₦airaland Forum

Makavelli001:
Meanwhile, it appears all is not well with the Anambra PDP Campaign Council as Senator Stella Odua, representing Anambra North at the National Assembly, and another PDP chieftain in the state, Chief Chris Ubah, the senatorial candidate of Anambra South, boycotted the Thursday rally.

These once are trying to play smart.. As per Chris Ubah, he no go see 3rd position.

Fear of Obidient.

CoronaVirusRelo:
GEJ is only using Peter as a pawn to get back at Atiku!

GEJ is a realist and same time a highly educated patriot. He definitely knows Peter`s dreams are fictions and outrightly impossible!

Portable has more chances of winning the Grammy`s than Peter becoming president!

Oh! He is no longer a clueless baboon..?

Notice, Obi was the first person GEJ mentioned, he come add "Labour Party Presidential candidate" on top..
GEJ and OBJ are certified Obidients.

Urchins and Mikano boyz can cry us a river.

garfield1:
They won't share central.binani has always won central by a wide margin.in 2019,she won with 100,000 margin.they are mostly fulanis moreover.in Adamawa north,fintiri is only popular in madagali and michika controlled by xtians.but binani deputy is from michika.maiha,mubi north and south should go to binani

Binani cannot win Central the way you are thinking, she must battle for it. Fulanis are only popular in Fufure, Mayobelwa, and Yola South. Finitri will win Hong, Yola North, Gombi, Song, Girei..

As per North, Michika is one of the largest LGA in the state, Christian are more in Muni north and South, Madagali and Michika, while Muslims are more only in Maiha. Reason why Adamawa North has always produce a Christian senator is because they are the majority there.

garfield1:
Can tinubu get 25% in Adamawa ? Can obi divide xtian votes?

I think binani might win.she will win Adamawa central while fintiri wins south.decider might be Adamawa north

Obi has already divided the Christian votes, question is can he win the majority of the Christians votes...

Tinibu and Obi might not get 25%, most of Binani supporter are rooting Atiku, some Tinibu, others Obi.

Fintiri won in 2019 because Christians united and voted for him, this time around the unity is not there..
Senator Abbo, is very popular in Adamawa North, and he is campaigning very well for Bin an I, however Fintiri is from there, so like you said, the real battle is in the North.

The Both of them will share Central..

garfield1:
Can tinubu get 25% in Adamawa ? Can obi divide xtian votes?

I think binani might win.she will win Adamawa central while fintiri wins south.decider might be Adamawa north

Obi has already divided the Christian votes, question is can he win the majority of the Christians votes...

Tinibu and Obi might not get 25%, most of Bin an I supporter are rooting Atiku, some Tinibu, others Obi.

Fintiri won in 2019 because Christians united and voted for him, this time around the unity is not there..
Senator Abbo, is very popular in Adamawa North, and he is campaigning very well for Bin an I, however Fintiri is from there, so like you said, the real battle is in the North.

The Both of them will share Central..

garfield1:
Am joking oh.you said what does rice and beans means in hausa

Chinkafa de Wake..

Here, in Adamawa state, the locals say they will vote Chinkafa(Atiku) and Wake(Binani) for President and Governor respectively..

Fintiri the current PDP governor might not return, Most Igbos and other Southerners might seat at home on gubernatorial election day, here..

I might do the same. My only concern is For Obi to get 25% here.

BossGerald:
He'll get more than 50% in oyo and osun state each...remember they've more pdp rep members and lg chairman's there.

Bad guy.. I saw what you did..

garfield1:
Atiku will get 25% here

Lol..

You are capping right..
Atiku can't see 10% here..

Let's bet.

athaboi:
Soludo the snake, he feels he will be riped after Atiku's tenure and that is why he is so pained that Obi became popular thereby damaging his useless ambition! They will be put to shame! I thought he said the rubbish he wrote is volume 1....why is he now afraid to write the volume 2! He knows his seat is threatened

Exactly.. We dey wait for him Part 2..

Fear of another gaffe.

We are not mocking Tinibu for his ill state of mind & body, rather we are saying that he has no business contesting for President, and that he should step aside..

Please vote wisely.

All these South Easterner praise singers wants to finish Atikulooted money kpatakpata..

Born and Brought Up in Adamawa State..

My vote is for Obi..
About 80% of Southerners and Middlebelt residing here and have their PVC here that I have come in contact with are voting Obi

Adamawa Christians voters are proving stubborn to align with Obi, about 60% of them said they want Atiku.

