They all have APC governors.. who do you think will win?

Hmm south west is always hard, even ribadu won osun that year..

One thing is sure, there won't be bloc votes like southeast

Binikingdowm:
They all have APC governors.. who do you think will win?

Atiku will win Lagos and Ondo state, he will do credibly well in other southwestern states

South vote will be shared between APC and PDP but PMB will win with a slight margin let say ratio 55-45

south south = northwest
south east = middle belt + north east (buhari is not likely to get massive vote from this two regions but would still win both)

south west= The decider..
from the body language so far, the only state Atiku is likely to get a draw from is Lagos.

let's face it, atiku don loose..

I don't know for anywhere else o but Atiku will convincingly win the five local government in Ogbomosho.Forget the Osibanjo factor. We no send am for here

Foolish Biafrans fooling themselves
Una go no say blocked vote de SW
Not just block vote

jumper524:
south south = northwest
south east = middle belt + north east (buhari is not likely to get massive vote from this two regions but would still win both)

south west= The decider..
from the body language so far, the only state Atiku is likely to get a draw from is Lagos.

let's face it, atiku don loose..

SW isn't the the decider but the 19northern states. Whoever wins in the north wins the election.

nwanyionitsha:
SW isn't the the decider but the 19northern states. Whoever wins in the north wins the election.

I beg to disagree with you. PMB won the North East and the North west in 2011 but he lost the election. He lost because he didn't win the middle belt and the south west.

This same scenario will play out in 2019. Buhari has since lost the middle belt and the south west.

Summarily, middle belt and south west will be the decider.

ziky2010:
I don't know for anywhere else o but Atiku will convincingly win the five local government in Ogbomosho.Forget the Osibanjo factor. We no send am for here

thank you for this, you even proved my point, I thought Oyo is the only state atiku won't get 40% in south west..

He'll win Lagos and ondo

Lol. See as Igbos and Benins are predictng where Atiku will win in the SW. I dey laugh o. Una eyes go soon clear.

Election cannot be won on social Media... We should have used Osun, Ondo and Ekiti as examples... These are seats vacated by PDP governors and APC even with social media noise against them, won those states.

Grass root mobilization is the key to election victory... This is where i respect Tinubu and Kwankwaso.

Many people will vote Atiku not because they like him or because he has visions but just to send Buhari to Daura.... This is d same mistake we made in 2015 by electing Buhari.

For me, i will vote Sowore instead of Atiku...

People and or electorates are turning deft hears to Atiku insisting on selling NNPC... Wuna eyes go clear...

I remember Atiku was handed over privatization by Obasanjo...

emmasege:
I beg to disagree with you. PMB won the North East and the North west in 2011 but he lost the election. He lost because he didn't win the middle belt and the south west.

This same scenario will play out in 2019. Buhari has since lost the middle belt and the south west.

Summarily, middle belt and south west will be the decider.

He only won in the north in 2011with not very large margins.

Anambralstson:

Atiku will win Lagos and Ondo state, he will do credibly well in other southwestern states

Jesus, same with my analysis..

What do you think about ekiti and Ogun states?

Excaperx:
Jesus, same with my analysis..

What do you think about ekiti and Ogun states?

In Ekiti, Oyo, Osun I see Atiku grabbing 40-45%, in Ogun state 30-35%

Anambralstson:

Atiku will win Lagos and Ondo state, he will do credibly well in other southwestern states

WOw how did you know he'll win in Ondo?? You reside here? I said it on several threads that if Buhari gets 40% in southwest they should call me bastard...and I mean it, the only places where he can get much votes are Osun and Oyo

If there is any state, Atiku might win,it's Osun.....

They have been known to vote at variance with the norms.....If my memory do not fail me,that was the only state in the SW that Ribadu won when he ran as President in the defunct ACN....

The elections of the Gubernatorial shows that they still can cause an upset.......
Overall,if not Osun.....Buhari will clear all...
Oyo....the difference will be too close...less than 12%
Ondo....close,less than 20%
Ekiti....that's where in my opinion Buhari will get his largest margin after Ogun state.....

Oyo,Osun,Ondo and Lagos....a slight Buhari win if Osun doesn't fall

Ogun....largest difference in favour of Buhari, followed by Ekiti....

kaluxy007:


WOw how did you know he'll win in Ondo?? You reside here? I said it on several treads that if Buhari gets 40% in southwest they should call me bastard...and I mean it, the only places where he can get much votes are Osun and Oyo

Can I call you Bastard ahead of next week?

