PETERiCHY's Posts
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China tightens trading rules on forex, stock markets http://reut.rs/1VvzuKH |
http://www.punchng.com/news/nigeria-risks-economic-decline-buhari/ President Muhammadu Buhari on Tuesday warned that with the fall in oil prices, Nigeria risked economic decline, if it failed to manage its resources prudently. Buhari gave the warning during a meeting with members of the Institute of Chartered Accountants of Nigeria at the Presidential Villa, Abuja. |
FannySwindler:I will advise you take a break and enjoy your loot then patiently wait for it at sub N3:50k else you will lose both your profit with some of your capital. Don't say I didn't warn you. |
angelo82:Today Brent is currently gaining close to 4% so it has changed. Im into forex / commodity trading. So BLOOMBERG time delays a bit. |
Elai147:On point they have finish eating the meat now looking for who to give the bone. The same where way STARCOMMS enlisted @ N14. Today where are they? Well I pity those that still buy IPO. If not ask SEPLAT, Caverton shareholders to mention but few. |
Michael11stock:Tomorrow somebody will want to argue that STOCK MARKET is not one of the most organized gambling platform. This was the same SEPLAT that was enlist last year April with all the hypes @N576 per Share now trades @N230 |
angelo82:Check again Brent is currently $44.57. 0ne thing most people fail to understand is there's actually another GLOBAL MELTDOWN going on but the powers that be are controlling it in a way that it won't boomerang like the previous ones, In order words this time around it happening on a slow and steady basis. that's why we keep witnessing a new low frm time to time. ![]() |
otokx:With what is happening globally now I see OANDO dropping below N6 and if anybody decide to buy above that price you are on your own. *ThE OcToPuS * |
angelo82:http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-09-01/oil-retreats-below-45-as-u-s-stockpiles-seen-exacerbating-glut |
The Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) today launched a high-end listing board that will showcase the stock market's largest and most liquid companies. Zenith Bank, Dangote Cement and FBN Holdings have just listed on the Premium Board after going through some verification process. http://www.cnbcafrica.com/news/western-africa/2015/08/25/nse-haruna-jalo-waziri-premium-board/ Infact with the way FBNH has been nose-diving i thought they were going bankcrutcy but when i saw the above news it made me to quickly launch DEEP @N5:30k lastweek thursday. ![]() I'm now with high hopes the ELEPHANT will surely take us to N18 within the next 18mths ![]() |
passwelle:From onset the daily price-band movement used to be maximum of -5% or +5%. Then around mid 2012 the first set of MARKET MAKERS were introduced, They were precisely 10 in number. It was exactly that period the daily price-band was extended to -10.25 or +10.25 maximum. They started with only 16 Stocks few weeks later 9 more stocks was added making 25. from there up to 43stocks before every stock on NSE was included. So pull your acts together and don't get yourself confuse thats why today a lot get their fingers burnt in NSE . Same way i said sell in MAY and GO away you guys labelled it TUMBUM-TUMBUM analysis now what is happening? Well over one decade in NSE and still waxing strong is no child's play, those that refuse to learnt from others experience will definitely learn the hard way. I rest my case. *ThE OcToPuS* |
stokfrick:The rule started mid-2012 with the introduction of 10 market markers and only 16 equities were included. |
angelo82:Got my 1st batch of FBNH last thursday @ N5:30k ![]() |
passwelle:Stop loss is meant for short term traders, if not I would advice him to starve his loss by averaging down since the price is low. I bought my OANDO btw N32 and N9:20k my average currently stood @ N13:28k after 14months of waiting game. |
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-25/nigeria-s-currency-needs-devaluation-guaranty-trust-bank-says Nigeria needs to devalue the naira as falling oil prices and the global markets rout this week mean the currency’s exchange rate is unsustainable, according to biggest local bank by market value. “There’s only one way the currency can go,” Segun Agbaje, chief executive officer of Lagos-based Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, said in a conference call on Tuesday. “As a country, we have to make the difficult decision. At the current oil price and with what’s happening in the world, we’ll have to deal with some measure of devaluation.” A devaluation of about 10 percent against the dollar would be enough for the naira to “settle,” he said. |
lancee:Thank God most of you are now seeing what some of us have been witnessing over the past 10yrs. 2moro somebody will come here to argue with me STOCK MARKET is not one of the most organized gambling platform. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/11824478/Black-Monday-fears-come-back-to-spook-panicked-investors.html Above all you people should bear in mind that the market is still heading to 20000 basis point bcuz September is school fees period. ![]() I strongly believe things will start looking up after November MPC meeting by then both devaluation and fuel subsidy removal might ve take place ![]() *ThE OcToPuS*
