Karatum:


Whether Yorubas vote atiku or not, he is coasting to victory come next year. U can go and kill urself for all we care

He won't. Buhari will be president till 2023

ghostfacekillar:
Look how empty this thread is.. I bet you if u mention buhari and Atiku here... U will gather traffick. Nigeria is doomed. And itx a ticking time bomb.. To old haggard wizard struggling for power.. They ave ruled us during military regime. Now they are all coming back to rule us in democracy. One day. Gowon might come back to rule in sick bed

This is happening because the country is not meant to be

Asquare84:
the responsibility of building a nation lies in the hand of both the leaders and follower, we must all put our hand in deck to build Nigerian. because of the nature of my work i relate with the high and low in civil service. guys you need to check out corruption in Nigerian even in EFCC

Nigeria can never grow. Split the country

kYjelly2:
They are all ediots, I'm telling you

Instead of people to use all their God given energy to campaign for, sponsor, install someone new, they are going back to Buhari and atiku

Honestly, I wish I could pray for God to punish all these ediots, but those prayers won't be answered.

If Atiku wins now, do they really expect anything different?

Fvcking bastards!!

Nigeria wont grow Whether it is Atiku, Sowore, or Moghalu that ruke the country.

Nigeria won't grow because nothing unites as a country

Mujtahida:

1993? Na wa ooo. More than 20 years later? And you disregard changes in demographics and migration?

Try and compare the two regions to know which is more politically relevant

SuperStriker:


I am not disputing that.

I am telling you that many Yourubas are willing to give Atiku a chance seeing the deplorable state Nigeria is currently in.

With or without a SW VP, Yoruba votes will split.

No it won't. It will depend on where atiku's vice comes from.

SuperStriker:
Sanchez01, your analysis is flawed and let me tell you why:

1. [s]It is common knowledge that there are millions of Igbos in the SW especially Lagos, there's no argument about this. The 14m voters in the region are not all Yoruba. Millions are Igbos. Check the numbers in the SW between Jonathan and Buhari in 2015. Also check the numbers between Ambode and Agbaje in the same year to confirm this.[/s]

2. Even if Atiku picks a VP from the SE, Yoruba votes would be split between Buhari and Atiku. Same thing will happen if he picks a VP from the SW, some Yourubas will still vote for Buhari. It won't make much difference.

3. Atiku cannot risk voter apathy in the SE & SS regions. If he makes the mistake, APC will quickly take advantage and run him over.

4. Many Yoruba are already tired of Buhari and the fraudulent change. There's so much frustration in the land. Many will vote for Atiku even if he picks a VP from the SE.

Where do guys get these absurd stats? Are Ibos more than Yorubas in Ekiti? How come Jonathan won there?
What about other states where he got 45 percent? Were they from Ibos? I never see this kind noisy tribe like this for my life

EternalTruths:




Yoruba people on Nairaland are childish in reasoning.

They keep shouting 14m without finding what constitutes the 14m.


50% of that 14m are non indigenes.

Says who? Look at 1993 election and tell me how many were non-indigenes. Note that Abiola won just 40 percent of SE votes.

goaldynman:
Why I don't want to dissipate my energy arguing everyday who should be picked the Vice President is that all these fake news are emanating from Southwest's Lagos -Ibadan Expressway Media propaganda trying to deceive and coerce Atiku to pick his VP from southwest! However, take the following points from me:

1. Even if Atiku pick his VP from southwest, it will not have any impact on the vote he will get from southwest. The southwest will still vote APC because they plotting to grab power as soon as 2023 instead of voting Atiku and wait a longer period till 2027.

2. If Atiku pick his VP from southwest, he will not get any vote from southeast and South-South! This will be the beginning of his failure.

3. If Atiku pick his VP from southwest, he will not get any financial support from southeast Governors and southsouth Governors. We all know the Southwest does not have any PDP Governor to support him during the election!

4. Southwest at the moment does not have any credible PDP member to be chosen a VP! Is it Fayose or Fani Kayode?

5. Southeast has been the greatest support of PDP even when southwest abandoned the party!

6. Southwest ruled the Country under PDP for 8yrs. So all these mundane talk that PDP marginalised them is arrant nonsense!

7. Virtually all those fabricating and peddling these fake news and calling Atiku to choose his VP from southwest are APC agents attempting to lure Atiku into making the greatest mistake of his political life!

8. Igbos residing in Southwest are monumental (about 30% of people residing in Southwest are Igbos) and will vote massively for Atiku if he choose his VP from southeast.

