Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:34pm On Oct 08 |
thebargainhunte: Why is Wale among top 4 highest paid CEO in Nigeria? This year AGM, the first speaker critized their bogus salaries, yet the shareholders were left with nothing. ''Workers'' or ''employees'' in a public company are separate from ''executive management''. What we are discussing is salaries to workers |
Foreign Affairs › Re: 1948, Not October 7: The Ethnic Cleansing That Started The War | Must Watch by mikeapollo: 3:32pm On Oct 08 |
HacheNoire: Stop bringing a fictional book to limelight
Even by same fictional book, Israel was a person first, before it became a generation.
Did the fictional book state that God named Israel and created the land? The land was already there and people were inhabiting it!
Genesis 32:28
A divine figure tells Jacob, "Your name shall no longer be called Jacob, but Israel, for you have striven with God and with men, and have prevailed". What you call ''fiction'' book is what Quran has coped so many stories from. The Land of Israel, including Bethlehem, Jerusalem, Hebron, Judea and Samaria etc does not belong to fake people ''Palestinians'' who are Arabs from Jordan, Egypt, etc |
Foreign Affairs › Re: 1948, Not October 7: The Ethnic Cleansing That Started The War | Must Watch by mikeapollo: 2:50pm On Oct 08 |
HacheNoire: How did they convince you that it started on October 7 after notable series of massacre, genocide and ethnic cleansing.
1946 – Plan Gimmel 1948 – Nakba 1948 – Plan Dalet 1948 – Operation Nachshon 1948 – Deir Yassin Massacre 1948 – Operation Hametz 1948 – Operation Yiftach 1948 – Operation Dani 1948 – Lydda Massacre 1948 – Operation Yoav 1948 – Operation Hiram 1948 – Tantura Massacre 1948 – Al-Dawayima Massacre 1948 – Abu Shusha Massacre 1948 – Ein al-Zeitun Massacre 1948 – Safsaf Massacre 1948 – Saliha Massacre 1948 – Ilaboun Massacre 1948 – Arab al-Mawasi Massacre 1956 – Kafr Qasim Massacre 1956 – Khan Yunis Massacre 1967 – Naksa 1982 – Sabra and Shatila Massacre 1967– TIll present – West Bank Bedouin displacement This is what exposes you people:. All your ''history'' about Land of Israel conveniently begins from 1948 So to you liars, Jerusalem, Bethlehem, Hebron, Jericho, Judea and Samaria etc. were all ''established'' in 1948. To you, even Moses, David, Rebecca, Jacob, Joseph, Solomon, Jesus Christ etc were born, lived and died in 1948!  If you don't stop your hatred, lies and deception about Israel, it will only bring you more pains and misery! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 2:43pm On Oct 08 |
elengine: I mentioned this two weeks ago and people think it is a joke. Zenith, no shishi
UBA- increased impairment for related party loans😀😀😀 abi na the loan them dey take accumulate seplat ni? I would be really surprised if Zenith does not pay any dividends! It would be a shocker in the industry because they had been very consistent in paying both interim and final dividends |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 2:30pm On Oct 08 |
lawani: Yes but my point is that the right way in my opinion to run a public company is to set dividends apart each time you pay salaries. It does not have to be much but set something apart. It is not law yet but to me it is the right way forward I suggest you read Companies and Allied Matters Act (CAMA), 2020 |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 2:19pm On Oct 08 |
KarlTom: He isn't  Clarify your ''Queen's English'':  He isn't banned or he isn't busy, engaged? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 2:18pm On Oct 08 |
lawani: Can you set up a private company and pay workers without paying shareholders? No no matter how small you will pay the share holders. Therefore for as long as the rule is not applied to public companies then the stock exchange isn't yet optimal at least not as much as private companies If we are all willing to learn, we can educate ourselves:. Most private companies don't pay ANYTHING as dividend, because they are mostly owned by a few individuals (usually less than 10) or 2, 3 or 4 family members or friends. What their directors/shareholders usually do is to make drawings for some expenses. The pressure to pay dividends is only loud in public companies because the shareholders are many and they make noise about it. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 2:04pm On Oct 08 |
lawani: IF A COMPANY COLLAPSES WE WILL KNOW IT HAS COLLAPSED AND THE SHAREHOLDERS WILL BEAR THE BRUNT BUT WHEN IT HAS NOT YET COLLAPSED THEN IT WOULDN'T BE FAIR TO PAY WORKERS WITHOUT PAYING THE SHAREHOLDERS Where did you get this ''theory'' or ''logic'' from. Shareholders are meant to share in profits, when the company makes profit at end of the financial year. Workers are to work daily, weekly, monthly so the company can operate and make profits. Do you want or expect the workers to work without receiving salaries until end of the year when the company declares profit? I tire for this oo |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 2:00pm On Oct 08 |
yMcy56: Thread sanity and more of investment/stock focused thread.....lol.
