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PoliticsRe: Atiku Will Not Win The 2023 Election: Farooq Kperogi by MikoB: 12:02pm On May 30, 2022
It's not going to be easy for rigging in 2023,but considering all other factors that favours incumbency, I am sure apc will win.
PoliticsRe: 2023 Presidency: APC Weighs Options As Atiku Shops For Running Mate by MikoB: 11:59am On May 30, 2022
bjdon:
Dream on. Who told you PYO can win the SS? You think we've forgotten what the SW did to GEJ? SS will rather vote Atiku, than vote any SW candidate.
Politics is more than just emotions.
PoliticsRe: 2023 Presidency: APC Weighs Options As Atiku Shops For Running Mate by MikoB: 11:22am On May 30, 2022
miqos02:
osinbajo will not even win his local government. He has no political base/stronghold he controls. That matters a lot in politics, he will need major power brokers/stakeholders to back across regions to win even the primary talkless of general elections
So many amateur analysts here. Someone with no base, that his candidates are winning all over the country, keep deceiving yourself.
PoliticsRe: 2023: APC Governors Gang Up Against Jonathan by MikoB: 11:07am On May 30, 2022
drlateef:
We talk with reality, not sentiments. Oshinbajo has no leg on ground. Even Buhari was helped by the stone you reject. Tinubu is the only one who can defeat Atiku. Buhari needed Tinubu to win. Face reality and stop unnecessary bravado.
All what I spoke about are realities, my brother as it is now, Tinubu will not do well in ss and se, and he can't defeat Atiku and Kwankwaso in the nw and ne, moreover he will need buhari's support to clinch apc's ticket, apc is not pdp that someone can outshine others with dollars because they don't have a rally point leader like the president ,money works in pdp because they don't have a president, I don't analyse base on sentiment.
PoliticsRe: 2023 Presidency: APC Weighs Options As Atiku Shops For Running Mate by MikoB: 10:59am On May 30, 2022
M1Garand:
You said he will not do badly in the NE because of some Christain population there don't you think he would do badly in the North West because of some Muslim population there? You think some NE will vote Osibanjo because of he's a Christain and don't think majority north west will vote Atiku because he's a Muslim and a Northerner?

Osibanjo will do well with Tinubu full support infact fantastically well. But from his campaign, it's obvious he won't be needing Tinubu's support even if he wins the primaries that way I won't be surprised to see a situation where Tinubu pulls for Atiku his long time friend underground...
And you know what it means. Osibanjo will be haunted by PDP with the performance of Buhari's administration and in a debate it would be difficult for him to justify the administration and he won't be able to speak bad about Buhari either. Fear the power of propaganda.
Osinbajo will defeat anyone as soon as he gets the apc's ticket. I am not just saying this.
PoliticsRe: 2023 Presidency: APC Weighs Options As Atiku Shops For Running Mate by MikoB: 10:57am On May 30, 2022
PJ123:
PYO cannot win any state in the North. You actually don
't know northerners. And unfortunately, he won't win much in SW, not to talk of SE.
Forget, Emergency of Atiku has completely removed PYO. You may argue against because of your love for PYO.
Lolz
PoliticsRe: 2023: APC Governors Gang Up Against Jonathan by MikoB: 10:56am On May 30, 2022
drlateef:
Oshinbajo has no structure anywhere. He will lose the primary woefully because structures are not what you build in a month in politics. That’s why Atiku defeated Wike. It’s not just financial muscle, you must have established structures of people who believe in you for many years. That’s why Tinubu will defeat any opponent on Saturday. And PYO can never defeat Atiku. It’s just impossible. Buhari was able to do it because Tinubu supported him. The only candidate who can defeat Atiku is Tinubu. No other can do it. Atiku is too experienced than your PYO.
Osinbajo will win with landslide, no one can win without buhari's support, stop deceiving yourself.
PoliticsRe: 2023 Presidency: APC Weighs Options As Atiku Shops For Running Mate by MikoB: 10:52am On May 30, 2022
CoolAmbience:
Osinbajo can't win Atiku.

