₦airaland Forum

Why are obedient having orgasms over Kwankwaso??.
Is it a case of an enemy of my enemy is my friend??.
Kwankwaso will come distant third after tinubu and atiku.

That crowd no pass 5k...
I can even do a head count from the pictures in circulation.
But he still try sha because I don't expect him to have more than 5% votes in Osun state anyway.

eldoradoxx:
Only a person suffering from mental illness will believe Aliyu who thinks that both Atiku and Tinubu will score more votes in the South South and South East than Peter Obi. It is just like believing that Obi can score more votes than Atiku in Kano or Adamawa. Very funny analysis. The analysis is not worth a used tissue paper and should be flushed down the drain. Obviously the target is Obi.

Are you sure your eyes is not paining you??.
Where did he sat pdp and apc will get higher than lp in se?.
Lp....3.3m
Pdp...2.1m
Apc....1.8m.
This is more realist than any other emotional laced polls.

bentenny:
When i saw the projections of SS and SE for PDP and APC,i hilariously fell from my bed!
Well if there is any small consolation from the lopsided projection,it will somewhat reduce the High BP already plaguing the APC camp and their balablu paymaster!

His projection was more credit worthy than that of anal poll that gave a non existence party 80 and 65% lead in se and ss.

joyandfaith:
Projections are not opinion polls of actual voters. Projections are based on imaginations. If this man is serious, he should conduct opinion polls. 10 persons per local government. 10x 774= 7740. He could use the results to do his calculation.

Anal poll who is even a registered pollster didn't conduct their polls based on your suggestion.
Their polling was based on 1k people using phone calls.

naptu2:
There are 2 totals. The first one is based on 100% turnout and the second is based on 35% turnout.

I understand that...meanwhile voters turnout will be more than 35% this time around.
He could have based his prediction on more feasible turnout instead of 100%.

I read through the analysis and I agreed with the factors he highlighted but his analysis was based on 100% voters turnout which we all know is not possible.
I think the highest we can get in term of turnout would be around 50%,so I will divide his figures by 2 to make my own final prediction.
Apc ....16.4M.
Pdp ....10M
Nnpp...3.4M
LP........4.7M

Larryhoover:
It is obvious some people don't understand politics of the Southwest. The westerners are more inclined to the north due to the comprehension of politics in the North, the reason Tinubu has been craving for Northerners support. Asking if Tinubu would get 70% is a joke because most elections in south west are won in the Key Local governments and if you can name any local government in the south west without Tinubu support, then you might say Tinubu would loose the LG. Only Lagos would give Peter Obi some votes, every other states are locked down for Tinubu, the reason the campaign in SW hasn't been aggressive as compared to the north.

Try and study election results in the past to know the trend. And with the division of Atiku, Kwankwaso, Obi and Wike and G5 playing Aces, I am even tempted to say he would get close to 80% of southwest votes.

Obi WILL NOT get 25% in 24 states..
That's for sure but both apc and pdp are national parties with spread to get 25% in more than 24 states.
Reason I keep insisting that the election is still between pdp and apc.

Not sure but I think 60% is very feasible.
Remember pdp is also strong in the south west too.

Ibime:
If the bold is true, Alex should just stay quiet rather than buy market

yc
Yeah...very true..I know this man personally some years back.he was called a general as a nickname.at the last count,this man has over 10 Rolls Royce among other exotic vehicles.
He used to be a military contractor.

From this whole episode,it's obvious the girl was well brought up,he loved Alex deeply and I guess the guy knew that as much,reason he was doing this to her.
For those who don't know,the girl father is a multi billionaire and one of the power brokers in the country.they can singlehandedly finance the wedding .
Lastly, Alex was with the girl probably because of what he intended to gain from her but I think the girl was wise and forward thinker to a fault.
Kudos to her.

Kingsmeal:
Which Uzodinma?

Lmao.. You guys are really really funny.

See let me tell you something for free.


Hope will dumb you guys half way to save his ass.

Imolites hate him and APC with passion... FYI, I'm currently in Imo..

Lol..
They hate apc yet they keep voting apc in any election ever since..
You guys will be alright las las.

garfield1:
I like your modifications but you need to feel the pulse of the people.outside lagos,lp is almost non existent.obi can't get more than 50% in any ss state.cross river is my state,many people dont like obi

You are really funny this guy...
How on earth do you think Obi will win any states in the south south not to talk of North Central??

Do you think presidential election is a joke to you?.

Agbegbaorogboye:
Garfield
You and all this your kwarshiokor analysis powered by burukutu
BTW, how did Amaechi stop PDP from getting votes from Rivers in 2015?
Go and check the scores

And it's impressive you called Katsina for PDP
If this your burukutu analysis is correct, a run off will be in the offing

So according to you,where did you see the possibility of a Run off in this projection??.
Some of you don't even know what run off actually means.
Shior!!!.

FakeIgboJew:
Delta and Bayelsa is sure for Atiku with a wide margin. At least 70%

Akwa Ibom, Cross River and Rivers with a slim margin

Edo is for Tinubu with a slim margin.

