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Ngorbungor:Obviously, it is scandalous to claim $500m for a 141MW project. Home - THISDAYLIVE logo GEOMETRIC: BEWARE OF THE IDES OF MARCH editorMarch 30, 2022 12:00 Am · · Otoabasi Akpantah argues that Geometric Power costs are excessive · Julius Caesar was killed by his hitherto praise singers and “supporters” including his bosom friend Marcus Junius Brutus. He was stabbed by 60 conspirators and killed at the base of the statue of Pompey the Great in the Roman Senate House in March 44 BC. · On March 10, 2022, one of the national dailies published an article written by one Emeka Umegbala for, and on behalf of, himself and some members of a certain International Society for Civil Liberties and Rule of Law titled “Time to Collapse EEDC” – an acronym for Enugu Electricity Distribution Company (Enugu Disco). · In the article, the writer disclosed that his group has kicked off sustained campaign for the purpose of collapsing the activities of EEDC for its takeover by Geometric Power, which by his account has spent over $500 million in building four new injection substations, over 140km of high voltage distribution lines, 141 megawatts power plant and 27km of gas pipeline. The article also disclosed that AfriExim bank granted further facility of $50 million to Geometric from which it used $26 million for the acquisition of EEDC’s Aba and Ariaria Business Districts while the balance $24 million will be used to improve the existing infrastructure and expansion of the Aba – Ariaria network. · If the numbers reeled out here are correct, and I do not have any cause to doubt them since Prof Barth Nnaji (former Power Minister and Promoter of Geometric Power) himself and Geometric Power have in different fora and press statements given out the same numbers from which the writer must have derived his data. · It is on the basis of the quoted figures that this red flag is being raised because indeed the numbers do not add up. · Investing a whopping $550 million just to service two business districts that represent barely 10% of the entire EEDC network, valued at $230 million, does not make any business sense. Building 141 megawatt power plant to service two business districts with peak load of barely 40 megawatts is grossly over scoped, inefficient and a recipe for disaster. This is even more worrisome especially considering that the 1,020 megawatt Alaoji NIPP, located in the same precinct as the Geometric power plant, already has stranded 800 megawatts capacity that cannot be evacuated into the grid by TCN because of its poor infrastructure. In other words, 100 megawatts of Geometric power plant cannot be activated nor utilized despite the huge capital already expended. · Using standard industry estimates, a 141-megawatt power plant, at $1 million/mw, should cost about $141 million; 27km of gas pipeline, at $1 million/km, should cost about $27 million; 140km of HV lines at $30,000/km should cost $4.2 million; while the four substations should cost no more than $4 million at the average cost of $1 million each bringing the total cost to $176.2 million. Allowing additional costs to cater for consultancy and ancillary costs, a cost profile of $200 million for the entire project would have been quite adequate. Thus spending $500 million on a $200 million project does not indicate prudent assessment of costs and management of resources. · · The second and probably more pertinent issue is how will Geometric manage this highly geared financial exposure. Assuming that its promoters contributed 30% equity to the $500 million capital expenditure, and financed $350 million over a standard seven year period at about 10% interest per annum, the debt service will amount to $5.8 million per month or $69.7 million per year. These translate to about N2.4 billion per month or N28.9 billion per year assuming an exchange rate of N415 to a dollar. Interest alone amounts to $2.9 million or N1.2 billion per month. Expectedly, Geometric will need about N2.4 billion every month just to service its debt. There is no way Geometric will be able to net up to N1 billion a month after offsetting its Opex costs including the invoice of the gas supplier, payroll, operations and logistics. So how will Geometric service its facility and have return on its investment? · · Compare the above scenarios to EEDC in which the investors paid $126 million for the entire network including the Aba-Ariaria business districts from which it has gotten back $26 million from Geometric. · · From the foregoing, it is obvious that the authors of the said Nigeria Pilot article do not understand the intricacies of