9. Southeast delegates voted massively for Atiku while southwest delegates voted for Tambuwal in anticipation of the latter making Fayose his VP!

10. Lastly, it is very wicked, selfish, greedy and evil for Southwest to be angling for VP position of PDP! Having ruled under the party in the person of their son Obasanjo; and their son Osinbajo having been VP for 4yrs now! Still they are plotting to take over from Buhari in 2023! Is southwest the only Nigerians in the Southern part of Nigeria? So to them, southeasterners are slaves and does not deserve any political post? This is sheer wickedness in high places!

Where do you people normally get these nonsense stats from?

Humility017:


I am from south south.
he will massively win south south and south east it all depends on his campaign strategy...Every one wants him now because of buhari misrule but how to get some Yorubas along is a daunting task at the moment.

If I mey ask, where in ss do you come from?

safarigirl:
and since then, how many attacks have there been? Let me also remind you that tens of Fulani men were killed in Abia State following those attacks, many more were chased out of Anambra and Fulani people have gone missing in Enugu.

If the Governor went to cry that is his business, but the people are not cowards. When last did you hear that Fulani people attacked Igbo land? Meanwhile, in the North, at least three times a week there is news of killing and invasions.

You people don't know Easterners. You people think all of us are in this Nigeria together, you don't know some people are here, but are not here. Na 2019 una go know who dey and who no dey this country, Igbo people will scatter everything for PDP, make dem try nonsense

Chest beater.

danie09:
guy stop misleading people .how much of the northwest and north east do you know? And how well do you even know atiku? Atiku carries a very big burden of mistrust around his neck . even His own people in Adamawa state will choose buhari over him any day anytime

You are right, but how does this correlate with what I previously said?

[s]

RTSC:

I am not seeing the majority though.

It seems most of your fellow Yoruba clowns want to play both sides.

[/s]
Like i told you before you this f.ucking Biafran irritants, most Yorubas I have met don't expect Atiku to choose their son as his running mate. They expect Atiku to choose someone from se/ss

[s]

EternalTruths:




Out of the 14m registered voters in the South West, what percentage are non indigenes.?


If only you realize that non indigenes constitute half of the registered voters, you won't be deceiving yourself thinking that the 14m are all Yoruba people.

[/s]
How can half of voters in the sw be non indigenes? You smoke weed? Ho many non indigenes gave Abiola their mandate in 1993?

RTSC:

How many states in the south west did those people win for pdp?

You don't have a pdp state and you want the VP. Is that how it works?

Even the SE have an apc state, and buhari is still misbehaving.

Guy, majority of Yoruba people want Atiku to pick and Ibo person as his running mate. 2019 will be north/west vs north/east

safarigirl:
there will be nothing marginal about the NC votes. The only NC states that are core APC are Kaduna and Niger. The rest could go either way, even with those two states, there is a high percentage of non-indigenes, in Southern Kaduna and places like Suleja in Niger state, APC is likely to have it tough due to the high concentration of non-indigenes in these parts. Kogi is another NC state that will swing to Buhari, but they do not have a massive number of voters and are similar to Ekiti in size.


The rest of NC is up for grabs. Saraki will not allow APC smell Kwara, that one is sure. PDP will win massively there, even if he has to fight them thug for thug.


Benue and Plateau are wounded lions. Benue abandoned PDP largely because of Suswam and his failure to pay salaries back in 2015, but in Buhari's four years, these people have been massacred and the only thing they have gotten in return is their lands being invaded by soldiers who further harass them and present them for slaughter to Buhari's supposed brothers. APC will be defeated resoundingly in those places because dem no go even gree them rig

Which Saraki will not let buhari smell Kwara? You think yorubas give a fuc.k about saraki? Buhari will surely win kwara. As for Benue, buhari will still get 35-40 percent of their vote

IbrahimDamola:


I thought you are pan-oodua as your name suggests, why asking for VP ticket that you didn't work for.

I want Atiku to choose an ibo as his running mate

Obi1kenobi:


1) The cult-like following Buhari enjoys in the North has little to do with the perception of incorruptibility. Stop deluding yourself. He enjoys the same cult-followership that any big-name old military administrator would enjoy. I bet you that even Sani Abacha would enjoy a cult followership if he was alive today to participate in Nigerian politics. It's a function of the feudal legacy of the North where an established elite easily mobilize the political sentiments of the plebeian class. It's one of the reasons no one does mass-slaughtering riots like the core North. If you're empowered as a politician or cleric, give Northern youths any command and they'd do your bidding. Northern plebs are the most impressionable voters in Nigeria and almost accord divine status to their betters. To say they are more politically informed that Southerners is beyond absurd. All the maiguards in my street where Sai Buhari chanters during the 2015 elections. I can assure you there was nothing informed about their support on any issues of substance.

