Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:21am On Oct 13*. Modified: 10:00am On Oct 13 |
megawealth01: Stories... Why did they extend the IPO? To allow other African countries enough time take part. because they definitely have to set up new systems to be able to do so. Remember, this is probably the first pan-Africa IPO, so some novel issues or challenges would crop up. |
Business › Re: Dangote Says Refinery’s EBITDA Tops $5.5 Billion, Signals Record Third Quarter by mikeapollo: 9:08am On Oct 13 |
mactoni91: This man is really enjoying Bola government.
Bola really made Nigeria too easy for him to milk. Did government build the refinery for him? You should be thanking God that Dangote built a refinery in Nigeria....this govt would have been selling petrol at N2,500 or or more per liter without the refinery |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:03am On Oct 13*. Modified: 10:00am On Oct 13 |
chimex38: This shows the x3 to x4 is mostly tied to Institutional or HNI. The shareholders spread is still very thin.
#Speculation The OS despite being 120bn units and 4bn infree float, might definitely be very scarce upon listing and beyond. Tilting towards driving up it's share prices. Exactly. If there is substantial refund due to oversubscription, the share price will rally immediately after listing |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:12am On Oct 13 |
megawealth01: You gerrit ba?
I honestly doubt if the big boiz are buying this IPO
I've been monitoring all activities around the IPO.... I notice na mainly low income earners, middle earners etc dey excited...I might be wrong sha The big boys oversubscribed the PP already |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:07am On Oct 13 |
SonofElElyonRet: Don't rule out the possibility of Dangote refinery Nigeria having shares in dangote refinery Kenya... Would be the patriotic thing for Dangote to do. Not necessarily majority shares Thst is what will happen. It would be risky for him to allow the Kenya refinery to stand alone outside the control or management of Lekki |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 6:17pm On Oct 12 |
Raider76: I rhink there should be a rule on NSEMPA that whoever makes a post like this must back it up with detailed valuation. How many valuation models would you be able to read and comprehend? Better leave it for God and hold your peace of mind  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 6:16pm On Oct 12 |
ghm: This is premature.
The IPO hasn't closed. The listing hasn't happened. You're predicting a price collapse before the stock has traded a single day.
Wait for the listing. Then substantiate your claim with data—not speculation. People get carried by the 125billion share count. Less than 4 billion of the shares will be available to retail investors. Alhaji and Institutional investors hold more than 96 percent (unless there is oversubscription and Alhaji decides to allot 100%). And by the time Lekki capacity increases to 1.4m and the Kenya refinery coming on board as well......the price would definitely shoot up. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:59pm On Oct 12 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:41pm On Oct 12*. Modified: 5:57pm On Oct 12 |
essentialone1: - *Jonathan era:* 50L @ N97 = N4,850 / N18,000 min wage = *27% of monthly wage* for 50L - *Buhari era:* 50L @ N187 = N9,350 / N33,000 = *28.3%* - *Tinubu now:* 50L @ N1,500 = N75,000 / N70,000 = *107%* - more than a full minimum wage
So in liters, minimum wage used to buy:
- Jonathan: 185 liters (18,000/97) - Buhari: 176 liters (33,000/187) - Tinubu: 46 liters (70,000/1,500)
That's why people feel poorer even with wage doubled. Two things changed at once:
1. *Petrol price is no longer subsidized.* Under Jonathan/Buhari, government paid the difference between landing cost (~N800-1,200 now) and pump price. That kept pump price low but cost FG N4trn/year in 2022 alone.
2. *Naira floated.* Landing cost is in dollars. When FX went from N460/$ official to N1,500+, petrol cost in naira tripled even without subsidy.
So is the economy "repaired"? On fiscal books - subsidy bill gone, FAAC up 3x, fuel imports down, FX arbitrage spread gone. On household books - transport now eats most of the wage, which is what the calculation shows.
That's the trade-off Tinubu bet on: short-term purchasing power crash for long-term fiscal reset and local refining (Dangote now at 700k bpd means import cost should fall eventually).
Whether that bet pays off depends on whether pump price falls as Dangote ramps and naira stabilizes - or whether wages catch up. Good job! But please don't ascribe Dangote's refinery to any govt policy. We are just lucky that Alhaji built the refinery; otherwise this callous govt would be selling fuel at N2,500 or more |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:37pm On Oct 12 |
Agbalowomeri: No it's actually Yoruba English Only Yoruba speakers will understand  ''Agbaletu'' Them don come again oo! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:35pm On Oct 12 |
SonofElElyonRet: I guess the PFAs, fund managers and those who bought into the private placement are all financial illiterates You were specifically admonished to ''watch how the share price will systematically drop down to N100''.....and you are still guessing about PFAs and fund managers. Cant you just '' watch'' as admonished? And you are not even the troublesome type like some of us! I tire for you oo  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:17pm On Oct 12 |
STNWAUME: This shows that Dangote package fra_ud for Nigerians by the time the 125billions Units of Dangote Refinery is listed.
