Well the good news is the Niger Delta Crisis is coming to an end.

And this will happen within the next two years.

The Militants are increasing their hostilities, and this will inevitably shutdown the Oil industry

so the Government will either, be forced to come to terms, or take military action


Either way we are nearing the end of this part of the crisis.

The only thing is, what will be the next part

development or some form of agitation.


The Crisis has been going on for decades but it has taken different shapes and forms.

The Niger Delta region might be the most corrupt in the world, if there is truth to this article, then even with the amount of corruption in the region, we should still see some development.


Corruption must be at totally new levels.

The Niger Delta currently receives 13% of the revenue from Oil, as per the derivation.

Prior to Crude Oil, they received 50%

The Niger Delta roughly accounts for 12.5% of land area of Nigeria. And the Derivation is 13%, but then population must also be taken into account. With a population of about 30 Million, the Niger Delta should have a derivation of around 25%

Now prior to the discovery of Oil, Nigeria was an Agricultural Heavyweight, and Agriculture was being developed throughout the Whole of Nigeria, so of course it wouldn't be appropriate for the derivation to be at 13% back then, however after the neglect of Agriculture in Nigeria, and the investments in the Oil industry, Nigeria's revenue was the "Niger Delta"

The problem here is not in the neglect of the Niger Delta, after all 13% of revenue should be more than enough to develop the entire Niger Delta, the problem here is the over reliance on the Niger Delta. If Nigeria was to change the Derivation to 50% today, the entire country would suffer, and the Niger Delta wouldn't even benefit, because at present the 13% it receives is being squandered by Niger Delta Governors.

If the derivation was increased to 50%, the Niger Delta should look something like this in a few decades





Even if it was more corrupt than the rest of Nigeria.

this is fairly accurate.

I compared, the Population of Venezuela with that of the Niger Delta, and they were almost the same, I looked at the amount of Oil that could be produced in Nigeria by 2010/2015 without any crisis in the delta, and that would be around 4 million barrels or 5 million, and that is twice what Venezuela currently produces. So a 50% derivation would mean that the Niger Delta would be like Venezuela , if it had corruption, or even more developed without it. This takes into account the reliance of both areas on Oil. Now Nigeria with a 50% derivation without corruption, would still be a better Nigeria than today, but it would have chronic Power outages, slow growth and would have more poverty than the Niger Delta, until it could revive other sectors of it's economy.

The Point I am trying to make is that, until Nigeria's other sectors have been invested in to a certain amount, the best the Government can do is increase the derivation to 25%

In a few years I expect Glo to become the biggest mobile telecommunications company in the Middle East and Africa Region.

I expect it to have completely overtaken MTN group

Most people don't realise what this really means. The Jobs that will be created, the immense size of this company.

If a Military Option wouldn't have any disastrous implications, then all these militants would be in nothingness by now.

A major problem is that the struggle of these militants is coupled with that of the genuine Niger Deltans.

If the army went against the militants on a full scale attack it would seem as if they were going against the Niger Deltans, you would only have even more people opting to become Militants genuine or opportunistic.

If I was Yar'Adua I would restructure the Nigeria economy, I would make a plan for an effective Masterplan for the entire Niger Delta, if anybody doubted that I would carry it out, it would be unimportant. If the militants didn't then give up their arms, I would send an order for a full scale brutal massacre.

There is one thing that is for sure, nothing will ever improve in the Niger Delta or in Nigeria as long as the Niger Militants are around. So Even if Yar'Adua was Mother Theresa, he couldn't do anything until the Militants are out.

The ousting of the Niger Delta militants is of paramount importance to the future of Nigeria.

Any idiot can figure out that Nigeria can survive without oil

The Government's inability to diversify the economy rather than relying on a few commodity based exports is the real problem.

A few points

* Saudi Arabia is not as advanced as it could be, due to its leadership not due its oil exploits
* The United Arab Emirates has a better standard of Living than Japan
* Yes I am aware of The UAE's population, the point being that they have actually prospered
* With a small population the UAE can afford to turn an eye on Industry and focus solely on being a service based economy
* Tourism, and a few other sectors are actually said to yield more than oil, but even so if Oil is present it is an excellent complimentary commodity
* If a country relies solely on Oil, the problem is in the Government, and has nothing to do with Oil
* A country can be the biggest nation Agriculturally and still exploit other resources like Oil
* Nigeria's problems has nothing to do with Oil
* Sectarian violence, human rights, corruption are those related to Oil
* If Oil cannot be managed, then perhaps Nigeria's Agriculture was leading to doom anyways
* Nigeria only has 4/19 Oil blocs developed, Angola developed more Oil blocs than Nigeria in 3 Years, meaning regardless of any hindrances in the sector, provided the climate is right, Nigeria's economy will explode
* Oil in Nigeria will be expended later than predicted, due to oil explorations not being carried out as effectively and due to Nigeria not producing as much Oil as expected

Those militants are overconfident.

