₦airaland Forum

favor914:
Why will anyone in Oyo State vote Obi over Tinubu? Even the igbos residing there know that Tinubu will do more for Oyo state than Obi can do in a lifetime.

Every 1
have their
own opinion
on that

[quote author=zionstaar75 post=118876879]I wonder what this Peter obi supporters drink or smoke?obi that can't get 25% votes in oyo state.
[/] U are
title 2 your
Own opinion

Result that come from oyo state will b a close 1 for peter obi & BAT, both of them have many supporters there

One of the culture that is common with the yorubas, hausa and Fulani is that they will welcome and show respect for a presidential candidate of a party. Sometimes they may choose not to do that, because of one reason or the other, for example in the 2003 presidential election, massive crowd did rally walk for buhari in the north, but in the day of election, majority of the people in the north decided to vote for OBJ. Another example is in the 2019 election, where massive crowd came for the campaign of Atiku in the SW, NC, NE, and NW, but at the end of the day, majority of the same people decided to vote for buhari. Another example is the governorship election in Osun state, where many people from most of the local government area came out to show their support for the APC governor, but in the end of the day, majority of the people in Osun state decided to vote for the candidate of PDP, which looks like a vote against BAT APC, because the governor of osun state did perform well in his first term in office.
The money factor in campaign rally and city walk
Campaign rally and city walk also apply to the yorubas hausa and Fulani culture of showing respect for a candidate. Money factor is also something that makes people come out for campaign rally and city walk. A candidate with #50M for example can pay 10000 people with N5000 just for them to come out to support him with a city walk, that is why the best way to know if a candidate of a party has many supporters, is to check in their social media pages, to see how people from different part of the country are commenting there

if apc can not deal with d transport problem in lagos, i see lp winning d governorship election there

if the igbos hated BAT before now, they will now hate Atiku even more after his incited speech in kaduna that was very trabalism and nepotistic treating the peace and unity of Nigeria, it'll be easy to pass an object into an eye of a needle than for Atiku to win any single state in the NC, SS, SE and SW

yoruba muslim hate 4 peter obi is Like 5 & 6

peter obi is likely to win 2 states in d SW of Ogun & lagos, d other 4 states in d sw will b battle ground states 4 d top 4 presidential candidate

funny enough if d look on their face is sad, it mean d were paid 2 come out, but BAT has supporters in osun state, recently LP campaign rally there had a low turn out

Moh247:
If you listened to voice of America Hausa version this morning you would know who has Kano lockdown, but feel free to decieve yourself

Opinion polls can give different results, the voice of America hausa version is not verfied as credible, e.g I remember a BBC hausa version that wrongly concluded that sokoto was on a lock down for kwankwaso

Peter obi supporters has been increasing in Kano state, one of the evidence of this is that when ever LP want to hold a town hall meeting in Kano, that town hall meeting will be filled up to capacity, and also when you look at other social media sites, you will see that part of kwankwaso supporters are now obedient.
Below is the opinion polls that was conducted in Kano state
https://www.blueprint.ng/2023-again-peter-obi-topples-tinubu-atiku-with-wide-margin-in-arewa-online-poll/

98% of pdp & apc members in delta state are obidient

d truth of d matter is that d top 3 presidential candidate all have limitation in d states d can win, d media has focus too much attention on lp limitation

CheapHomes1:
Still doesn't answer the questions.

Duke, gov of Oyo and Enugu...that's just 3 people. Are those the past and present PDP governors that are on his side?

How did he encourage PDP members in 2015? How did that prevent Nigeria from becoming a one party state?

Wike told pdp members not 2 leave d party

CheapHomes1:
What has peter obi got to do with the discussion? Was there any time I previously mentioned him to you?

Duke, gov of Oyo and Enugu...that's just 3 people. Are those the past and present PDP governors that are on his side?

How did he encourage PDP members in 2015? How did that prevent Nigeria from becoming a one party state?

if most of d pdp governor in 2015 had join apc, den nigeria will have been a 1 party state

CheapHomes1:
Which past and present PDP governors are on his side?

