₦airaland Forum

chymeze:
Tinubu winning North Central for where?
Continue giving yourself false hopes. As it stands now, obi is clearing North Central. Kwankwaso is clearing Kano. Even Tinubu and Obi are dragging south west (Lagos and Oyo).

Do you know how many states are in north central or you think only benue and Plateau dey north central??.
You guys should just relax...Obi has tried his best and he's helping tinubu cause.
Atiku is Tinubu only competitor in this election.
You guys will soon realize this reality.

14k uploaded so far out of 176k..
Keep the faith guys.

onuman:
From what states will Tinubu get the required 25%? So far, he is not getting it in the SE and SS, and he is not getting it in any northern state.

Please study this carefully and with open mind.

Obi can't get 25% in 24 states irrespective of how many votes he got.
South east....5 states.
South south....6 states.
South west....6 states.
North central....6 states..
North East...6 states.
North West...7 states.

Obi will get 25% in 5 se 6 ss,2 sw,3 nc,1 nw,1ne.
Total 18 states realistically.

Pdp...3 sw,5 nc,6 ss,6 ne,7 nw.
Total 27 states.

Apc....6 sw,4 ss,5 nc,5 ne,7 nw.
Total 27 states..

This is the fair 25% spread projection

Once again,tinubu opponent in this election is Atiku..Obi does not factor here.
End of discussion.

garfield1:
Tinubu will use nw to cancel se,sw will cancel ss

I really don't fancy obi chances in this election...
It's still between Atiku and Tinubu.
Nigeria doesn't start and end in south east and south south.

post=121249038:
Tinubu won in which states

Obi win south east and south south
Atiku win north east and north west (marginally).
Tinubu win south west and north central (marginally).
It now comes down to spread and votes acquired.
Only tinubu and atiku has a pathway to 24 states spread.

post=121249001:
You guys are just fooling yourselves with fake results, the earlier you know Tinubu is a gunner the better for you, in his stronghold he is sharing Ekiti and Osun with Atiku, Lagos and Oyo with Obi, while Obi maintain bloc votes in SE and SS while Atiku/Kwankwaso, Tinubu are struggling in NW, Atiku maintain lead in NE while Obi is leading in Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa and doing credibly well in Adamawa, Taraba, Gombe, Kaduna and FCT

Yes Obi is doing well in the north central but his major challenge is how to get 25% in 24 states..
I will keep emphasizing this..it's going to be a long shot if we want to be honest with ourselves.
Both tinubu and atiku will have the required spread buy I doubt if Obi can.

TheCeasar:
this is our most populated LGA in Edo state followed by Egor and ikopa okha, all LP stronghold, they were supposed to give LP not less than 20,000 votes..

I think there's a mistake somewhere, you can't tell me less than 5,000 voted for Obi in oredo the heart of benin

It's mostly likely a ward result not local government.

Pierced:
Thank u for giving us the amount LGA being uploaded.

Make hypertension no kill person abeg.

Almost 13k uploaded now from 176k.
Still long way to go.
Some of the results self are not readable.
But Obi biggest challenge is how to get 25% from NE and NW.
E go hard o.

Tinubu is not doing badly in the core north as per the results uploaded so far..
The deal is to cancel out atiku from the core north and battle it out in the south.

8k uploaded so far out of 176k..
Long way ahead.

Most of the uploaded papers are not even readable..
Very blurry..

gammarays1:
So you mean Peter Obi won't get at least 25% in Benue, Fct, Plateau, Taraba?

Do you know APC or PDP will find it difficult getting 25% in 24 states as well?
Last last na contention but Obi is winning. When we get to the bridge, we'll know how to cross.

Don't be too sure of your expectations.
Obi can't get 25% in 24 states irrespective of how many votes he got.
South east....5 states.
South south....6 states.
South west....6 states.
North central....6 states..
North East...6 states.
North West...7 states.

Obi will get 25% in 5 se 6 ss,2 sw,3 nc,1 nw,1ne.
Total 18 states realistically.

Pdp...3 sw,5 nc,6 ss,6 ne,7 nw.
Total 27 states.

Apc....6 sw,4 ss,5 nc,5 ne,7 nw.
Total 27 states..

This is the fair 25% spread projection

6,500 polling until uploaded so far out of over 176k units.
Long way to go guys.

The south are rushing to post results on inec portal while north is waiting to do magomago after seeing results from the south.
We are never politically savvy.

Am.really shocked atiku is winning kaduna despite the fact Obi is taking most votes in the kaduna south area.
If Tinubu manage to win this election,he has Obi to thank for it.

garfield1:
You just saw them now.atiku has lost out massively son

Atiku must not have more than 1m win margin in the north if not,tinubu can't cancel out the numbers he will get in the south..

You can now view the results on inec portal..
Goodluck to all the candidates.