How did you measure Osinbajo's acceptability? Social media? Or by grammar?

Lawan can beat Atiku, as long as he has Buhari's backing. Osinbajo has never been tested in any election. It would amount to huge gamble to give Osinbajo ticket.

Lets just watch and see. But I believe that Lawan/Onu or Lawan/Onu ticket is good to go.

Lawan got age, his membership of the ruling party and better public image as advantage over Atiku.
I don't do my analysis on sentiment, Osinbajo is the surest for apc,Obi is going to have the majority vote in the south east, so onu is of no relevance.
PoliticsRe: Why Osinbajo Is The Best Bet For Apc. by MikoB(op): 9:43am On May 30, 2022
tollyboy5:
Yes na person that has Igbo name grin

Make I wash my eyes I don too read many of your nonsense
Lolz
PoliticsRe: 2023 Presidency: APC Weighs Options As Atiku Shops For Running Mate by MikoB:
As it is, the only sure aspirant in the apc that will beat Atiku in the apc is Osinbajo, reason been that PYO is the only aspirant that is acceptable in all the six geo political zones in the country, you will be amazed that Osinbajo has more support in the middle belt more than any support he enjoys in his region of South West, also the work he has put in for many months have began to manifest, his candidates won in benue, oyo and adamawa for the governorship to the surprise of many, but for the people that follow him were not surprised anyway. As for the primary coming up, Osinbajo is going to win, because the party knows he is the only one that can guarantee victory, let me talk a little bit about other aspirants, and their weaknesses, Asiwaju no doubt is a big politician any day any time, but he miscalculated, he was hoping on southern candidates for both apc and pdp base on the clamour at that time, so he did not bother himself to allign much with the SS and SE also with the Christian communities of the Middle belt, his calculation was that once pdp gives her ticket to either a ss or se person, he will surely have an upper hand in his region of sw and also do very well in the nw and ne, which normally would have guaranteed victory for him but with Atiku as the pdp candidate now, Tinubu wil need new strategy.

Ahmed lawan candidacy wil not fly, because Buhari is about to finish his two term regime under apc, it is impossible for apc to give another northerner her ticket, also Lawan cannot defeat Atiku, one, because they are from the same region of NE and everyone knows Atiku is stronger than him in the NE, Atiku and Kwankwaso will do very well too in the NW, the NC wil be divided among the aspirants, so coming to the south, he will not do well at all no matter whom he picks as his running mate, I trust the south westerners they will not vote for him, the south east has Obi and the south south will be shared depending on whom Atiku picks as his running mate, so lawan will not fly.

Amaechi is another candidate that might do well if given the ticket but his problem is that he has no political base at home and his region, but if he has the support of the president he might be able to put up some fight, but that does not guarantee a victory against Atiku.

With due respect to all other aspirants that I did not mention their names, even if Buhari endorses them and they pick up the ticket for the apc, they will not be able to defeat Atiku.

Osinbajo is the only candidate, that will win very well in SW, and also likely win the SS and not do badly in the SE, he will win in the North Central, he will not do badly in the North East because of some Christian population there, he will not do badly in the North West because apc controls most states there and also because of Buhari, so in all, Osinbajo will likely win 4 regions, either will like it or not, religion and ethinicty still play a big part in our politics in nigeria, and I guess these are going to be of advantage to Osinbajo, no wonder he is a movement in the christain dominated states of plateau, benue, Taraba etc.
PoliticsRe: 2023: APC Governors Gang Up Against Jonathan by MikoB: 9:35am On May 30, 2022
As it is, the only sure aspirant in the apc that will beat Atiku in the apc is Osinbajo, reason been that PYO is the only aspirant that is acceptable in all the six geo political zones in the country, you will be amazed that Osinbajo has more support in the middle belt more than any support he enjoys in his region of South West, also the work he has put in for many months have began to manifest, his candidate won in benue, oyo and adamawa for the governorship to the surprise of many, but for people that follow him were not surprised anyway. As for the primary coming up, Osinbajo is going to win, because the party knows he is the only that can guarantee victory, let me talk a little bit about other aspirants, and their weaknesses, Asiwaju no doubt is a big politician any day any time, but he miscalculated, he was hoping on southern candidates for both apc and pdp base on the clamour at that time, so he did not bother himself to allign much with the SS and SE also with the Christian communities of the Middle belt, his calculation was that once pdp gives her ticket to either a ss or se person, he will surely have an upper hand in his region of sw and also do very well in the nw and ne, which normally would have guaranteed victory for him but with Atiku as the pdp candidate now, Tinubu wil need new strategy.

