₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
I mean presidential...

More joke..

LP will win every polling unit in SE for the presidential election.. Book mark this.

3duj:
APC will win in Bende, Umuahia North and south , isiukwuato lga and ikwuano lga

Pdp will win in isialangwa north and south ,osisioma lga,obiNgwa,ugwunabor, Aba south and one of the ukwa lgas

LP will win at Aba north ,arochukwu

Ohafia might vote Apc ,but pdp is carrying the day.

Of course this prediction will be wrong in some certain lgas but PDP will win.

The Ngwa is the biggest in terms of population (obiNgwa and osisioma lgas alone account for 30% of collected pvc) and lgas (7 ) . A block vote from them is enough to see any candidate win.

OUK is not campaigning for the APC candidate and you think he will win in OUK's zone...?

LP will win this easily.
After the presidential election, Obi will come back for another rally for Alex Otti.

Ekwunife will have herself to be blamed if she fails her reelection bid.

She was forming sophistication when Obi joined LP, think PDP base in Anambra will remain..
Victor Umeh saw the chance and took it immediately, same as Tony Nwoye..

LP will take Anambra Central and North, while YPP will take Anambra South.
The LP guy in Anambra south is unpopular and isn't doing enough. Val Ozigbo could have grab the ticket then..

garfield1:
Apc and pdp will dominate the rural areas

APC will dominate Alex Otti in rural area...? Find another talk abeg.. APC will come a distant 4th in Abia Guber polls..

backnbeta:
And the man chose to keep quiet and sit on the fence in the face of a national crisis

If he talks now, you lots would be the first to tag him a wailer..

Tinibu's APC created the problem, they should solve it..

slivertongue:
When your husband is a billionaire

If that's the case, then the other candidates wives should be more finer than her, cause last time we check, they have bullion vans to their name..

Peter Obi's Wife na correct Fine Woman jor..

Still dazzling at her 50's..

stuffs2002:
Change your weed supplier... Adamawa is Atiku's home state

I'm in Adamawa and would vote here.. We will disgrace Atiku in his state..

Ennoloa:
This 3 states have 38% Christians + there claim middle belt

Vote Labor Party guys

Excuse me Sir.
Taraba has 65% Christians while Adamawa has over 50% Christians..
Where did you get this your 38%...?

Ennoloa:
Christian communities in Taraba, Adamawa, Borno etc
Would give LP votes that NNPP would see

Obi would do better in Gombe & Bauchi than in Borno..

Pure fact..

Obi will take 1st or 2nd in Taraba, 2nd in Adamawa, 3rd in Gombe and 4th in Bauchi, Borno & Yobe.
Kwankwoso on the other hand, will take 2nd or 3rd in Bauchi, 3rd in Borno & Yobe, and 4th in Taraba, Adamawa and Gombe.

Obi has campaigned in all the northern states except Kwara and Yobe. Kwankwos has only campaigned in Kano, Kaduna and Bauchi..

garfield1:
Not true.total votes cast was 360,000

Initially you said 350k now you are saying 360k...

See evidence Bellow

MrEverest:
Stop talking rubbish, urchin. This crowd is unprecedented in Southern Nigeria. Only Benin was close but theirs was decentralized.

I think Enugu's own was greater..

garfield1:
Boy,the ignorant one here is not me....90,000 is more than 25% of 350,000.I suggest you go and verify first before you disgrace yoysrself the more boy

Oga, total votes cast was 379,000 not 350,000..

Ojiofor:
You know APC Abia state is factionalised, one is led by Emenike the governorship candidate and the other is loyal to OUK but Tinubu is supporting Emenike's faction that is why OUK have refused to campaign for Tinubu in Abia state.

Thank you for this..

@garfield1

garfield1:
Because of him,tinubu will get votes in abia north

Why then did he boycott Tinibu's rally in Abia...?

OUK only campaigns for Tinibu on social media.. But in reality, he is only campaigning for himself..

@Ojiofor

Mordecai:
Numan federation would traditionally vote Obi, but they're conflicted currently, because Atiku is one of them.

Atiku is from Jada, it has nothing to with Numan Federation, except that they are in same senatorial district.

garfield1:
I want obi to do well in Adamawa but honestly I don't see him getting it.highest he can get is 20%.most of his votes will be from southern Adamawa and many will vote atiku.this is atiku's state,sentiments are high for him.most Adamawa people I meet prefer atiku.obi willdo better in taraba having up to 30% but not Adamawa.except he gets good votes in madagali and michika..

