₦airaland Forum

Penguin2:
Lol!

I don’t factor Niger in my calculation but I don’t know why you guys don’t think Obi will get 25% in Oyo. Are you guys aware that that state is a little cosmopolitan?

Meanwhile I found out Abuja is not part of your count, why?

Abuja is already a sure banker. My concern is 24 out of 36 states.

Penguin2:
1) Abia
2) Anambra
3) Imo
4) Enugu
5) Ebonyi
6) Rivers
7) Cross Rivers
8 Edo
9) Bayelsa
10) Akwa Ibom
11) Delta
12) Lagos
13) Ondo
14) Ogun
15) Ekiti
16) Oyo
17) Osun
18) Plateau
19) Benue
20) Taraba
21) Kaduna
22) Nasarawa
23) Kogi
24) Kwara
25) Adamawa
26) Abuja

Only about 1 or 2 here might slip out.

How did you do your own count?

1. Abia
2. Anambra
3. Ebonyi
4. Enugu
5. Imo
6. Akwa Ibom
7. Bayelsa
8. Cross River
9. Delta
10. Edo
11. Rivers
12. Lagos
13. Ondo
14. Ogun
15. Benue
16. Kogi
17. Nasarawa
18. Plateau
19. Adamawa
20. Taraba
21. Kaduna..
I'm so sure of these states for the 25% spread.

Hoping for the following states to give us the spread.
22. Oyo
23. Kwara
24. Niger
25. Gombe..

North East- Peter Obi

Penguin2:
Same thing I think here.

But if you look at the bar chart, you’d it was indicated red for LP.

See, Obi is winning this election at first round.

I still have my doubts about the spread..

My last count gave me 21 states..

Penguin2:
I must say I’m surprised at the numbers Labour is doing or did in Gombe.

With that said, I think 25% might be achieved in Kwara and Oyo and even Osun, in the end.

I don’t know, but something tells me Labour will do 25% in 6 Southwest states.

LP is also likely to do 25% in Adamawa. I don’t know why the poll is projecting otherwise.

25% in Adamawa is so sure, no arguments whatsoever..

From my projections, Obi will have the spread in 21 states.

5 SE states, 6SS states and Lagos, Ondo, Oyo, Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, Kogi, Kaduna, Taraba & Adamawa.. That's 21.

LP will likely get the spread in Niger, Gombe, Ogun and Kwara states..

drlateef:
The only presidential candidate who has promised to reverse the deadline is Bola Ahmed Tinubu. So if you want the cabal to be defeated and deadline of Emefiele reversed, vote Bola Ahmed Tinubu. He is the fighter for the masses. He is not contesting to amass wealth. He is already wealthy and successful. Thats the person Nigeria needs. He is very intelligent and very experienced with resources at his disposal. He is the best recruiter of the best brains to help recover Nigeria. Vote for him and see prosperity return to Nigeria.

Why are you lots so scared to blame Buhari for all the woes of the country for the past 8 years..

When GEJ faltered, you guys blamed him and not his cycle.. Why is PMB own different..?

Trollronaldo:
But if you ask me, I can place a bet that Obi will get 25% in at least
Kaduna
Nassarawa
Benue
Taraba
Plateau

I am not 100% certain about Kogi and Adamawa for the benefit of doubt

Adamawa is so sure of 25% for ObiDatti..

States like Kwara and Gombe also deliver 25% to a top Christian contender..

Very fair analysis.
Each of the four candidate will get their own share of the votes across the 19 states plus FCT
Atiku 35%
Tinibu 35%
Obi 20%
Kwankwoso 10%..
+/-2% for each candidates..

frank14011991:
we are even happy with obis candidature

Your M-M agenda will fail war'r-wass..

garfield1:
Where is mautech

Yola..
It's now called MAU-Yola it was initially a Technology university, but now a conventional uni, thanks to the current APC guber candidate Aishatu Binani. She pushed for it in the red chamber..

The former FMC in Yola South is now the medical college of Mau-Yola... While the FMC is now been built in Hong LGA (Boss Mustapha and Babachir Lawal's LGA.).

Adamawa South has little or no government presence.. Those guys they misbehave despite having larger LGA than North and Central.

frank14011991:
oga stop lying you are a southerner in Yola, don't claim northern Christian

Show me, where I claimed Northern Christian..
Just show any comment, I have ever made claiming Northern Christian..

But as a Malo that you are, you are pained that your so called arne is aligning with the tribe you and your cohorts hated the most..

Mr. Strategists..

Tomorrow na Nkwo Nnewi, the next day na Trade Fair in same Lagos..

Urchins can only urchinate. No more, no less...

Oh!, I forgot, they also know how to cry blood.

