JASONjnr:
Officially, Kogi state have sold their resources to Dangote.... No other governor will be able to fight this anymore....

Past Governors, and house of assembly members already sold their 10%, Bello just want a cut in the share, and was told no more space, that's why he was making noise upandan.

Dangote owned the company 100%, Kogi cannot even provide funds to finance it's own 10% at the beginning, they have to beg Dangote to finance it 100%, So sequentially they failed to keep their share of the company, and Dangote bought it over.

DaddyFabooluz:


Make una try dey get sense and speak reality sometimes. So if christians are 20-25% in the North, you just think the whole percentage of christians in the North will have to vote for PO.

I tire o.... They ve got zero sense

tbarrister:
Lol these are northern Christians and they'll mostly vote LP and PDP, nothing to see. In the core Muslim north , where the major votes are, peter obi is unknown

Exactly, let the OP keep deceiving himself...

lastmessenger:
I see you are bello mouthpiece on nairaland.

Bello losing from all fronts.. Instead of questioning his predecessors on how they lose the 10% accrue to the State, he is busy chasing Shadow..

GeneralDae:
Yet when all industries go to Lagos, they would complain and say it's because of the ports. Lagos seem to be more organized in how they accommodate big industries.
Why can't Yahaya Bello present the evidence in court?

https://m.facebook.com/story.php?story_fbid=pfbid0odjCYvZCnDSedMenGcgakmBuEP1aXsvUPj93eRPCFrgPAwqDeX9Xeszm4ujKg924l&id=100045743070422&sfnsn=scwspwa

Shame Don dey catch am..

Alphafeezay:
Dangote can't win this battle no matter what, Obajana Cement wa sold to Dangote, 90% and the remainder 10% for Kogi state but Dangote fraudulently in connection with past Governor(s) claimed 100%....

What Bello is asking is the 10% stake that belongs to Kogi aside poor CSR and the mining of coal from Kogi state for his other factories all over Nigeria.

Kogi state is largely responsible for Dangote's wealth but just normal statutory CSR and Kogi State's stake e no wan pay, what a greedy monopolistic capitalist.

Let Kogi State go to court na...

Buckeyemedia1:
Only a Mumu Northerner will vote for Abubakar Atiku, a one term sitting duck President, We don’t need another Yar’adua Jonathan 2025 repeat saga again.

Bola Tinubu is confirmed 21 for the North, and the irony is that he benefits the interest of the Northerners as much as the Southerners.

Bola Ahmed Tinubu is a sure banker.

Southwest and the Northern part, is more than enough for Jagaban to be declared President of The Federal Republic of Nigeria.

5% inconsequential voters can go to Peter Obi, Abubakar Atiku is left stranded.

Confirm! Many donk know the core North, and South West are the deciding region In any Election.

Am still waiting for any Pandora supporter to place a bet of they are so sure of him Winning..

LocalStandard1:
Have you noticed it?

On one hand we are seeing an alliance between the South East, South South and the Middle Belt/NC.

On another hand we have the Core North and the South west.

We have four major Presidential candidates: Peter Obi, Atiku Abubakar, Ahmed Tinubu and Rabiu Kwankwaso.

Many of you think this Obi movement is a joke but here in the middle belt it is becoming a life or otherwise affair, literally. While three of the Muslim candidates and a VP are struggling for votes from their indigenous aligned regions making votes too saturated, Obi/Datti on the other hand seems to easily be the most preferred by the other block and even parts of South West.

Open your eyes people, Nigeria is changing and it seems an Igbo man is leading it now.

E go clear for your eyes..... Just be sure to acknowledge after Obi lose woefully

If e like make e make all of them Northerners, na still 3rd position e go carry �

David160:


Obi isn't desperate to be president.. Igbo people aren't obsessed with government and government appointment like Yoruba people and Northerners.

Igbo want someone that can fix the economy so they can keep doing their business and be making money that's all.

They rejected Buhari in 2015&2019 because they knew he had nothing to offer.. The so called educated Yoruba people embraced him.. Now look at where we are

Oh really?? Cry me a river

Nazgul:
I believe the whole nation is bowled over at the growing popularity of the LP candidate HE Peter Obi. He was written off by political analysts earlier in the year when he joined LP on the basis that his party (LP) had no structure, but at the moment, he's arguably the most popular candidate in the election. The most talked about, the most criticized, the most hated, the most investigated...etc. Of all the candidates.