Our target here as Obidients is to get the required 25%. From My projections Obi will score a little above 100k votes if election is conducted tomorrow., that won't give us the required percentage.

More works needs to be done. Obi will score more than Tinibu and Kwankwoso here. You can bet your kidney..

Many APC supporters will be voting for their son in the presidential election.

There's what they call Chinkafa de Wakey.... Meaning Rice&Beans.. in this electioneering..

Atiku(Rice) for President and Binani(Beans) for Governor..

Obio-Akpor is one of the LGA with the highest voter registration.. About 700k voters.
I doubt if there is any LGA in the North that will beat this figure..

BOLATINUBU01:
Obi will not have 1% of kwara votes

Bet your kidney...

Nobody.
His Kanuri's votes will go to Tinibu, Fulani's votes to Atiku, Hausa's votes to Kwankwoso and little percentage of his Liberal Muslims votes will go to Obi..

The problem is that Man Hausas and other minority tribes of are Fualni wannabe.. Those wannabes might go for Atiku..

This is only for his voters of NW/NE.... NC people are liberals and will vote their heart..

Bala Bluuu & Mikano people, food don done ooo.

Come and do wailing competition, let's determine who's Peter Obi's victory go pain pass.

Agbado cum Bala Bluu and Mikano urchins can start wailing as usual..

garfield1:
My brother the crowd is disappointing but let's try to pretend so that obi won't drop out

Hoe can you say it's disappointing..?

Obi visited three places in Taraba, and all had good number of people..

Urchins will be disappointed..

Taraba in the bag..

garfield1:
I think tinubu is more likely to win more northern states than atiku.in nw,atiku is only sure of sokoto.tinubu is sure of kebbi and zamfara.tinubu is sure of beating atiku in kano.the rest is 50 50..
In ne,atiku is sure of taraba and Adamawa.tinubu has yobe and borno.the rest are tight.in nc,tinubu has kwara and kogi.obi has benue and plateau.atiku is not sure of any state so you see,worst case is atiku 8 tinubu 8,obi 2,kwankwaso 1

NC:
Benue:Obi
Kogi: Tinibu
Kwara:Tinibu
Nasarawa:Tinibu/Atiku/Obi
Niger:Tinibu/Atiku
Plateau:Obi
FCT: Obi

NE..
Adamawa:Atiku
Bauchi:Atiku/Kwanakwoso
Borno:Tinibu
Gombe:Atiku
Taraba:Atiku
Yobe:Tinibu

NW..
Jigawa:Kwankwoso/Atiku
Kaduna:Obi/Tinibu
Kano:Kwankwoso
Kastina:Tinibu/Atiku
Kebbi: Tinibu/Atiku
Sokoto:Atiku
Zamfara:Tinibu

Total: Tinibu 5-10 states, Atiku 5-11 states, Kwankwoso 1-3 states and Obi 3-5 states..

raumdeuter:
Entire North of 19 states max Obi will win 2 which is being very generous

Atiku can clear 11 of those Northern states easily

19 Northern states Atiku 11 Tinubu 7 Obi 1

Mention the 11 northern states Atiku will win, and that of Tinubu, Obu and Kwankwoso..

Dadisoft:
Baba that is still exactly what I'm talking about. It is all about the ruling party and the major opposition party that have their members strong in every state as governors, senators, house of rep local government etc. I didn't say it is impossible for Obi to win south east, but I'm tell you it will be hard for him to get 80% as you claim.

But you are saying that Obi cannot win the whole SE states, which brought this argument..

Dadisoft:
Less I forget that CPC you mentioned was like a major opposition party to PDP as at then which was why Tinubu came up with the plan to merge with them. CPC was so much well more known as at then my brother.

Not True Sir..
As at 2011 elections, CPC had no governor.. The opposition party then was ACN, which had over 6 governors.. Lagos, Ogun, Oyo, Osun, Ekiti and Edo.. After ACN the next opposition party then was ANPP controlling Borno, Yobe, Zamfara, and Kano, after that comes APGA controlling Anambra and Imo.. CPC was a distant 4th opposition party..

You can verify this. CPC, after the election only won just one guber seat, if I'm not mistaken. Nasarawa.

Upon all these, Buhari came 2nd with a little known CPC and pulled over 12 million votes.
Obi can also pull over 10 million votes with LP..

Goodnews is that, there is more formidable candidates this time around, unlike 2011, this will make the north's votes highly divided.. Obi has a chance..

@garfied1 correct me, If I'm wrong..

