Fred2020's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 10:34am On Aug 08, 2025

AIICO back on full bid!!

Royalex heading to full bid.

1 Like

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 10:15am On Aug 08, 2025

It appears SUNUASSUR is fighting its way back into green cool

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 8:36am On Aug 08, 2025

SohSoh:
How does a business like Ellah Lakes make money .... from it agricultural produce.....

Let us see the produce

Picture attached a Bottle of Okumo oil. I have never seen Ellah Lakes Produce/Product in the market

Ellah is clearly a business that seeks to sell itself as a business ubdergoing rapid positive transformation.

Interesting it grew revenue from less than N1m in 2024 to N60m YTD.

Also, it has biological assets worth N585million but also has a salary payable of N525million which I guess is likely intended to be primarily share-based compensation to senior exec...but still seems quite steep or probably premature given the revenue and biological asset value as at YTD.

It makes me question how diverse and independent the board is.

Also, the large portion of the asset value (over 80%) is down to N22billion of land (approx N15billion of this value was recognised in 2024 by a fair value adjustment - a 200% increase in land value). This would make me feel very uncomfortable if I were a long term investor.

This adjustments were signed off by a small audit firm also.

While it may have met ICAN criteria to audit and signed off the account, I would personally be uncomfortable relying on a 15billion naira revaluation gain being signed off by a small accounting firm....

5 Likes

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 4:38pm On Aug 07, 2025

2zona:
Insurance stocks seem to have received another email ooo, full bids are getting stronger. Those previously on offer are drying out. D

Is anyone here cc'ed in this email or has some expo on it to share?

Some of us are riding the insurance wave without a life jacket grin

and would appreciate the advance advisory.

3 Likes

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 5:44pm On Aug 06, 2025

Agbalowomeri:
Lol after 3 months continues bull, what else do you expect? Bull must drink water na otherwise e go collapse

Had I fully heeded the prophets, I'd have gone all in on the insurance wave—head first and no life jacket.

Thank God for the one leg I dipped in insurance, it is keeping my portfolio green.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 5:28pm On Aug 06, 2025

What is with the bloodbath in NGXGroup? From about 15% up 2 weeks back, I am 15% down now.

Also, all banking stocks in my portfolio are down?

1 Like

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 10:49am On Aug 06, 2025

Quick question, please. If a stock stays on full bid without any trade for the whole day, does the price move?

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 5:34pm On Aug 05, 2025

One of the key risks to the ongoing stock market rally is the exchange rate, which has recently shown signs of weakness.

Unfortunately, there is not much transparency around the forces influencing Nigeria’s exchange rate, leaving much of the conversation driven by speculation rather than hard data.

The CBN loosening a lot of capital controls lately has been a confidence boost to inward investment but more needs to be done in making the data transparent.

In a world where DJT has spook a lot of investors from the more established developed markets and oil continues to hold steady at above $70 a barrel. Markets like Nigeria can continue to big winners.

The market can continue to boom till 2026 especially Nigeria seems to be tilting to a one party state & next election may be a formality. Bad for democracy, good for foreign investors.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 1:25pm On Aug 05, 2025

purity2all:
E don follow join the full bid train ,sha 😏

I shock chief...anything insurance, people are packing it..technical or non-technically good.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 12:15pm On Aug 05, 2025

Fred2020:
I will rather get into ones with positive upsides. I expect that is what int'l investors would also be checking.

BTW, @chief Loco VERITASKAP has broken ranks

As suspected, insurance firms with large positive upsides are going into full bid

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 11:48am On Aug 05, 2025

toyeoye:
That's when to get it no?

I will rather get into ones with positive upsides. I expect that is what int'l investors would also be checking.

BTW, @chief Loco VERITASKAP has broken ranks

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 11:39am On Aug 05, 2025

purity2all:
IEI

The technical sentiments are flagged as poor

1 Like

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 11:31am On Aug 05, 2025

faoogoke:
This should be the news driving the insurance sector.

Some insurance stocks are however unmoved

which ones?

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 2:16pm On Aug 04, 2025

Locotrader:
Insurance stocks wey vex for full bids today plenty oooo.Nobody wan carry last.