Kpele ooo

asanausana91:
That is a very good decision. Voting Peter obi is like voting Tinubu. Even Peter Obi himself knows that he will not win. Please don't waste your votes on Peter Obi,vote Atiku so that we can be able to defeat the evil APC.

You guys have been saying this since May 2022 and it's not yielding any result for your principal... Give it a rest dan Allah.

Sell your candidate and stop this stale lines..

garfield1:
Stop making it about religion,you will be disappointed

That's the reality here in the North..

Power tussle in Northern Nigeria is mostly about religion, esp areas where there is an even population of the both religion. Even in SUG elections... Religion holds supreme.

In 2018 an Igbo guy won SUG Vice president in Mautech, Christians made it so..

garfield1:
Thats funny.

Funny you think.. But that's reality.

Zulum500:
As if obi speaks hausa..
Atiku is a liberal and his ticket is balanced

The PDP lawmakers candidate will be influential

10 days to election, I don't know PDP candidate for the Senatorial district I will be voting in..

Zulum500:
I won't argue with you from alaigbo..
Atiku ticket is balanced
And he speaks hausas and a liberal

Na by speaking Hausa...?

I, too dey chew Hausa like chew gum..

garfield1:
Yes but I think most Christian in nc will go with obi same as nw while Christians in ne are divided

The Northeastern Christians are more enthusiastic about Obi than even the Igbos residents..

Zulum500:
You too de overrate obi..
Those northern Christians will go for atiku cuz he is a liberal..
Mostly speak hausa language..
Honestly stop overestimating lp..
Lp have no substantial excos in adamawa

I will be voting in Adamawa state, my entire street will vote Obi.

As per Northeastern Christian voting Atiku, that one na big fallacy.

Out of every 10 Northeastern Christians, 7 are for Obi.. Their enthusiasm towards Obi can be compared to the one they had for GEJ in 2011.
In 2015 the enthusiasm died and they went for Buhari, that's more reason why PMB defeated GEJ then.. The northern Christian voted against him and not because of SW votes.

The enthusiasm is back now with Peter Obi.

Obi will be a responsive president.

garfield1:
Bauchi,yobe and borno esp bauchi are fanatics.obi can't get more votes there than nnpp

Yeah same thing I'm saying..

But Obi will get more votes in Bauchi than in Yobe and Borno... The part of Bauchi that is close to Jos will massively vote Obi..

garfield1:
If he puts more efforts,he will steal from atiku and get 25%...seems obi is more active in Adamawa than taraba

Yeah.. Babachir Lawal brought flare into Adamawa state campaign.. Plus many of those in charge of Obi campaign in Adamawa are the loyalist of the governor..

Notwithstanding, Obi will still do better in Taraba than in Adamawa, just that more effort could have make him to win the state outrightly..

qawiyy:
I don't think Lp can get more votes than Nnpp in gombe

They will..
NNPP will do better than LP in Bauchi, Borno and Yobe states in NE..

Gombe has substantial Christian population, and they are aligning with Obi. He even campaigned in their closet, something non of the candidates did even in past election.

garfield1:
Immaculatejoe,gombe is gone...

Gombe results
Apc 45%
Pdp 30%
Lp 15%
Nnpp 10%

For now I project Obi to get 20%.

I just hope and pray that 25% becomes a reality..

Obi visit Alaba Market, urchins say na Igbo dominated.
He visits, Computer Village, same thing
Ladipo Market, same crying.

MizCarzorla:
It is a no brainer thinking Atiku will not win this presidential election. The pathway to Atiku's victory is sure & certain. Atiku remains the #SafeChoice to #RecoverNigeria.

Atiku will not win a single state in Southern Nigeria.. How then can he now win the election..?

There were shouting that Obi cannot campaign in the North, before they could blink their eyes twice Obi toured the whole North, including many other senatorial district of Northern Nigeria..

Just like Apostle Paul, Peter Obi will revisit some places to rekindle their beliefs in him..

tomax026:
Have checked all, this prediction wont be less than 80% accurate ...Am still checking to see the state I can disagree on, but I have not seen one.

Adamawa.. Obi will take 2nd Position @least

iwaeda:
Thank God accreditation and voting are simultaneously done.

The question I wanna ask..

It will be so nice if it's done that way.
Accredited voters and the number of votes will tally..

Lol.. As expected.

We know the people that genuinely loves Peter Obi In Northern Nigeria, and these guys are not part of them.

jmichael259:
Wetin man go do na? Anambara just carry catholic for head. Na dem full all the priest and bishop everywhere. Only them get how many cardinal for this country? Na wetin come vex d other mbaise people that year.

Imo state already had 4 diocese before Anambra.. Ekwulobia made it 4 diocese in 2020, but before then Imo had. Owerri, Orlu, Okigwe and Ahiara.
Benue too had 4 before Anambra.. Makurdi, Gboko, Otukpo and Kastina-Ala..