Whao! This is the best analysis of the Ekiti election have seen so far. You will know that indeed, this guy is on ground and understand Ekiti politics in and out.


What are the issues?

What are the factors that characterized the election?

Enjoy.

Lemme first of all state here that my name is Asiwaju Oladimeji, from Usi-Ekiti. I am from Ajana family.

I schooled at University of Ado-Ekiti.

Worked in Ado Ekiti

Married in Ado Ekiti.

I witnessed Fayose-Oni-Fayemi-Fayose administrations.

So, i am rooted here.

Again, i studied political science and i have been involved with 4 Elections in Ekiti: 2011, 2014, 2015, 2018 as either INEC's ad hoc staff or observer.

So, i am at a vantage position of analysing voting behaviour/pattern of Ekiti people.

Again, cos i worked with National Population commission in Ekiti state and with my vast experience as a field officer, i have traveled round most of the villages and towns across the 3 senatorial districts.

So, omo una kan o le wa ma pa iro mo wa l'ori.. Hell No.

It is important to draw our attention back to 2014 especially on PDP primary which produced Fayose then.

Yes, it was on record that Prince Dayo Adeyeye stepped down for Fayose. But an insider told me that Fayose never committed himself of supporting Adeyeye in 2018.

However, i was informed that Dayo Adeyeye was of the opinion that he will get Fayose's support in 2018. Moreover, Fayose himself declared that once his tenure is over, he is going away with his Deputy.

Why did Fayose then changed his mind three years after that statement?

The choice of Eleka by Fayose was the beginning of PDP defeat on Saturday.

After PDP primary, Eleka emerged via Fayose's structures. Dayo Adeyeye left for APC. He did not just leave. He left with some bigwigs.

Owoseni (Ise)
Gbosa (Ikere)
Etc.

Again, because of Fayose's arrogance and 'one-man mopol' style of governance, most of his financiers and supporters who felt aggrieved immediately he became the governor distanced themselves and later left for APC.
Cyril Fasuyi from Ido wws another big factor.

All of a sudden, emperor Fayose become a god to himself. He shut down every opposition within PDP. He is the alpha and omega. He singlehandedly selected all the HoA members without conceding some to other members.

Fayose appoints all the Commissioners, SAs. In fact, there were rumour that he even reduced the number of Eleka's (Deputy Governor) convoy. Slashed his security vote. Fayose was another Pharaoh

Fayose turned Ekiti House of Assembly to another laughing stock. How i wish some of u have an idea of those we called Honourables in Ekiti.

One is called Paso Osoko. The guy does not even know what is a "bill"

One is Olasca from Ido. That one nah Fuji musician.

Iya je wa oo.

There were rumours that those HoA members paid Fayose certain percentage.

Attempt to do something similar with Senator Raji Rasaki (Central) and Senator Olujimi (South) was met with stiffed opposition.

Because of Fayose's greediness, he lost Olujimi. Senator Olujimi became an outsider even as a PDP member. Most of her followers waited patiently for July 14.

Again, Senator Raji Rasaki could not work with Emperor Fayose.

In fact, Senator Raji Rasaki was more of APC than PDP. Though she later decamped officially.

Thus, in just 3.5years, Emperor Fayose had lost

Prince Dayo Adeyeye
Senator Olujimi
Senator Raji Rasaki
Barrister Owoseeni (His former attorney)

Lemme also remind u that Emperor Fayose because of his dictatorial character, singlehandedly selected Deji Ogunsakin as Eleka's running mate.

Sir/Ma, that decision did not go down well with most PDP members. E.g. Tosin Aluko became aggrieved in Ado.

I met some of Tosin Aluko's supporters after that decision. They were so angry. They felt rejected. If u go to their base around "Orita Blessing", u can feel their anger.

They will tell u "who is Deji"?

For those of u who do not know who is Tosin Aluko? Go to Ado and u will know how popular she is.

Yes, she did not decamp but her body language speaks volume. Her supporters got her message loud and clear.

Invariably, Emperor Fayose and PDP went into this election with a depleted and torn umbrella. But because he knows how to mobilize for rally, some of u thought he was that same Fayose of 2014.