Lp coordinators in ne also joined pdp

Before now, I was not sure about 25%, but after yesterday it became clear to me that it is much easier for Obi to get 25% in Adamawa than for him to do that in SW apart from Lagos..

If he can win Numan Federation that has up to 4LGAs then he can..

garfield1:
Didnt know.what of jimeta

Jimeta is same as Yola North.

Some have been trying to officially change the Name from Yola North LGA to Jimeta LGA..

garfield1:
Mubi and yola north are Muslim dominated.sen abbo is not obidient

Which Yola North is Muslim dominated..?

The Igbos alone in Yola North can give Obi 10% add the Christians indigenes and other Christians from across Nigeria....

Yola North is cosmopolitan..

garfield1:
True.I thought abdulazeez is from Adamawa southl.why is he vying for central? Lp candidates in Adamawa boycotted obi rally

Yes Abdul-Aziz is from Mayobelwa, in Adamawa South, but he seems to he has Yola root, that why he is going for central.. But the main reseaon why he didn't contest for Adamawa south, is because Christians are the dominant religion there, and he cannot defeat a PDP Christian candidate..

Not all LP candidate boycotted the rally, it was The guber candidate and few others.. There's a religious war between LP PCC in Adamawa and the guber candidate.. The Christians wants to hold on to Obi structures in Adamawa in case if Obi wins, they would be the ones to take Adamawa quota for key appointments.. The Christians in Adamawa and in North generally got nothing under Buhari..

garfield1:
Binani will win fintiri.tinubu and obi will get 25%,atiku 50%

Finitiri can win her, if he negotiate with Obidients Movement in Adamawa..

garfield1:
Cannot

Lol..
Mubi North, Mubi South and Yola North, he can. Yola South he cannot..

Mordecai:
You know the lay of the land, my brother 🙂🙂

👍

Yeah.. We full ground here..

garfield1:
Obi csjt get 25% in mubi and yola

I don't get you..

Awesome01:
Wait o, JADA no be Atiku Local government be dat?

Na him, we go secure 25% and move..

N3TRAL:
Obi will win Adamawa State?

I know Adamawa christians living in Abuja. They're rooting for Atiku.

Peter Obi will not have 5000 votes in Adamawa.

Stake your kidney, Obi will score up to 200k votes in Adamawa..

Ennoloa:
You think too highly for someone that can’t win his state with high margins

Peter Obi would with Anambra with 90%
Atiku would win Adamawa with at least 75%

Tinubu would win with 55% or lose at 45% in Lagos

You said what..?

Atiku, 75% in Adamawa.. How...?

You think Obi was foolish to have visited the Christian dominated areas of Adamawa yesterday.... Highest Atiku can get in Adamawa is 50%, and that's if Tinibu refuses to work hard here..

If Tinibu, Kwankwoso and Al-Mustapha can work harder here, then Obi will just win Adamawa state..

This is a statement of reality on ground..

Obi is likely gonna beat Atiku in Adamawa state..

If Atiku wins his state Adamawa, then Tinibu's chance of getting 25% here is gone.
But if Tinibu manages to get the required 25%, then Obi wins Adamawa state.. The Christians are more than united for Obi's victory.

The Governor boys are working for Peter Obi..

garfield1:
But buhari won Adamawa in 2015

APC propaganda in 2015 was what helped him, even Benue voted Buhari in 2015..

Their mistakes was clear in 2019, and is more clearer now..

garfield1:
How many votes did he deliver for buhari

Buhari was difficult to sell to his Christians base..

MrEverest:
Thank God that LP has replied Atiku on that stupid propaganda

Imagine saying he is in talks with Obi and Kwankwaso, person wey go lose Adamawa self.

Atiku should discuss with Obi on modalities for him to withdraw and support the best man for the job.

Walahi, Obi is a master strategist, Obi is going for the victory in Adamawa state...

This is the first time in history that a top presidential candidate visited Numan and Mubi..
The APC senator representing Adamawa north is Obidient, he is the candidate of APC in the said area..
Babchir Lawal on his own part is doing a great work, Tinibu supporters insulted him that he has no political value.. He will prove them wrong by delivering more than 35% of votes in up to 7LGAs (Song, Gombi, Hong, Mubi South, Mubi North, Michika, and Madagali) across the bridge.. The only LGAa across the bridge that Obi will perform poor is Gieri and Maiha..

Going south of Adamawa from the bridge.. Obi will get 25% in Yola North, Mayo, Ganye, Jada, Tongo, 50% in Numan, Demsa, Guyuk, and Lamurde

@garfield1