Ironically, Mega is my long term good brother on this thread and orderly at least..... I don't know why he just changed and started derailing....... Most annoying part is when corrected, he would take an offence, became adamant, insultive and acting irrational... The kind of "friend" I'll keep or relate with and I can't tell him/her the truth, I'd rather not have such around me. If you do anyhow, you get anyhow....then we move on again.....😁
If I do anyhow, correct me too, I no too dey vex for that kind thing...... I can't count the number of attacks I've got on this thread......we still move on on topics of interest afterwards.....😊 Maybe he is not even banned. I recall he was off on this platform for some months early this year. May be he is busy engaged on something that is taking his time. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 1:32pm On Oct 08 |
yMcy56: Hhmmm.. This is interesting... Invariably, the Rise and Fall of OANDO is in the hands of WALE.....as Mega used to insist.
Now, there's an interesting clause there: "OODP is committed to fully subscribe to its Right entitlement" OODP also says previously that its no longer buying out minority shareholders.... meaning it's not going private.
Uncle WALE, whatever your game plan is, pls carry us along make minority also follow you chop, na beg we dey o. Ejowo Sir 🙏
** Meanwhile, it seems the bot has given Megawealth long ban, lol Wetin you gain from the ban, if true? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 1:13pm On Oct 08 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:50pm On Oct 08 |
ppogba: Believe no hint again. All oracles have failed concerning this bank results.  This is why the Holy Book says: Believe first, then you shall see it happen |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:28pm On Oct 08*. Modified: 1:10pm On Oct 08 |
ghm: Thank you. I love this forum whenever people that know what's up speak. It goes further that we are not gamblers on this forum, we know something. Here are further information.
What is OODP? OODP stands for Ocean and Oil Development Partners Limited. It is the majority shareholder and core investor in Oando PLC.
Who owns OODP? OODP is a private company jointly owned by Wale Tinubu (Oando's Group Chief Executive) and Mofe Boyo (his deputy), along with the Volpi family's investment vehicle, Ansbury Investment Inc.
But there is another layer to the structure: Whitmore Asset Management Limited. Whitmore is the private investment vehicle of Wale Tinubu and Mofe Boyo. It co-owns OODP BVI (a British Virgin Islands joint venture company), which in turn owns 99.99% of OODP Nigeria. OODP Nigeria is the entity that holds the controlling stake in Oando PLC.
So the chain is: Tinubu/Boyo → Whitmore → OODP BVI → OODP Nigeria → Oando PLC.
What is OODP's stake in Oando? OODP holds a controlling interest in Oando. Depending on the reporting date and methodology, its direct stake is reported as:
August 2026: 26.36% September 2026: 28.55% Historical (2022): 57.37%
The variation reflects different reporting methodologies (e.g., whether affiliated holdings like Leaf Equity Investments are consolidated).
The Letter of Guarantee This is the critical document. OODP issued a Letter of Guarantee valid from 25 March 2026 to 25 March 2027. Under this guarantee, OODP commits to support Oando by ensuring the company can meet its financial obligations as they fall due, for as long as liabilities exceed assets.
The guarantee is described as a contract for the benefit of all creditors of Oando and its subsidiaries—present and future—who can enforce the undertakings given.
However, the financial statements contain a crucial caveat:"The effectiveness of this support is dependent on the financial capacity of the guarantor, which has not yet been independently verified." OODP told management that evidence of its net worth backing the guarantee is being audited, but the audit was not complete as of the financial statement approval date.