Ba ba nla scam.

Lemme quickly state here that the choice of Baba Bisi Egbeyemi as APC Deputy Governor was strategic. Baba is from Ado. Immediately Baba accepted that offer, some important PDP members left for APC straight away. I know of Hon Adeleye Adebayo.

Immediately, Emperor Fayose lost Senator Raji Rasaki (Ado), Tosin Aluko (Ado) and the emergence of Baba Egbeyemi as APC DG, some of us knew Ado votes will be keenly contested. The result from Ado vindicated us.

Immediately Emperor Fayose lost Prince Dayo Adeyeye and Barrister Owoseeni, some of us knew Ise/Orun LG will be difficult for PDP to win.

Ise Ekiti people simply came out and carried out a protest votes against Fayose for denying their son twice: 2014/2018.

Emperor Fayose's calculation was to use Emure LG votes to negate that of Ise/Orun. Sadly, Adeyeye penetrated that axis and APC narrowly lost with just 100votes.

Adeyeye was a GAME CHANGER.

Now, why did Eleka who hailed from Ikere performed badly even though PDP won in Ikere.

Lemme explain.

After Ado, if i am not wrong, Ikere has the next voting population. Ordinarily, if any candidate win Ikere/Ado with huge margin, trust me u can win Ekiti election.

Hon Gbosa from Ikere followed his godfather (Dayo Adeyeye) to APC. That was the first major problem of Eleka in Ikere.

Dont forget, Eleka is not a politician. In fact, he is not even popular in Ikere if not because he was made the DG.

Gbosa is another strong grass root politician in Ikere with the likes of Hon Afuye.

They were ready to spoil the votes in Ikere for APC. But that was not the major factor of Eleka's poor performance in Ikere.

It was the issue of Olukere vs Fayose tussle.

Historically, Ikere Ekiti has two kings namely, Ogoga and Olukere. I was informed (not certain) that the Olukere side has more population than Ogoga.

Fayose had issues with Olukere and at a point Emperor Fayose locked the king inside prison for 54days.

You locked a whole king up, what a taboo.

That was Eleka's problem in Ikere. Eleka too during this period was silent. Your king was dehumanized yet u keep quiet. Who does that pls?

When Olukere was eventually released, some of u need to see how he was welcomed back. U need to see the crowd. Well, the King promised to answer Emperor Fayose at the right time. So, the Olukere and his people waited till July 14 and play their own game.

So, APC lost Ado with small margin and even performed excellently in Ikere beyond expectations.

What do u expect, the game was over.

Again, another strategic man for APC was BAFEM. In fact, immediately Fayemi won APC primary election, he had to quickly woo BAFEM. The man is just another FAYOSE.

BAFEM is from Omuo Ekiti. The rest was history.

Lemme quickly add here that though Senator Olujimi (South) from Omuo Ekiti though still in PDP could not deliver because most of her supporters felt aggrieved especially with the way Emperor Fayose treated her.

Then Ido-Osi. My local govt. In fact, i can't remember the last time progressive won Ido Osi LG.

Emperor Fayose lost a key figure there. Cyril Fasuyi. My brother and sister, that was all. Couple with how Fayose betrayed Baba Adeniran (Orin), Ido-Osi was lost 4 d 1st time.

The bottom line is that, Fayose had created more enemies for himself. Enemies who had at one point in time were his foot soldiers across the 16 LGs. Enemies who fought for his victory in 2014. He lost all of them cos of HIS GREEDINESS and thirst for POWER.

He lost all those structures he worked with 4years ago. He pushed them outside the umbrella and the broom family welcomed them.

Is politics not LOCAL?

From Ayo Arise in Oye
Dayo Adeyeye Ise
BAFEM Omuo
Cyril Ido
And hosts of others, Fayose became an isolated child.

He was fooling himself.. Thinking he has all the structures across the 16 LGs. He was a FOOL.

Lemme quickly add this. Emperor Fayose, during the two LG elections in the state, singlehandedly selected all thr chairmen and Councilors including all the supervisors.

You dare not challenge his authority.