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Elai147:Yea the market is now the long term investors delight and this actually the time to break bank but try to avoid companies that will go bankrupt though what is holding some of us from launching deep is dollar rate, So we are watching with keen interest till CBN is ready to play balls. ![]() |
ogadeolu:As at today (25th Aug 2015) dollar transfer rate to Dubai is #235 per USD. Its cheap in Nigeria but getting it across the boarder is where the problem lies. I laugh so hard at those that falls for CBN propaganda that Naira has appreciated unless they want to tell me u can now spend dollar In the streets of Lagos. By and large CBN policy has indirectly turn dollar into a sort of cocaine business. ![]() |
PETERiCHY:http://www.punchng.com/business/business-economy/august-salaries-for-federal-workers-may-be-delayed/ The source said the delay in holding the meeting was due to revenue challenges, which the country had been grappling with in the last few months. There have been persistent shutdowns and shut-in of trunks and pipelines at various oil and gas terminals, which have had a negative impact on revenue performance. A top government official told our correspondent on Monday that a majority of the revenue-generating agencies had yet to remit any money to the federation account. It was learnt that the meeting, which was originally scheduled to hold last week, could not be held because enough revenue had not been remitted to the federation account. The official said, You know we have been having revenue challenges and the money we usually share is taken from the federation account, which is funded by revenue-generating agencies. Some of these agencies are still generating revenues and as of last week when the meeting was supposed to be held, we couldnt hold it because there was not enough revenue for sharing. |
Bloomberg - U.S. Stocks Fall as Exchanges Open; S&P 500 Index Loses 3.4% http://bloom.bg/1LvzDMm U.S. stocks fell at the start of trading, as measured by the Standard & Poor's 500 Index, at 9:31 a.m. New York time. The S&P 500 dropped 3.4 percent to 1,903.41. There were 0 stocks that rose and 145 that fell. Apple Inc, down 11.1 percent to $94.07, led the decline. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 3.3 percent to 15,924.66. For the year, the S&P 500 has lost 7.6 percent. The Dow has dropped 10.7 percent. |
PETERiCHY:Bloomberg - Brent Crude Falls Below $45 for First Time Since 2009 on Surplus http://bloom.bg/1Je6dwl ![]() |
ogbs2020love:Weather you buy a car or not that's your own necessity. My only advice for you bcuz of your wife and child is to pull 80% of that 5m from NSE and look for a real business. then keep the remaining 20% for this the more you look the less you see business. |
angrybull:http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/markets/11819812/Markets-Black-Monday-China-panic-grips-investors-rouble-collapses-and-stocks-undergo-selling-bloodbath-live.html Shanghai composite falls as much as 9pc - reversing yearly gains ; More than $5 trillion has been wiped off global stocks since Aug 11 |
angelo82:Well to start with the stocks you mentioned in 2007 (FORTE OIL) which was former known as (AP) traded above N300. UNITYBANK traded above N10 FBNH traded above N70 ZENITH traded above N70 ACCESS traded above N30 GTB traded above N70 For further enquiry ask the shareholders of ALLSTATES TRUST BANK. FINBANK. AFRIBANK. SPRINGBANK. OCEANIC BANK. INTERCONTINENTAL BANK. BANK PHB just to mention but few i think they will explain better. |
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carpenter:STOCK MARKET is the most organized gambling platform. That's why it's best you invest your idle fund and have your peace of mind except you have an authentic inside informaton. For salary earners you see it as a project by setting aside a particular percent % of ur salary, just like the way you pay your tithe. On the long run God been by your side, Your ROI might even be more 1000%. But for those that take it as a FULLTIME business bear in mind you have decided to play BABA-IJEBU with you life and that amounts to signing your own death warrant. *ThE OcToPuS* |
A Way Forward It is now evident that the naira is overvalued and will continue to depreciate unless the supply-demand dynamics are adjusted and the domestic manufacturing industry becomes competitive on the international front. First on the list is subsidy removal. Removal of the fuel subsidy will reduce the import bill by 21% as well as the importation of refined crude products, as importers will have to bear the cost of oil price volatility and exchange rate depreciation. In conclusion, the weakening of the naira is partly as a result of internal imbalances arising from import dependence, an uncompetitive manufacturing industry and over-reliance on oil for foreign earnings. Taken together, if these issues are eliminated simultaneously by removing the fuel subsidy, encouraging the manufacturing sector and adopting a free floating exchange rate, the naira will be on track to recovery and trading at a fair value. http://www.proshareng.com/news/28317.html |
