Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 1:30pm On Feb 06 |
Nice. Aradel was the reason I entered the NGX last year (at about 500 but now with an average cost of N610). Saw a lot of potential. Will be holding and accumulating till Jesus comes. Mpeace: Aradel is 900 today |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 3:19pm On Feb 05 |
Wow. I managed 300k units. Will have to buy anymore on the floor at market price because I can see this stock go enter N50 before December. Sunrisepebble: The Q4 results were good. I applied for 2m units of the public offer, I like the company |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 10:45am On Feb 05 |
Thanks. I don't care much about the dividends, only appreciation. mikeapollo: Custodian has been consistent in capital appreciation over the years. If you are interested in dividends, I would suggest you compare the possible dividend yield (at current price and current (or prior year) dividend) with other yields or interest rates in the market. If you are okay, then you may go ahead and buy. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 9:52am On Feb 05 |
thanks! ositadima1: Custodian’s 2025 results look strong, but it wasn’t a normal growth year. Total assets expanded sharply from about ₦407bn to over ₦1.0tn, mainly due to acquisitions and a big increase in investments. Although these acquisitions were funded internally, they also brought in large existing assets and liabilities, which significantly inflated the balance sheet.
Profit after tax rose to about ₦67bn, with EPS of 1,119 kobo. However, earnings were heavily supported by investment income and market-related gains of over ₦110bn, compared to an insurance service result of roughly ₦12bn. This shows profits were more investment-driven than underwriting-driven.
Operating cash flow of about ₦478bn looks very strong, but roughly ₦410bn of this came from a sharp rise in trade payables, meaning cash was boosted mainly by delayed payments rather than permanently higher earnings.
Given the mixed quality of earnings and higher sensitivity to markets, I think a reasonable valuation range is a P/E of about 5x–7x, not a high insurance multiple. Applying this to the EPS of ₦11.19 gives a fair value range of roughly ₦56 to ₦78 per share (aj8 style ). Until earnings stability is proven through a weaker market cycle, 2025 should not be treated as a clean baseline year.
Numbers first, narratives later. -- ositadima1 |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 1:35pm On Feb 04 |
Thoughts on CUSTODIAN as a longterm investment? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 5:19pm On Feb 02 |
Microsoft was about $28 from 2001 till 2013. PuristForest: Hypothetically, bro, how can you even consider this as an investor ?....like sit on your capital in the market for 10 years with no gains.....abi na joke ni - dividend or no dividend |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 4:46pm On Feb 02 |
Thanks a lot for your answer. I thought the 10% was a price ceiling, but that trading could go way above it. Learned something new today. Thanks! yMcy56: The amount, 16.45 is simply outside the -/+10% band for today.
TIP's closing price on Friday 30/01/2026 was N14.95 The +/-10% band for today will be: Lowest price (-10%) = 13.50 Highest price (+10%) = 16.40
* Note: If you do the 10% calculations, it will give you 16.49....but looking at the Per Value movement of TIP, it's 0.05
* So the Mvmt will be in the range of +/-0.05 E.g. 16.10, 16.15, 16.20, 16.25.......16.35, 16.40....
** This is the rule**
- For stocks less than or equals to N10, the mvmt is 0.01 -termed Penny Stocks - For stocks above N10 but less than N50 (I think), the mvmt is 0.05 - For stocks above 50 but less than 100 or so, 0.10 (will confirm this) |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 2:45pm On Feb 02 |
Please why was my BUY order for TIP rejected even though it was higher than current price. Who rejected it? I don't yet fully understand how the order book works. Sometimes you see no offers but you can see trades ongoing at the same time.