Obviously if he's opponents believed he lacked the political structure needed to win the election they wouldn't have given him kind of attention they're currently giving to him.

Social media activists like Reno has made attacking HE Peter Obi a full time job, his tweets about the LP presidential candidate comes in per minute, there are other candidates in other political parties without structure like LP, in fact a party like SDP in 2018 gave PDP and APC a run for their money in the gubernatorial election in Osun State, yet their presidential candidate despite having a visible structure in the SW isn't considered as a threat to the big wings...this should tell you that LP has become the last beacon of hope for the average Nigerian.

Without wanting to waste your time...I decided to give a forecast of how 2023 elections would look like based on the past voting pattern in the 6 geopolitical zones across Nigeria. And why I believe HE Peter Obi can win.

The core North (NE and NW) since 2003 when Buhari started contesting has always displayed herd mentality towards elections. No Southern candidate has ever defeated a northerner in these two zones. So whoever is projecting any southerner (Tinubu or Peter Obi) to win there is just deceiving them cos I don't see 2023 being any different from past elections in those two zones...they would come out in Mass and vote their fellow northerner.

The NC is divided into two the Christian part and the Muslim part...the Christian section which consists of Nassarawa, Benue, Plateau, Abuja tend to tilt towards Southerners and in this case Peter Obi. A clear example was how Buhari lost Abuja to Jonathan in 2011, 2015 and to Atiku in 2019. I believe the reason is because there's a high population of enlightened people there who aren't part of the herd mentality of the core northerners.

This leaves us with the SE, this zone has been a traditional PDP zone, therefore despite being a southerner, Tinubu wouldn't win any local government here, Peter Obi is projected to get Bloc votes here. The SS voting pattern would be similar to that of the SE only that Atiku would perform better here...but I see it going to Peter Obi, possibly with a very close margin unlike the south east where he would most likely have bloc votes. Tinubu wouldn't win any single state in these two zones.

To the SW, here would really be a political battle ground. Osun and Oyo are PDP States. LP would perform poorly here except in Lagos. And Tinubu won't be getting bloc votes in Lagos despite the high turnout of new registered voters cos he'd have to struggle with LP and PDP for votes.

So in reality tinubu is most likely to win minimum of 5 states and maximum of 8 states... which most likely would be Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, Ondo, Kogi, and Kwara... possible battle ground that might flip might be Oyo but he wouldn't win Osun State.

Peter Obi if the SS and Christian Bloc of the NC stands behind him should win about 15 states. 5 from the SE, 6 from the SS and 5 from the NC (including Abuja)

Atiku would want to pocket the 6 NE states and 7 NW states which should give him 13 northern States. If Kwankwaso intensifies his campaign and grabs like at least 3 NE states, Atiku's hold would reduce to about 10 states in the bag. This now leaves us with the NC which has 7 states. Of which Tinubu has already grabbed two (Kogi and Kwara) and Peter Obi 4 which are Benue, plateau Nassarawa and Abuja... Atiku would definitely win Niger state making his Total 11.

So at the end of it all...

Peter Obi would have won 15 states

Atiku 11 States

Tinubu 6-7 States

Kwankwaso 3 States

If Peter Obi can concentrate his efforts on this zones where he's sure of winning it would be better for his campaign. He can't win the core North so he shouldn't wast his resources there, they don't vote Southerners and wouldn't change their mindset. He should solidify his hold on this zones that are winnable and enuse he doesn't loose them as the day goes by.

Source... myself.

Cc... nlfpmod mynd44 lalasticalala Dominique Seun.

Kai Nyamiri, when will you ever learn Politics Obi will win 15 states, Tinubu 6-7, Atiku 11....etc �

Wake up Man, it's either you r drunk of high on Mkpurumiri.. �

I tell you the best Obi will poll is 3rd position... Let's bet if u r so sure...

Nazgul:

See this thread.

https://www.nairaland.com/7378336/why-believe-pete-obi-win#up

What is there to see Real Voters are not on social media ...

If you think the Northerners will vote for an Nyamiri that so despise them, and have been killing and destroying their properties in the East, you must be drunk..

