₦airaland Forum

SE- 3million votes
SS- 3million votes
SW- 2million votes
NC- 2.2million votes
NE- 0.8million votes
NW- 1million votes...

garfield1:
Things are not the way it seems.people hardly come out to vote there but you see huge figures

BVAS is there to checkmate such figures.

garfield1:
Wike controls that lga with his palms.he will deliver it wherever he deems fit

Oga, as far as Obio/Akpor is concern, Obi will get past 70% there..

itsRhamzy:
dey play.

So You think Obi can cause upset to Waziri because he's christian? 😁😁. What about in 2015 that Buhari contested against a Christian GEJ, what was the result in Adamawa? 😁. Obi will be thankful to God if he sees even 10% in Adamawa. Quote me after election ☺️.

GEJ defeated Buhari in 2011 with over 58%, 2015 GEJ still got 40%, and we all know it's because of Boko haram that Buhari defeat him that year.

If Atiku sees 55% in Adamawa, Inec should declare him the winner..

SPV, Bala Blu and that Red cap guy must share the Northern Muslim votes in equal proportion.. No bloc votes whatsoever..

garfield1:
With wike not supporting him,its not

Out of the 774 LGAs in the country, where Obi will get his highest number is in Wike's LGA of Obio/Akpor. They have over 600k voters, and Igbos have more than 70% of the number..

garfield1:
Only in anambra

Even Rivers state is possible for Obi

itsRhamzy:
lol.. Atiku got 47% of votes in Adamawa defeating Buhari that polled 43% in 2019.. and you think Atiku won't sweep Adamawa in 2023 now that Buhari is out of the equation? dey play. If only BAT knows how most northerners feel about him he wouldn't even bother campaigning in the North let alone bank on Bloc votes from them.

I am part of those 51% that voted for him in 2019, I have a different candidate now.. We are in our 100s of thousands that will vote a different candidate in 2023..

itsRhamzy:
I'll quote you after the election results is released lol 😆.

I await you..

Atiku go shaa mamaki in Adamawa.. We full ground here.

Penguin2:
Obi can do a million votes in Anambra, Imo and Lagos, ceteris paribus.

I rather replace Imo with Enugu..
Because Hope Uzodimna will try and get some votes for Tinibu.. Say 15%..

Obi will poll 1 million votes in Anambra & Lagos. Tinibu will do same in Lagos.

itsRhamzy:
What makes you think that? Kwakwanso is only relevant in Kano, outside there, he's not getting much anywhere else. What gives you the impression that Kwakwanso has what it takes to upset Atiku in the North?

Fact: Atiku is getting nothing less than 65% in every northern state with the rest candidates sharing at most 35%.

Note: I don't know anyone outside Kano that's saying anything about voting Kwakwanso. Most in the villages are not even aware he's contesting anything. The most popular candidate in the North amongst all contenders is Atiku. How do I know these? I'm currently in the North.

If you are realistic, you won't ascribe 65% of Northern votes to Atiku..

Even in his home state Adamawa, Atiku cannot get past 55%.
In fact no single state in the 19 Northern states would Atiku get up to 60%. I'm damn sure of this.

Hoelujohn:
What is difficult in him getting 25% in Ogun state? I teach in a school where about 80% of the pupils are Yorubas. Infact I will do something now. I will ask them to write down the party the parents are supporting. I will update soon
These are for three classes and all pupils are 9+. One of them tried to write twice , that was the cancelled one. The "smartest" class of them wrote in the 3rd column.

Omoh, E choke.. LP held sway..

But what area of Ogun state was this poll conducted..?
If it is in the urban arear, can LP do half of what she did here in rural areas of Ogun state..?

Penguin2:
Lol!

I don’t factor Niger in my calculation but I don’t know why you guys don’t think Obi will get 25% in Oyo. Are you guys aware that that state is a little cosmopolitan?

Meanwhile I found out Abuja is not part of your count, why?

Abuja is already a sure banker. My concern is 24 out of 36 states.

Penguin2:
1) Abia
2) Anambra
3) Imo
4) Enugu
5) Ebonyi
6) Rivers
7) Cross Rivers
8 Edo
9) Bayelsa
10) Akwa Ibom
11) Delta
12) Lagos
13) Ondo
14) Ogun
15) Ekiti
16) Oyo
17) Osun
18) Plateau
19) Benue
20) Taraba
21) Kaduna
22) Nasarawa
23) Kogi
24) Kwara
25) Adamawa
26) Abuja

Only about 1 or 2 here might slip out.

How did you do your own count?

1. Abia
2. Anambra
3. Ebonyi
4. Enugu
5. Imo
6. Akwa Ibom
7. Bayelsa
8. Cross River
9. Delta
10. Edo
11. Rivers
12. Lagos
13. Ondo
14. Ogun
15. Benue
16. Kogi
17. Nasarawa
18. Plateau
19. Adamawa
20. Taraba
21. Kaduna..
I'm so sure of these states for the 25% spread.