|
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:23am On Feb 02 |
I think so too. If accepted, this PO will constitute my largest stock holding at almost 30% of my portfolio. I'm betting on N100 by 2030 ogawisdom: Over subscription seems unlikely because no institutional involvement mainly retail investors and HNIs. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:20am On Feb 02 |
Yup. On Friday. It was very good. stronglink: Is the result for TIP out? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 10:08am On Feb 02 |
TIP on full bid. Up 10% to land at 16.40. Omo. I hope the CEO stays true to his word and accepts all oversubscription. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 2:18pm On Jan 30 |
We have heard oooo Stockpromoter: ROYAL EXCHANGE (ROYALX) – Q4 2025 IN FOCUS Market attention is shifting to Royal Exchange Q4 2025 numbers, as current forecasts point to over ₦1bn profit after tax in Q4 alone. This is significant because Q4 is typically the strongest quarter for insurance firms due to premium recognition, investment income and claims adjustments. If Q4 delivers ₦1bn+ PAT, even a modest or breakeven performance in Q1–Q3 means FY 2025 unaudited results will close positive, confirming a clear turnaround for the company. A strong Q4 would: Validate Royal Exchange’s earnings recovery Reset market perception from survival to growth Support a re-rating ahead of audited results As long as the Q4 profit is largely operational and not just one-off accounting gains, the market is likely to price in the turnaround before full-year numbers are released. In insurance stocks, earnings inflection always comes before price breakout. Q4 2025 is the key trigger to watch. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:47am On Jan 29 |
ManAdii: Please who knows how much cardinalstone brokers charge as commission when someone buys a stock?
|
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:46am On Jan 22 |
Who bought it ti raise it to 2.39? SohSoh: ZICHIS OPEN DAY LIGHT ROBBERY
"Zichis has reached 2.39, confirming my suspicions about this listing. It feels like we're being played by those in the know.
No wahala... I’ve found my 2026 hustle: Official Zichis Whistleblower.
Let me see that person who will come here and blow grammar about why we must buy ZICHIS. Nobody is safe, not even those stock gurus on TikTok. I go change am for everybody.
Zichis listed 600 million shares : Listing by Introduction. At 1.81
Till now retail investors/traders haven't been able to buy it...
Una papa insiders, why una no just do private or Insider deals before listing and just sell at the right price ...
una wan do open dey light robbery.... na because of Ellah Lakes una get that kind mind Una papa |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 10:09am On Jan 20 |
Two trades of 5m units each  People day ball o.
|
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 10:04am On Jan 20 |
An equity fund (I think you can see those on Piggyvest) or a money market fund Hamachi: Good morning, a friend of mine would retire in 2031 but he has a child of 6years.She needs a reliable and viable investment for the child so that the burden of school fees won't be much on him when he retires. His budget is 50k per month |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:34am On Jan 13*. Modified: 11:57am On Jan 13 |
Bought some at 510 while looking for money to buy even more. I will be patient. Mpeace: MTN has officially crossed 600. Wow Fuuuullll bid
PZ @ 57. Chasing Cadbury |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:32pm On Jan 12 |
I like it, very nice, though I think it might be too presumptuous to label stocks ‘inflation beaters’ and whatnot. Laolballs: I’ve noticed a dangerous trend in how most people approach the Nigerian Stock Market. They buy because a friend told them to, or panic sell because they saw a scary headline. That’s not investing, that’s gambling.
The market is too complex to navigate with just "vibes" and rumors. You need data.
That’s why I built NairaShield. I wanted to create a tool that moves the "Regular Joe" away from gossip and towards data-driven decisions.
No more guessing. No more FOMO. Just clear, actionable insights.
Check it out here: https://finance.threadnix.com |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 8:47pm On Jan 10 |
Valthegreat: My bad, you are right I am mistaking Coronation Registrars for Cardinal Stone here. Thanks for the correction. Your shareholder number should be your brokerage account number on your brokerage app, innit? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 8:13pm On Jan 10 |
The registrars for the company you listed is CORONATION REGISTRARS. Who told you it was Cardinal Stone? Valthegreat: Thanks for your response, but if this is the case it means CARDINAL STONE is pushing their job back to me in the mandate form. Cardinal Stone registrars are the registrars to MTN and also ARADEL, I didn't receive my MTN dividend and when I wrote them they sent me mandate form to fill and in the mandate from they listed all the companies they are registrars to and are expecting me to provide my shareholder's number for each of them that I hold. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:26am On Jan 07 |
Great question. I was using the site a few minutes ago and was looking for just such a feature faoogoke: My Stockbubble guy.