In osuland, the race is for 25% .

Atiku wins Anambra and Enugu by 25%

Imo and Ebonyi , Tinubu gets 25%

SW is for Tinubu but Atiku could scrape 25% in oyo, osun and ondo

Nothing for obi

See how you fell into my trap...
So you expect atiku to win some states in the south because they are strong pdp states but except tinubu not to win in the northern strong apc states...
You guys need to leave sentiments and face reality for once.
Yes I agree Obi will only play a spoiler but he can't get any meaningful votes anywhere but the little he would get may be atiku greatest undoing.
This is how I look at things as it stands.

As a reminder,

2015 presidential election North Central.

JEG. Christian 1,558M votes
PMB Muslim. 2,264M votes.

2019 presidential election North Central.

Atiku/Obi .....1,920M.
PMB. ..............2,313 M.

Now Atiku and Obi are contesting on different parties..

So do whatever you want with this data.

FakeIgboJew:
You delude yourself.

Baba Oloye is back on board

Saraki will ensure Atiku wins Kwara by at least 60% margin

70% for Tinubu in Kogi ?

You dey dream.

Atiku wins Kogi by as much as 70% with Tinubu scrapping the barrel. Nothing for osu obi

Niger that is basically aboki will vote Tinubu ? You still dey dream. Atiku wins this state easily with at least 75-80% margin. Bottom pot for Tinubu while osu obi comes out looking like a fool.

Which southern states are you expecting Atiku to win??.
SE..
SS..
SW..

Waterysperm:
For the Urchins above, Obi will win Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, Kogi. If the Apc guys refuse to work now, then he will also win Kwara. Na only Niger Obi will lose.

Obi will not win any states outside of South east...
Infact obi will not get 25% in 15 states.
This is the reality on ground...
Structures win elections not names..

kcnwaigbo:
with Muslim Muslim ticket?

Only you people weeping about same faith tickets...
Majority of the voters don't care about religion in any elections.
Even the fake poll that gave Obi the lead confessed only 13% of voters talks about religion in the voting decision.

saintkel:
I was born n brought up dia,.....findings at dis moment shows Nasarawa may be won by new parties like NNPP, LP.....PDP can still win dia sha....but APC won't ......there's dis notion that d governor won't return....but politics is a big game

You people are not only jokers but delusional.
Apc votes are intact but dpd votes are in tatters with nnpp,labour eating from the same pot.

Kogi 13% margins. apc
Plateau 8% margins. pdp
Nasarawa 1% margins. apc
Edo 1% margins. pdp
Benue 1% margins pdp
Taraba 7% margins pdp.

These states are often swing states with razor thin margins between pdp and apc since 2015 general elections and down ballot elections..
So take labour party incursion into these margins and tell how it's going to affect the outcome.
Which party is labour party going to eat into their votes ??.

Be objective and follow data....

@op,
It's obvious you are one of those who analyze politics with emotions and sentiments.
Where does Obi want to get the votes to have any chance in North Central?

FYI,
Obi can't get more than 10% in Benue,nasarawa,plateau,and 5% in others.
We are talking about general election here please

I hate divorce or separation especially with children involved.
Those kids will never be happy when one or both of the parents are not present in their life.

LMAO!!!!!!.

What are you guys smoking really??.

We joke too much in this country..
How can somebody who branched out of a major political party and with no
1...single councilor
2..single LG chairman
3...single house of assembly
4...single governor
5...single house of reps
6...single Senator

And above all,no single major political player endorsing you win a general election??.

We joke too much in this country.

I thought they said the rally would be held at the UYO township stadium...
No be person backyard I dey see so??.no.wonder psquare didn't show up.
And to think his supporters are counting akwa ibom as one of the states in the bag..LOL!!!.

asanausana91:
I didn't say he did not attend any, all I want is the name. Iam writing his biography but when I reach where to mention his early life, that is when I started getting problem.
Pls can you help me with the names. Thank you I am eagerly waiting sir.

And you think coming on nairaland is where to get your information from??.mad people full here I swear.
Go to his family house ....tinubu family house in isale Eko and make your enquiries..

Obi will be shocked from what awaits him in his backyard...
How can a serious candidate leaves his base even when no strong political leaders from the zone is supporting him and be chasing shadows thinking his base is safe??.
He has forgotten those people in the villages are actively partisan and will always put their party interests first before any tribal or religious considerations.
God sparing our lives,we would all be here discussing his disgraceful outing in the so called south east when the results are announced.

Obi cannot pull this crowd in anambra his home state.these are the structure we are talking about.

Man proposes but God disposes...no man is God and no man can arrogate to himself the powers of God..
Las las the will of God will be done.

Some of you are so brain dead and eternally deaf if you people didn't hear niger deltan state of delta state....just like saying south eastern state of Anambra state.

Am not an Obi hater but I hate hypocrisy...
Obi is catholic and he has never visited any pentecostal church before this election cycle.
What he's doing now is an abomination before God.