₦airaland Forum

jahsharon:
Just wait and see. We will teach you politics once again as we have always done.

Teach them not me.
I don't do emotional election prediction..

senatordave1:
Good.he might win yola,maiha,fufore and nyarko lga

Nyako LGA is Mayo Belwa..
Heaven and Earth will kiss than for Tinibu to win Mayo.
They have almost even population of Christian and Muslim.

Tinibu cannot win an ward talk more of LGA in Adamawa. Obi has a chance of wining Numan than Tinibu wining Fufore or Maiha

Tinubuadvocate:
Binani is under which party.

APC.

Binani will not campaign with Tinibu's pictures..
Hardly will you see a poster with Binani and Tinibu picture together..

senatordave1:
Stop this rubbish na.I quashed this nonsense speculation yesterday.do you realize that even the crowd at other states tinubu visits are not arranged by tinubu alone but the guber candidates and other party members.is binani not in apc again? What's your problem

You are just ranting..

Quote me when Buhari visit all the 10 states that was reported..

senatordave1:
Buhari won more lgas.again,the Christians of michika,demsa and numan gave atiku bloc votes now,obi will divide it.in any case,tinubu will get 25%

And who told you that the voters that voted Buhari will all vote Tinibu..?

HomoSapiien:
Ok
How many % will Peter Obi get?

Who is Pandora...?

Golan007:
This thing pain you no be small.

You don't know me...

I like the way Tinibu is taking away some votes from Atiku's north.. But it can't change the reality on ground..

Jones4190:
When Jonathan was haunting Adamawa’s Nyarko in 2014, it was Bola Tinubu that gave him succor and helped Baba Mai Mangoro escape to exile. The same Bola Tinubu gave Adamawa born Atiku his party’s presidential ticket in 2007 and Adamawa born Nuhu Ribadu his 2011 Presidential ticket.

Tinubu will win Adamawa comfortable.

Nyako's son is contesting for Senator for Adamawa Central, but most of his campaign vans has Atiku's picture in it.

Tinibu cannot get 30% in Nuhu Ribadu's polling unit, ward and Yola South, his LGA..

HomoSapiien:
Cry more

cry for what na..

I have spent almost all my life here in Adamawa, I will tell you the reality on ground..

There are 21 LGA here, Tinibu will not win any. However he might just secure the needed 25%..

Jones4190:
When Jonathan was haunting Adamawa’s Nyarko in 2014, it was Bola Tinubu that gave him succor and helped Baba Mai Mangoro escape to exile. The same Bola Tinubu gave Adamawa born Atiku his party’s presidential ticket in 2007 and Adamawa born Nuhu Ribadu his 2011 Presidential ticket.

Tinubu will win Adamawa comfortable.

If Buhari couldn't win Atiku in Adamawa is it Tinibu that will do that...?

Dey play, just dey play..

How many times would they tell you that this gathering are for Binani..?

Tinibu had to bring back his campaign in Adamawa from 18th Jan back to 9th Jan just to fit in..

Binani was the sole reason why Buhari was here today..

If you know any person that is based in Adamawa and is following the politics here.. Ask he/she what's the meaning of Chinkafa da Wake..

Gucciblog:
I know say you no get Data to watch the attached video.

Paste your number let me sub you50mb

Uppercut.. Flawless Victory..

We are waiting for the entire area to be burnt to ashes and the people therein whipped to death.

What's good for Area 1 is also good for Area 2..

He should walk on the street like his mates..

senatordave1:
Obi tried in osun tbh

Thank You for your acknowledgement.

I just got an info about Tinibu campaign in Adamawa on 9th January.

Tinibu was supposed to hold his campaign in Adamawa on 18th, but because the APC guber candidate in the state (Aishatu Binani) convinced Buhari to be at her flag off campaign on 9th, Tinibu/Shettima PCC now brought their campaign down to 9th just to tag along..

The point is that Buhari is coming to Adamawa solely because of Binani..

Africum:
Ondo is Batified

Anything short of 50% then Ondo is not Batified..

Impressive but ObiDatti to the rescue

We fit dash Tinibu 50% for Ondo state..

Saturdays are for rallies.

ObiDatti to the rescue..

Very Impressive..

More hard work can earn ObiDatti the needed 25% in the entire SW..

Buhari is coming to campaign in Adamawa solely for Aishatu Binani.
On that day you will see picture of Atiku and Binani plus Abdurazak Nyako together in one banner.

I once heard that Aishatu Binani was first considered to be married to Buhari before Aisha Buhari came in to the picture...

The Current governor of Adamawa state might not return.. The FG will heavily work for the APC guber candidate in Adamawa than any other state..

Sule Lamido has no moral right say what he just said...
In 2015, OBJ endorse an APC candidate against is former Party candidate.. Did Sule Lamido said then what he just said now..?

He himself work against GEJ in 2015 simply because of power shift, he didn't remember that as at 2015, PDP made him an Honorable Minister of FG and a 2-time governor of Jigawa state, yet he openly worked against his biggest benefactor..

The likes of Atiku, Saraki, Sule Lamido, Yakubu Dogara, Tambuwal, etc were the major reason PDP lost power at the center.

Incoming..

Urchins and Mikanites can wail us a river..

To Urchins and Mikanites..

ganisucks:
Everybody wants to cash out on Tinubu KUDA App.

You mean Lagos State KUDA App...?

You are very correct..

AK-Mustapha will come fifth position.
Many Muslim voters here in NE will vote Him..
His campaign van can be seen all over the streets of Yola, Adamawa state capital..

tinsel:
Please, what you highlighted was refering to Tinubu sweeping those north central states and not Obi.

And how did the paragraph above it rhyme with it.. Go back and copy the whole piece. Your cut and join cannot work..

tinsel:
Please, read first. It is a long post. Maybe you call somebody to read it for you.

