₦airaland Forum

Hmm,I hate violence in every form, but this time around I have nothing to say because the people supporting Labour Party have never condemned what ipob is doing in the East by killing innocent people, they said charity begins at home, I said it here before and I am saying it again that sanwo olu will win with a large margin, not because he has performed excellently well but for his major opponent who is an ipob sympathiser. Thanks

The way Labour Party is giving Sanwo olu a run for his money is very good for naija fragile democracy, I love it, because it will really bring out the best in performance, that was how advanced democracies all over the world started, when vote counts people would ultimately be with the power not politians, I believe after sometime the elective posts will become unattractive for the corrupt and greedy ones and with the power of social media and Internet I think naija can only get better, it would never get worse, and for sanwo olu he is lucky that Gbadebo is not attractive to all diverse of the yorubas, if not he would have won, so my predictions still stand sanwo olu would win with a landslide...

Atiku greediness destroyed him, in life not every opportunity is for you to grab, there are some opportunities that look good outwardly, but are destructive, pdp had the opportunity of producing the next nigeria president especially with the failure of buhari's govt, Atiku should had influenced the pdp in chosen a marketable southerner and match the person with a popular northerner and by also making sure there is no division in the party, it would have been a foregone story by now because pdp would have won easily....

Obi is a bad looser! that shows he is not going to be a good leader, a good person does not claim what does not belong to him or her.

Obi is a bad looser! that shows he is not going to be a good leader, a good person does not claim what does not belong to him or her.

Obi is a bad looser! that shows he is not going to be a good leader, a good person does not claim what does not belong to him or her....

Happy birthday my one and only prof VP.

He is just wasting his time and little money donated to him, most yoruba youths that joined ipob to vote obi in lagos had retraced their steps, the Christian community that was angered by Muslim Muslim Ticket also had no reason to continue with Labour Party, since sanwo olu himself is a Christian. I said it before that Tinubu will win, and I have also said it here that sanwo olu will win and I am confirming it here that he will win with a wide margin, not because he is an excellent governor but the Labour guy is an ipob and anything ipob must fail.

Happy birthday my amiable VP

There is always so many news during nigeria electioneering process all the time both bad and good ones, anyway Sanwo olu has no reason to panic because he will win on saturday with a landslide not for his achievement as a governor but for the unseriousness of his opponents, imagine an ipob sympathiser want to rule lagos, that is so strange! the guy should be ashamed of his past deeds...

Instead of them to safe their remaining energy for Saturday to see if they can get one or some states rather they are protesting a battle that is lost already, to say the truth Tinubu won the election but there were little hitches in two or three states, which even if counted in favour of Obi or Atiku, it will not change anything, they will still not meet up with the required 25% in at least 24 states and fct. All over the world it is normal for a party that lose an election to claim malpractices, example was the last usa presidential election where Trump claimed he was rigged out, even here in France oppositions always have a reason for their failures in the polls, Obi, Atiku lost the election not on the 25th of February but the day they decided to slug it out on the platforms of papa mana pikin and the other one under umbrella.

Sanwo olu will win lagos easily, not because he performed excellently well but because of this guy call Rhode vivour past endeavours with ipob and the rest..

Sanwo olu will win lagos easily, not because he performed excellently well but because of this guy call Rhode vivour past endeavours with ipob and the rest..

Sanwo olu will win lagos easily, not because he performed excellently well but because of this guy call Rhode vivour past endeavours with ipob and the rest..

femisplash:
Can you Osinbajo supporters now see that he would not have survived the election if he had won the APC ticket.

Who told you that? Instead Osinbajo would have won with landslide, Obi capitalised on Osinbajo's support base and don't forget he is the vice president all govt machineries will support him, let Tinubu get to work ASAP, if not I will be the first to cast him out.

The is the first time in nigeria political dispensation that a candidate that really wanted the post of the presidency got it, let see if he will not dissapoint the nation like some before him, I congratulated him on Sunday but since its official now, I am using this medium to send a big congratulations to him and wish him well. Thank u

The is the first time in nigeria political dispensation that a candidate that really wanted the post of the presidency got it, let see if he will not dissapoint the nation like some before him, I congratulated him on Sunday but since its official now, I am using this medium to send a big congratulations to him and wish him well. Thank u

Cool!

Stupid greedy people, Nigeria govt should not dere to tamper with the mandate of tinubu even though he has his own burden but democracy is democracy, he won that's what matters.

Lolz, the results that we have seen since yesterday that I even congratulated Tinubu in my post is the one these ones are crying on, anyway Dino tell Atiku that it was greed that destroyed him, how did he expect Buhari a fulani to be replaced by another fulani anyway they will have to obey Tinubu in the next four years at least.

Adamu and lawan went to every campaign ground with tinubu but lost their polling units but Osinbajo that is fondly called judas did not attend any campaign won his polling unit and state, so who is the hypocrite here?

Adamu and lawan went to every campaign ground with tinubu but lost their polling units but Osinbajo that is fondly called judas did not attend any campaign won his polling unit and state, so who is the hypocrite here?

Adamu and lawan went to every campaign ground with tinubu but lost their polling units but Osinbajo that is fondly called judas did not attend any campaign won his polling unit and state, so who is the hypocrite here?

Adamu and lawan went to every campaign ground with tinubu but lost their polling units but Osinbajo that is fondly called judas did not attend any campaign won his polling unit and state, so who is the hypocrite here?

