₦airaland Forum

666Advocate:
I am just coming to Nairaland every now and then for relaxation purposes. I have no interest in Nigeria's elections, i am Ijaw and i only believe in Ijaw Republic. Peter Obi that is structureless and strong hold less need caution the people that claim to support him especially on social media.


They are too rude. they have no manner of approach. They know nothing about politics. Politics is discussion and nobody is losing sleep against a structure less candidate that controls no state.
They keep saying Peter Obi will save Nigeria as if he has saved Nigeria once before or you ever see any candidate that promise evil to people he or she wants their votes.


All Governorship, Senatorial, House of Reps, House of Assembly elections and aspirants in each state will deliver for their aspirants so where does Peter Obi hope to get his votes from. Borno, Ondo and Oyo rally for Tinubu see crowd everywhere and Campaign will start by 28 and not yet started self o.


Atiku have built up so much structures in South South that the whole political executives have declared to work for him. North cannot leave their own and vote for a person they see as a Biafran. Kwankwanso have said it before too.


Obi fans should let us enjoy Nairaland in peace not this online noises that holds no weight in reality and unecessary insults that will demote their strong hold less candidate more.

paramakina202:
Its complicated because your preffered candidate did not do well in the poll

Michelle70:
u urself knows that the stats is so wrong.

If Obi gets 95% in Abia that means Atiku and Tinubu will get 2% and 3%, u know very well thats its not even possible

u feel LP which is the least popular will get 30% in Kaduna while APC and PDP will get 35% each.

U think he is extremely popular because u manage see 2,000 people in rally.
ur eyes go clear.

See ehn, Tinubu will take 60% of Lagos votes, that will leave 40% For Atiku and Obi, but here u feel Obi will collect 30 from that 40%

delusion of grandeur

Michelle70:
Obi suppose get 300% votes in

Newyork
mumbai
Johannesburg
Abu Dhabi
Tokyo

Obi is getting 101% votes in
Florida
Djibuti
Kairo
Dubai
Washington Dc

Olori buruku

Deprofessional:
May her dark soul perish in the hottest part of abyss if she in any way overtly or covertly supported the killing of BIAFRANS

Antyislam:
Even we Yoruba Christian's will never vote Tinubu on this useless ticket, we are not fools

Salewa97:
God Bless the incoming president 2023 Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

Jagaban is our man.

Salewa97:
No matter what they say, Asiwaju Bola Tinubu is our next president 2023.

PandoraObi:
If Igbos doesn't lead campaign against Peter Obi that allowed the killing of youths and dead bodies dump in ezu river and also the acclaimed transportation of huge cash around, if you protect your own despite his short coming, I should crucify my own, change start with you.

PandoraObi:
How does Tinubu and buhari be the same, the same person on whose template Lagos is developing

ShowYourCertificate:
Let's denote President as P and Vice President as VP.

For APC: P (Muslim) + VP (Muslim) = Atiku or Kwankwaso or Obi ...eqn (1a)

For APC: P (Age > 70) = Obi or Kwankwaso ...eqn (1b)

For APC: P (APC Failure 2015-2023) = Atiku or Kwankwaso or Obi ...eqn (1c)

For PDP: P2015‐P2023 (North) + P2023-2027 (North) = Obi or Tinubu ...eqn (2)

For LP: P (SouthEast) + VP (NorthWest) = Obi ...eqn (3a)

For LP: P/VP (Party Structure) = Atiku or Kwankwaso or Tinubu ...eqn (3b)

For NNPP: P2015-P2023 (North) + P2023-2027 (North) = Obi or Tinubu ...eqn (4)

Summing up equations 1 to 4, gives us:

Atiku = 3
Kwankwaso = 4
Obi = 6
Tinubu = 3

So Obi has the highest chances of wining the election with a probability of 38%, this followed distantly by Kwankwaso with 25%. Atiku and Tinubu gets 19%.

The summary is that Obi chances of winning the elections based on Age, Geopolitical Zoning, Party Structure, APC Failure and Muslim/Muslim Ticket is 1.5 times more than Kwankwaso and 2.0 times more than Atiku and Tinubu

QED

Deprofessional:
Noted sir

Deprofessional:
We have seen that the aspect of our existence handled by the duo became the worst in the anals of our existence.

Nigerians have a divine duty to vote out APC.