business costs and financing, otherwise they would not have recommended a highly geared entity with attendant risk of threat of business continuity to take over the business of a lesser geared and more prudent but perhaps less efficient entity; although Geometric’s operational efficiency is yet to be tested in the field. · The situation indeed calls to question the prudence and management competency of the Geometric team. Spending $500 million for a $200 million project is, at the least, scandalous. · Installing upfront a 141 megawatt power plant for a network that can only offtake less than a third of that capacity also questions Geometric’s understanding of the business they are going into; a 45 megawatt plant, scalable to 141 megawatts as load demand increases, would have been more prudent. It is akin to buying three aircraft of 120 passenger capacities to deploy on a route that has passenger volume of 100 passengers. You will have to either ground two of the aircraft indefinitely with attendant costs or use the three interchangeably, also with the attendant costs, when you could have deployed only one aircraft initially, and as passenger volume increases you deploy more aircraft. · Ideally, the whole Geometric development could have been done with less than $100 million — $45 million for 45mw power plant, $27 million for the 27km gas pipeline and $8.2 million for the injection substations and 140km HV lines; and yet achieve the same cash flow results. · · An informed protagonist would have rather advised Geometric to court EEDC to off take the excess 100 megawatts, which is probably its only life line to remain at least on life support, as that will improve its cash flows while it seeks other ways of managing its humongous debt profile which may come crashing on it and inevitably consume it sooner than later. · With the right collaboration and support from EEDC, both parties may strike a good symbiotic relationship that will benefit each other and ultimately the customers. There is a saying in Igbo land that it is the man who holds a mould of eba that goes seeking the man with a bowl of soup because the man with soup could eat his soup and relieve his hunger but the man with the eba will be stuck with his eba as he cannot swallow it without soup. However, if they both team up, they would each have a sumptuous meal. · Setting up a party with egg shell skull for a head butt combat with a “Mutiu Adepoju” (then Super Eagles “Headmaster”) can only end in tragedy. · History is replete with the Julius Caesar experience. It is the same cheer leaders that are singing the praises and eulogizing Geometric, that will put the knife to its heart when the cookies crumble. · Geometric should beware of the Ides of March. · Akpantah is a Chartered Accountant and management consultant · https://www.thisdaylive.com/index.php/2022/03/30/geometric-beware-of-the-ides-of-march/ |
justified007:The Ijebu Ode - Epe express way is not a initiative project, abi? He didn't finish it and commission it, abi? Keep lying through your tooth. |
totit:There is no need arguing with those who thinks Aba is better than Ibadan because they never traveled before to see for themselves. I have lived in both cities and I know Aba is way below Ibadan in terms of development not to talk of Oshogbo. ![]() |
OFFICIAL336:Exactly! The same way you are making a mistake by claiming Geometric is a $500m project. ![]() No Dey deceive people here. ![]() |
OFFICIAL336:Who told you Zungeru is disco? ![]() Mr man, na $50m Berth take finish that project and he borrowed the money from world Bank. ![]() Where will he get $500m in the first place? Who go borrow am? Stop lying. Okay. ![]() |
OFFICIAL336:Develop with potopoto roads Dude, I have lived in Aba and Ibadan for 8 and 5 years respectively. And I can tell you Aba is way behind Ota, Abeokuta, Akure, Oshogbo etc in terms of infrastructure development not to talk of Ibadan that is arguably in the top ten most developed cities in Nigeria. In terms of infrastructural development, these are the most developed cities in Nigeria. 1. Lagos 2. Abuja 3. Ikeja 4. Port Harcourt 5. Lekki 6. Ibadan 7. Kaduna 8. Kano 9. Enugu 10. Abeokuta |
OFFICIAL336:Aba is an underdeveloped town. Once it's 9pm, it becomes a ghost town. |
Afonjakid:It's on going but no ABA trader wan go there. |
OFFICIAL336:If Zungeru hydroelectric project of 700MW worths/costs $1.4b, na 141MW project go worth/cost $500m? Common sense is not common. Zungeru is even a dam constructed from scratch. How much more a project on dry land? ![]() Think! Obviously, the proposed project is a 1,080MW. Not 141MW. LAGOS, (Reuters) – Nigeria’s Geometric Power will build a 1,080 megawatt power plant jointly with General Electric , with the first phase of the project generating 500 MW expected to be completed in 2019 at a cost of $800 million. |