I saw the cut & join you did here

tinsel:
No Pathway for Obi to Aso Rock
BANTUPAGE MEDIA DECEMBER 27, 2022 6 MIN


Like every country, electoral systems are designed to reflect the reality of the land, Nigeria’s is no different. The architects of our electoral system had our diversity in mind, were they perfect? I think perfect is for the dreamer, I’d much rather find out if they had good intentions, from all indicators, I think they did. Many aren’t aware that our general election is not a winner takes all, but a winner of 24 states, or a minimum of 25% of 24 over 36 states, however, it is likely that winning the majority comes with the other caveat on which victory is subject.We at BantuPage have interrogated the data we received from our physical (face-to-face) poll across the six geopolitical regions, the findings are quite telling. We classified these on states electorates and the candidate’s likeability, winnability and probability. This showed a blockade to LP’s Peter Gregory Obi, NNPP’s Rabiu Kwankwaso and PDP’s Atiku Abubakar pathway to Aso Rock, simply put, their chances look bleak.

Elections in Nigeria are not won on social media, we have heard this statement so many times, but this could not be further from the truth. There are over 80 million internet users in Nigeria with a teeming youth population, an estimated 55 million social media users in Nigeria, ¾ of those are under 40. President Muhammadu Buhari’s last two victories were 15 million each, the number of social media users exceeds that, thus making social media the greatest advertising platform for any candidate.
In the 2015 presidential elections, registered voters were just under 67 million and turnout was just about 44%, i.e., of 67 million registered voters, only about 29 million turned up to vote. Of these, President Muhammadu Buhari garnered 15,424,921 whilst former President Goodluck Jonathan lumped just 12,853.162 votes.

The cry in the South-east for secession and the dislike for President Muhammadu Buhari could have been avoided had these same people turned out to vote for former President Goodluck Jonathan who lost by less than 2.5 million votes. The entire South-east vote was 2,719,658, just about the same number Buhari led Jonathan, turnout amongst South easterners living across the federation was equally low.

If democracy is the government of the people, by the people and for the people, one can question the validity of winning just 15 million out of 67 million voters by PVC ( over 100 million over 18) as inconsequential. The calls for the populace to turn out to vote is echoed all the time, if you don’t come out to vote, you will have another inconsequential representation of Nigeria. In other words, President Muhammadu Buhari won just 22% by PVC holder (13% by eligible voter) of Nigeria’s vote, yet he leads 100% of Nigeria, this is no democracy in my opinion, but to be fair, it is not President Muhammadu Buhari’s fault.

Moving on to the 2019 Presidential Elections, this time the registered voters tally was higher, 83,344,107 by PVC holders (over 100 over 18) but turnout dropped to just under 35%. This time however, his vote total dropped, he, President Muhammadu Buhari garnered just 15,191,847 votes, a drop of over 300,000 votes. His rival Atiku Abubakar performed slightly worse than former President Goodluck Jonathan, with 11,262,978 votes. The cycle continued, just under 30 million out of 83 million voted, and President Muhammadu Buhari took home again just 18% of Nigeria’s vote by PVC holders (13% by eligible voter), yet again another inconsequential representation.
Interestingly, President Muhammadu Buhari bettered his performance in the South-east, from 198,248 votes in 2015 when his popularity was high, despite Obi teaming up with PDP’s Atiku, Buhari doubled his numbers in the South-east to 403, 248 votes. In fact, he scored 25% or more in three South-eastern states, the first time in his career of running for the country’s top position. Is Peter Obi really a noisemaker, or are his supporters empty vessels?

As of the time of posting this video, INEC has recorded 96.3 million PVC registration, an increase of over 12 million. Going back to Peter Obi being the social media President, let’s dissect this a little more, shall we?

We have seen a wave of young people taking part in Nigeria’s presidential election like never in our contemporary history, with the vast majority clamouring for Peter Obi, the Labour Presidential candidate. Bear in mind that Nigeria’s median age is 18.1 years with 52% urban population and a whopping 60% being under 35 years. Only 2.7% of our population are over 65 years, let’s put this in numbers, shall we? 2.7% of 210 million gives you just 5,670,000 people.
that’s already 17 states in his pocket, then in the North-central, he’s sweeping Niger, Kwara, Kogi and Nasarawa leaving him with 21 states. In the South-South and South-east, Tinubu, based on our polls won’t make 10 and 5% respectively, still, he will come first and PDP’s Atiku second. Obi and Kwankwaso will both be eliminated.

It is important to point out that this prediction is based on our polls, and reality on the ground, however, if young people were to turn up in their numbers as predicted, Niger, Kogi, Kwara, Ogun, Osun, Gombe, Taraba, Bauchi, and Kaduna (South) could help Obi cross the line, or at least, make it to the second round.

If you like what we do, follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, TikTok and other platforms. We are an independent media company focused on Nigeria and its affair, we have a weekly Talk Show in the open park of Jabi Lake & Park, Abuja, this will be posted on our YouTube channel once a week, if you’d like to take part and you are in Abuja, send us an email at info@bantupage.com.

Don’t forget to subscribe to be notified every time we bring out contents like this.
https://bantupage.com/no-pathway-for-obi-to-aso-rock/

How did the first and second paragraph of the bolded correlate...?

Please go back and post the full article..

@Myn44, please don't push this to front page, he cut out some vital points in the article..

Didn't hear of this..
I dey Adamawa like this now..

id911:
Yet to be released. APC should win there.

OK....
I don't accept Adamawa result,
We will give Obi much more than that 7%.. Expect 20% upwards..

FCT is not negotiable.. Obi has sealed this place long ago.

What about Borno, Yobe and Bauchi poll results...?