I would like to see how long they last against the full weight of the army.

buchio7:

i don't still agree with your summation, is it d oil that will do an e.i.a. on itself or is it d humans that drill oil that will do an e.i.a, plan for unexpectancies and do a proper sensitivty indexes to know emergency reponse areas if a spiull is recorded?

oil is nt d issue but d people that manage it are d problem,

OIL IS NOT A CURSE, HUMAN INCOMPETENCE IS D PROBLEM

I never said Oil was an issue, or at least a major issue. The argument being that naturally such a resource when extracted would naturally lead to certain environmental problems. The exploration for Oil, the facilities built, and certain problems that may arise with the handling of it, even if properly managed these problems might still occur. When you go out extracting Oil, and retrieving Natural Gas you will inevitable cause some environmental impacts, but of course if properly done the yield would outweigh any cons.

idris9090:

National theate was built in the late 70's long before now and also the bridges, if u listen to news I'm sure you are aware that the third mainland bridge is in a critical state.

Oil was discovered in Nigeria before Nigeria was even a country

Yes there might be a maintenance problem, but the argument is that, Oil has provided Nigeria with the vast majority of revenue for its infrastructure.

Oil does not account for mismanagement.

The Thirdmainland Bridge may be in a critical state, but it was an excellent bridge upon completion, the longest bridge in Africa and 15th Longest in the entire world.

So Yes Oil did put those things in place, whether they were maintained is besides the point.

Religious people may actually be more critical in their ideas, than non religious people who in fact are not as inquisitive but simply choosing not to believe in certain things and absorbing everything else.

cheap

Yo acidrop, I hit u up, on ur email, no reply

aiight L8rs♣

lyon, and I don't even follow football anymore.

I can't afford the subscriptions. lmao

Whoever said Niger Delta Militants is an idiot

I am from the Niger Delta, and if i was in Nigeria I would go to the South South and kill as many militants as I could.

Rip their heads off and feed it to dogs.

Niger Deltan Militants that fight for their "people" but kidnap toddlers, lay siege to Delta Towns and can't even function as one, but are actually divided into various factions that occasionally fight each other



People say, How can Abuja, be like this, and Warri, looks like that, yet the Militants are supporting people like Alamieseigha (Former Governor of Bayelsa, who looted state funds)

They can direct the blame at the Nigerian State, and say that all the neglect has evidently led to all the woes of the Niger Delta, and to some extent that is true, but it is also true that the Niger Delta has one of the largest concentrations of Governors from the Niger Delta that are more corrupt than corruption itself.

Yes the Whole region is neglected, and the rest of the country isn't? Aren't the slums in Lagos just as bad as the poorest areas of the Niger delta.

Isn't Calabar a city that is being rehabilitated from scratch boast of a few tourism hotspots that are better than facilities elsewhere in the country including Abuja.

The retail facilities in Calabar far exceed that which is currently in Abuja. The only problem is the federal regulations that is preventing things from Operating smoothly.

Yes there is neglect, but the only people innocent are the few Niger Deltans who still remain passive.

And why shouldn't Abuja look good, afterall it is the seat of Government

There is no Government for Southern Nigeria and there is no Government for Northern Nigeria

Anybody in power is a Nigerian in the Nigerian Government

Anybody who disagrees is an enemy of Nigeria and should burn in hell for eternity.



Ethnic idiots, with genitals for brain, cheiiiiiii

Oil itself can be said to be a catalyst to corruption, but it is not the root, nor is it a problem.

The problem of corruption I believe arose as a result of the ethnic mind frame, the elitists in the Country.

A Country founded upon the Mind frame, that "This is my birth right". this is my will, this is my value.

Around the world you tend to see a pattern with the amount of corruption and the relationship with the level of homogeneity. Differences or apparent differences or assumed differences justify mistreatment etc which is the basis of corruption.

This coupled with a land where naturally resources would not be distributed equally geographically. The discovery of Oil, energy, authority etc the arm for securing order. An order based on apparent superiorities and inferiorities of course is the beginning of the mismanagement of Oil

Wherever there is an apparent socio imbalance there will inevitably be a financial imbalance. This of course is not alien to other parts of the world, it was very much present in medieval times in Europe etc.

So to sum things up, the curse of Nigeria and certain countries in Africa is the inability for various ethnicities that live amongst each other to value each other as equals If you cannot value your neighbor, then of course, conflict will arise, differences will arise and this forms the whole basis for society.