OFFICIAL336:ABA Mall along Enugu- Port Harcourt road before you get to Osisioma by the left is worth $300 m!? ![]() That place dry die. Na agbo jedi jedi people rent shops pass for that place. Just tune to MCL channel. You go see dem advertising. ![]() Stop lying. ![]() |
OFFICIAL336:141MW worths $500 m!? ![]() Zungeru hydroelectric project with 700MW worths just $1.4b but a 141 MW will worth more than dat? ![]() |
Ngorbungor:Which Ariaria Market worth $3 billion? The same Ariaria Market on Faulks road? ![]() I can trek from Powerline down through A line to get to Enugu - Port Harcourt express way. And I can categorically tell you it doesn't worth up to that. ![]() Na potopoto road full dat place. Things are very cheap there. Stop lying next time. Sorry to inform you, computer village is not dominated by one particular ethic group. Besides, Facebook alone is worth more than all those markets. |
OFFICIAL336:It's not $500 million, rather $50m. That of $500 is another project but it's yet to kick off. British America Tobacco company worths more than $100m. |
Yooruba1914:Who go vote for am? ![]() |
Addme:Darupado because he is developing other parts of Ogun state, abi? Is Abeokuta only Ogun state? |
Olakunleyakub:I don't understand what you people mean by "his poor performance" considering the numbers of projects he has commissioned across the state. |
andrewbaba44:Moses the slayer. |
mostob:Later, they will tell you he is 40 years old as soon as he grow reach him brother. Smh |
Shaolin77:List of banks in Nigeria This is a list of commercial banks with International Authorization in Nigeria, arranged alphabetically. 1. Access Bank Plc Igbo largest shareholders 2. Fidelity Bank Plc Igbo Largest Shareholders 3. First City Monument Bank Limited Yoruba Largest Shareholders 4. First Bank of Nigeria Limited Yoruba Largest Shareholders 5. Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc Yoruba Largest Shareholders 6. Union Bank of Nigeria Plc - Foreigner largest shareholders headed by Igbo 7. United Bank for Africa Plc - Anioma Igbo Largest Shareholders while Yorubas are the second largest shareholders. 8. Zenith Bank Plc - Ika Largest Shareholder 9. Citibank Nigeria Limited Foreign Bank Headed by Yoruba 10. Ecobank Nigeria Foreign Bank Headed by Yoruba 11. Heritage Bank Plc headed by SS. 12. Keystone Bank Limited Northern largest shareholder and headed by Yoruba 13. Polaris Bank Limited. The successor to Skye Bank Plc.[2] Northern and Yoruba Largest Shareholders headed by Igbo 14. Stanbic IBTC Bank Plc - Foreign Bank Headed by Yoruba 15. Standard Chartered Foreign Bank Headed by Yoruba 16. Sterling Bank Plc - Yoruba Largest single Shareholder and headed by Yoruba 17. Titan Trust Bank Limited - Foreign Bank Headed by Yoruba 18. Unity Bank Plc - Northern largest Shareholders headed by Yoruba. 19. Wema Bank Plc - Yoruba Largest Shareholders |
lightskinnigga:Have you seen Calabar ICC?
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walefresh3:Good job. Which city is the first picture in Ogun state? |
haslaw:Kiki mother who is the direct heir of Awolowo is late, and she only had 3 children. She must have inherited something her mother after her demise. Awolowo has many properties. The one at Awolowo road in Ikeja worth more than 3 billion Naira. You are definitely a novice. |
basilo101:Oduduwa is not a one clan history. All Yorubas believe and accept they are descendants of Oduduwa. |
haslaw:Hahahaha! Awolowo's family doesn't have such wealth!? Are you joking? ![]() You are an ignoramus. Besides, Osinbajo's wife not Osinbajo is the granddaughter of Awolowo. |
darling2222:Don't be deceived. Osinbajo's wife is from a very wealthy family. Even Osinbajo is wealthy as at when he was ACN and Lagos state attorney. |
haslaw:Have you forgotten that Osinbajo's wife Awolowo's granddaughter? |
andrewbaba44:Na Chelsea Mendy's free gift goal still Dey pain me. |
Real Madrid Dey give wotorwotor. Chaiii! Mendy!!!!!! Why na? ![]() |
Truthisunique2:To show respect to who? Buhari!? ![]() Nobody will sign anything. Be rest assured. If Buhari dears forces his decision, the party is as good as gone. |
Abascoh:There is a law guiding consensus candidate. It requires getting an official letter from all the candidates stating they agreed to it and it must be sent to Inec. How many of them will agree? |
mostob:He is one of our best players in Europe. |
lelion:Na dat one I no know ooo. |
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