Ahmed lawan candidacy wil not fly, because Buhari is about to finish his two term regime under apc, it is impossible for apc to give another northerner her ticket, also Lawan cannot defeat Atiku, one, because they are from the same region of NE and everyone knows Atiku is stronger than him in the NE, Atiku and Kwankwaso will do very well too in the NW, the NC wil be divided among the aspirants, so coming to the south, he will not do well at all no matter whom he picks as his running mate, I trust the south westerners they will not vote for him, the south east has Obi and the south south will be shared depending on whom Atiku picks as his running mate, so lawan will not fly.

Amaechi is another candidate that might do well if given the ticket but his problem is that he has no political base at home and his region, but if he has the support of the president he might be able to put up some fight, but that does not guarantee a victory against Atiku.

with due respect to all other aspirants I did not mention their names, even if Buhari endorses them and they pick up the ticket for the apc, they will not be able to defeat Atiku.

Osinbajo is the only candidate, that will win very well in SW, and also likely win the SS and not do badly in the SE, he will win in the North Central, he will not do badly in the North East because of some Christian population there, he will not do badly in the North West because apc controls most states there and also because if Buhari, so in all, Osinbajo will likely win 4 regions, either will like it or not, religion and ethinicty still play a big part in our politics in nigeria, and I guess these are going to be of advantage to Osinbajo, no wonder he is a movement in the cbhtistain dominated states of plateau, benue, Taraba etc.
PoliticsRe: Jonathan’s Consensus Candidacy And Tinubu’s Popularity Tops APC Agenda by MikoB: 9:33am On May 30, 2022
As it is, the only sure aspirant in the apc that will beat Atiku in the apc is Osinbajo, reason been that PYO is the only aspirant that is acceptable in all the six geo political zones in the country, you will be amazed that Osinbajo has more support in the middle belt more than any support he enjoys in his region of South West, also the work he has put in for many months have began to manifest, his candidate won in benue, oyo and adamawa for the governorship to the surprise of many, but people that follow him were not surprised anyway. As for the primary coming up, Osinbajo is going to win, because the party knows he is the only that can guarantee victory, let me talk a little bit about other aspirants, and their weaknesses, Asiwaju no doubt is a big politician any day any time, but he miscalculated, he was hoping on southern candidates for both apc and pdp base on the clamour at that time, so he did not bother himself to allign much with the SS and SE also with the Christian communities of the Middle belt, his calculation was that once pdp gives her ticket to either a ss or se person, he will surely have an upper hand in his region of sw and also do very well in the nw and ne, which normally would have guaranteed victory for him but with Atiku as the pdp candidate now, Tinubu wil need new strategy.

Ahmed lawan candidacy wil not fly, because Buhari is about to finish his two term regime under apc, it is impossible for apc to give another northerner her ticket, also Lawan cannot defeat Atiku, one, because they are from the same region of NE and everyone knows Atiku is stronger than him in the NE, Atiku and Kwankwaso will do very well too in the NW, the NC wil be divided among the aspirants, so coming to the south, he will not do well at all no matter whom he picks as his running mate, I trust the south westerners they will not vote for him, the south east has Obi and the south south will be shared depending on whom Atiku picks as his running mate, so lawan will not fly.

