₦airaland Forum

Out of the total votes of 1,530,119 in the then 4 SE states. Abiola got 739,748 votes.. That's about 48% votes..

SW is yet to give any SE candidate even 5%..
Yorubas should return the favor then we will get talking..

INDOMIE9090:
but abiola only won in anambra state
Tofa won the remaining 3 states

But Abiola got more than 40% in the remaining states..

Has Yoruba given any Igbo candidate 25%..?

30% loading..
If Tinibu do anyhow, ObiDatti go beat am silly for him backyard..

It's becoming clearer that Obi will sweep the whole SE, 90% and more...

Kwankwoso has huge fanatic followers in Kano, Kastina, Jigawa, Zamfara, Bauchi, Gombe, Yobe, Borno and would get huge votes there...

Any where Hausa and Sharia reigns, Kwankwoso is there. Man issa Islamic fanatics..

Reader530:
But posters create awareness. Rallies and so on

And you want them to keep wasting money on that...?

Just do a survey within your Northern Christian cycle, both those in rural areas and those in urban areas. Ask them which candidate they would be voting for.. Use 20 sample size.. I'm damn sure 8-12 respondents will choose Obi..

senatordave1:
I agree but I think tinubu will win gombe,he won't win delta or bayelsa. Jigawa and bauchi are dicey

Tinibu ain't wining any shit in Gombe.. You should understand that Kwankwoso is doing more harm to Tinibu than he is doing to Atiku here in the north.
Dankwambo is fully backing Atiku, Man is the second most influential politician in Gombe after Danjuma Goje.. Im yet to know which candidate Goje is backing..

uba1991:
if you are a northerner you should know that the north is far a northerner. When ever we are sitting down with my friends in the beer palour I always say I will vote for Obi, but deep inside me I know that Obi will not get one vote from my entire family.
Let me tell you one thing that will reduce Obi votes from the Christians is the issue of biafra.
We have lost many christians from Kaduna and Adamawa in the south east since ipob stated their madness.
Do you know that the military couple that were killed by ipob, the husband was a Christian from Kaduna state?

Between Fulani Herdsmen and IPOB, which one has killed more Northern Christians....?
Which of them is always sacking Southern Kaduna people from their homes while killing their loved ones with reckless abandon...?

Obi's IPOB and Atiku's Fulani herdsmen.. Choose one..

Trollronaldo:
1. Adamawa
2. Gombe
3. Bauchi
4. Kano
5. Kaduna
6. Sokoto
7. Jigawa
8. Abuja
9. Plateau
10. Benue
11. Abuja
12. Nasarawa
13. Taraba
14. Katsina
15. Edo
16. Crosssriver
17. Rivers
18. Bayelsa
19. Delta
20. Akwa ibom
21. Abia
22. Imo
23. Anambra
24. Enugu
25. Ebonyi

States that he may likely win, but not sure.

1. Katsina
2. Kebbi
3. Niger
4. Yobe
5. Zamfara
6. Kogi
7. Lagos

States he will definitely win
1. Kwara
2. Ogun
3. Osun
4. Oyo
5. Ekiti.

Thanks for reading

I do not think you are fair enough to Tinibu..
He should definitely win Borno, Yobe, Kwara, Zamfara, Kogi, and all 5 SW states...
Has a chance in Lagos, Kebbi, Nasarawa, Niger Kaduna and Kastina..

Obi will definitely win 5 SE states, Rivers, Edo, Cross River, Delta, Plateau, Benue and FCT....
He can flip Kaduna, Taraba, Lagos Bayelsa and Akwa Ibom.

For Atiku; he should win Adamawa, Gombe, Sokoto, Jigawa, Bauchi..
He can win Taraba, Niger, Kastina, Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa..

uba1991:
stop dreaming. The north consider north first before any other thing. Iam a Christian from Kaduna but I am voting for Atiku.
I just wished Peter Obi will realise that he cannot win this election and come back to join Atiku.
Atiku is the president, come rain come shine.

Me too a Christian based in Adamawa..
If there are 100 Northern Christian voters in the NE/NW, not less than 50 of them are voting Obi.. Do the maths and you will have the numbers votes Obi will get in the two regions.

2in3 of every northern Christian I have spoken to, always tell me that they would be voting for there brother in Christ.

You didn't tell us your state...

To add my one cent....

Tinibu to win Yobe and Borno and come second in Gombe and Adamawa
Atiku to win Adamawa, Bauchi, Gombe and possibly Taraba.
Kwankwoso to come second in Bauchi, third in Yobe and Borno.
Obi is likely to win Taraba, get at least 20% in Adamawa, 15% in Gombe and Bauchi and perform poorly in Yobe and Borno..

You need yo revert back to initial support of Obi, a lot of people here are just waiting for 25th February to cast their votes for him.
Don't be deceive by lack of posters. Each time Obi's posters is pasted in the street of Adamawa, after two days it will be torn off, so Obidients has stop wasting money on that..

I project between 700-800k votes for Obi in NE..

PrinceOfLagos:
don't mention Tinubu where sane men are gathered

Sorry Sir.

lhordspy:
Any small thing. You start threatening the mod. Almost every thread same tactics. Cant you just tag the mod and move along.

Must you always apply the bullying tactics?

Obidients will bully their way to Power.

You can cry now..

