₦airaland Forum

A new opinion poll on the fortunes of the candidates for next year’s presidential elections released on Thursday morning by ANAP foundation shows Peter Obi of labour party holding a significant lead over both Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the ruling APC and Atiku Abubakar of the opposition PDP.

In the nationwide poll conducted this month, Peter Obi stands at 21% while both Tinubu and Atiku are tied in second place with 13% each. Kwankwanso of the NNPP is at a distant fourth with only 3%.

ANAP foundation has traditionally organized political opinion polls ahead of each of the presidential elections since 2011 and are conducted by front line polling company, NOI polls. Thursday’s earthshaking poll results were released by ANAP’s founder Atedo Peterside.

He said this recent nationwide opinion poll was concluded in early September 2022 with each of the respondent asked the same question, “suppose the presidential election is being conducted today, who are you likely to vote for.”

According to a statement personally signed by Peterside, “the poll revealed a substantially close race between Mr. Peter Obi of Labour Party (LP), Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP).

“Running significantly behind the leading pack is Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) who is the lone outsider. All other contestants polled results that are statistically insignificant.

“The results showed a significant lead for Mr. Peter Obi with 21% of voters proposing to vote for him if the presidential election were to be conducted today; and 13% each proposing to vote for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar who are both tied in second place. Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso was a distant fourth with 3% of voters proposing to vote for him.

“Mr. Peter Obi’s 8 percentage point lead at this early stage is significant, but not sufficient to separate him completely from a leading pack of candidates scoring 21%, 13% and 13% respectively.

“Undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 32% and 15% respectively. The gender split of undecided voters shows that 39% of women are undecided versus 27% of male voters.”

The percentage of registered voters among the respondents is as follows in each of the zones – 99% in the North East, 90% in the South, the North Central and the North West respectively. The lowest registered voter percentages were in the South East with 88% and the South West with 85%.

When asked if respondents were aware of the various candidates vying for the Presidency, data gathered showed that 99% of the respondents were aware of Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the APC, 98% were aware of Atiku Abubakar of the PDP, 95% were aware of Peter Obi of LP and 74% were aware of Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso of the NNPP. All other candidates scored below 55% in terms of name recognition.

Furthermore, the data from the wide-ranging poll summarizes top five reasons why voters are more inclined to vote in the forthcoming elections, these include: – the need to tackle insecurity (45%), the Economy (20%), Education (9%), Unemployment (7%) and Poverty alleviation (4%).

According to the results, 46% of the respondents said they want to see their preferred presidential candidates participate in a televised interview and/or debate, with the interview/debates spanning across topics like their party manifestos, issues of Security, Economy, Education, Job Creation, Healthcare and Agriculture amongst others.

According to the statement by ANAP foundation, “it is worthy of note that 69% of those aged 18-25, 76% of those aged 26-35, 77% of those aged 36-45, 87% of those aged 46-60 and 89% of those aged 61+ responded saying that they would definitely vote in the coming elections.

“The age groups that expressed the greatest willingness to vote were those between 46-60 and 61+ years. On average, the Poll shows that almost 8 in 10 registered voters are absolutely certain that they would be voting in the next presidential election. If they stay committed, then we could witness a huge turnout in the February 2023 elections.

“Furthermore, Peter Obi led the pack in virtually all the age categories i.e., his leadership was not confined to the youths only.

“While these Poll results show some significant trends, it is key to note that the battle ahead lies in the hands of the undecided/swing voters, as it appears they would ultimately decide which candidate takes the lead to emerge as the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the 2023 presidential elections.”

The statement concluded that “in summary, our September 2022 Polls are inconclusive in terms of establishing a clear winner, as the undecided voters are large enough to turn the tables. However, ANAP Foundation has concluded that the trends are clear enough to establish the front runners and so our subsequent polls will concentrate on the four leading candidates only.”