Amaechi is another candidate that might do well if given the ticket but his problem is that he has no political base at home and his region, but if he has the support of the president he might be able to put up some fight, but that does not guarantee a victory against Atiku.

with due respect to all other aspirants I did not mention their names, even if Buhari endorses them and they pick up the ticket for the apc, they will not be able to defeat Atiku.

Osinbajo is the only candidate, that will win very well in SW, and also likely win the SS and not do badly in the SE, he will win in the North Central, he will not do badly in the North East because of some Christian population there, he will not do badly in the North West because apc controls most states there and also because if Buhari, so in all, Osinbajo will likely win 4 regions, either will like it or not, religion and ethinicty still play a big part in our politics in nigeria, and I guess these are going to be of advantage to Osinbajo, no wonder he is a movement in the cbhtistain dominated states of plateau, benue, Taraba etc.
PoliticsRe: Why Osinbajo Is The Best Bet For Apc. by MikoB(op): 9:01am On May 30, 2022
Melvin56:
You are rooting for him not all Nigerians even buhari would've endorsed him long time ago if he believed in him or was he not loyal to buhari
Who told you that Buhari is not supporting him?
PoliticsRe: Why Osinbajo Is The Best Bet For Apc. by MikoB(op): 8:50am On May 30, 2022
Melvin56:
Osibanjo has been the president for the past 8yrs even when you think that it's buhari
He's part of buhari administration who messed this country

He has nothing to offer Nigerians because he has exhausted all his options and things ain't working yet

PDP and APC should rest let another leader come from a different party irrespective of the tribe,someone who's ready to serve and not after the nations treasury
But will you start the revolution? Its easier said than done, politics involves so many factors, moreover the only time Osinbajo was fully in charge, there were testimonies to the facts that he performed well,that is why so many Nigerians are rooting fo him.
PoliticsRe: Why Osinbajo Is The Best Bet For Apc. by MikoB(op): 8:39am On May 30, 2022
PrinceOfLagos:
Osibanjo will not be president
You guys started with Amaechi, Onu, Nwajugba, even Jonathan, anytime I see those names I will just laugh because I know most of you don't really know much about politics you are just blindfolded with emotions, as it is the only region that will produce the apc's candidate in the south is the south west.
PoliticsWhy Osinbajo Is The Best Bet For Apc. by MikoB(op):
As it is, the only sure aspirant in the apc that will beat Atiku in the apc is Osinbajo, reason been that PYO is the only aspirant that is acceptable in all the six geo political zones in the country, you will be amazed that Osinbajo has more support in the middle belt more than any support he enjoys in his region of South West, also the work he has put in for many months have began to manifest, his candidate won in benue, oyo and adamawa for the governorship to the surprise of many, but for those that follow him were not surprised anyway. As for the primary coming up, Osinbajo is going to win, because the party knows he is the only candidate that can guarantee victory, let me talk a little bit about other aspirants, and their weaknesses, Asiwaju no doubt is a big politician any day any time, but he miscalculated, he was hoping on southern candidates for both apc and pdp base on the clamour at that time, so he did not bother himself to allign much with the SS and SE also with the Christian communities of the Middle belt, his calculation was that once pdp gives her ticket to either a ss or se person, he will surely have an upper hand in his region of sw and also do very well in the nw and ne, which normally would have guaranteed victory for him but with Atiku as the pdp candidate now, Tinubu wil need new strategy.

Ahmed lawan candidacy wil not fly, because Buhari is about to finish his two term regime under apc, it is impossible for apc to give another northerner her ticket, also Lawan cannot defeat Atiku, one, because they are from the same region of NE and everyone knows Atiku is stronger than him in the NE, Atiku and Kwankwaso will do very well too in the NW, the NC wil be divided among the aspirants, so coming to the south, he will not do well at all no matter whom he picks as his running mate, I trust the south westerners they will not vote for him, the south east has Obi and the south south will be shared depending on whom Atiku picks as his running mate, so lawan will not fly.

