₦airaland Forum

Buhari is coming to campaign in Adamawa solely for Aishatu Binani.
On that day you will see picture of Atiku and Binani plus Abdurazak Nyako together in one banner.

I once heard that Aishatu Binani was first considered to be married to Buhari before Aisha Buhari came in to the picture...

The Current governor of Adamawa state might not return.. The FG will heavily work for the APC guber candidate in Adamawa than any other state..

Sule Lamido has no moral right say what he just said...
In 2015, OBJ endorse an APC candidate against is former Party candidate.. Did Sule Lamido said then what he just said now..?

He himself work against GEJ in 2015 simply because of power shift, he didn't remember that as at 2015, PDP made him an Honorable Minister of FG and a 2-time governor of Jigawa state, yet he openly worked against his biggest benefactor..

The likes of Atiku, Saraki, Sule Lamido, Yakubu Dogara, Tambuwal, etc were the major reason PDP lost power at the center.

Incoming..

Urchins and Mikanites can wail us a river..

To Urchins and Mikanites..

ganisucks:
Everybody wants to cash out on Tinubu KUDA App.

You mean Lagos State KUDA App...?

You are very correct..

AK-Mustapha will come fifth position.
Many Muslim voters here in NE will vote Him..
His campaign van can be seen all over the streets of Yola, Adamawa state capital..

tinsel:
Please, what you highlighted was refering to Tinubu sweeping those north central states and not Obi.

And how did the paragraph above it rhyme with it.. Go back and copy the whole piece. Your cut and join cannot work..

tinsel:
Please, read first. It is a long post. Maybe you call somebody to read it for you.

I saw the cut & join you did here

tinsel:
No Pathway for Obi to Aso Rock
BANTUPAGE MEDIA DECEMBER 27, 2022 6 MIN


Like every country, electoral systems are designed to reflect the reality of the land, Nigeria’s is no different. The architects of our electoral system had our diversity in mind, were they perfect? I think perfect is for the dreamer, I’d much rather find out if they had good intentions, from all indicators, I think they did. Many aren’t aware that our general election is not a winner takes all, but a winner of 24 states, or a minimum of 25% of 24 over 36 states, however, it is likely that winning the majority comes with the other caveat on which victory is subject.We at BantuPage have interrogated the data we received from our physical (face-to-face) poll across the six geopolitical regions, the findings are quite telling. We classified these on states electorates and the candidate’s likeability, winnability and probability. This showed a blockade to LP’s Peter Gregory Obi, NNPP’s Rabiu Kwankwaso and PDP’s Atiku Abubakar pathway to Aso Rock, simply put, their chances look bleak.

Elections in Nigeria are not won on social media, we have heard this statement so many times, but this could not be further from the truth. There are over 80 million internet users in Nigeria with a teeming youth population, an estimated 55 million social media users in Nigeria, ¾ of those are under 40. President Muhammadu Buhari’s last two victories were 15 million each, the number of social media users exceeds that, thus making social media the greatest advertising platform for any candidate.
In the 2015 presidential elections, registered voters were just under 67 million and turnout was just about 44%, i.e., of 67 million registered voters, only about 29 million turned up to vote. Of these, President Muhammadu Buhari garnered 15,424,921 whilst former President Goodluck Jonathan lumped just 12,853.162 votes.

The cry in the South-east for secession and the dislike for President Muhammadu Buhari could have been avoided had these same people turned out to vote for former President Goodluck Jonathan who lost by less than 2.5 million votes. The entire South-east vote was 2,719,658, just about the same number Buhari led Jonathan, turnout amongst South easterners living across the federation was equally low.

If democracy is the government of the people, by the people and for the people, one can question the validity of winning just 15 million out of 67 million voters by PVC ( over 100 million over 18) as inconsequential. The calls for the populace to turn out to vote is echoed all the time, if you don’t come out to vote, you will have another inconsequential representation of Nigeria. In other words, President Muhammadu Buhari won just 22% by PVC holder (13% by eligible voter) of Nigeria’s vote, yet he leads 100% of Nigeria, this is no democracy in my opinion, but to be fair, it is not President Muhammadu Buhari’s fault.