Full bids
Aiico
MB
Royalex
Sovereign
Veritas
Conhall
Lasaco

More actions coming tomorrow.

This game is confusing but looking sweet.
Royalex na the game changer

This is a high-risk game. Not worth it for us newbies. I'll stick with the "normal stocks"

3 Likes

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 10:33am On Aug 04, 2025

Locotrader:
Mutual Benefit full bid
Royalex full bid.

MB can't do full bid without Royalex doing her own.

If MB will do 5.60
Royalex will do 7

Make we dey watch

chief, I think Royalex is suffering manipulation due to its low market valuation, which has made it vulnerable to market manipulation or volatility.

It almost turned full offer on Friday and now it is full bid on Monday....what a game

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 10:19am On Aug 04, 2025

The game with Royalex continues after it turning negtive last week Friday

Travel › Re: Living In The Uk-life Of An Immigrant (part 3) by Fred2020: 12:25pm On Aug 03, 2025

Raalsalghul:
At this point, I agree with Goodenoch that this Kemi has a mental problem.

She never passes up on any opportunity to wind us up.

omo ale lo n fowo osi juwe Ile baba re {it is the bastard child to points to her home using her left hand.

Her parents have failed her honestly.

We cannot change where we come from and must never despise it. We must only strive to become the best.

Her parents may have taught her the later but they failed to teach her the former.

She is on cause to be a very inconsequential leader of the party. No matter how much she digs dip into culture wars and disparaging her ancestry, it would not win her votes with the voting base she is chasing.

My shame is that Nigeria is blessed with some of the best and most talented population in Africa, thanks to its large & young population size.

It is a shame that in the one that rose to the pinnacle of british politics is not the brightest one in the pack.

7 Likes

Travel › Re: Nigerians Abroad Will Start Running Home Very Soon - Journalist Jimi Disu by Fred2020: 5:39pm On Aug 02, 2025

ednut1:
In the video he admitted to being a British citizen and that all his children are abroad. He is being disingenuous hahahah

He is talking from his side of the table.

He is an old man who has over the years leveraged on the life abroad to meet his basic needs. Now he is looking for a place he can easily socialised and be self actualised.

Unfortunately for the old man, he doesnt realise what drives the younger generation (including his children) is different

1 Like

Business › Re: Dangote Refinery Appoints David Bird, Ex-shell Executive, As CEO by Fred2020: 4:22pm On Aug 02, 2025

budaatum:
Looks like Devakumar is a builder, and not a manager. Different skills set.

Sad though, that Dangote could not find a Nigerian.

Yes, Devakumar is an engineer with limited experience in the petroleum refining business.

1 Like 1 Share

Travel › Re: Living In The Uk-life Of An Immigrant (part 3) by Fred2020: 8:37am On Aug 02, 2025

Viruses:
Your options are limited. You leave the account blocked you may not get the money, unblock it and you will not get the money. So leaving it blocked increases your chances of getting the money because he is loosing too.

He is a trades person and can make money to pay you by receiving payments from other clients using another account.

Yes, I see the risk, but I am bit concerned the longer the issue drags on the higher the chance he gets the bank to unblock his account through other means.

Travel › Re: Living In The Uk-life Of An Immigrant (part 3) by Fred2020: 8:35am On Aug 02, 2025

Goodenoch:
Ask him to pay you from elsewhere and get his money back once his account is unblocked.

Under no circumstances should you ask the bank to unblock it because once you do you will not have any further recourse. He, on the other hand, has 100% confidence of getting his money once he pays you.

One thing though - can he not give a written instruction to the bank to pay you first and then you withdraw the complaint and his account will be unblocked?

I havent considered this yet. I will see how feasible it in in being irrevocable, thanks

Travel › Re: Living In The Uk-life Of An Immigrant (part 3) by Fred2020: 7:33am On Aug 02, 2025

I'm currently dealing with a tricky situation and would appreciate any advice on how best to proceed.

I unfortunately found myself dealing with a rogue tradesperson who has failed to show up for the agreed work and has become increasingly difficult to reach to confirm any start date.

I paid him a deposit via bank transfer. Luckily, after I reported the issue as suspected fraud, the bank froze his account.