Amaechi is another candidate that might do well if given the ticket but his problem is that he has no political base at home and his region, but if he has the support of the president he might be able to put up some fight, but that does not guarantee a victory against Atiku.

with due respect to all other aspirants I did not mention their names, even if Buhari endorses them and they pick up the ticket for the apc, they will not be able to defeat Atiku.

Osinbajo is the only candidate, that will win very well in SW, and also likely win the SS and not do badly in the SE, he will win in the North Central, he will not do badly in the North East because of some Christian population there, he will not do badly in the North West because apc controls most states there and also because of Buhari, so in all, Osinbajo will likely win 4 regions, either will like it or not, religion and ethinicty still play a big part in our politics in nigeria, and I guess these are going to be of advantage to Osinbajo, no wonder he is a movement in the christain dominated states of plateau, benue, Taraba etc.
PoliticsRe: 2023: APC Chieftains Finger Osinbajo As Party’s Best Bet by MikoB:
As it is, the only sure aspirant in the apc that will beat Atiku in the apc is Osinbajo, reason been that PYO is the only aspirant that is acceptable in all the six gro political zones in the country, you will be amazed that Osinbajo has more support in the middle belt more than any support he enjoys in his region of South West, also the work he has put in for many months have began to manifest, his candidate won in benue, oyo and adamawa for the governorship to the surprise of many, we that follow him were not surprised anyway. As for the primary coming up, Osinbajo is going to win, because the party knows he is the only that can guarantee victory, let me talk a little bit about other aspirants, and their weaknesses, Asiwaju no doubt is a big politician any day any time, but he miscalculated, he was hoping on southern candidates for both apc and pdp base on the clamour at that time, so he did not bother himself to allign much with the SS and SE also with the Christian communities of the Middle belt, his calculation was that once pdp gives her ticket to either a ss or se person, he will surely have an upper hand in his region of sw and also do very well in the nw and ne, which normally would have guaranteed victory for him but with Atiku as the pdp candidate now, Tinubu wil need new strategy.

Ahmed lawan candidacy wil not fly, because Buhari is about to finish his two term regime under apc, it is impossible for apc to give another northerner her ticket, also Lawan cannot defeat Atiku, one, because they are from the same region of NE and everyone knows Atiku is stronger than him in the NE, Atiku and Kwankwaso will do very well too in the NW, the NC wil be divided among the aspirants, so coming to the south, he will not do well at all no matter whom he picks as his running mate, I trust the south westerners they will not vote for him, the south east has Obi and the south south will be shared depending on whom Atiku picks as his running mate, so lawan will not fly.

Amaechi is another candidate that might do well if given the ticket but his problem is that he has no political base at home and his region, but if he has the support of the president he might be able to put up some fight, but that does not guarantee a victory against Atiku.

with due respect to all other aspirants I did not mention their names, even if Buhari endorses them and they pick up the ticket for the apc, they will not be able to defeat Atiku.

Osinbajo is the only candidate, that will win very well in SW, and also likely win the SS and not do badly in the SE, he will win in the North Central, he will not do badly in the North East because of some Christian population there, he will not do badly in the North West because apc controls most states there and also because if Buhari, so in all, Osinbajo will likely win 4 regions, either will like it or not, religion and ethinicty still play a big part in our politics in nigeria, and I guess these are going to be of advantage to Osinbajo, no wonder he is a movement in the cbhtistain dominated states of plateau, benue, Taraba etc.
PoliticsRe: Northerners Mention The Only Candidate In APC That Can Defeat Atiku by MikoB: 9:03pm On May 29, 2022
Of course is a sure bet. Osinbajo!
PoliticsRe: Possible Permutations Of Leading Presidential Candidates For The 2023 Election by MikoB: 6:41pm On May 29, 2022
chrisooblog:
Hi everyone good afternoon. Candidates for the major political parties have started emerging with the PDP choosing Atiku Abubakar being chosen again as its presidential flag bearer. Next year's election looks like it's going to be one of those unpredictable contests.