Moving on to the 2019 Presidential Elections, this time the registered voters tally was higher, 83,344,107 by PVC holders (over 100 over 18) but turnout dropped to just under 35%. This time however, his vote total dropped, he, President Muhammadu Buhari garnered just 15,191,847 votes, a drop of over 300,000 votes. His rival Atiku Abubakar performed slightly worse than former President Goodluck Jonathan, with 11,262,978 votes. The cycle continued, just under 30 million out of 83 million voted, and President Muhammadu Buhari took home again just 18% of Nigeria’s vote by PVC holders (13% by eligible voter), yet again another inconsequential representation.
Interestingly, President Muhammadu Buhari bettered his performance in the South-east, from 198,248 votes in 2015 when his popularity was high, despite Obi teaming up with PDP’s Atiku, Buhari doubled his numbers in the South-east to 403, 248 votes. In fact, he scored 25% or more in three South-eastern states, the first time in his career of running for the country’s top position. Is Peter Obi really a noisemaker, or are his supporters empty vessels?

As of the time of posting this video, INEC has recorded 96.3 million PVC registration, an increase of over 12 million. Going back to Peter Obi being the social media President, let’s dissect this a little more, shall we?

We have seen a wave of young people taking part in Nigeria’s presidential election like never in our contemporary history, with the vast majority clamouring for Peter Obi, the Labour Presidential candidate. Bear in mind that Nigeria’s median age is 18.1 years with 52% urban population and a whopping 60% being under 35 years. Only 2.7% of our population are over 65 years, let’s put this in numbers, shall we? 2.7% of 210 million gives you just 5,670,000 people.
that’s already 17 states in his pocket, then in the North-central, he’s sweeping Niger, Kwara, Kogi and Nasarawa leaving him with 21 states. In the South-South and South-east, Tinubu, based on our polls won’t make 10 and 5% respectively, still, he will come first and PDP’s Atiku second. Obi and Kwankwaso will both be eliminated.

It is important to point out that this prediction is based on our polls, and reality on the ground, however, if young people were to turn up in their numbers as predicted, Niger, Kogi, Kwara, Ogun, Osun, Gombe, Taraba, Bauchi, and Kaduna (South) could help Obi cross the line, or at least, make it to the second round.

If you like what we do, follow us on Twitter, Instagram, Facebook, TikTok and other platforms. We are an independent media company focused on Nigeria and its affair, we have a weekly Talk Show in the open park of Jabi Lake & Park, Abuja, this will be posted on our YouTube channel once a week, if you’d like to take part and you are in Abuja, send us an email at info@bantupage.com.

Don’t forget to subscribe to be notified every time we bring out contents like this.
https://bantupage.com/no-pathway-for-obi-to-aso-rock/

How did the first and second paragraph of the bolded correlate...?

Please go back and post the full article..

@Myn44, please don't push this to front page, he cut out some vital points in the article..

Didn't hear of this..
I dey Adamawa like this now..

id911:
Yet to be released. APC should win there.

OK....
I don't accept Adamawa result,
We will give Obi much more than that 7%.. Expect 20% upwards..

FCT is not negotiable.. Obi has sealed this place long ago.

What about Borno, Yobe and Bauchi poll results...?

galaxy2020:
14+69=83÷2=41.5%.....I did not say anything.

Your mathematics will only apply here, if the both religion have even eligible voters in Nasarawa state.

Obidients in SE/SS needs to encourage people there to come out in their numbers on election day...

If 45% (thats about 11million votes) electorates in these region can turnout, and Obi getting about 65%, then Obi will coast to victory..

30% achievable in NC, but not SW..
Obi will do well in NE/NW, expect 10% upfront in these regions.

Emilokan on the mud..

frank14011991:
This is the first time APC will be Fielding a Christian in taraba, just like plateau I see bwacha coasting home to victory

The LP Guy is taking Plateau state..

senatordave1:
One thing you forget is that those northern Christians are very loyal to pdp.highest that can vote obi is 50%.they are very unreliable.the ones in north central are likely to vote obi more than ne.you saw what benue gave atiku in 2019.do not rely on them.highest is 40%_atiku 40.tinubu 20%.
Those northern Muslims are also more loyal to apc first before religion.apart from bauchi, kwankwaso won't get anything in ne.muslims in taraba will go with tinubu then atiku.