Hoping for the following states to give us the spread.
22. Oyo
23. Kwara
24. Niger
25. Gombe..

North East- Peter Obi

Penguin2:
Same thing I think here.

But if you look at the bar chart, you’d it was indicated red for LP.

See, Obi is winning this election at first round.

I still have my doubts about the spread..

My last count gave me 21 states..

Penguin2:
I must say I’m surprised at the numbers Labour is doing or did in Gombe.

With that said, I think 25% might be achieved in Kwara and Oyo and even Osun, in the end.

I don’t know, but something tells me Labour will do 25% in 6 Southwest states.

LP is also likely to do 25% in Adamawa. I don’t know why the poll is projecting otherwise.

25% in Adamawa is so sure, no arguments whatsoever..

From my projections, Obi will have the spread in 21 states.

5 SE states, 6SS states and Lagos, Ondo, Oyo, Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, Kogi, Kaduna, Taraba & Adamawa.. That's 21.

LP will likely get the spread in Niger, Gombe, Ogun and Kwara states..

drlateef:
The only presidential candidate who has promised to reverse the deadline is Bola Ahmed Tinubu. So if you want the cabal to be defeated and deadline of Emefiele reversed, vote Bola Ahmed Tinubu. He is the fighter for the masses. He is not contesting to amass wealth. He is already wealthy and successful. Thats the person Nigeria needs. He is very intelligent and very experienced with resources at his disposal. He is the best recruiter of the best brains to help recover Nigeria. Vote for him and see prosperity return to Nigeria.

Why are you lots so scared to blame Buhari for all the woes of the country for the past 8 years..

When GEJ faltered, you guys blamed him and not his cycle.. Why is PMB own different..?

Trollronaldo:
But if you ask me, I can place a bet that Obi will get 25% in at least
Kaduna
Nassarawa
Benue
Taraba
Plateau

I am not 100% certain about Kogi and Adamawa for the benefit of doubt

Adamawa is so sure of 25% for ObiDatti..

States like Kwara and Gombe also deliver 25% to a top Christian contender..

Very fair analysis.
Each of the four candidate will get their own share of the votes across the 19 states plus FCT
Atiku 35%
Tinibu 35%
Obi 20%
Kwankwoso 10%..
+/-2% for each candidates..

frank14011991:
we are even happy with obis candidature

Your M-M agenda will fail war'r-wass..

garfield1:
Where is mautech

Yola..
It's now called MAU-Yola it was initially a Technology university, but now a conventional uni, thanks to the current APC guber candidate Aishatu Binani. She pushed for it in the red chamber..

The former FMC in Yola South is now the medical college of Mau-Yola... While the FMC is now been built in Hong LGA (Boss Mustapha and Babachir Lawal's LGA.).

Adamawa South has little or no government presence.. Those guys they misbehave despite having larger LGA than North and Central.

frank14011991:
oga stop lying you are a southerner in Yola, don't claim northern Christian

Show me, where I claimed Northern Christian..
Just show any comment, I have ever made claiming Northern Christian..

But as a Malo that you are, you are pained that your so called arne is aligning with the tribe you and your cohorts hated the most..

Mr. Strategists..

Tomorrow na Nkwo Nnewi, the next day na Trade Fair in same Lagos..

Urchins can only urchinate. No more, no less...

Oh!, I forgot, they also know how to cry blood.

Kpele ooo

asanausana91:
That is a very good decision. Voting Peter obi is like voting Tinubu. Even Peter Obi himself knows that he will not win. Please don't waste your votes on Peter Obi,vote Atiku so that we can be able to defeat the evil APC.

You guys have been saying this since May 2022 and it's not yielding any result for your principal... Give it a rest dan Allah.

Sell your candidate and stop this stale lines..

garfield1:
Stop making it about religion,you will be disappointed

That's the reality here in the North..

Power tussle in Northern Nigeria is mostly about religion, esp areas where there is an even population of the both religion. Even in SUG elections... Religion holds supreme.

In 2018 an Igbo guy won SUG Vice president in Mautech, Christians made it so..

garfield1:
Thats funny.

Funny you think.. But that's reality.

Zulum500:
As if obi speaks hausa..
Atiku is a liberal and his ticket is balanced

The PDP lawmakers candidate will be influential

10 days to election, I don't know PDP candidate for the Senatorial district I will be voting in..

Zulum500:
I won't argue with you from alaigbo..
Atiku ticket is balanced
And he speaks hausas and a liberal

Na by speaking Hausa...?

I, too dey chew Hausa like chew gum..

garfield1:
Yes but I think most Christian in nc will go with obi same as nw while Christians in ne are divided

The Northeastern Christians are more enthusiastic about Obi than even the Igbos residents..