It's payback time, if u so believe ObI will even come second, let's place a bet...

Nazgul:
Tinubu is wasting his time if he thinks the core North would vote for him.

E go shock you... Face your candidate...

KingKO22:
All these novice with baby factory zombies brain

Many novice like yu will understand politics better after the 2023 election.

Just relax and be a good leaner. OK


Its not about online noise or attack. Its all about strategy, interest and numbers

That's the kind of political thinking their forefathers handed down to them, politics of hate, and tribalism..

They will never learn their eyes go clear after the election, and e go shock them that most Tinubu Votes will come from the North..

Rayjnr:


Den u must be a fool to think things work the way you read on paper in Nigeria

Your papa is a greater fool to think everything u read is true.. Mumunatu

Rayjnr:


Have you stayed in zamfara?, You are the real dumbo here

I don't need to stay in Zamfara to know what is obtainable... Olodo

Rayjnr:


I know what i mean by free, the gold in zamfara do they pay

Who is they?? Illegal miners of those mining with licence??

If they are not paying, why not go grab yours??

Rayjnr:


Yes i mean free, what is he paying?, Or you think these hausas no dey cheat us

Oh please stop being a dumbo, how can someone mine minerals for free, stop embarrassing yourself, you don't even know where they mine the coal..

It's been mined at Ankpa, and it's not only Dangote doing the mining, go and verify.. A company call Zuma also mine there..

Rayjnr:


Come to okaba come see coal wey dangote dey pack for free

Packing coal for free?? Are u a toddler or what??

derek2:
It’s unfortunate when people don’t understand issues and just read from head line. How can you support a government that brought thugs to illegally invade a company instead of going to court to settle matters. What moral justification will a government have from a business that took so much loan to build a factory from scratch , and when the business is booming , government now suddenly say’s its there’s. In a country we’re business are finding it hard to operate , you are now frustrating the little they have.

Exactly, documents proved Dangote did nothing wrong.... First Bank is under lock and key, a gas company recently shutdown because of incessant harassment, and multiple taxation.

phemmyjohnson:
The flood that almost swept the whole lokoja didn’t trend with a save lokoja hashtag . The government will rather make anything that’s suppose to make them loot more money trend ..
Fire fighters couldn’t even get to the state assembly to put out fire lol . What a government l! Kogi people I hail

Last last na Dangote fire service truck still go there..

kerry57:
Exploiting? E no be una govt give am license before or him just start to run him company for kogi? All na politics, las las we go hear the result.

No mind them, they are even publishing indicting documents �

How is Kogi in the South Mumunatu

Pierocash:
To meet on how to further shortchange Kogi by using the presidency to prevail on Yahaya Bello to soften his stance.

If this is between a southern business man and Yahaya Bello ,they will hail the governor.

The injustice against Southerners is just too alarming,and yet they want to unify Nigeria

Please shut up, Kogi state is the one being a Jack... Am sure you ve not seen the agreement..

Felimax:
You better keep quiet and look for something better to do with your life.

We warned you guys that the kind of politics you are playing will bringing more hatred and unavoidable failures but you won't listen. Now you are going tribal when the raise has not even started.

You thought election is EndSARs. You want to hijack the genuine EndSARs struggle? No na, we can see through the smoke screen.

Cares not taking Obi will loose in the East.

They can bearly see beyond their nose..... They keep making enemies upandan, only to turn back, and blame everyone but themselves..

DJInfluence:
This is the main reason so many are against state police. Imagine ordinary vigilantes doing this.

https://www.facebook.com/1397395176/posts/pfbid032rAMs5pyHgqdpHrjKUyhLv1kknCaocNq6NQux6v9cNieVPhVNJJbQjJTpRS4Kn4ol/?sfnsn=scwspwa&extid=a

Before it escalated...

Parachoko:
But who is right on this issue between the Kogi State Government and Dangote?

The Kogi State Government state that Dangote acquired the cement plant illegally

They also accuse Dangote of not paying tax and also claim the Kogi State Government have a 10% stake

October 08, 2022
WE OWN OBAJANA CEMENT 100% — DANGOTE CEMENT

The Management of Dangote Cement Plc. yesterday firmly declared that the Obajana Cement plant in Kogi State is owned 100 per cent by it and that the invasion of the plant last Wednesday by armed vigilantes “on the orders of the state government” was illegal.In a swift reaction, the Kogi State Government said the state “has all the relevant documents to prove that the purported acquisition of Obajana by Dangote is null and void.”