What baffled me most was how Fayose treated all these LG chairmen. In fact, some of them even regretted it. Yes. I am not exaggerating here. Some of them could not even boast of doing anything meaningful for themselves.

No single LG chairman can spend 500k on project. Won ti bi e da. U will have to take it to Oke Ayaba and consult Emperor Fayose. His verdict is final.

See, all these factors got some people angry and the were waiting for July 14 to pay back.

Should we talk about how Emperor Fayose lost the Ekiti state civil servants? Those that normally would die for him anytime any day?

In fact, they were patient with him. But at a point, they were tired of his gimmicks and lies on EKTV

Few days to the election, some of them who are ardent followers of Osoko, started asking questions. Fundamental questions. Questions that Emperor Fayose could not answer. He had run out of lies. The last one was the delay in FAAC.

Sadly, workers' votes had been divided. He could not secure their bloc votes. He wanted to play on the teachers but it was late also.

LG 9months salaries
Teachers 7months
EKSU 3months
State workers 6months

They could not STOMACH the INFRASTRUCTURE again.

APC was ready to exploit that on the day of election. I will explain that later

After losing his foot soldiers, Emperor Fayose could not again secure the workers' bloc votes.

Pensioners could not give him their bloc votes.

Old citizens who were enjoying 5k from JKF 4yrs ago which Fayose stopped could not give him their bloc votes.

Game over.

Emperor Fayose levelled what he called child tax. For every child in private school, a parent will pay between 500-1000 naira.

Meat sellers tax was increased. At a point, they went on strike in Ekiti. For one cow, u pay 1k. Imagine how many cows they kill everyday.

Those tippers association also went on strike. He increases tax on them. Same thing goes to those selling woods. All these anti-human policies became subject of discussion during the campaign. But Miz Cazorla in Abia wont know this.

Running out of idea, Emperor Fayose wanted to employ, 2000 people barely 2weeeks to the election.

The application form does not even has a column showing which position u are applying form.

Rather the form has column for PVC, Ward, Polling unit etc.

What kind of madness is that.

He sent the applicants 1,500 each to come to his rally so as to deceive the likes of Atiku that he has the state lock down.

And my SE brothers fell for it. Sad.

A day to election, Emperor Fayose insulted Ekiti workers by crediting their accounts with 3k each calling it EKSG Stipends. That was an insult. A great one. Folks that u are owing 5-9 month salaries?

So, what do u expect on the day of election. You have an emperor who has lost his structures, lost the civil servants, lost the pensioners, lost the old citizens that were getting 5k before but can barely eat now.

Pls, what do u guys expect?

Eve to the election, emperor Fayose apart from the 3k that were sent to all the civil servants, his foot soldiers started sharing 4k each to any voter. Moving from one house to another. Collating names and their data.

4k each. Yet the idiot could not pay salary.

APC responded on Saturday by sharing their own 5k. In some hot spots like Ikere, i learnt it was 5-10k.
So, both parties shared money.

Was that the defining factor?

Hell No.

People were hungry. People collected part of their stolen money from both parties.

Then, they decided to vote for whoever they want.

Am i justifying financial inducement during election? No.

But don't let us treat this issue of inducement in isolation. Something led to it.

Lemme rest for now. Battery is 20%

Thanks.

By the time i am back, i will discuss the role Igbira's bloc votes in Ekiti and how Yahya Bello's influence was also strategic.

I dey come.

I am back now. Let wrap this up.

At least, since 2003, i know that the Igbiras mostly from Kogi always support Fayose during election. And if there is any place u need to manipulate election in Ekiti, u have to go to those farm settlements populated by Igbiras

So, APC job was well cut out. Make sure that Fayose does not have his way this time around in those settlements. Thus the need to bring Yahya Bello from Kogi was not only timely but strategic. Bello ensures that the Igbiras bloc votes go to APC

And yes, from what i experienced on the field on Saturday, Yahya Bello delivered.

Again, emperor Fayose lost out.

Lemme quickly express how emperor Fayose lost in Ikogosi and his axis. This is very key for me because it has to do with folks losing their jobs because of Fayose's inability to understand what governance is all about.

Now, Ikogosi is a town in Ekiti state. It is a tourist attraction site where cold/warm water met. The place had not witnessed any meaningful development until JKF came to power in 2010.

