Emmaodet's Posts
Nairaland Forum › Emmaodet's Profile › Emmaodet's Posts
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KarlTom:Just 10% gain? is that not too small? |
Debt turns problems into catastrophes. Cash turns problems into opportunities |
Sunrisepebble:Yes sir |
megawealth01:You are doing well. Let me check them out and add my little jara |
emmanuelewumi:ROIC of 10? thought you always prefer and work with 20% and above |
SonofElElyonRet: ![]() My brother, my hand as typing faster than my brain ni |
fashionnisir:Not yet. In the meantime, based on my valuation, Japaul should rise to #3.20 region after releasing there H1/25 result if my estimated revenue of 5.6b is met and TTM earnings of 1.6b. They have been doing well in the last 3 Quarters declaring profit, though more needs to be done in there OCF. But after the 100b dilution, they will need to grow there EPS by 600% to breakeven for investors. How good and far the management would be able to make good use of the capital is what we will see. Current market cap = 2.7 x 14.3b shares = #38.6b Final Market cap = #38.6b/100b shares = #0.39 = 39k They plan to do shares reconstruction immediately to avoid uproar....so we may see a 3 to 1 construction to bring the price above #1 to #1.2 per share. But that is just share price cosmetic approach. EPS is down by 600%. As a rule of thumb for me, revenue and earnings growth rate must be higher than dilution rate to give returns to investors. Revenue has been growing at an average of 200% in the last 3 quarters, so dilution of 100% should have been not more than 30b shares but since it seems they want to expand and it will bring value in the long run, then it should be worth the pain. How long will they be able to return 600% eps is another thing...1 year or 5 years? Based on historical returns, Japaul ROIC max has been 8%. If they are to put the future raised capital of 500b into use...let's say 450b out of it while 50b in cash and equivalent, retain earnings or whatever, that will be 40b profit from invested 450b capital. Debt to equity is 40% but with the raise capital, it should go down to 10% atleast......So we may be looking at around 30b profit as equity to shareholders. 2024 retention ratio is 65%....So a payout ratio of 35% = 11.5b divided by 100b shares....11.5k per shares dividends based of my rough estimation of Next twelve month after dilution. |
SonofElElyonRet:It is well. Just checked their fincials today to see if i can go in but will stay it out for now. |
christejames: .....Na wa oo with this 40 characters xvcbmcckhxjgys |
megawealth01:Bro, this no be laughing matter oo. i expected their share price to rice to around #3.2 from #2.7 after the H1/25 result due to the estimated revenue and net profit but with this coming dilution....Damn!!!!!! For the past 3 quarters, it seems they have been putting their house in order....raise revenue and coming into profit despite the cashflow statement still not impressive but with this? Damn...... I won't be surprised to see a massive full offer tomorrow with no buyer at the horrizon.
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Japaul diluted their shares from 4b in december to 14.2b shares and now wants to dilute it more to 100b shares. That is craze. It will turn the share price from #2.7 to 39 kobo. To even think their expected TTM revenue by this month would be around 5.43b and with an estimated net margin of 30%, the net profit should be around 1.6b. Dividing that by 100 ordinary shares would render the EPS useless. That is 2 kobo eps...Omohh I know they need money, they are broke. Just 300m in cash and cash equivalent and seriously burning money in FCF but damn....14b to 100b shares is craze unless the are raising that money to acquire a currently functioning and profit generating company, if not, i wash my hands comot. |
Kipaji:What you described in not unusual or uncommon....it is happening here in Nigeria too and virtually all round the world. I think it is the second or third stage of capitalism. |
An unsuccessful woman still gets treated like a woman. An uneducated woman still gets treated like a woman. A broke woman still gets treated like a woman. But an unsuccessful, uneducated, and broke man? Nobody cares if he dies or lives. |
Locotrader:Na wa ooo, make I add my own Age Analysis as per Agba. Median age of population observed - Rearranging ages in ascending order - 35,40,45,47,50,53 and 60. Median is 47. Mean of the Age = Sum of total ages / observed population of 7 = 330/7 = 47.1i Which means the average age of nsempa members in this forum s 47 years. Standard deviation is 8.3 Which means 1 standard deviation - 8.3 + 47.1 = 55.4 years at the upper band and 47.1 - 8.3 = 38.9 at the lower band. From the original data: 35, 40, 45, 47, 50, 53, 60 The values that fall within [38.87, 55.41] are: 40, 45, 47, 50, 53 That’s 5 out of 7 values, or about 71.4% of nsempa members age fall into this bracket — which aligns well with the empirical rule (about 68% of data falls within 1 standard deviation in a normal distribution). The 7 period average true range = Pa Emma (60) - Emmaodet (35) = 25 which is the average age range on this group. The group is experiencing a bearish candle opening at 60 and closing at 35. The 3 age-period simple moving average is 60 + 53 + 50 / 3 = 54.3. Doing it till the 7th age period will give 54.3, 50, 47.3, 44, 40. It shows the SMA trend line is declining and bearish. You can get your RSI, ADX and many more indicators from these observations. Let me leave the remaing for Agba ichimoku, Ositadinma Price-volume profile, Purist ABCD pattern and elliot wave etc |
PETERiCHY: ![]() Chaii Say Loco na jonah make him come down from the boat. As loco commot for our Ellah Lakes boat, i don see over 200% profit. |
Agbalowomeri: ![]() Agba oni-owo-meri |
WritterNg:Putin don kill this one |
WritterNg: ![]() |
