Yes........but a Muslim/Muslim ticket?. It would be a problem. That is why they told buhari to do consensus for either Osinbajo or amechi, but baba decided to remain neutral. And that neutrality might cost them.

Neither osinbajo or amechi can win general election.
This thing is more than the way we are seeing it.

Clowns have started again.
This is not Alaba trader association election,this is a general election with 190k voting units.
So according to labour party,they want to deploy 2.9m polling agents nationwide..
Hmmmm...you people are just gullible.

JoeNL22:
No analysis is 100% accurate.
But it doesn't mean mine is totally out of place because of sum things that where not factored. Everybody keeps forgetting that Atiku as his own network, same has kwankwanso and Tinubu. The reason why I kept the the core north together is because they usually have one voice. For example Buhari had 80 and 78% of the core north last year. Check 2019 elections and note the similarities. The core north are together. But the south are a different ball game. Hence because of their strong unity, their voting power and strength is ×2. Now this analysis is not to disregard other zones, but is to tell them that 2 heads are better than 1. And that is why the north will forever have an edge in the Nigeria political system.

Why I think apc even with their many baggages of same religious combo and insecurities still has an higher chance of winning is that the majority of the power brokers in the north want power rotates back to the south..THIS IS A MAJOR FACTOR...don't know why many of you are not seeing this,so they will.make sure this happens because the unity of the country depends on power shift to the south.Nigeria cannot survive another northern president.

Desperado14:
Yes there has always been multiple contestants in any given Election just like in this current one but in previous elections there has only ever been 2 maximum 3 major players in this field we have 4. All of them popular!

Whether you like it or not APC's choice to run a Muslim Muslim ticket WILL be a factor, it will split votes in the North and lose him votes in the south west.

When APC toppled PDP in 2015 did PDP not have incumbent governors in the states that APC faired well in? Calm down and look at people argument without insulting.

The Insecurity did not start with APC but it continued and escalated under their mandate. Even this one you cannot deny.

All I can see is the vote being split in the North between three Muslims, while in the middle belt the APC and any Fulani wont do well due to recent atrocities carried out under a Fulani APC government.

My opinion will change if one of the Northerners drop out. Until then I can see Obi winning this thing.

You are still arguing based on sentiments....I hope we reach a common ground though. apc goodwill has been eroded with insecurities and all that but voters hardly consider that when voting...there are other factors which you have been outlining that may play a part.so the negative effect won't be that much .
Also,Obi stands no chance in this election..with all due respect to him.
lp is not controlling any state in the country,and here you are comparing the party with pdp that had almost 17 governors in 2015.
Common,elections are not run on emotions,I expect our so called youth to be proactive and objectives when analyzing facts.

Olaoluwa122:
Let's see how osun election will go then!!!

Yes....let's check how Osun turnout would be and how many youths would show up,then we can begin to imagine how the general election would likely be.
God spare our lifes till then.

Olaoluwa122:
bros...2023 is just 7month what I know and working towards is that A.P.C will not be in Aso rock come 2023..

Nobody can say for now....7 months is still far,so anything can happen.infact any of the candidates may drop dead,and if that happens,may change the course of the election but if elections are conducted TODAY....I don't see how apc would lose...this is the reality no matter how sad it is.

Olaoluwa122:
I see Labour winning southeast with more 70% P.D.P may win South south but it will be close between the three parties...How many are the party voters again

80% of votes in nigeria usually come from party members while the neutrals make up the rest..it may change this year though but we don't know yet.am basing my suggestions on past results and political realities on ground presently.
May be i should reminds you that only 35% voted in ekiti election just few weeks back and about 7.5% of those were youth.
Does that ring a bell ?.

Olaoluwa122:
...50% lmao

I have thrown a challenge, sign up if you are so sure of yourself.
Last 2019 election, that was how fanatic like you lost #1m on a bet that pdp/obi will win the election.you people have started again.
Let's do it if you are so sure of yourself .
I have not made any predictions yet ,at least not until December.

Olaoluwa122:
The moment I know you are biased is when you said...Kwankwaso will divide only Atiku and obi vote in the north...LMAO ...bros..go sleep

Am.not biased,I am trying to be scientific here...Kwankwaso and obi were pdp members that decamped to other parties,majority of their votes would come from this party members first, then there are unaffiliated voters like youths who ordinarily do not belong to any political parties will make up the rest of the votes for these people.
If you believe pdp would have won se and ss without lp,but you are giving same zones to lp now..what does this tell you ?.

JoeNL22:
I totally agree that Tinubu is shaking in the southwest.
But the 90% is where the bone of contention is. But I know obi is going to make noise in the SE, SW, SS AND NC

Am.not ready to make any prediction now as the elections is months away,a lot of events will still unfold but even if the elections are held today,I don't see obi winning more than 50% in the se and that's the only region he will hit 10% or more in all the regions.
If you are so sure of your prediction, let's put a bet on this.