He’s now saying that once the account is unblocked, he will refund me, as the funds are still in the account. While that might sound reasonable on the surface, I no longer trust that he’ll follow through if I inform the bank the issue is resolved and his account is unblocked.

I informed the bank about this and they mentioned they cannot guarantee he would pay if I agree to have his account unfrozen.

Any suggestions or experience dealing with his?

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 9:28am On Aug 01, 2025

Are there commissions or fees to be paid when a rights issue is exercised?

At the current share price, UBA is cheaper in the open market than the rights issue.

I wonder if that changes when transaction charges are considered?

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 6:52pm On Jul 31, 2025

megawealth01:
Why run?

my Chief! If the medium-term outlook is red, it's time to grab my slippers and run. I am fairly risk averse, so I stick to established companies.

Question is the medium term outlook good for FBN?

Travel › Re: Living In The UK: Property,Mortgage And Related by Fred2020: 6:47pm On Jul 31, 2025

Meogom:
Finally got the keys on Friday as planned after all the Barclays drama. This forum has been a huge source of inspiration and a great bank of information. Reading about people's mortgage journey and learning from them, people sharing insights, all the banter and vibes ati be be lo. Thanks so much to this great house.
Now phase 2 begins, putting the house in order, all my DIY skills will severely put to test, we go dey do am small small.
And @Lexusgs430, no pressure

Congrats

1 Like

Romance › Re: Finally Getting Married To Her by Fred2020: 4:51pm On Jul 31, 2025*

Even those sleeping with different ladies and guys weekly will come and condemn/warn you grin

3 Likes

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 1:53pm On Jul 31, 2025

megawealth01:
It's a game

Should I run?

almost 20% of my portfolio sits with FBN..hovering around breakeven price.

I am happy to take my small losses and run if the issue is expected to get worse.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 10:05am On Jul 31, 2025

What is up with FBN Holdco, please?

Full offer!

Foreign Affairs › Re: Canada Follows France And UK With Plan To Recognise Palestinian State by Fred2020: 7:55am On Jul 31, 2025

Depriest2020:
Surely they'll gather, but their gathering is not of the Lord, they will all scatter in several directions.

All Israel needs do, is to be strong and firm, fear thou not and behold the mighty works of the Almighty God of Israel, the God of your forefathers, Abraham, Isaac and jacob. he will turn the wisdoms of your adversaries to foolishness and the curse of Balak will again through the mouth of Balaam become blessings.

You dont starve a whole population to death because you are at war with their leadership. Israel should know this better given their own history.

4 Likes

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 2:08pm On Jul 30, 2025

Jeez2:
UACN on full bid

1 Like

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 9:30am On Jul 30, 2025

Oasisblue:
The debt is much, plus a Negative Operating Cash Flow: -₦6.25B (vs. -₦11.50B in H1 2024) – Due to working capital pressures (inventory/receivables) is scary.

.

Thanks, I hadn't notice that

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fred2020: 7:13pm On Jul 29, 2025

sterlingD:
MEM INSURANCE
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/44670_NEM_INSURANCE_PLC.-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_JULY_2025.pdf

JAPAUL GOLD
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/44671_JAPAUL_GOLD_AND_VENTURES_PLC-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_JULY_2025.pdf

FCMB
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/44674_FCMB_GROUP_PLC-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_JULY_2025.pdf

CHEMICAL AND ALLIED PRODUCTS
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/44676_CHEMICAL_AND_ALLIED_PRODUCTS_PLC-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_JULY_2025.pdf

SUNU ASSURANCE
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/44681_SUNU_ASSURANCES_NIGERIA_PLC-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_JULY_2025.pdf

MORRISON INDUSTRIES
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/44682_MORISON_INDUSTRIES_PLC.-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_JULY_2025.pdf

FIDSON
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/44683_FIDSON_HEALTHCARE_PLC-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_JULY_2025.pdf

LINKAGE ASSURANCE
https://doclib.ngxgroup.com/Financial_NewsDocs/44684_LINKAGE_ASSURANCE_PLC-_QUARTER_2_-_FINANCIAL_STATEMENT_FOR_2025_FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_JULY_2025.pdf

Do you know when Fidson results were released?

I dont think the market responded to the postive result or has it been priced weeks backs?

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