How did he encourage PDP members in 2015? How did that prevent Nigeria from becoming a one party state?

if every pdp governor had defected 2 apc, den apc will have solidify its structure all over nigeria, u will not even here of peter obi. donald duke, governor of oyo, enugu etc are e.g of pdp members on his side

CheapHomes1:
Which people are on his side and how are they on his side?

How is a motivational speaker and lion?

wike is motivational because he encourage pdp members in 2015 to prevent nigeria from becoming a 1 party state. he's like a lion who has no fear, u can see d past & present pdp governors who are on his side

when I look at wike, I can now understand y people are on his side, he's a motivational speaker & a lion 4 ss

One thing people don't understand on how opinion polls work is that if a person is leading in an opinion polls, it doesn't necessarily mean that that person will be in first position, it mean that the person will either win the election or be in second position. It is not possible for a candidate who is leading in an opinion polls to finish in 3rd position. Below are opinion polls that was conducted for the 2003 presidential election
https://www.thenewhumanitarian.org/feature/2003/04/01/nigeria-votes-presidential-election-whos-who

if d opinion poll for sw b/w peter vs BAT also apply 2 oyo state, then it'll mean that 70% of bat supporters in d rally at oyo are not with their pvc, 4 e.g 700000 have not collected pvc in oyo state. opinion poll is base on dos with pvc

If u want 2 bet with #500000 for peter obi 2 win in kano, bauchi, kaduna & adamawa, u may not loss your money. both atiku & bat will win some state in nw & ne. kwankwaso may win in jigawa & kebbi

but lp also has structure in benue, 1 of apc chairman in 1 of benue lga defected 2 lp. let wait & see d crowd dat will come 4 d campaign of d lp governorship candidate

asanausana91:
hahahaha. Have you asked yourself why GEJ couldn't get 15% in NE and NW in 2015? GEJ in 2011 everybody sees him as a the best candidate.
But with the issue of Biafra and the statement Peter Obi made that he will dialogue with the south east but he will kill the north, how do you think Peter obi will get even 5%.

He didn't say he will kill the north, but said that he will deal with the bandits, but then the north had two popular candidate, ACN had ribadu and CPC had buhari

asanausana91:
you are just deceiving yourself. The north is considered first.
Only north west vote alone is enough to beat Peter obi.

D Nw & Ne will not give block vote 2 atiku
Have u ever ask yourself this question y nw & ne decide 2 give GEJ 25% of votes in 2011

pdp are dreamer
in 2015 d were dreaming of winning election
in 2019, d also dream of winning, it's not a surprice d also think d can win 2023 election. 60% of muslim in d ne & nw may decide not 2 vote 4 atiku after d watch d water gate scandal in pdp

It's now becoming clear dat atiku who's a confirm thief want 2 become president 2 loot money 4 d extending of his business empire

peter obi don't even has any close rival, recent opinion polls is a clear proof 2 this, d atiku d think is his closer rival may end up not winning any single states in the NW & NE

From Nw, Ne, Nc, Ss, Se & Sw, peter obi is d most popular of d presidential candidates

some PDP politicians they reason like zombies when predicting the out come of election

I just laugh when people enter the polling unit without knowing what they are putting their hands into, 4 u to vote in a person like Atiku and okowa into power, something that is not right is going to happen to Nigeria, which I don't want to talk about

the NW and the NE are not presently at lock down to any of the top 4 presidential candidate, but what the opinion polls show is that Atiku and BAT are head to head, tied down for battling for the 1st position, while the second position is for Peter obi and followed by kwankwaso in 3rd position

Like play like play when we were telling people here in nairaland that Delta State is on a 90% lock down for Peter obi, they were those who were thinking that it was a joke, until it became clear to them, similarly Ogun state is now on a 90% lock down for Peter obi.
Why campaign rally is more credible than the election campaign:
The reason for this is because a campaign rally has to do with fitness walk, where supporters of a candidate will come out to show their support for that candidate, while those who can't do a fitness walk for a long distance will stay back. But in an election campaign, 75% of those who will go to election campaign are made of the undecided voters and those who want the food and money, it's only 25% that will be the real supporters of that candidate

https://video.genyt.com/p3gLbXVMg_4