I will attempt to do an analysis of the likely voting patterns for next year and give an educated guess as to how the presidential elections will turn out. My analysis is obviously subjective based on my reading of current political permutations and results of past elections.

I will be restricting myself to the candidates aspirants of the main political parties and the most promising 3rd force candidate.

I will start with the APC. Since they haven't done their primaries yet I will analyse the chances of the 4 top candidates Yemi Osinbajo, Bola Ahmed Tinubu, Rotimi Ameachi and Goodluck Jonathan (should they inexplicably choose the former president).

PYO

I expect the VP to deliver block votes from the SW. The SS, NC and NE will be keenly fought battle ground regions but I think he has advantage based on sentiments that the presidency should shift back to the south and the fact that he's a Christian should help with voters in the NC and parts of the NE. For the NW PYO doesn't have the structure to carry the region so will have to rely on political juggernauts in the zone. An El-Rufai as VP candidate would help greatly with Kaduna while PMB influence should help with Katsina. Other states in the region will be keenly fought for however the fact that APC governors in charge of most of the states are also seeking re-election would mean that would work in PYO's favor of getting some significant votes in the area. SE won't be easy due to the IPOB matter, strength of the PDP in the region plus Peter Obi presidential run, but who knows maybe a combination of Ebonyi, Imo and possible Anambra votes could help PYO snatch a surprise win in the region however I won't hold my breath.

Verdict: Osinbajo has a very good path to victory. He would win the SW and SS regions very well. NC will be close but he will also win there. He will most likely not carry the NW zone but will get significant votes. I think he will also win NE (just!). For SE a combination of the Peter Obi factor, IPOB hostilities meaning low voter turn and political structure of the PDP in the SE will make it hard for PYO to win here but won't have much affecting a likely Osinbajo victory in the elections.

BAT

Tinubu will also carry the SW without much sweat although I expect some sorosoke crew and peter obi fans to reduce his margin of victory in Lagos. SS will be tough but the Jagaban has many allies in that region who could help secure victory plus sentiments of the turn of a southern presidency should play in his favor. I think NW is a region BAT could realistically win too. He will match Atiku in mobilizing the political structures in those areas plus him being a muslim should also help in his favor. NE is also winnable but he will struggle in significant Christian communities in this region because identity politics is really strong here. Despite these difficulties he will still shade it in the NE. NC is a potential weak spot due to the high number of Christians in this region. A VP candidate could reduce the margin of defeat but it will still be a mountain too high for the Jagaban unless political gladiators in the region come through for him. SE will be difficult identify politics plus other factors mentioned in the analysis for PYO will make this region a no go area for Tinubu.

Verdict: BAT would also most likely win the elections if he chooses a Christian VP. Muslim-muslim ticket is an absolute no no. Tinubu will deliver the SW bloc though I expect Lagos to be slightly stubborn. NW and NE will be a battle but he can realistically do it. SS will also possible go to Tinubu. NC will be tough while SE is not within his reach but overall outlook is good for a BAT victory.

Rotimi Ameachi

The former Rivers state governor will have it all to do if he some how gets the APC ticket. SS should be in the bag but he shouldn't take it for granted that because he's from there he will get almost automatic support. SE similar challenges like I mentioned for the previous candidates but he could pull a surprise in this region but highly unlikely. SW due to southern presidency sentiments could realistically play in his favor but he will have to work his socks off to earn their trust. NC could also be a potential fertile zone for Ameachi. Minority factor and Christian identity could seriously boost him. NW and NE will be very hard for him to navigate except for the Christian minority areas in Kaduna, Gombe, Bauchi and Borno but even that is no guarantee. Only thing that might help is I don't think Atiku will be able to mobilize enough voters like PMB in his heyday to absolutely trounce Rotimi. Will elaborate on this when discussing Atiku later.