Adamu and lawan went to every campaign ground with tinubu but lost their polling units but Osinbajo that is fondly called judas did not attend any campaign won his polling unit and state, so who is the hypocrite here?

Adamu and lawan went to every campaign ground with tinubu but lost their polling units but Osinbajo that is fondly called judas did not attend any campaign but won his polling unit and state, so who is the hypocrite here?Anyway congratulations to Asiwaju Tinubu, you fought a good fight, I know you might have learnt one or two lessons in your quest to become the president, especially lately, that should prompt you to perform very well without any descrimination, because after four years you will still have to come to the masses for another mandate. Thank you

Adamu and lawan went to every campaign ground with tinubu but lost their polling units but Osinbajo that is fondly called judas did not attend any campaign won his polling unit and state, so who is the hypocrite here?

Aboki99:
Peter Obi's supporters are cock-a-hoop about what they see as the highest chance of their hero winning Nigeria's presidency next Saturday.

Are their optimism and excitement factually/statistically justified?

Let's do the arithmetic.

PO's strongholds are the SE and the SS, two zones with the least number of votes!. Granted that PO can scavenge some votes in the SW, but it's crystal clear that Tinubu will carry the day in SW eventually.

In the north, the Obidients rely on pockets of votes from northern xtians. But are these enough? Not at all. Since 1999, the northern xtians have never voted along the same line as the Muslim core North. For example they have never voted for Buhari. Yet, in 2014 and 2019 Buhari was able to win signifying the political insignificance of this voting bloc to a candidate that can garner votes in the core north and other parts (Tinubu?). Similarly, PMB was able to win elections without the votes of the SE and SS in both 2014 and 2019, which also trivializes the importance of these two Obi's main strongholds in determining the ultimate presidential winner.

So, for Obi to win the presidential election, he would, as a matter of necessity, need votes from Muslim voters in the north. But does he look set to get it? The truthful but bitter answer for Obidients to accept is No with a capital N. Problem is, the Obidients want to market Obi in the day as a pan-Nigerian candidate but brandish the news of Obi's endorsement by popular pastors/Churches whose altars Obi has turned to campaign platforms. This, rightly so, confuses the average northern Muslim voter and makes them pause to ask some legitimate questions[ Imagine Buhari going to the mosques to campaigns in 2014 or even 2019, what with the reaction be like from voters in say the SE?)

Not even the votes in Plateau and Benue, two states Obidients have also placed high, convoluted hope on can do anything to offset the bloc northern muslim votes. Here, the Obidients will conveniently bring up the issue of Kwankwaso who, as they argue passionately, will magically divide these votes for them to conquer and win the race. In making this highfalutin assumptions, the Obidients forget two crucial facts: 1) the muslim northern voters are never known, throughout Nigeria's political history, to cultivate the habit of wasting their votes. The average northern voter might not have gone to school but they're the most sophisticated; 2) Despite pulling some intimidating crowds in a couple of states esp in the nroth, the truth is Kano is Kwankwaso's main sphere of influence. Even there, I can't bet a penny that he'll win a simple majority for reasons adumbrated above.

Now, my only concern is what the reaction of the Obidients will be when the bubble of their alternative reality finally bursts. I hope they'll peacefully pick up the pieces, lick their wounds, move on and say "better luck next time".

Personally, I do not see any credible candidate worthy of my votes among the current pack of wolfs, but I know for sure that this 2023 election is a contest between Tinubu and Atiku. Yet, while I know this for a fact, I also have to admit that the outcome of this contest is highly unpredictable. Tinubu has 22 APC governors behind his back, huge war chest, media control and so on. Atiku has the support of some powerful members of PMB's kitchen cabinet, considerable war chest, and some current public angst to latch onto.

If you press me hard to rate the chances of the major contenders, I'll come up with something like these:
1. Tinubu 35%
2. Atiku 34
3. Obi 20%
4. Kwankwaso 9%

May God choose the best candidate for us.

Your analysis is very much on point, keep it up!

Atiku has realised the policy the yeye cabal designed to stop Tinubu has boomeranged, so he is trying to change the narrative to suit his ambition, since the northern apc governors have began to tell voters that Tinubu will not discard the old notes in their possession if elected and is working, Buhari and his people should just forget it, it is too late to stop Tinubu by now, he had the opportunity to stop him during the primary but he failed.

Hmmm, Buhari does not know that when the country will burn it will start from his northern region, I have never seen a clueless man like Buhari before in my life, all these moves wouldn't have been necessary if he had done the right thing during the presidential primary, even in the western world, I have never seen a leader that does have a preferred candidate to succeed him or her, now that Tinubu is robbing it in his face that explains the hasty decisions lately, but guess what, it is too late....

Hmmm, Buhari does not know that when the country will burn it will start from his northern region, I have never seen a clueless man like Buhari before in my life, all these moves wouldn't have been necessary if he had done the right thing during the presidential primary, even in the western world, I have never seen a leader that does have a preferred candidate to succeed him or her, now that Tinubu is robbing it in his face that explains the hasty decisions lately, but guess what, it is too late....

Hmmm, Buhari does not know that when the country will burn it will start from his northern region, I have never seen a clueless man like Buhari before in my life, all these moves wouldn't have been necessary if he had done the right thing during the presidential primary, even in the western world, I have never seen a leader that does have a preferred candidate to succeed him or her, now that Tinubu is robbing it in his face that explains the hasty decisions lately, but guess what, it is too late....