Nigeria without it's Oil Reserves would be the same Nigeria, but things would be slower. The route to securing an order lies in the resources available, whether it be human resources or capital resources. So Yes Oil did speed things up, but Nigeria without Oil would be the same.

I Have always maintained that the problem with Africa is that it did not integrate. Europe Integrated, Asia essentially integrated but Africa never did. We don't Have an Africa, we have factions.

This is not about resource management, any problem created by man, is in his mentality.

So Yeah, if you picture Oil as some Crazy Mind twisting Liquid, you must be watching too many movies.

The only aspect of it that can be seen as a curse, is the environmental aspect, or perhaps an over reliance on Oil, apart from that Crude Oil is nothing but a Gift.

Wether it trickles down or not, resources are there for benefits it's only down to how we use them

Some people don't even know the Poverty Rate in Nigeria

What is the Poverty Rate in Nigeria
What is the Poverty Rate in Ghana
What is the Poverty Rate in South Africa
What is the Poverty Rate in America

You'll actually find that the Poverty rate in Nigeria is only a bit more than the Poverty rate in South Africa, and although the poverty rate is said to be twice the Poverty rate of Ghana or 4 times the Poverty of America, the statistics might actually be less if you consider that 80% of Nigeria's economy is informal

Poverty itself, is when a decent living cannot be guaranteed. For all those people that are living in Nigeria or have lived in Nigeria, can you tell me that More than half of the country are struggling to stay alive.

we know of slums in Sango, Ajegunle, Niger Delta, Surulere, Makoko etc etc, but aren't the vast majority of Nigerians the Middle class that are financially accounted for in the informal market.

Yes there is Poverty, and it is a very large part of the population, but is it really as high as it is said to be.

Why is it that even after the ongoing food crisis, Nigeria has been dismissed as a country that will be hard hit.

Are you telling me that most Nigerians live in places like Ajegunle.

Because I have lived in Nigeria, in Ibadan, and Jos, and have been to lagos on a few occasions and I will tell you that the Average Nigeria, deals with infrastructural woes, deals with certain hardships, but cannot be said to be in Poverty.


In Nigeria I was at an onslaught of different foods, here in Australia the grocery prices are steep

This is not the "beautiful side of lagos" because a few years ago, these places didn't look like this

Change was Made

[center]Some of the Recent Changes in Lagos









[/center]

[center]Nikkur u think u gangsta but I put a hole in your back//
most these nikkurs think they coastin through but ah put holes in they tracks//
these people is like purewater competin with coke aint got nuffin on me//
So when i come through u must remember the order and fall behind a G//
put yall in place because im a cold killa//, smak u nikkurs faces like a coke dealer//
have yall in siezures with the shit I bring//, fidgety beyond words like the english of lingling//
its a poor sight to see, so when I lay these retards off, its out of sight out of mind//
Have your ass burnt darker than charcoal, trapped like minerals in a fkin mine//
and these bars I drop is jusss nine//[/center]

Dblock Messiah

Something too complain about. lmao

What you have is one huge mess.

That cannot be solved by any amount of negotiations

Even if Yar'Adua was a saint, do you think that a bunch of militants that have been showered with so much money, and have become the true epitome of lawlessness, will be willing to agree to any amnesty or lay down arms.

One thing that is common in Nigeria, is the emergence of criminals as a result of society. No doubt there was/is neglect in the Niger Delta, but no doubt these "freedom fighters" are criminals

They speak about having more control of the Niger delta, heck I would rather have Abacha come back to life and take control of the Niger Delta than have a bunch of clueless criminals around, At least Abacha had some ideals. they are opportunists. I do not support the Government, but these people are no better than the Government.

The entire State Government are corrupt. Yes empower the people of the Niger Delta, but these people are not the people of the Niger Delta



It's like Yahoo yahoo Boys telling the Government that they have been neglected and they want more control.

Yes they have been neglected, but before they can be involved in any way they must be rehabilitated.

Dblock checkin in, aiight

[center]But you didn't know that

You hopeless useless smoke dope
u don't, u chokin on a nikkurs juices
freestyle's biggest maniac inspired by deaths
like osama watchin yanks blow threats in Afghanistan
two points to get to, i'm the avenue u aint nuthin but the banister
what u didn't have, was nothing you got by
but in the game there's a clear difference between bars nd lullabies
the inconvenience in what u see, is enough reason for u to close your eyes
watch it slip u, more profound than drive bys
had enough, is the outcome, you better harden up
fluid squirting out your ears as u concentrate
stress showing its mark, homie u best learn how to meditate
channel the outcome, like water busting out the flood gate
lay waste to insignificant nikkurs and there'll be no need to compensate

[/center]