Verdict: Ameachi wins the presidential election but by the skin of his teeth.

GEJ

I honestly don't sincerely believe the APC will give Goodluck Jonathan the presidential ticket but should they do it will be an absolute disaster. The SW if just to register their protest will never go for GEJ plus the still strong sentiments he didn't do much for the region. SE that was his stronghold in former elections is longer in play due to the reasons I stated for other APC aspirants. SS yes will be a stronghold but not sure it will deliver block votes like before. NC could offer some hope but has he built any strong alliance with political gladiators in that area to boost his chances? Your guess is as good as mine. NW and NE will be a complete drubbing no caps.

Verdict: GEJ will lose bigly if the APC makes the ridiculous decision to field him. His presidency is still not remembered fondly by many plus the real politik of the regions that were his support base have changed drastically. I can dash him SS but I'm at a loss as to how he will win in other regions.

Now let's examine Atiku Abubakars chances

AA

The former VP president has deep pockets to mobilize PDP structures in all the regions. NW is his strongest base. The northern muslim sentiment will play in his favor. Same for NE but not too a big extent. SW is a go area for him. From the influence of Tinubu and PYO, to his former oga OBJ plus Oyo governor Makinde it will be near impossible to make headway in SW. SS southern presidency sentiments will be difficult to over come. His strongest trump card would have been Wike but I don't think the Rivers strong man would be motivated to help someone who has given him 2 back to back Ls. NC will be a battle field but I think the opposition has the stronger generals in their corner. In the SE I surprisingly think Atiku could carry this zone but the number of votes will be too insignificant because I expect Peter Obi and the APC depending on who is their candidate to wittle down whatever margin of victory in that zone.

Verdict: It will be a hard fought but narrow loss for Abubakar. As much as he will win the NW and maybe NE Atiku doesn't have the personality that can inspire fanatical supporters who will come out enmasse on election day. To beat the incumbent party you need to get millions of votes out. Yes his money might help but the kind of numbers he will need to oust the incumbent party sadly can't be bought by money. Southern presidency sentiments, identity politics and general perception as being highly corrupt will seriously hamper him. If he faces PYO, BAT and Ameachi he will lose only the margins of defeat will defer. The only hope he has is for APC to put GEJ up.

3rd force Kwakwansho and Peter Obi look to be the candidates who will fly the 3rd flag this time.

ARK

Will do well in in NW but won't win. Unknown in other regions to really make a realistic dent.

Verdict: Will most definitely not win.

Peter Obi

Has a growing fanatical voter base especially of SE origin. Not as well known outside the SE except amongst Ibo communities in other regions.

Verdict: Won't win any region but will get many votes in the SE and other commercial cities especially ones with huge Ibo populations like Lagos, Abuja, Port Harcourt.

That's my analysis guys so what do you think? Have any contrary views? Please feel free to drop your thoughts and opinions. Please this piece is meant to encourage debate and intellectual discuss. No room for abuse or insults please. Differing opinions will always be welcome

ccAndrewbaba44, Kyase, Donjazet, BlueRayDick, MikoB, GeneralDae, Larride, Seunmg, Passingshot, Omenka, Garfield1 your contributions to this topic will be highly appreciated
You are point on your analysis, with Atiku as pdp flag bearer, it will be easier for any southern apc candidate to beat him, especially Osinbajo and Amaechi, if they could have the sincere support of Buhari and other northern apc big boys.
PoliticsRe: Oyo: Senator Folarin Defeats Adelabu, Others To Win APC Governorship Ticket by MikoB: 8:41am On May 28, 2022
Jimasun:
The fact you don't know Tessy is with Osinbajo is a pointer to your political naivity
Leave them my brother
PoliticsRe: Osinbajo Wins Hearts Of Royal Fathers, Politicians, Business Leaders, & Others by MikoB: 8:53am On May 23, 2022
He is a unifier and a bridge builder, he doesn't descriminate against any region or religion, that's is why you see him comfortable in any region he visits.
PoliticsRe: Osinbajo Meets Kaduna APC Delegates Behind Closed Doors by MikoB: 7:15am On May 23, 2022
Fiscus105:
Last last bubu will decide who to be chosen one. Is that a democracy?