Is there is a menu prompt on your site that allows view for stocks in Red, Green and Neutral?
It will be good if such feature is added. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 9:38pm On Jan 06 |
iskalamong: Very true.
No lies detected.
Iskalamong .
. Why do you write your name after every comment? You know we can all see your username, yes? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 5:07pm On Jan 03 |
It's called CS Alpha on app. But you can also just use their website. I actually prefer that so I'm not always looking at my portfolio on my phone talk2yommex2000: Thank you so much. I tried this out just now on playstore, then I got a response that cannot work on my phone. I wonder why. I'll screenshot the response and send it maybe you can help with a way around that. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 8:22am On Dec 31, 2025 |
Is N9.50 not attractive enough? ogawisdom: Promoters of TIP public offer are doing a great job defending the SP in the market to make the offer seem attractive. Hmmm |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:19pm On Dec 30, 2025 |
This sounds crazy. Why would they not want to affect the stock price? Is that not the point of having the stock market. So those people are already more than 12% up. SMH. emmanuelewumi: N10 billion is chicken change to GTB.
Insiders want to increase their holdings and they don't want to buy on the floor, probably because it will affect the stock price.
The private placement of a thing is to get over 120 million units at a cheap price |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 9:19pm On Dec 30, 2025 |
|
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:05am On Dec 23, 2025 |
essentialone: Is Royalex getting set for a Rally? How I wan take know? You're quoting where I said I don't even know what they do as a business. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 3:48pm On Dec 18, 2025 |
There is BVN and NIN. These things are linked to biodata that is stored somewhere. Why do you even need another TaxID? Why is the BVN not the tax ID? Why is the BVN not the same as the NIN? Asking people to begin linking another number is bad user experience, bad planning and just shows that they are irresponsible with the previous numbers that we lined up to get years ago HesInMe: Honestly, this is how it works in every modern economy. Even in the US, where privacy rights and suspicion of government are taken to an extreme.
You cannot tax what you cannot track. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 3:32pm On Dec 14, 2025 |
I doubt it. Making gaming chips had nothing to do with AI. It just so happened that the chips did parallel processing inna way that was beneficial to AI and not word processing for instance. We would buy Nvidia laptop to game, but they were also closely being marked by AMD Radeon abi Vision or something (though I think the AMD used to get too hot. Until recently, even the stock was almost depressed. Stockhunter: I rememeber back in the days, just early after University. Nvdia was a stand out in gaming graphic card. If we buy a desktop system that had intel graphic card we will change it to nvdia for better performance. When i look back after seeing nvdia with their 5 trillion dollar value today i just shake my head.. Then i wasnt heavy on stocks after the 2008 beating. If not such were pointers for future performance of a company. The signs will always be there for a company with potential, just that the Thomas in us will always prop up. Because nothing is absolute and there are no guarantees in life. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:55am On Dec 13, 2025 |
I can bet there’s no actual strong demand. Else you won’t need a whole month extension. unite4real: This is my concern as well. The dilution will become too much and investors will have to wait a long time. Even after allotments, the price can be depressed due to this. They should have simply maintained and stayed on the original plan. The statement on the extension stats due to strong demand. It appears they want to mop more money |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:54am On Dec 12, 2025 |
The aim is to beat inflation/hedge against the currency, not be predictable. I think you are complicating matters by borrowing (and therefore paying interest) against funds to invest in eurobond, when you could have just invested in the bond in the first place. emmanuelewumi: Bond gives predictable income for the duration of the investment, you can reinvest your coupon in equities, real estate or dollar denominated invested.
I once borrowed against my mutual fund and used the loan to buy dollars at less than N900 and invested in Eurobond.
It depends on how you want to play the game, knowing fully well that you have a predictable income from the investment for the next 10 years |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 11:42am On Dec 12, 2025 |
and 850K today is not up to $600. Waste of investment. Agbalowomeri: 150k that time was more than $1k |