Desperado14:
Read my reasoning for this, its quite clear, Tinubu is not as secure in the SW. Also you have to take into account the major animosity thats held nationwide against the APC. Look at the state of the country people are routinely Massacred, Kidnapped & Bombed etc. The Populous wont forget or forgive that sadly and there are too many Muslim & Northern actors in the field, if there was no Kwankwaso I would give the victory to Tinubu but his presence is a vote splitter in the core north unfortunately.

Nigeria very rarely votes along party lines they vote on ethnicity and religion.

Ask yourself is Peter Obi really and truly a socialist Labour candidate? Of course not! Will people vote for him based on his political ideology? Of course not.

Same goes with all the other candidates, Tinubu base is shaky due to his Muslim Muslim fancies.

You people are still delusional...

Show me any past election results that were not based on party preferences.
Some of you kids will just come on the Internet and start sprouting junk laced with alternative facts and conspiracy theories.
How is tinubu base shaking ??.
So apc governors will just go to sleep because voters will just vote along tribal lines..
2019 general elections was contested for with about 25 different political parties,from different ethnicity and tribes,why then was the result only mirrored that of major 2 political parties?.
Also,did insecurities start during apc govt??.
How has apc fared in all the off season elections conducted so far since 2019??.
Your answer will tell you how it's going to be again in 2023.
As for kwankawso ,he's only dividing pdp votes together with obi cos their voters will naturally vote pdp if they don't contest.
You people should use your head for once and not your emotions when analyzing politics.

JoeNL22:
Yes we can't compare them together. (Like you can't compare a lion with a Dog). If Tinubu is as how you claim, then why is it so difficult for him to find a running mate?. Why is so difficult for him to tell us his age. Why Is it so difficult for him to get the support of Buhari (and baba has come out to say he won't support a Muslim /Muslim) ticket. Why and why are all this happening to him. Tinubu has not entered, yet all this discrepancies about him are all over the place. Truly you can't compare Atiku with Tinubu. Know this an know peace.

Can you see how stupid you sound,living your life based on hearsays and speculations.
Have you seen tinubu inec papers and you can't find his name and age there ?.
Were you with baba when he told you he won't support tinubu ??..
What discrepancies about him are you referring to exactly ? Or you choose to revel in your self hate and ignorance.
Some of you are still pained how he managed to win the party tickets,we all saw how you and your likes were running amok with different version of fake news and propaganda against his candidature but you all failed.
If you are a youth,please enrich your mind with productive stuffs and not waste away your life with this mindset that will surely lead to nowhere other than heartbreaks and unending defeats and failures.
You all will be alright..

To those shouting Obi up and down are deluded or mainly a political neophytes .
You expect obi to score over 90% in se and ss but want tinubu to lose in sw.
Are you people mad or plainly stupid?.
Where is the position of party politics here??.
Apc control 22 states with huge voting population in the country while the party is intact without any crisis,yet you deluded people think they would just lose the election even when buhari is still alive ??.
This joke is on you all.

JoeNL22:
Just imagine this example........you are making 200 billion every month but you don't make noise about your money. Then me that am making 2 billion every month is now coming to meet you(200 billion) that you don't have money, because he(2 billion) guy doesn't see you send money. Hence you the 200 billion guy will just looking at the 2 billion guy that he doesn't know who he is talking to. That is how Atiku is to Tinubu. Hence you can't say Tinubu is more wealthier and more connected than Atiku. It just that Atiku is a coded individual.

Oga stop disgracing yourself with this nonsense you are yarning here.are you atiku or tinubu account manager for you to know their wealth status?.
There's nothing like coded in politics,if you are popular and well connected ,you are most likely to succeed as a politician.
Why atiku has been failing all these years is because he lacks this.does this man even have anybody of note in his political camp?.
He has never built or made any strong impact on any political party ,reason he keeps jumping from one party with strong structure to the other.
Abeg,stop embarrassing yourself by comparing tinubu and atiku together in a political game.

raumdeuter:
Most people who will not vote Tinubu based on Moslem Moslem will not vote him even if he uses CAN president as VP

May God bless you for this .those shouting religion are just using it as a political weapon to aid their advantage. During election,religion will hardly play any roles.

Vickym1:
U guyz are just coming up with too many stories to discredit Peter Obi is dead on arrival cos Nigeria youths are wiser now, the more u discredit him the more he's having supporters.... Nobody talks about other party anymore its Peter Obi.. Continue!

Is it only youths that will vote during the election??.
What's the noise about youth this youths that everywhere as if there are no youths in other parties too.

We no dey give shishi crew in the mud..

This is exaggeration...
Na only Tinubu Waka come??.

There ain't no doubt
I love this land
God Bless the U.S.A.