Michael11stock:Imagine because of a 15-20% Naira devaluation that would ve brought in a lot of FDI funds into the market to prop-up the economy. Now most investors are losing over 50% of their portfolio and at the end of the day NAIRA will still be adjusted. While CBN kept telling us that the reserve is growing, that's what you get from a government that is built on lies and propaganda. ![]() |
myjoy08:Mind you i still have some fund in NSE in other words devaluation will affect me as well. So you ought to look at the bigger picture and stop being emotional. I made it clear a week before the general election that a lot of funds has left the market and they are now on the sidelines waiting for the right time. One of the major reasons Nigeria economy is suffocating is simply because NAIRA is not yet right and we are now witnessing the adverse effect of CBN stubborness. |
http://businessdayonline.com/2015/08/dollar-shortage-reality-bites-from-large-firms-to-small-traders/ Dollar shortage reality bites from large firms to small traders Nigerian businesses large and small are beginning to feel the impact of the current dollar shortage and devaluation in the black foreign exchange FX market . Since the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) cut dollar access to importers of 41 types of goods, ranging from private jets to rice, Eurobonds and foreign shares, importers say they have been unable to pay suppliers, while elevated demand in the black market has led to the naira trading as low as N240 per dollar. The cash deposit restrictions placed on Nigerians operating domiciliary accounts has also meant most traders have been unable to order for goods as quickly as before. “I used to be able to easily send money to the U.S for my partner to ship my goods down,” said Solomon Ndubuisi, a dealer in imported female bags and shoes, in a downtown Lagos market known as Balogun. “The CBN daily withdrawal limit of $300 has changed all that now and I have to wait for up to three weeks to gather a reasonable sum. The black market rates are expensive and we can’t really increase prices because customers are not buying as much anymore.” The more than 50 percent slide in oil prices since 2014 has negatively hit government spending and its trickledown effect to consumer spending in Africa’s largest economy. The dollar shortage that the fall in hard currency earnings has caused has led to a huge premium for dollars sold on the black market which is slowing down trade and consumption that make up a big chunk of Nigeria’s GDP. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimates Africa’s largest economy will expand by 4.8 percent in 2015, less than the 6.8 percent of 2014. For larger companies operating in the country, a big problem is the pressure on earnings from the naira drop. “Nigerian Breweries (NB) reported its 1H FY15 numbers which were poor across the board,” Renaissance Capital Analysts Omair Ansari and Olaloye Oyawoye, said in a July 23 note. “We have lowered our industry and company growth forecasts for FY15 and FY16 as the consumer remains severely constrained. We expect further downside to margins, given pressure on the naira.” Shoprite Holdings Ltd.’s said in the statement yesterday that Nigerian sales “were negatively affected by the drop in oil prices and the currency depreciating against the U.S. dollar.” MTN Group Ltd., Africa’s largest wireless operator, said on August 5 first-half profit declined 11 percent, missing analysts’ estimates, as sales fell in the company’s largest market and foreign-exchange movements in the rand against the naira weighed on earnings. The naira has fallen some 22 percent in the past year on the interbank market, to N199 per dollar. Nigeria’s dollar reserves are down one-fifth to $31.6 billion since the end of September 2014. Investors have sold down stocks of companies operating in Nigeria as a result of the dollar availability uncertainty. The Nigeria Stock Exchange declined by 2.59 percent to 29,909.44 points on Monday, dragging the index to a four month low, of -13.70 percent. “We believe investors are apprehensive of the current risk- return profile of the Nigerian economy, especially with falling global oil prices, unstable exchange rate and the uncertain policy direction of the current government,” said Meristem Securities analysts in a Aug 17 market update. "TRUTH IS BITTER BUT IT SETS YOU FREE" ![]() |