With the soaring performance from the south,make sure you win the south by 4m margins as this will neutralize any figures coming from the core north.
This is achievable if Obi can cancel Atiku or tinubu out in the north central which is achievable.
Can he make the spread??.I really think he can make 25% in 24 states.

As things stands with Obi overperforming expectations in the southern part of the country..
This is a plus to apc chances overall.
The probable path to tinubu presidency is not to lose the north with more than 1m votes,come south to neutralize that margin.
What do you guys think ?.

No results yet on inec portal.
What's going on??.

The inec portal is working now and as at now,no single result has been uploaded.

Which inec portal??
Logged in since 9am this morning,working well until 2.30pm that it stopped working and I couldn't log in again since then.
Inec irev is a scam.

Yaribanzaonic:
Fuu..not your account Ode...

Just the name of your bank and your phone number. My banker will call you ASAp..then you understand. Stop sounding dull .I don't need what you can't give...poor wretch sef dey form ..paid ..spits

See mumu sef dey form bring $$ ..you wan rob me with your useless Agbado urchins? See Idiotic zombie Sha. Since this year have you seen a freaking dollar bill? You dey form large ontop a forum that pledges anonymity? You are such a weak and disgruntled urchin.

You are as broke as the other.miscreants that ran away..pathetic losers

much ranting about nothing..
I laid down.my rules,
Let's see if I ever saw $ all my life or not.
If you can't make it to the island,then let's meet up at the mainland.
Your banker ??
Lol..
Fraudster also get banker...
Just dey play.

Yaribanzaonic:
Come on !!

How can you be this stupid...

Chicken change? Ok...I bet 1 mil on the same terms and you are stupid saying you want a meet at Polo club when movement is restricted.

You be witch..you wan fly?

That is how you kriminals will be making noise...action don set and you are giving kindergarten sceneries.

1 mil and we do it via banking means...just drop your bank name and your email and your phone number. Somebody in that bank will contact you with the bet conditions..

That is very professional..and the bank personnel will identify themselves accordingly.

If you ready ..drop details at that email given...if not just shut it. Thiefnubuu supporters that need inducement to love who they claim to love..spits

You don't give me rules,I set my own rule here.
I don't deal with fraudsters like you..asking me to provide my banking details..
There's movement before voting starts..
Already told you my location..

Come with your money in $$ and we do physical deal here.
Yeah am doing the 1m with you.

N3TRAL:
My ginger don calm down sef.

Latest result go comot by Monday.

OP no serious sef.

Which Monday,by Saturday evening everybody for don know scores abeg.inec announcement go just be to make it official.

Workch:
But you read the OP. It says 200k, stop wasting my time with the 500k nonsense and send your number to workch2@outlook.com

Are you not the op??.
Yeah you said 200k but I decided to help you make some money more by up the bet..
Since e too sure for you ,go borrow money join if you no get all.
This ROI is heavy.
Put head.

Workch:
200k, send your number to workch2@outlook.com

Tinubu no go win today.

I don't do chicken change bet...
500k or nothing..
Told you where to meet...
Bring your money there..
Send me a dm.simple!!

@op,
Let's do N500k..
Meet me up at ikoyi polo club house in the morning if e sure for you.

I agree with him 100%.
It's very shocking how pdp just surrendered SE and SS without any fight..
SE and SS has been the backbone of pdp and waiting for the north to betray apc to me is not a wise political strategy.
The question is what if the betrayal doesn't happen?

DrOBD:
Using your logic, you scored APC higher than PDP in cross rivers, Imo and Ebonyi because they have APC governors, and you think the Governors of Delta, Bayelsa and Chairman Akwa Ibom will fold theirs hands?

You gave APC 40% in Adamawa, despite having a PDP governor, and presidential candidate? You also gave labour 0%, LP will do better than 0%. You gave APC 40% due to their structure and you think PDP don't have structures in APC controlled states? Places like Ogun, Ondo, Oyo APC will win, but not a with wider margin.

This is not a prediction, it's your wish, don't think it will happen.

Having said that, I think BAT will win. Obi factor, plus PDP heavily divided.

Election will be marred once again by heavy rigging.

Pdp will win delta ,akwa ibom,bayelsa and do so well in Adamawa..
Some of you giving labour party huge % will be shocked by what structures really mean.

VERDA:
Some of you forget that it is not APC governors that will vote but those who have been suffering for years, Tinubu cannot win the northwest and in northeast only maybe maiduguri and yobe.


You do not understand how much those core northerners hate APC now.
You do not understand the huge role tribalism and religion plays up north.

You can argue if you are from the core not or currently reside there.

You will see what i am talking about by sunday.

Them hate apc dem hate apc yet apc has been wining most off season elections.
You seem to be confused ,you don't expect voters to obey their leaders yet you are expecting your pastors to endorse candidates for their members.
The questions still remains,what was atiku % in 2007 and 2019??.
Stop talking about scenarios without precedents.