2) Stop throwing around words like "bigotry" about other people. The core North is the most bigoted region in Nigeria. It's the region where all outsiders tiptoe around on eggshells terrified at what they would do to offend vengeful, blood-thirsty, intolerant locals. The region where Igbo people and other Southerners get butchered because a cartoonist in Denmark drew an offensive Mohammed cartoon. Where fatwas are pronounced on Southern journalists. Where a parallel constitution called Sharia law was adopted because locals are intolerant of the liberties of outsiders. Where a number of pogroms have been enacted against non-indigenes. Facebook noisemakers are positively tame compared with that.

3) Buhari's gains against Boko Haram were a continuation of the gains made under Jonathan (Buhari funny enough was quoted criticizing the military campaign against Boko Haram). It's a bit like how Trump took over when most of ISIS' territorial gains were reversed and ISIS were in retreat, but Trump tries to take the glory for rounding up what everyone knew was dead-certain defeat. Boko Haram's insurgency is still ongoing and may go on for several more years, but their territorial gains were never going to be sustainable seeing as they are built for guerrilla insurgency and not capturing territory. The Buhari administration has recently been trying to force people off IDP camps back to their homes that are still threatened by Boko Haram, when by all reports, those areas are still not safe. He was doing it to inflate the gains he made. If NE people believe the picture is rosy, they are uninformed.

GEJ to be honest was a pretty clueless leader. But this administration (which I voted for) is no better. What this administration has demonstrated is they are in a class of their own for sheer propagandizing. This has been the most effective government in propaganda I have seen in my lifetime. They're very good at it.
I do believe Buhari will win in 2019, partly because his followership is cult-like. But also because this administration has proven more desperate than the last in what extremes they are willing to go to to win as proven recently in Osun and Ekiti. INEC's progress over the years has been compromised by the single-minded desperation of this administration.

You are a brilliant writer.

ModsareChevres:


Guy, we reasonable Yorubas are tired of Buhari.
The reason we are managing him is Osinbajo. If Yorubas see a prominent Yoruba on the PDP ballot, they won't mind ditching Buhari once and for all.

You buharists don't want PDP to field a SW VP so that Buhari will win easily.

Fafafa foul!

Atiku will pick an Ibo as his vice. You better accept this. Ibos won't support him if he does not do this. He has to choose an Ibo person. I don't really like Buhari but I support him for a second term

Nowenuse:


You have a fairly good Analysis, but your mistake is failing to analyse the large population Northern Christians and Liberal non-Hausa fulani muslims all over the 19 northern states posses.

Northern christians which form not less than 30% of the population of the 19 northern states are all going to vote Atiku.
Apart from Benue, Taraba, Plateau & Nasarawa which you hinted, Atiku will also win Kwara, Kogi, FCT and Adamawa.

Do you know that Kaduna state which has the 2nd highest registered voters in the North and 3rd highest voters in the entire Nigeria will be heavily divided by Atiku? You forgot the Southern Kaduna factor, perhaps you think all NorthWestern states are Hausa-fulani states and will all give 100% of their votes to Buhari.

Only Ebira people support Buhari in Kogi state because of Yahaya Bello. Their votes are not enough for Buhari to win Kogi.
Saraki factor will play out in Kwara.

Atiku has always been a godfather in Adamawa politics right from the days of old Gongola state (Taraba & Adamawa) where he won the governorship elections.

In 2011 when Buhari won all Hausa fulani states, He lost Adamawa.

As for the North-central, check this link to a thread below and see the ass whooping Atiku is giving to Buhari in the largest North-central forum online.

https://www.nairaland.com/4778327/picture-proofs-atiku-sweeping-votes

You also forgot to mention that Atiku is a Muslim just like Buhari and that religion will be useless in 2019

[s]

ModsareChevres:


What is the essence of appreciation that ends at the polls and in a loss

Wike, Fayose, FFK and co sustained PDP while SE PDP politicians were revamping to APC left right centre.

Had Saraki and co not joined PDP, it would have been dead by now.

As it stands, SW has no stake in PDP. The VP slot will give us the confidence to ditch Osinbajo.

Have you guys gotten tired of 'Buhari till 2023, Igbo presidency' already

POP's showing in Osun shows Yorubas are tired of APC.