According to one analyst who spoke to BusinessDay, “these results show that Obi can win this election and we may well be headed for a run off between Obi and the second candidate given the relatively humble showing of Obi in some regions. The results also answer the question which many have asked as to whether a vote for Obi is a wasted vote. A vote for Obi is not wasted at all.”

https://businessday.ng/politics/article/peter-obi-in-strong-lead-over-tinubu-atiku-in-new-anap-foundation-poll/

Dayo is a Yoruba APC youth leader ...

What did you expect when their presidential candidate is a bigot!

Sub Airtel Everyday On (6k) and thank me later.

Obviously, it is Lagos...the day I went to Jankande Isolo,Ejigbo,Ikotun,Igando, Ijegun and Idumu axis....very dirty

Congratulations to the good people of Egbira.

Very soon it will that of Ngwa Enthic Nationality.....

We are seriously working on it.

Shut up...Alhaji Abdulazeez Ukandu remains a commissioner in Abia State till date.

We are in need of a white head truck that can carry 40 ft container

Payout monthly is attractive

We handle fuelling, repairs and maintenance.

NB: The trucks are to be used within a complex not our bad roads

Get in touch asap...o.nine.o.6.2.one.8.5.four. four.1

Wahala

How this became governor and ruled Anambra remains a puzzle...

Ihedioha will accept it and nothing will happen since southern Nigeria no get sense.

This could be true because of Tambuwal's connection...

I see Atiku winning this election...he is a veteran in the game..

This is the truth!

Parachoko:
With the way you reason, if you are a politician, you won't go far.

The game of politics is not played this way.

Unfortunately for you, I have been winning elections since my university days till date!

Maobichek:
Despite the hate/harassment against late Ossy Prestige, PDP still lost that election (Aba North/South HoR).

The slogan then was: "nwa Aba ga aru Aba" but what did Ikpeazu did in Aba? Now he want to hand over to Ikonne from Faulks Rd Aba neglecting the existing rotation that encouraged TA to rigged him into power.

If Ikonne will be better no problem cos any time i remember Ngwa Rd, i always feel bad.

What is this one saying?

Chimaobi Ebisike an Ngwa son from Aba North LGA won the Aba HOR.

Secondly, Prof Uche Ikonne is not related to our revered Eze Ikonne, he is from Isiala Ngwa North not Aba north...and FYI Prof Ikonne will win the guber elections and there is nothing you guys can do about it.


You are not from Abia that is why your have ended up saying nothing...

godofuck231:
So now the second and third 2orld countries are the lifelines of the west , a discovery of the century

Don't mind those parasites...

The Russian rouble will be introduced in regions of Ukraine now under Moscow’s military control, a move that undermines earlier claims by Russia that it was not seeking to occupy territory captured by its forces.

Moscow will introduce the rouble as the official currency in the Russian-controlled region of Kherson in southern Ukraine, a Russian official said on Thursday.

"Beginning May 1, we will move to the rouble zone,” civilian and military administrator Kirill Stremousov was cited as saying by Russia’s state-run news agency RIA Novosti.

He specified there will be a grace period of four months when Ukraine’s currency, the hryvnia, would also be used. After the four-month transitional period, the Ukrainian hryvnia will cease to be valid.

“Then we will completely switch to settlements in roubles,” RIA Novosti quoted Stremousov as saying.

Stremousov’s announcement has yet to be confirmed by high-ranking Russian officials.

Ukraine’s human rights ombudswoman, Lyudmyla Denisova, condemned the plan as an “act of annexation” and accused Russian forces of “starving the people of Kherson by blocking humanitarian aid” to the city.

“The introduction of the Russian rouble in the region of Kherson is an act of annexation and another gross violation by Russia” of international law, she said.

Russia said earlier this week that it had seized control of the entire southern Kherson region, including its eponymous administrative capital, which fell to Russian troops soon after the February 24 invasion.