OODP's Role in the Recapitalisation OODP is not just a passive guarantor. It has committed to fully subscribe to its rights entitlement and underwrite any shares not taken up by minority investors in Oando's proposed N500 billion capital raise. This means if minority shareholders don't take up their rights, OODP will buy them.
Why This Matters Whitmore is the personal vehicle through which Wale Tinubu and Mofe Boyo control OODP, and by extension, their controlling stake in Oando. When people talk about "OODP's guarantee" keeping Oando afloat, they are effectively talking about Tinubu and Boyo's personal financial commitment—made through entities they own. That Wale and his Boyo (gang member) have either embezzled or amassed trillions which they are hiding and don't want to disclose to the auditors as financial guarantee. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 11:25am On Oct 08 |
Oasisblue: What does "the March 2027 guarantee expiry arrives before the fix is complete" indicate? Care to expound? Will Oando become bankrupt by that deadline? The people that gave the guarantee are still alive; they will renew it if nothing tangible happens before then. I am not a Tinubu fan, and I don't care who wins or loses election 2027. But if he wins .................you go see what Oando will become. Wale will exploit the opportunity to the fullest, even though it may be very controversial. Mark this! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 11:21am On Oct 08 |
ghm: Salient point, you raised, here are my findings based on your post.
Looking at Oando's footprint—the company's premises, events, management and staff, buildings, offices, cars, planes, etc.—you will see an extremely successful and affluent company, with no visible traces of a broken balance sheet. Oando is being kept afloat by a legal guarantee from its majority shareholder, an aggressive debt-restructuring plan, and the sheer scale of its assets. But that lifeline has an expiry date, and it is not a long-term solution.
What's Keeping It Afloat Right Now
1. The OODP Letter of Guarantee The primary lifeline is a Letter of Guarantee from Ocean and Oil Development Partners (OODP), Oando's majority shareholder. It is valid from 25 March 2026 to 25 March 2027. It commits OODP to support Oando so it can meet its financial obligations as long as liabilities exceed assets. The critical caveat: the evidence of OODP's net worth backing this guarantee has not yet been independently verified . This is not a cash injection; it's a promise from a related party.
2. The Recapitalisation Plan Management has a three-part plan approved by shareholders: a N500 billion capital raise (first tranche N220 billion rights issue awaiting SEC approval), conversion of up to US$300 million** of Reserve-Based Lending debt into equity, and a **US$1.5 billion multi-instrument issuance programme .
3. Operational Cash Generation Oando is not dead operationally. H1 2026 production averaged 42,789 boepd, up 16%, with production opex down 18% to $16.83/boe . It ended H1 with N544.92 billion in cash . Operating profit was N127.84 billion, a turnaround from a loss .
How Long Can It Keep "Selling Hope"?
The honest answer: until March 2027, when the OODP guarantee expires. After that, the company's survival depends entirely on whether the recapitalisation plan succeeds. And there are serious doubts:
Negative equity persists: Total equity was negative N530.45 billion at H1 2026 . Finance costs exceed operating profit: H1 2026 finance costs were N167.58 billion against operating profit of N127.84 billion . The company is not earning enough to cover its debt servicing.
The "profit" is not from operations: N104.44 billion of operating profit came from other income and impairment reversals—not from selling oil or trading crude .
Shareholder governance challenge: A shareholder has formally challenged the US$434.5 million receivable settlement and the proposed rights issue, raising questions about related-party transactions and dilution, with copies to the SEC and CAC .
Could Seplat or Aradel Acquire Oando?
This is speculative, but here's the context:
Seplat is the largest indigenous producer, targeting 200,000 boepd by 2030, with net debt reduced to $370.7 million after repaying $200 million . It has the balance sheet and the operational credibility.
Aradel ended H1 2026 with N1.72 trillion in cash, the largest of the three, and has been on an acquisition spree, consolidating ND Western and taking a majority stake in Renaissance Africa Energy.
Oando's appeal: It holds the largest indigenous reserves and has completed the NAOC acquisition, adding significant Niger Delta acreage .