Dangote Cement Plc, in the statement signed by its Group Managing Director (GMD) Michel Puchercos and titled, “Illegal Shutdown of Dangote Cement, Obajana Plant”, declared the firm’s full ownership of the Obajana plant, while berating the attack on the plant.

Puchercos said: “The Management of Dangote Cement Plc. wishes to inform members of the public, especially its customers and other stakeholders of the recent invasion of its Obajana Cement Plant, Kogi State by armed vigilantes on the orders of the state government.“The vigilantes, led by some officials of the State government were apparently acting on a resolution of the Kogi State House of Assembly on controversial tax claims; claims that the state governor had also contradicted when he said the shutdown was due to an alleged invalid acquisition of the company by Dangote Industries Limited.”

He said in the process of forcefully evicting the company’s workers, to enforce the illegal shutdown, the vigilantes shot at 27 of the workers and also destroyed some of the company’s property at the plant.Puchercos declared: “We have taken steps to get the hoodlums apprehended by the law enforcement agencies, and we will ensure that full legal action is taken against them.

“We therefore appeal to all our staff and our esteemed customers to remain calm while we explore all possible legal steps to address the situation. The welfare of our staff remains our key focus as we work hard to minimize further impact on our people and operations.“While we reiterate that Obajana Cement plant is 100% owned by Dangote Cement PLC, we remain resolute in transforming Africa, while creating sustainable value for our people, communities, investors and customers.”

Several workers of the Dangote cement plant in Obajana, were shot on Wednesday during a faceoff between the state’s security outfit and workers at the plant.The vigilantes forced out the workers, before sealing the Obajana plant.A statement by Dangote Group said the vigilante group was led by the state Director-General of Lands, Commissioner for Solid Minerals, and Senior Special Assistant to the Governor on Security, Commodore Jerry Omodara (rtd).

“Others were Chairman of Kabba/Bunnu LGA, Chairman of Ijumu LGA and the State ALGON Chairman, Alhaji Taofeek; Senior Special Assistant on Job Creation, Mr. Dele Iselewa, and Chairman of Lokoja LGA, Alhaji Mohammed Dansabe,” said the statement.

Meanwhile, members of the mining and host communities have condemned the Kogi State Government for what they described as an extrajudicial and unlawful deployment of the vigilantes to cause chaos in the Obajana community.Spokesman for the Oyo Mining host community, David Oluruntoba, condemned the act, stating the company had established a cordial relationship with the local community.

He said, “They called us to join them. But I told them that the company has not offended us. We just signed a Community Development Agreement (CDA) and the company has been helping us and providing us with jobs. What has the government done for us, nothing. There is no basis to support the government.”A staff of Dangote Cement, Jibrin Abubakar, said the company’s workers who were shot during the invasion were currently receiving treatment at a medical facility.

Abubakar said, “They were hired by the government, the hunters. They are like the Amotekun of Kogi State. The workers that were shot are currently receiving medical treatment.

Parachoko:
Wow!!

I hope the Factory have not been truly stop from functioning?

Not at all, they tried to seal it using touts, and vigilante, as the police refused to be use.

Even that day work continue.... Now what they do is waylaid the truck drivers, and beat them up, or take away their truck...

The management just advice them to report to the nearest police station ,and not to fight back....

Yesterday the state release a press that they uncover plot to distabilise the state by Dangote , while it's the state using Vigilante to instigate Violence..

Parachoko:
Can you bring out evidence you truly know people that were shot?

Yes, go to the specialist hospital in Lokoja, I have pictures too, I can't share them here..

Asquare84:
Mark my word, what kogi state government is doing will criple the state economy. Benue state did the same thing to dangote when he bought the majority share in benue cement. Today benue cement is no longer producing again and benue state have paid I higher price for it.

Exactly!

SpecialAdviser:
Can't Kogi govt go to court? Rather than resorting to violence?

That's it na, he tried using the police, and military but they refuse, so he is using touts in form of Vigilante group, the management of Dangote her been very careful in managing the situation, as there is no reaction, they have been using the law to fight back..