Moscow’s defence ministry claimed that “peaceful life” was being restored to the region and other regions that have been captured recently, despite reports in the Ukrainian press and on social media of ongoing protests against the Russian administration of Kherson.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/4/28/moscow-to-adopt-ruble-in-ukraine-russian-administrator

Europe struggles for clarity on Russian roubles-for-gas demand
European Union states are attempting to maintain Russian gas supplies without violating sanctions against Moscow.

European Union countries are scrambling to make sense of Russia’s decision to cut gas flows to Poland and Bulgaria, and eager to maintain their own supplies from Russia while steering clear of violating trade sanctions imposed against Moscow.

On Tuesday, Russia’s energy giant Gazprom announced it would be halting gas supplies to both countries after not receiving payment in Russian roubles from the two EU member states.
Gazprom said the countries had violated an order by Russian President Vladimir Putin that payments for Russian gas must be made only in Russia’s currency and not United States dollars or euros.

The demand for roubles is largely interpreted as a ploy by the Kremlin to weaponise its gas supply and create legal loopholes in sanctions imposed by the EU against Russia for its invasion of Ukraine.

Russia has ordered that energy companies from “unfriendly countries” make their payments in roubles at Gazprombank, a request that some in the EU, including Germany – which is hugely dependent on Russian gas – said did not break sanctionsb rules.

“The payments will be made in euros and then transferred by Gazprombank into a so-called K account,” said Germany’s Climate and Economy Minister Robert Habeck.

“That’s the path that we’re taking, that’s the path that Europe has shown us, that is the path that’s compatible with sanctions,” he said.
The payment process basically requires buyers to open a rouble account at Gazprombank into which their euro or dollar payments would be deposited after conversion into the Russian currency via authorisation from the buyer.
But others, including the European Commission, which drafts the sanctions on Russia for the EU, warned that the transfer could constitute a violation, putting gas importers in legal danger.

The commission has said the process would breach EU sanctions on Russia as the currency conversion would involve a transaction through Russia’s central bank, which is subject to EU sanctions.

'A cirrcumvention of the sanctions’
EU spokesman Eric Mamer echoed the commission’s concern.

“If the contract stipulates that payments should be made in euros or in dollars, then the company’s obligation ends once it has made that payment in euros or dollars,” Mamer said.

“If the payment takes place in roubles, then we are no longer talking about the agreed contract and we’re talking about a circumvention of the sanctions.”

“What we cannot accept is that companies are obliged to open a second account and that between the first and second account, the amount in euros is in the full hands of the Russian authorities and the Russian Central Bank, and that the payment is only complete when it is converted into roubles,” a senior EU official said.

“This is absolutely clear circumvention of the sanctions.”

Opening a roubles account at Gazprombank in itself may breach the EU sanctions, the official added, without providing a conclusive assessment of that.

To clear up the confusion, European energy ministers are holding an emergency meeting next week and will ask the commission, the EU’s executive, to give clearer legal advice on how to deal with Russia’s gas demands.

Member countries have expressed “some frustration on the commission’s guidance that has been interpreted in different ways by member states”, an EU diplomat said, on condition of anonymity.

But senior EU officials said the EU’s 27 member states agree that they will not pay Russia directly in roubles for their imports of gas, and the deadline for their next payments is expected to be May 20.

Poland and Bulgaria both used their existing method to pay for Russian gas, which involved making payments into existing accounts, rather than opening new Gazprombank accounts, before Moscow cut their gas supplies on Wednesday, another senior official said.

“According to our information, both have stuck to the original form of payment,” the senior EU official said.

Poland and Bulgaria are relatively minor customers for Russian gas and were about to end their contracts at the end of the year anyway. Poland’s entire gas import was 10 billion cubic metres per year, out of total European imports of 155 billion cubic metres from Russia. Gas in roughly that amount is already flowing to Poland from other European countries pitching in to help.

Simone Tagliapietra, an energy expert and senior fellow at the Bruegel think-tank in Brussels, said Putin is attempting to “fragment European countries and their stance toward energy diversification and the overall stance against Russia”.