The town is like a ghost town before the emergence of JKF in 2010.

However, the town witnessed a new life when JKF invested on Ikogosi project. New hotel was built. Actors/Actresses started visiting the place.

I even learnt (not sure) that some movies were shot there. Then we had gossy water. UAC was part of those stakeholders that invested in that Gossy water.

Boom. U can imagine the economic activities that greeted those towns around Ikogosi. Jobs were created.

Even most of their Youth who are okada riders started making money. U can imagine number of visitors that visit Ikogosi during Xmas, Easter or any festive period.

My brothers and sisters, after emperor Fayose took over, that place is now DEAD.

I mean DEAD. Gossy water no longer function. The resort center is nothing to write home about. Instead of visitors trooping in.. What u see is goats sleeping on the main roads that leads to Ikogosi.

Those villagers waited till July 14 and do the needful

How will emperor Fayose secured Farmers' votes in Ekiti. Lemme inform u guys that the Ministry of Agriculture has just one tractor that is functioning. In his 3.5 yrs, Fayose did not empower one single farmer.

Yes, u heard me LOUD and CLEAR.

All the tractors that were working at the LGs are almost dead. Emperor Fayose has no interest in Agriculture. He prefers the bridge. The conduit pipe for his stolen money. As God liveth, he will cough out our money.

As farmers, we begged him to approach FG for CBN-Anchor. But hell No. Farmers cant get fertilizers at subsidized rate like some other states. Farmers do go to Osun, Kwara, Ondo, Kogi to hire tractors

Pls how do u convince them to vote for u.

How many of u are aware that Emperor Fayose in his 3.5yrs is yet to renovate up to 5schools or hospitals in Ekiti. Some of u need to even visit all the General hospitals across the 16 LGs.

He just doesn't care.

How many of u are aware that some Ekiti people lost their jobs because of how his anti-investors policies pushed Coca-Cola out of Ekiti. Same with GTB. We initially even lost Eco Bank.

Here is my conclusion, PDP did not lose this election on July 14. They did not lose cos of 5k because they also shared 4k.

They lost the moment one ARROGANT, SELFISH, GREEDY and TYRANT man made the election about himself.

He is called AYODELE FAYOSE PETER THE ROCK

END

blazer2018:
Effort in futility...

Now i am beginning to realise why Fayose and goons are fighting frantically to discredit d just concluded Ekiti polls...He is trying to remain relevant in the PDP...who respects a loser anyways? Someone who even declared his Presidential ambition o...

After bragging that he would deliver the entire SW to PDP... and he still could't manage to deliver his own LG...it's obvious he's fighting the fight of his life...his political relevance might just go under d water if he loses dis lost battle.

Best of luck to him and his bingo at d tribunal and the various courts...but he should know that the wives of Peter Odili and Wike won't be able to win him back Ekiti, if that is his his plans.

His political relevance will go into oblivion like Mimiko of Ondo state.

Lozano:

It was wrong when Fayose did it and it is still wrong now. Two wrongs don't make a right. If we continue with this mentality of "after all the other person also did it" then when do you expect us to start getting things right?
And BTW you're the one who's an iPod man not me

Let me curse you in my native language maybe with that one u will be able to discern where I am from. Going back to our discussion. FAYEMI will be a fool if he doesn't revenge now that he has opportunity by stopping Fayose puppet at all cost all in the name of fake continuity. Believe me if Fayose didn't teargas or treat FAYEMI badly in 2014 he would still have won. Since he disrespected the sitting governor then and the same treatment is meted to him it is 50-50. In 2014, PDP closed Akure airport, did APC do the same? NO. To be honest I still wish Ameachi will take revenge on Wike. Those useless PDP guys. FYI I am from Ekiti state. I will never reason like online miscreants like the Igbos.

Lozano:
This is wrong, this completely wrong. Nobody should applaud this act of impunity by security agents. This country is just a total mess

Did you say this in 2014 when the same treatment was meted out to Fayemi the sittING governor then? The whole world saw how he was treated then. So why are you crying more than the bereaved here ipod man?