97% loading... In Enugu State..

This is a landmark project.... It is better than most Federal Teaching Hospitals in the country..

eleniyan2020:
only Kaduna south,what happen to other part of Kaduna and northern states entirely... You people thought twitter and nairaland will win election for him!

And where is Kaduna city located...?

LocalStandard1:
Obi is taking Nigeria and Jonathan Asake is taking Kaduna State write this down today.

Before you argue with me first answer this, who are you to disagree with me?

Imagine 12 LGA of SK giving bloc votes to Jonathan Asake & ObiDatti..

The both Men should win Kaduna state..

That's Mr. Peter Obi's Alma mater..

Tinibu and Atiku should do same let's compare..

You keep underestimating Obi in NW and NE.

In NW, Kaduna state alone will give Obi more votes than the figures you put up there...
In NE, Gombe, Adamawa, Taraba and Bauchi will collectively give Obi over 700k votes.
300k from Taraba, 100k from Adamawa and Bauchi, 80k from Gombe...
These states has huge Christians voters running in their millions. Obi has 60% of Christian voters in NE/NW..

They don't know what's going on .

I like the way Obi is having campaign in two or more venues in his strongholds.
He should visit Southern Kaduna and Kaduna City when they take their campaign train there..

Trollronaldo:
I don't know, what I know is that Obi is not going to do very well in NE and NW

Yeah.. Most likely..

I'm still of the opinion that Obi can win Kaduna in NW and Taraba in NE if he plays his cards very well.. Victories in these states can improve his performance in the two regions.

Trollronaldo:
mo ti gbo padi MI.

Vote for sowore

Obi is likely gonna get more votes in NW than NE.
Southern Kaduna can give him votes that both Taraba and Adamawa can't collectively give him..

Trollronaldo:
nope, he can't. DATTI is not influential enough

A bloc vote from Southern Kaduna can dust whatever the trio of Atiku, Tinibu and Kwankwoso would get in the Northern Kaduna...
I never bank on Datti to deliver Kaduna..

Trollronaldo:
lol OK

No mind the person you quoted..
They are wailing simply because from the Top 10 states, Obi can win 4 of them and do well in another 2(Lagos & Kaduna)

Trollronaldo:
1. Lagos - Tinubu
No one will be able to beat Lagos because it's his base, he may not win with a very big margin but he will win Lagos.

2. Kano - Kwankwaso
This is kwankwaso's base, he's very popular here and he has cult of fol2 in this state. I doubt if anyone can beat him here, even if he doesn't win any other state, kwankwaso will most likely win here.

3. Kaduna - to close to call
Has to be between Tinubu or Atiku, Kwankwaso and Obi will also get a lot of votes here.

4. Rivers - Peter Obi
There's no doubt Peter Obi will win here. He's too popular to lose even the PDP structure cannot really do much to stop him since BVAS is available.

5. Katsina--to close to call
Atiku and Tinubu will mostly win but kwankwaso will also do well.

6. Delta - Peter Obi
Peter Obi will win here, the people here are seriously against Okowa. This place is like Rivers and okowa may garner many votes for Atiku but it won't be enough to win the states. If this election was to be happening before the introduction of BVAS, PDP would have all it takes to rig the state for Atiku.

7. Oyo- Tinubu
The Yoruba factor will give Tinubu the win here.

8. Benue - Peter obi
Peter Obi is extremely popular here. PDP or APC may win the governorship seat but Peter Obi is too popular here for Atiku and Tinubu to win. And they don't want anything to do with Fulanis, which is the minus for Atiku. Tinubu is not very popular in this state.

9. Bauchi - Atiku
This is a strong PDP state, has huge Fulani/Hausa population, everything is in place for Atiku here.

10. Anambra - Peter Obi
Well, is this not obvious?

Obi has a chance of wining Kaduna state..

jeromestarks:
Oga go and get disvirgined. How can you be over 23 and still be a virgin?
Are you a mad man or what?
Find a pvssy and fvck before you come back here to chat with me.
I don't like talking with male virgins: they annoy me with their naive questions.

What's wrong in staying virgin as a male..?

I'm 30 btw..

Incoming..

My State of Origin will give Obi 97% of votes...

jeromestarks:
Only your penis can tell.

Like how, explain better..

I, Myself is a virgin..

jeromestarks:
Interesting.

Marry a virgin and have a happy home.
Do otherwise and regret ever getting married.

How do you identify a virgin lady...?

senatordave1:
Tinubu will also win mubi.I dont know why you are underrating tinubu.Adamawa doesnt give bloc votes right from time,it is a difficult area that always share votes.buhari couldn't even get bloc votes there against gej.atiku is not that popular up north,many people dislike him.highest he will get is 60% and that will be his best tally

You are correct about Adamawa not giving bloc votes.

Gej Beat Buhari here in 2011 much better than how Atiku beat same man in 2019.

senatordave1:
Tinubu will also win mubi.I dont know why you are underrating tinubu.Adamawa doesnt give bloc votes right from time,it is a difficult area that always share votes.buhari couldn't even get bloc votes there against gej.atiku is not that popular up north,many people dislike him.highest he will get is 60% and that will be his best tally

Adamawa north is a no go area for Tinibu, Isiaku Abbo the APC senatorial candidate there boycotted the rally..