“What he is creating is a system where he can basically divide countries, as we are seeing, for the ones that don’t want to comply with this new scheme will be cut off, while others will try to comply and essentially go against the European Union,” he said.

Last year, Russia supplied 32 percent of the total gas demand of the European Union and United Kingdom, up from 25 percent in 2009, according to the International Energy Agency

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2022/4/28/europe-struggles-for-clarity-on-russias-roubles-for-gas-demand

No be AREWA symbol I dey see for Oni's palace ...I am beginning to believe Ilorin story.

joyandfaith:
Buhari had settled Tinubu camp with APC chairman , Speaker, VP slot and Ministerial appointment.
Amaechi camp or Osinbajo( to spite Tinubu) would be next to settle.
If Tinubu wants to fight dirty, DSS will do their job. And if MC Oluomo boys want to burn lagos, they would receive Sunday Igboho treatment.
Where is Dasuki self?
Buhari hates Tinubu with passion.
Buhari would impose his successor. I don't know.

Pmb has tried for the man. He will not kill himself for him.

Tinubu nominated the VP, speaker, super ministers and head of parastatals...yet he is not satisfied! Then you want to contest for presidency. Na only waka come!

His supporters and now forcing Pmb to give him ticket! Kilode!

Mynd44:
I wonder who told people Tinubu wants Buhari's endorsement.

His supporters have always said everyone who wants to contest should buy ticket and meet up at the convention ground to test your popularity.

It is actually supporters of other aspirants that don't want the primary. They want a consensus why?

Joe Igbokwe is an ardent supporter of Tinubu...go to his Facebook wall and see the trash he has been posting. He clearly posted that APC should not give any other person the ticket,this is also the belief of so many of his supporters I know. I am an insider and I know what I am saying. They believe that PMB should hand him the presidential ticket.

Tinubuadvocate:
If i were you I will more concentrate on my region to produce the next Nigeria president .But instead Yoruba are the target .this is how you people will lament for the next 8 years of Tinubu rule.

To you anybody that says the truth is an Igbo.

After the 2014 APC primaries, Pmb settled Tinubu with vice presidental slot which he nominated his boy Osibanjo for, he also conceded key ministerial and parastatal positions to him. Buhari repeated the same thing after 2019 general elections. Yes Tinubu played a major role in making PMB president, but Buhari has also reciprocated enough by giving him most of the juicy positions in his government including the Vice Presidential slot.

As 2023 approaches, nobody should blackmail Pmb into endorsing Tinubu presidency. He owes Tinubu nothing. People like Amaechi( who headed his campaign twice), El Rufai, Kwankwaso,Adamu Aliero, Wamako,Atiku,Saraki ,Goje,Giadem even our own Dino etc played major role too.

Buhari has full right to support his own candidate apart from Tinubu.

wakaman:
tunji.ajayi1@gmail.com here's my email.

I will get in touch...

MrBrownJay1:
you can do it online, just google ONLINE GPS LOCATOR ....

Thanks bro

If you stay in Lagos and can track a location using the GPS coordinates. Kindly send me a mail via osimiringwa@gmail.com

Download ReportGov app on Google play store. Register and report to presidency direct, they will help you.

Meanwhile, Kunle Poly dey prison. 2022/23 go sweet...all na politics.

If this is really true, nobody should mention ritual or yahoo+. This is the effect of substance abuse. Drug abuse! Dem take more than their head fit carry. The rate at which our girls are being introduce to drugs is alarming.

We must commend NDLEA for doing their job. Drugs have done a lot to Lagos. Remove drugs,90% of Lagos wahala is solved!

This one na SIMP squared ...Chief Simp. How can a full grown man cry because of a woman?

By 26th we go know those in charge of party structure...no be party leader for mouth.

SWATMan:
Because BAT controls the ones from SW. Remember how he used them (ACN) to vote for Tambuwal (PDP Sokoto) against his PDP sister (Akande Moji) then to spite GEJ. What he did then was a precursor to his present ambition.

But Buni and em men no get joy....why must they block the kingmakers men?