Now watch how their Share-price will systematically drop down to #100.  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:09pm On Oct 12 |
ayobama1: The reasonable thing for retail investors is to consult with their feet and manage the haircut before it becomes a bloodbath  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:02pm On Oct 12 |
Peterlove11: If I had known of this tactics, I would have done this with my oando shares. I bought at the top above 50naira. Now I don hook. Oando's case is long term patience. If the RI is already done at N50, then be assured that the insiders will surely push it above N50 when they are ready. But I understand it could be very stressful tying down your money for long while other stocks are moving and minting money for other investors. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:39pm On Oct 12 |
aj8: Poor Sterling Bank. Still a penny stock in the minds of investors. The reverse stock split was a huge mistake. They should have just aggressively bought back their shares over the next 10 years. The next mistake they would make would be to pay a dividend of N1.00 or less. Price could well drop to N10. A clear lesson of “ You can't eat your bread and have it “. What were they even thinking for them to re-list Sterling Bank at N77? It does not matter if they consolidated 20 shares into 1! The stock does not command the kind of momentum in the market to sell above UBA, Access, ETI etc |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:36pm On Oct 12 |
SonofElElyonRet: Maybe because of those from other African countries? Yes, that is the official reason given. But the implication may be that he is ready to absorb everything, otherwise it wouldn't make sense to extend and then refund money. The extension also applies to Nigerian investors |
Business › Re: Fire Engulfs Bank In Nyanya, Abuja As Residents Watch In Shock (video) by mikeapollo: 4:31pm On Oct 12 |
thesolutions: Generator room. Somebody kept petrol near the exhaust. Hope it didn't touch the customers service area. Poor electricity supply is killing this country |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:29pm On Oct 12 |
GeeKudi: Maybe not yet. Some of us just got in today Rapala w'ole! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:29pm On Oct 12 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:15pm On Oct 12 |
GeeKudi: Whatever, bro. Shouldn’t this neutrality talk be questioned? He is not neutral because he is “ProTinubu” but when they post anti government sentiments, you giggle, comment and egg them on and you’re neutral. Isn’t this talk of neutrality an attempt to silence people? Why would you even want anyone to be neutral? No, me I am not too bothered at all.. I know Agba well well. You can see his smiling emoji in the comments. I am not disturbed whether he is pro-Tinubu or not. He is the one that always wants to silence me whenever I say something. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:11pm On Oct 12 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:05pm On Oct 12 |
GeeKudi: Why must you even be neutral? Like you can’t have a stake in the affairs of your own nation. Who is neutral? What’s the definition of this neutrality? Are we not equating hypocrisy and duplicity for neutrality? Finally, the people that matter most have spoken. Person wey get excess money ( Kudi), and he sabi speak a lot of ''G''rammar; what else?  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:49pm On Oct 12 |
Zagee: Sterling bank- the real indicator of the real economy. Suffer head  The more you look, the less you see! Sterling bank thinks it is easy for a single share to sell for N77 or even N50 without anything fundamental to back it. They are coming down to N20 if hey are not careful. Who born monkey? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:20pm On Oct 12*. Modified: 3:46pm On Oct 12 |
Agbalowomeri: "Our government"
I am neutral. I only say your criticism is not from a fair judgement ''Neutrality'' indeed! ''Our government'', really? But I don't have the right to air my views and opinions about ''our'' govt, right? Dey whine me |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:17pm On Oct 12 |
pluto09: There are recognized standards for measuring the wealth and health of a country and not what someone said. Nigeria GDP per capital income in 1970s was less than $300 One easy way to know is when a country attracts the best human capital, expatriates etc.. from other developed countries to work in the economy. Some of the teachers, doctors, academics, professionals from Indian, African, Europe, etc were flocking to come and work in Nigeria. The same way Nigerians are now running to UK, Canada, Saudi etc The USD was equivalent to 0.65k; less than N1 |
Celebrities › Re: Tobey Maguire Officiates Ex-wife’s Wedding To Nigerian Billionaire's Son by mikeapollo: 2:15pm On Oct 12 |
The new husband is a big fool! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 1:16pm On Oct 12 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 1:05pm On Oct 12 |
pluto09: So you believe Nigeria was rich in early 1970s because Gowon said so even when the real available data showed something contrary. Which ''real'', available data are you talking about? And who authored such data? Just take your time and do some search! Nigeria was a rich country in the 1970s. We were better thn many European and Asian countries, including Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia etc. Unfortunately, every wealth must be managed and sustained. We failed to manage and sustain our wealth, that is why we are struggling and suffering today. Nigerian scholars, (BSc, MSc, PhD holders) were rejecting jobs in Europe, US and returning home to receive better pay! If you doubt me, go ask any professor who graduated in the 70s and even early 80s Have you ever heard of any other country that gave out huge bonuses to workers and distributed free cash because they experienced oil boom? That is one of the stupid things that Nigeria did to squander the wealth. If that money had been invested in infrastructure like railways, mass road network, industries, etc, you can imagine the impact |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:15pm On Oct 12 |
Agbalowomeri: Oga stop demonstrating poor knowledge Nigeria does not even own up to half of the 1.6million barrel. So the oil company dey dig out crude for free for the FG Lol Read up how the daily crude is shared @Agba, I agree my knowledge is POOR! Please kindly help a fellow (and many like him) with POOR knowledge, We wait for your exclusive on how daily crude is shared! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:12pm On Oct 12 |
lawani: So Nigeria is wealthy because of a statement made by General Gowon? Consider that some countries with one tenth of Nigeria's population have more than double Nigeria's oil production. What do you call those ones if you call Nigeria wealthy based on General Gowon's statement that was made because of oil and gas?. A country can only become wealthy only if the government has a large revenue to GDP ratio to improve the HDI and the infrastructure. It is never because of what lies under the ground that was there millions of years ago when hunter gatherers lived on the land Where were you when Gowon was the president in the early 1970s, over 50 years ago? What do you know now, that can challenge a president's knowledge of his country's finances when he made the statement over 50 years ago? Access to the internet should not mislead us, abeg! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:07pm On Oct 12 |
pluto09: We have been meeting our OPEC quota but still falling short of budgeted target. Correct |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:02pm On Oct 12 |
SonofElElyonRet: Hope it won't go back to starting block Sterling bank can plummet to below N50 if care is not taken! I don't think it has the market(industry) presence nor financial performance to command a price like N50. I am expecting it around N20 or less, unless they release a fantastic Q3 result to stem the tide |