Dadisoft:
Calling 80% is sentiment because I dey clear you say e go hard to get 80% from states that are governed by PDP or APC. E be like say you no even know how election dey work for Nigeria. For example you no get or belong to any political party in your state. Now either Apc or PDP get thousands of members so people like you wey no dey political parties can vote freely any of your choice. Now e be the responsibility of those wey dey political parties to mobilize in their own capacity and LP no get that strong capacity in the whole SE. Try imagine why crowd always dey political rallies whether them say na hired or not. That is the same way them dey mobilize on election day. The same crowd you see voting LP will be almost same or more voting PDP and APC.

Judging by your arguments.
Check out these election results of the past.
2015, Rivers state was governed by an APC govt, but gej got over 98% of votes. Imo governed by apc, gej got over 80%, Anambra governed by APGA, gej got more than 98%.. Same thing in Edo...

Kastina was governed by PDP but pmb got over 90%, same thing in Bauchi, Kaduna, Gombe and many others..

You may also argue that the both parties had good supporters in the above mentioned states.. But what about 2011, whem PMB contested with little know CPC but got over 70% votes in all the states of NW&NE except Adamawa, Taraba and Kaduna..?

Dadisoft:
My brother leave sentiment it will be impossible for Obi to win all south east because all of them are either PDP or APC strong hold. Vote go dey seriously shared for that region between LP, PDP and APC which go be very bad disadvantage for Obi. Even if Obi manage win anyhow, the difference no go dey so much compared to the way PDP and APC go stretch LP for other regions in Nigeria especially for North.
In as much as people really love Obi, the bitter truth be say e go hard for Peter Obi to win this election no matter what.

Do you see me displaying sentiments...?

Obi will win all SE states by 80% and above., nothing can change that..

garfield1:
That would be 5 se,edo,crs,rivers,benue,plateau,fct,maybe nasarawa or kaduna.tinubi should win 15,atiku 8, kwankwaso 1

Obi can't win Nasarawa, it's practically impossible.. For Kaduna, he should focus on Southern Kaduna.. I will advice they hold their rally in Kafanchan, forget Kaduna city..

States to win: 5SE, Crs, Rivers, Edo, Delta, Benue, Plateau, FCT, Kaduna....

AKS, Taraba is also winnable..

garfield1:
Buhari recorded an average of 15 million votes between 2015 and 2019 while pdp recorded an average of 11.5 million in the same period.half of those buhari votes are from his northern fanatics who won't vote tinubu and may not scatter their votes between tinubu,atiku and kwankwaso.it means tinubu has about 7.5 million available votes in default and if those buharists share votes equally,tinubu will inherit a further 2.5 million which is one third of buhari votes.with tinubu being the only Yoruba on the ballot,his votes will slightly increase by a million meaning tinubu should score at least 11 mil.
Out of the 11.5 million atiku polled in 2019,6 million were from the south and they are almost gone with obi or tinubu.half of his northern Christian votes are gone which means he has 5 mil votes standing.a quarter of buharists voting him will push him to 7.5 million plus 1 mil new voters up north which puts his total at 8.5 mil.
Obi has 6 million out of the 11 million votes atiku had.out of the 9.5 million new voters,5 million should vote and 60% will go to obi which is about 3mil. plus 1 million new voters from ss/se/nc totalling 10 mil votes for obi.
With one million new pvc card holders voting tinubu,atiku and 500k voting kwankwaso,tinubu will now have 12 million,obi 10 mil and atiku 8.5 million.



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Ekpeitit

Time will tell..

All I know is that Obi is will win between 12-14 states...

That more than one third of the entire states..

Miakano boyz on the loose again..

Ttalk:
The present political game is beyond that already. That is why online supporters need to keyed into the new task which must be accomplished.

The new task is to win additional 2 states in the South, if you don't believe then you are not a true follower of Tinubu's capacity.

Edo has always voted alongside SW when SW's son is on the ballot, they share many things in common apart from being in the same region in time past. Those factors can still be accessed

You keep saying Edo has always voted alongside SW, show us evidence..

Tunibu cannot win any other state in south except SW west states.. Know this and have peace of mind..

Tinibu can only aim to achieve 25% in other southern states, victory there is an impossible task.. Obi is taking Edo straight up..

This one na Finima people..
The main Bonny people are okay with their Igbo language..

Even the King, Imperial Majesty, the Amainabo of the Grand Bonny Kingdom, King Perekule the III cannot speak Ibani but can proudly speak Igbo..

It's time Finima have their own Kingdom let's have some peace here..