An acquisition would be a massive undertaking, given Oando's N2.42 trillion enterprise value and N2.70 trillion in debt . But it would be a logical consolidation play for a cash-rich Aradel or a strategically ambitious Seplat.
Bottom Line Oando is surviving on borrowed time and a shareholder guarantee. The operational turnaround is real—production is up, costs are down—but the balance sheet is still broken. The "hope" being sold is that the recapitalization will fix it. The risk is that the March 2027 guarantee expiry arrives before the fix is complete. Virtually everything you said is 100% accurate. Oando' balance sheet was in a much worse situation in 2022. But they acquired NAOC and then the Angola oil bloc.. The NAOC deal has given them some improvement. If they are able to pull off another major transaction or acquisition, then the turnaround may be quicker than expected. Even if they are to be acquired by another company (worst case scenario), the valuation will be much higher than the current price. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:45am On Oct 08 |
Wale must behave himself, manage the company well and let Oando fly. But currently, Oando's ''cup'' is either ''half full'' or ''half empty''. It depends on what you see, understand, know, expect, believe, hope, etc |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:34am On Oct 08 |
jonnysessy: Sterling Holding Company had been listed @ N77. When market open we would see how far.  This NGX (life) no balance? Anyway na way; anyhow na how |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Dropping Out Of The Sky: US Military Has Lost 81 Planes In Iran War by mikeapollo: 9:10am On Oct 08 |
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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:09am On Oct 08 |
GeneralDae: Even with all you heard Sanusi predict in that video which eventually came to pass in the time of Buhari, you still can’t decode why we are where we are today? Watch that video again. Why dont you tell us what Tinubu himself (and his peoole in APC) said about subsidy removal in 2012/2013 when Jonathan was president!. You cannot run away from his own record. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 11:59pm On Oct 07 |
ghm: I am confused. Can a company really influence its own share price? I think the market does that.
I always thought they couldn't—except through the legal and acceptable ways: issuing more shares, reorganisation, buybacks, etc. Truth is, share price can be manipulated for sometime by the company using stock brokers in the market especially when they want to raise capital capital or doa merger/acquisition But the price will readjust agsin after some time. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 7:31pm On Oct 07 |
[quote author=GeneralDae post=140850536]@mikeapollo remember our short debate on how our reserves were depleted by Sanusi in 2008 to 2009 from $62 Billion to just around $40 Billion (all in only over one year)? Well, he admitted it himself in this video. This should be around 2013 or 2014.
Note also that: Everything he predicted here eventually came to pass.
(You can ignore the Twitter post and just watch the video)
you see how skewed and biased your anslysis is? Oil price fell from $147 to $37 over a year and you blame Sanusi for depleting our reserves from $62b to $40b? Show me one CBN governor in the history of Nigeria to date that was able to grow ,(or maintain) reserves when oil price felll by over 75% over a year! The man you are solely blaming for depleting the reserves was able to keep an exchang rate of N200 to $.for about 4-5 years which helped factories and businesses to expand. What is rhe exchange rate now under your darling govt and CBN governor even when crude oil has been selling at over $80 under this govt? What would the reserves be if oil price shoukd fall to ,$40 for a year or more?
MAN says over 700 factories have closed down because of FX rate and other policies of this current govt. I hope you are happy and roud of that as an achievement! Congratulations! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:52pm On Oct 07 |
robobo: He has a reason. The reason is that he want to corner the RI as a replacement for the shares he released as a form of repayment of Ocean and Oil (which is presently being shared to other shareholders in tranches) indebtedness to Oando. Remember the release txn was done at 90 something, so buying back same at 50 is a kill for him. So dont expect the price to go anywhere until after the RI is done and dusted.