Dammiesugar:
This life is funny! me that I can cook any kind of delicacy, never a dull moment with me, working with side hustle sef, no man to say I want meet your family�� Anyway uncle open your mind to her and if she’s not willing to change then let her go.

After reading your comment, I was forced to check out your pic if you taste nice, you ain't bad anyway. Do you mind if I get to know more of you?

LexngtonSteele:
Buhari is not too smart.

Tinubu warned him then about the danger of Saraki, PMB was forming Machiavelli.

To miss a chance of "selecting" Senate President and House of Speaker seats is a testament to being outplayed.

Now, with the Supreme Court judgment, watch the imminent defection of Saraki and Dogara.

I supported PMB in 2015, but he has gotten a F9 parallel : Economy, Security, Anticorruption...even selecting good Cabinet, he failed.

Just a pity that with the opposition still not united, he would likely win in 2019

You are right. Tinubu saw all these coming. If Buhari had acted on time, all these mess wouldn't be happening.

I wish the youth he advised could read this interesting piece.

I experienced #9 about 2months ago.

upower123:
if na true that is the end of his career.....

What do you know? People that are more learned sport-wise said more than this when he left England. The trophies and awards he won after speak volume. CR7 career can't be dead except he has injury. Don't rush to comment next time if u are clueless about somebody like him.

MIPNIG:

Read it but the interviewed man is a confusionist. No coherence and somewhat desperate to cast Buhari in a bad light.

If this is the best the opposing forces can offer to remove Buhari then they are all jokers.

“My spiritualist this and that and document at my disposal”. No logic no flow.

Kindigbe might be a bad man and or a very intelligent man but this man is giving him more credit than he deserves.

Thought it's only me that noticed the incoherent interview.

iammo:


I expect you to go blank, now that you have nothing meaningful to say, be quiet and respects others hustle and form of entertainment

I understand mediocre Like you, silly things interest you.

Ever8054:
I opened a girls legs like that on Friday night after which I couldn't sleep,.in her sleep she polluted all the night...i keep hearing ,..puuuuunnnn,,fuuuuuuuu,...patpattaaaaa...what could be the course?....

See your life outside? I am sure u know why people were saying Banking and Finance is the course. Sorry Bro. I am sure u meant CAUSE not course like u stated there. English sef!

iammo:
.


Nigerians and been hypocrites, how has FIFA World Cup educated you

What do you know kid? If you are a football or any sport fan you won't ask me such silly question.

alen4smith:
pdp will betray Atiku Markafi will get the ticket go and write it down.wike is interested in 2023 presidential elections an Atiku presidency will most probably kill his dreams .Remember Wike is pdp and pdp is wike just watch out!

You are wrong Wike is trying to work for GEJ underground.

If I curse the OP that posted this shit and the Mod that brought this to fp, they will ban me again. No freedom of expression on NL anymore. I don't really understand why meaningless and uneducative post make fp often.

expert234:
In other words, if the fine person you're dating is cheating on you, please let her cheat in peace o, because she is fine.

That's just the meaning of her senseless post! That comment is a free way to cheating!

mimimile93:
What if she puts juju in that food she's cooking for you?

Since I was born I have never eaten any food cooked by my girlfriend..
I don't trust beings who can't close their legs while urinating..

I am with you on this!

Useless Saraki are u not one of the politicians that provide fire arms for this killers?

davillian:

Yeah I have she calls or text me if she doesn't hear from me for a while.
If she missed my calls she calls back or text back.
She told me I'm special and a rare kind of guy about 3 months ago.
Each time I remind her of what I feel for her she tells me she is not ready to go into any serious relationship for now.
Good things don't come easy but I will try not to give up too early.
Thanks for your concern I will mention you when ever she accepts .

Nice one buddie! Good luck to you! Start saving up for marriage o! Lolzzz

TheTrueSeeker:
How big will such a wallet be to tempt a wealthy and industrious man like Atiku? He pays salaries of millionaires so no, not him....!!!

OBJ is too old to want to be humiliated as a common thief so not him as well...!!!

PMB may be too shy or not too smart to calculate how to steal but may likely hire a thief to do it for him while he pretends...!!!