Nigerian central bank Governor Godwin Emefiele is losing the battle to prevent the naira from going the way of other oil-dependent currencies. After imposing trading restrictions in February to prevent dollars from fleeing the economy, importers have been unable to pay suppliers, a thriving black market has sprung up in foreign banknotes and teachers have gone unpaid. The naira has been stable over the past six months since the central bank introduced regulations to halt a 20 percent decline in the currency in the 12 months through Feb. 12 to a record low of 206.32 per dollar. That’s heaping pressure on the authorities to ditch the rules and let the naira weaken alongside Russia’s ruble, Colombia’s peso and Norway’s krone. Forwards prices suggest the currency of Africa’s biggest oil producer will tumble 15 percent within six months and 25 percent over the next year. “Their currency is still very overvalued and so they’re going to remain under pressure to allow it to depreciate,” said Gareth Brickman, an analyst at Stamford, Connecticut-based ETM Analytics. The central bank has fought depreciation “tooth and nail, every step of the way,” he said. Emefiele, 54, has said the exchange rate is “appropriate” and argues that allowing it to weaken would stoke inflation in a country that imports almost all its manufactured goods. The strong currency and a scarcity of dollars are hurting growth, which the International Monetary Fund estimates will be 4.8 percent in 2015, less than half the average over the past decade. Traders are speculating Emefiele will have to change tack and abandon efforts to crack down on speculators. He bolstered the rules after a strategy of burning through foreign reserves failed to stop the naira sliding to a record 206.32 per dollar on Feb. 12. Devaluation Forecasts ETM’s Brickman predicts the central bank will be forced to devalue the currency by about 10 percent by year-end to 220 per dollar, from 199.05 at the market close in Lagos on Monday. Currency trading has “dropped dramatically” under the new rules, said Craig Thompson, a broker at Nyon, Switzerland-based Continental Capital Markets SA. “It’s a fraction of what used to go through.” The trading curbs, together with the more than 50 percent drop in oil prices since mid-2014, are weighing heavily on Nigeria, which relies on crude for almost all its foreign earnings. Banks are increasingly wary of lending to individuals and Nigeria’s main stock index has dropped 16 percent since the start of April, matching the decline in the whole of 2014. Ibrahim Mu’azu, a spokesman for Nigeria’s central bank, defended its currency policy and said authorities would meet companies’ legitimate demand for foreign exchange. Scrapping the rules is all but inevitable to many traders, making a weaker naira an obvious bet. Standard Chartered Plc, which gets more than half its revenue from emerging markets, predicts a decline to 222 by year-end, while Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees it falling to about 230. Forward prices compiled by Bloomberg signal levels of 228.15 in six months and 248.5 in a year. Emefiele, a former chief executive officer of Zenith Bank Plc -- Nigeria’s second-biggest lender by market value -- isn’t the only African policy maker trying to protect his currency against the drop in oil. Angola’s kwanza, which has slumped 23 percent in the past year, has been little changed this month as the nation props up the exchange rate by spending reserves. As with the naira, that’s just storing up losses for the future, said John Ashbourne, an Africa economist at London-based advisory firm Capital Economics Ltd. He sees the naira falling as much as 8 percent to 210-215 per dollar and the kwanza losing up to 15 percent of its value by year-end. China’s yuan devaluation this month has increased pressure on their central banks to devalue, Ashbourne said. “The currencies were both too strong before,” he said. “They’re still too strong.” http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-17/pressure-building-on-nigeria-as-naira-out-of-step-with-oil-peers A STITCH IN TIME SAVES NINE ![]() |
http://nairametrics.com/analysis-has-the-cbn-lost-its-independence/ [ANALYSIS] Has The CBN Lost its Independence? | NAIRAMETRICS Meanwhile black market dealers are selling the dollar at near N225 never mind Emefieles moves to eliminate them by cutting trees. In basic economics when a good becomes scarce, the price must adjust higher to reduce demand and force substitutes. The CBN has refused to adjust the naira currency, even when the price of oil has plummeted therefore reducing the availability of dollars in Nigeria. It has also made matters worse by limiting the ability of ordinary Nigerians to freely operate their dollar denominated accounts. In effect creeping capital controls Analysts are now calling for further fall in oil prices to perhaps test the $30 mark. Nigerias currency the Naira has historically tracked the global oil price. The CBN must know that it is fighting a war it cannot win against global headwinds (strong dollar, weak Chinese growth) that have affected all EM currencies from the South African Rand to the Brazilian Real. Markets must be made to believe that when the CBN speaks it has a coherent credible agenda, devoid of political interference. Investors are now paying the price, at the end of the day CBN will have no choice than to devalue the NAIRA. ![]() |
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