that is one of the reason the qualifying date is already gone, even before the RI is approved by regulators (Feb 2026). Also keeping the market price below the RI price will discourage a lot of people who qualifies, which is to his own advantage. Lastly i THINK the only thing holding the RI down is maybe he has not been able to amass enough FUNDS to corner it (abt N200 billion) and i dont think this might be possible until the election is over (for obvious reason)
Selah Exactly! Your analysis is on point! They have refused to announce the Phase 2 of the share redistribution exercise, all because they want to take up the RI and be qualified for the redistribution again, diluting the ratios. I think someone has already raised these issues in a petition to the Board of Directors. Another court case may even come up if care is not taken. |
Travel › Re: Most Unique Borders Around The World (Photos) by mikeapollo: 4:52pm On Oct 07 |
Robertgreene1: You're the brainwashed one here my friend. 10% of Palestinians are Christians!!! They even worship in, and maintain the Church of Nativity, where Christ was born in Bethlehem, which is a major Palestinian City till date. Shireen Abu Akleh, the Palestinian Aljazeera journalist that was killed by lsrael in 2024 was a Palestinian Chrisrian. I watched her burial live on Aljazeera!!! But to see one single Jewish Christian in Israel is almost like a taboo!!! Bethlehem belongs to Jews. That is where Jesus was born, and he was not born in an Arab town. Palestinians are Arabs who came to live in the land of Israel. The ancestral land does not belong to them. They have no lineage to the Kings that ruled over the land thousands of years ago, who were all Jews There are Christians in Israel. Even if there is no single single Christian in Israel today, it does not change the fact that the Prophets, Jesus Christ, and His disciples were all born, lived, died and buried in the land of Israel, including Bethlehem and Jerusalem, inside ISRAEL. |
Travel › Re: Most Unique Borders Around The World (Photos) by mikeapollo: 4:46pm On Oct 07 |
Great100000: The same planet. Two countries. One line. 🌍
Some borders disappear into forests. Others cut through mountains, deserts and cities, making an invisible line impossible to ignore.
Which border surprised you the most? There is no country called ''Palestine''. No national boundaries, no sovereignty, no capital, no currency!. Just a fiction of the imagination of some people. What some people ''Palestine'' is actually Judea and Samaria, the heartland of Israel. |
Science/Technology › Re: Meet The Big Cat Family (Photo) by mikeapollo: 4:41pm On Oct 07 |
teniboss: This Leopard, Tiger Jaguar and Cheetah Dey confusing shaa Leopard and Jaguar very close resemblance For the Cheetah, the 2 black line-marks on the face identify it |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:39pm On Oct 07 |
Agbalowomeri: Oando moved from N5 to N90 Wetin Una want again  And from N90 to where? No be Aradel still dey for N1500+? |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:56pm On Oct 07 |
edwardaigb: Still better than my experience with Staco insurance. Staco na ''kalokalo''  |
Politics › Re: NNPC And Remittance Under Nigerian Presidents by mikeapollo: 3:39pm On Oct 07 |
Olofofo247ng: NNPC remittance under 🇳🇬 Presidents
1. Obasanjo - $4 Billion in 8 years 2. Yaradua - $8 Billion in 3 years 3. Jonathan - $1 Billion in 5 years 4. Buhari - Nothing in 8 years 5. Tinubu - $15.33 billion in 3.5 years
How President Bola Tinubu pulled this off needs to be studied
Source: Lies! And who says that remittances in a particular year are all from revenues generated in that year? Remittances in a year may be from revenues generated in prior years! |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:23pm On Oct 07 |
thebargainhunte: The man should just delist his company. He is using every opportunity to punish shareholders. Imagine an upstream company trading below N40 where there is no downstream company trading below N40 on ngx. It is very painful! Oando has no business selling under N200 if not for Wale. But sometimes, these things create opportunity. In the past, First Bank was selling for like N4 for about a year or more when GT, ZB etc were at N15-N20. Same for Wema at 0.50k Wale cannot have his way all the time. He go cast one day and shareholders will have their way. |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:07pm On Oct 07 |
ayobama1: This is debatable How do you mean?  |
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:05pm On Oct 07 |
megamart247: OANDO is currently selling at 0.13 Rand in South Africa Stock Exchange which is equivalent to #10 naira.
So that buying OANDO above #10 have themselves to blame  |
Foreign Affairs › Re: Anojan Sivarasa Sentenced To Death Over Comment About Prophet Muhammad In Saudi by mikeapollo: 2:48pm On Oct 07 |
Oxygenmayo: Killing somebody for a dead man in hell?
This is truly a religion of peace indeed. Incredible! What is the difference between this and what ISIS did beheading people? |