Gerrard59:The guys supporting the west should just wait and see if/when US and allies succeed in subduing their competitors and then they will regret their decisions. No matter how good a system is - be it democracy, communism etc Humans are not known or designed to be at their best when they have absolute powers. A checkmate always brings us back to reality. A world controlled by US without any checks would be hell on earth... It has always been their dream. Even in politics, you don't pray APC is the only strong party without any little checks or fears of been taken over by PDP. It will just be looting galore with impunity and no fears or checks. A world were US can just wake up and say people should relocate away from Calabar or south Africa because they want to use it for farming or resort and not country to call them to order or a country to run and hide under for protection, weapons, economic partnership due to sanctions is not a world you will like to experience |
Gerrard59:Honestly I don't know why. Just my observation working with so many nationalities in my industry. Even salary wise, americans/British/french/German passport holders get far more salaries than Eastern block guys (Ukraine, Russians, polish, Croats etc) The Russians always wants to be seen to be at the western Europeans level but it's glaring the frictions between them at work |
WriiterNg:Na WA oooo. So the US is dictating with strong voice to Iran what they can do or not? So Iran is not a sovereign state to determine what is best for her again? I don't want my kids to live in a world controlled by these tyrants. Without the eastern block to balance power, we will get to that point were they will threaten African leaders to enshrine gay and lesbian laws into our constitution without which we won't have access to loans, placed on sanctions, inability to buy military wares to fight the reeks they would be sponsoring for regime change in other for the rebels to enact the gay law and so many more. Presidents who knows these laws are not right would turn around to look for help or support from bigger countries like china for weapons or support but there won't be none. It will be real hell on earth. Just imagine a world that has been subdued by the west and they enforce all countries to vaccinate their citizens with a new disease they just pushed out into the society, a vaccine that would be dangerous for humans and none would be able to talk because those who need to check mate their excesses have all been subdued. It is the world they want to create and yearning for. Highly satanic people |
FoolishBoy419:Interesting.... $715b sponsoring regimes change and other atrocities like sponsoring rebels etc. This is not a country but highly satanic group |
Crayfish09:Exactly bro. One thing you have to give to the west is that when you give them a job, they will try and do it for you without excuses. No matter what deal iran or turkey or china or russia offers US, she won't feign ignorance while any country bombs Saudi or UAE or Qatar they are protecting. They will never sell out or give excuses. They are been paid to be there, have bases there so there is no reason or excuses while such county would be attacked and this goes along way becuase others are watching. If i have a russian base in my country to protect my assets but one way or the other, my asstes are been blown off by my enemies, then such military establishment is incompetent to be in my country and no serious country around would like to take them in. If you had to be taking a back deals to sabotage syria, why won't it happen to iran or any other country around. They are not a reliable partner abeg |
Crayfish09:Russia had always wanted to be recorgnised as europeans and superior whites liek US/British/French/Germans but somehow, they are been giventhe cold shoulder of been inferior whites. It is what has made Putin/Russia to be somehow the Rebellious whites to the other whites. The romance with china, iran and co is not a comfortable one for them, they just have to do it out of survive. I have my reservation for them against the Brics alliance. |
seunny4lif:They just want to render all countries around isreal useless so that they can be banging them as they like and claiming superior from God. |
tunnyl: ![]() You are very correct bro. Na wa for this 40 character ooo |
Using Point and Figure Analysis of Oando... There was a break-down of price at #58.5, the next support line will be at 54.95. A further breakdown of price at this level may see it touch 48.
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Eku market oooo... Using the Price-Volume Profile of Oando, Oando is at the 1 year Point of Control area which is an area that serves as a resistance if price coming from below or support if price coming from above. A price break below this High volume node area may see Oando test the weak support at #40 but a price action above with volume may see it test the weak resistance area of #60 and #70 again.
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seunny4lif:And you think iran has no sleeper cells in isreal? Or isreal is nnot massively been infiltrated? Isreal/US are just chronic liars. How do you think iran got all the intels they used? hiting military bases, intelligence bases etc Even US/Nato were all shocked with the way the missiles were hiting with precision calling it SURGICAL. You can't do all that if you don't have spies litering the whole of isreal. The underground bunker they blew close to the hospital that was the office of the intelligence HQ and many more. The west controls most of the media, they want you to believe mossad is really deep in iran but iran spies and not anywhere close to isreal but it is a big lie. Isreal lost many generals and have so many iran spies among her military and intelligence community. |
WritterNg:Jesus Christ of Nazareth. Only God knows how many are still out there with drones too. In just 12 days oo |
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e ku market .