Your postulation cannot apply for Taraba, there is a Cold war going between Taraba Christians and Muslims.. Like what is happening in Kaduna.

Kwanwoso will do very well in NE; (Bauchi, Gombe, Borno, Yobe) he has fanatic followers here.

All-Mustapha will surprise many in NE, he will come 5th position in the final results.

frank14011991:
you obedients are too emotional. Not all Christians will vote for obi

And who said all Christians will vote Obi...?

senatordave1:
It is possible but will need extraordinary efforts.dont forget buhari usually loses by 50k votes and many Christians will now vote obi...
Christians dominate taraba.bwacha controls donga and ussa.ibi has always voted for apc.wukari usually gives pdp bloc votes but danjuma shiddi is from there and is very popular,he is apc senate candidate.sen Joel ikenya is from there and will get votes for obi with the unpopular Darius trying for atiku.takum is where t.y danjuma is from and I heard he has endorsed obi.whichever way,apc is taking two lgas in taraba south.
In central,Bali and gassol usually gives apc bloc votes.kurmi,gashaka and sardauna is usually divided and it will continue but tinubu has the advantage.
In taraba north,jalingo and Karim lamido usually gives apc bloc votes while the other zing,yorro,lau, ardo kola goes pdp and it is set to be divided.so you see,tinubu has a good chance.the apc senate candidate in central is ex gov danladi abubakar while in the north is garba umar.the pdp has been divided since kefas agbu was imposed.but bwacha is the next gov

Taraba has about 60-65% of Christians, out of these 70% will vote Obi, while Atiku will get the rest.

Atiku, Kwankwoso and Tinibu will share the Muslim voters.. Obi has better chance of wining Taraba state than any other candidate..

Taraba Christians are more like religious bigots.

Buhari was able to win GEJ in 2015 because most Northern Christians voted for him, except Taraba, Plateau and Southern Kaduna.

Same sentiments will come to play this year in the aformentioned states plus Benue and Gombe Christians who have seen shege under Buhari..

senatordave1:
True.but I'll have preferred if they gave it to a Christian from taraba north.bwacha has given tinubu a chance to win taraba

If it is about Tinibu wining Taraba state, forget it..

Its impossible.

Very possible, since he is a Christian and for the fact that Arch. Dairus Isiaku failed..

APC has been flying Muslim candidate all the while, I think they have come to terms that it will be very difficult for a Muslim to win Guber election there as far as T. Y Danjuma is still breathing..

So much wisdom in Catholic Church.
The ban was good, the calling back even better.

Bishop Onaga handled the issue so well. Peace has returned and Father Mbakaogu will be back in his very best.
I urge Mr. Peter Obi to visit the Adoration soonest
PO issa coming....

So much wisdom in Catholic Church.
The ban was good, the calling back even better.

Bishop Onaga handled the issue so well. Peace has returned and Father Mbakaogu will be back in his very best.
I urge Mr. Peter Obi to visit the Adoration soonest
PO issa coming....

This one that I'm seeing Red caps, hope Una no steal Kwankwoso pictures....?

It's Obi's O'clock... More like a Divine Mandate.

Madam Halima.
Here in Adamawa state, Obi is guaranteed more than 100k votes, you can stake your life savings..

Bala Mohammed, a GEJ ally. Atiku never see something, karma will mess him up.

LocalStandard1:
You are a wicked and divisively twisted individual. I remember you made a post mocking and denying the atrocious killing and butchering of my people in Kaduna State. Your wickedness and evil for gain and pay will come back to you in due time.

If this is how your principal hopes to campaign and play his politics tell him he has failed before starting. The blood of those people you mocked and laughed at is at your door step, lady.

Tell your beloved mods to bring this thread down as usual, but the good outnumbers you even in this forum.

Hope your people (Southern KD) are united in ensuring that Jonathan Asake is elected the next governor of Kaduna state. You guys have the population and the spread to give him victory.

You can't continue to allow your them to take over your lands..

levi22:
Oga who is Joseph Datti again??

Joseph is the translation of Yusuf..

I have told people countless time that in a free and fair election, Obi will score more than 98% of votes in SE..

I can see Obi Cubana and his younger brother who is HoR candidate under APGA mobbing PO. If there are 100 APGA faithfuls in SE, 95 will vote Obi.