See analysis!

Hello all here is a simple test for everyone of us. Assume that OBJ, Atiku, PMB & You" are in a room & u can't find ur wallet. Who will u suspect or accused?

Let's be sincere!

That's the result of being immature. I think majority of Nigerian youths lack exposure. Reason why one Idiota would pick up a phone to record people kissing. What's the fuse about this? What will the recorder do when he sees gays or Lesbie doing this? We really have a long way to go. We are still backward. No wonder the western world think our brain is black.

davillian:

No wahala , called her last night and she said we might go on a date today but she is not promising me.
I've offered to take her out several times for the last 5 months she refused.
I was just surprised when she brought the topic out last night.

Nice one. Seems you really have a genuine feelings for her. Have you delibrately tried to stay away from her for a day or more without keeping in touch? Just to know if she misses you or not? Those are some of the way u can know if she's into you codedly so that you won't waste your time on her. You might be loving her and she loves someone else and she will be keeping u as alternative guy she can fall back on if the guy she loves Bleep up. Just play your game well my guy. Don't dull and be wise! Good luck to you!

davillian:

Alright I'm still patient with her, I do visit her family house her mum knows me and she gets excited when ever I'm around seems I'm the first guy she has brought home.
She told me she doesn't want to get into anything that won't lead to marriage and I told her we can kick start now pending when she is ready.
I like her Alot and she knows I'm ready to settle down already.

Good luck to you Bro. But don't be too relax so that another guy will not just come and reap from where he didn't sow o. I hope she's gone for NYSC already if not, you still have a huge mountain to climb. If she's the type that gives guys attention often it will make it more difficult for you. That her mum knows you doesn't mean anything ok. How's she self?

mercenary:
APC lacks the credibility to seek election anywhere in Nigeria... No right thinking human is supposed to cast his vote for APC

Were you sleeping when they won in Edo and Ondo state?

Funny how people still take this jeun jeun prophets serious!

davillian:

Well said brother, but the ones who comes just for the money, I just smash them for some months and dump them without any hard feelings.
But there is this good girl I've been chasing for like six months but she refuse to into a relationship with me. Its obvious she likes me but still can't figure out why she still doesn't want us to date and she single

Those ones for the money they are good for smashing. At the end they won't even get shingbai. As for the baby you have been chasing for 6months well maybe she's trying to study you. Try not to rush her much and always put her to test as well to know if she's into you. I once have a lady I chased for close to 2years during my university days. I was so persistent but she couldn't bulge due to her experience in her last relationship before I met her. The day I did her job it was my skool daughter she saw with me arnd 11pm. The following day nah she herself waka come my house ni o! From there we kick started our relationship. Though after four years we separated sha cos i couldn't keep her for marriage cos of my plans then.

psychologist:
The first time I pledged allegiance against messi and Argentinia and I am unapologetic

Go Eagles

That still doesn't change the fact that

Ronaldo = Good only at tapin (GOAT)
Messi = Greatest of all time (GOAT)

Messi greatest of all time without any major trophy with national team apart from Junior world cup. You and those that like your fallacy comment are shame to your generations.

davillian:

Hmmm I think its either she likes you for who you are or she likes you for what she tends to gain from you.
I've tried talking to some girls keeping a low profile and they seem not to be interested, not because I'm not hansome but because they feel I don't have the kind of money they want.
And when I begin to flash wealth you see them showing me green lights up and down.

With the way they are leeching on you now, it's obvious they are after your money. I met my girlfriend about 6years ago. I did not flash or spoil her with money. In fact I kept my financial status from her just to know if she loves me for who I was then. To my surprise she passed my test. We are still together till today reaping her loyalty. Mistake many guys do is showing ladies money from onset. I believe it is only guys with low self esteem that do that. I won't be a fool to be opening shops or buying expensive things for lady when it is not sure she will win my marriage shirt at the end of the day.

davillian:
Only few girls will stay with you if you don't lavish money up and down.

Like my girlfriend. It depends on how you train your girl baba.

Dollarship:
send me your account number let me bless you with 20k

Nah so he dey start!

Lawalatm:
she is far better than Mercy A.

That executive prostitute!