[/s]
Please stop this nonsense. The sw don't need VP from PDP. Please stop disgracing Yoruba people here. The VP slot is for Ibos

IbrahimDamola:
In a nutshell Atiku is more acceptable across the lenght and breadth of the country than the lifeless bigot called Booharri the malu.

Buhari is too sectional, ethnocentrist, bigotted, and clannish. He knows it, and everyone knows it.

Where Buhari is loved (north), Atiku is also loved.

Where Buhari is not accepted (SESS aka better south), Atiku is very much accepted.

Next time when nigerians want a pan-nigeria president instead of a divisive bigot, they won't choose a known extremist and nepotistic tribal bigot killer like buhari the Ayatollah of daura.

Atiku is pan-nigeria, booharri is just pan-boko haram.

So you support a pan nigeranist? I thought you guys wanted Biafra? What changed?

Binikingdowm:
you mumu sha the west have APC*700* thousand vote when he was very popular and they felt cheated..

Now they've seen Buhari real colour if Buhari get 200k from them he should be happy

You are deceiving yourself. Buhari will win the south west

CilicMarin:


You are just dishing out figures. Atiku Can Never get 65% and 70% Votes in the South South and South East as posited.

We don't do election here. Federal holds sway. The one with Federal might writes result.

The whole security men will be moving with

Oshiomole in Edo.

Amaechi will be leading the onslaught in Rivers State.

Akpabio in Akwaibom

Ogboru in Delta

Cross River Governor is not even interested in presidential Election.

Then South East.

Okorocha will return 65% Votes for Buhari in Imo State.

Ebonyi Governor is only interested in his 2nd term. So ogbonnaya onu, Elechi, Ucha and Ogbuorji will have a field day.

Anambra- Ngige and Andy will make sure Buhari get more than 45% of the votes.

Abia and Enugu are inconsequential but Buhari will get more than 35%.

Remember 2 Fulanis are contesting..

Bro, let's be serious. The south east will vote end masse for Atiku if he chooses an Ibos person as his vice. It is possible for Buhari to get 30 percent of SS, but he can never get up to that in the south east.

Sirjamo:
Whoever think that SW would vote for Atiku, and abandon its 2023 ambition after labouring so hard to bring Buhari to power is obviously sick.

That is it. Most Yoruba people(including Kwara and Kogi) will align with Buhari.

PassingShot:

Remember that the "writing of result" of the past won't happen anymore. Electronic voting is now "a must" in our election.

Plus the federal might which PDP had then is gone and firmly with APC now. It's the reason APC came 2nd in Anambra gubernatorial election behind APGA with PDP in distant 3rd.

We wait and see.

Atiku will win the SE with landslide, but Bihari will win Kwara(65-70 percent) and 55 percent Kogi.

vikkysexy1:
abeg leave the poor man alone jooor

That will only happen on Biafra.

modath:


Same way referendum isn't in the constitution, same way unbundling isn't in the constitution.... How anyone will try to tell us a Senator from Jigawa will vote for that is just laughable....

I'm so looking forward to the reaction when Atiku takes the restructuring song & dance to the Kebbi , Zamfara, Yobe, Sokoto , Kano streets..... real anticipation.

Ibos are not supporting Atiku because of restructuring.

modath:


Friendlier customs duties.... Major positions in the cabinet, power in the government. sweeteners they are.

The Average Ibo man cares more about how the government will favour his business endeavour, and access to government will make that look like a done deal, + the sheer hatred already in place & deeply entrenched will smoothen that kink...

No Sis mi they don't. Ibos like power so they can use it to doninate everywhere. It has always been like this since Azikwe's time. Ibos like power than the north.

Shuku0kukobambi:


some actually believe him when he talks about restructuring. It's only people like Wike that know it's all a lie and he called him out on it.

You're right anyway. Atiku will only be assured of their votes if he picks an Igbo VP

2014 - Gej till 2019. Yorubas are Fulani slaves
From 2015 till 2017 - we want Biafra.
2018 - We want Atiku.
How can a race be this unstable and two-faced?

Shuku0kukobambi:


Only an idiot will believe a Fulani man will restructure Nigeria. It get's worse when you know how much Atiku makes from colonizing the most active Port in the SS. The system truly needs a change and it will start from we the people or our thieving Sinators and representathieves in Abuja

Ibos are not supporting him because he promise to restructure Nigeria. They know he won't do that. They will support him if he puts an Ibo as vice.