Every good things from oyinbo ,when it enters naija, it must be bastardised.

Naija most destructive nation on earth.
Unfortunately, you are right.
PoliticsRe: Osinbajo Meets Kaduna APC Delegates Behind Closed Doors by MikoB: 6:58am On May 23, 2022
“Prof Osinbajo is that Pastor who will take Nigeria to the promised land. A unifier, a detribalised Nigerian . He has the respect of all the governors of Nigeria across party lines. “

- El Rufai

That is the exact Statement from El Rufai on Osinbajo.

We move!
PoliticsRe: 2023: Buhari To Meet Governors, NASS Caucus, Zero In On Consensus by MikoB: 6:03am On May 23, 2022
I think the sun newspaper and vanguard are competing for the prize of the most incomprehensible and junk journalism of the year award.
PoliticsRe: 2023 Presidency: Emirs Of Zamfara, Katsina Endorse Osinbajo by MikoB: 10:49pm On May 22, 2022
When he finally wins the ticket, I hope the guys that argued with me here will be humble enough to give respect.
PoliticsRe: Buhari $ole Determinant Of APC Presidential Candidate – Zulum by MikoB: 8:44pm On May 22, 2022
This is a fact!
PoliticsRe: Bode George: Tinubu And Osibanjo Should Tell Nigerians How Alpha Bet Was Founded by MikoB: 12:01pm On May 22, 2022
The reason I don't like pdp is that the people there are notorious for stealing and also not serious to take back power, because everything is about money in pdp, not saying apc is better but at Atleast when apc was in the opposition they mounted a good opposition but this pdp people are so useless, only unfit people will take the likes of bode George, Atiku and the rest serious.
PoliticsRe: 2023: Saraki, Lawan May Emerge PDP, APC Presidential Candidates by MikoB: 11:48am On May 22, 2022
Another incomprehensible report, from naija news outlet,l. I don't know when they will improve.
PoliticsRe: 7 Days To APC Primary: North Queues Behind Lawan, Tinubu’s Men Weigh ‘Plan B’ by MikoB: 11:43am On May 22, 2022
This vanguard newspaper is notorious for spreading fake news and an incomprehensible garbage. Sane people should not take the outlet serious.
PoliticsRe: APC Aspirants May Opt For Consensus As Buhari Meets Osinbajo, Tinubu, Amaechi by MikoB: 7:59am On May 22, 2022
Sannisege:
So you agree that Osinbajo cannot win without consensus. Buhari could not win 2015 and 2019 elections without Tinubu’s support. Let us see how he plans to win 2023 with his diminished popularity.
This is not full consensus, its just going to be an endorsement from the president, and I think every politician including Asiwaju crave for this as well. Moreover, Osinbajo is the most popular aspirant in all regions as apc is concern,mind you, Osinbajo is not fighting Tinubu, you guys will understand later.
PoliticsRe: APC Presidential Primary: Osinbajo Lands In Zamfara, To Meet APC Delegates by MikoB: 7:32am On May 22, 2022
TheRareGem1:
He took helicopter to Zamfara. The goal is to go for engagement first in Zamfara
Yeah you are right.
PoliticsRe: APC Aspirants May Opt For Consensus As Buhari Meets Osinbajo, Tinubu, Amaechi by MikoB: 6:21am On May 22, 2022
TheRareGem1:
The week is here, week PMB will let other Aspirants know PYO is the flag bearer
Don't loud it yet,we have told them many months ago but didn't believe, did you see the endorsement at katsina and zamfara from Buhari's inner caucus yesterday?

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