You will cry blood next year. Meanwhile, I will deactivate my account here if Atiku gets above 35% in the South West.

Who will deliver the votes i n Ekiti for Atiku?

Who will deliver the votes for Atiku in Oyo?

Who will deliver the votes for Atiku in Ondo?

Who willl deliver the votes for Atiku in Lagos?

Who will deliver the votes Atiku in Osun?

Who will deliver the votes for Atiku in Ogun state? Don't even mention Obasanjo...

jumper524:
south south = northwest
south east = middle belt + north east (buhari is not likely to get massive vote from this two regions but would still win both)

south west= The decider..
from the body language so far, the only state Atiku is likely to get a draw from is Lagos.

let's face it, atiku don loose..

Atiku will win NC and if you add NE with that, by aggregate, Atiku will still win.


Only NW will buhari win 60:40. SW 50:50.

SS/SE will be blowout in favor of Atiku.

Atiku will suffer heavy defeat in the south west
Even Jonathan , after all the Heli dollars
Come to Ibadan,ado,RKO,akure,Abeokuta Oshogbo.. To see
Feb 16...is v close
It shall not be well with PDP in the south west
No single projects.. in all the 16 yres of misrule
Let obj..presents one of his children in Ogun central and see humiliation
Where is senator iyabo obj...lost completely.....

Atiku will suffer heavy defeat in the south west
Even Jonathan , after all the Heli dollars
Come to Ibadan,ado,RKO,akure,Abeokuta Oshogbo.. To see
Feb 16...is v close
It shall not be well with PDP in the south west
No single projects.. in all the 16 yres of misrule
Let obj..presents one of his children in Ogun central and see humiliation
Where is senator iyabo obj...lost completely.......

nwanyionitsha:
He only won in the north in 2011with not very large margins.

He has always won the north.

paq1:


Atiku will win NC and if you add NE with that, by aggregate, Atiku will still win.


Only NW will buhari win 60:40. SW 50:50.

SS/SE will be blowout in favor of Atiku.

Nobody should argue with this bigot.

Cajal:
Atiku will suffer heavy defeat in the south west
Even Jonathan , after all the Heli dollars
Come to Ibadan,ado,RKO,akure,Abeokuta Oshogbo.. To see
Feb 16...is v close
It shall not be well with PDP in the south west
No single projects.. in all the 16 yres of misrule
Let obj..presents one of his children in Ogun central and see humiliation
Where is senator iyabo obj...lost completely.......

Atiku will not even afford Polling units agents in about 35% of the units..Tell me how he would win,?

fergie001:
If there is any state, Atiku might win,it's Osun.....

They have been known to vote at variance with the norms.....If my memory do not fail me,that was the only state in the SW that Ribadu won when he ran as President in the defunct ACN....

The elections of the Gubernatorial shows that they still can cause an upset.......
Overall,if not Osun.....Buhari will clear all...
Oyo....the difference will be too close...less than 12%
Ondo....close,less than 20%
Ekiti....that's where in my opinion Buhari will get his largest margin after Ogun state.....

Oyo,Osun,Ondo and Lagos....a slight Buhari win if Osun doesn't fall

Ogun....largest difference in favour of Buhari, followed by Ekiti....

If atiku will win because of osun polls dynamics,buhari will win anambra since apc came 2nd behind pdp.

Clerverly:


Atiku will not even afford Polling units agents in about 35% of the units..Tell me how he would win,?

Pdp have little or no presence in ondo.where they were strong in ondo south,sowore will get a lot of votes there.atiku wont get more than 40% in the west.his best showing will be in ekiti and lagos while his heaviest defeat will come from oyo...

senatordave1:

If atiku will win because of osun polls dynamics,buhari will win anambra since apc came 2nd behind pdp.

Your way nah,always jumping into conclusions....

You did not see when I wrote that Osun was the only state,Ribadu won even when others went the other way..........

ziky2010:
I don't know for anywhere else o but Atiku will convincingly win the five local government in Ogbomosho.Forget the Osibanjo factor. We no send am for here

...which local government
Ogbomosho north...where fatai bhuari will emerge..as senator elect
As well as ogbo South..
Orire has the present speaker. Oyo state assembly..
Ogoluwa and surulere...where there is bonvic....YEYEOGE...APC...
FORGET...
EVEN AKALA THAT OWNS OGBOMOSHO IN TERMS OF VOTING POPULATION... IS WORKING FOR PMB
HIS SON..OLAMIJUWONLO...IS THE CHAIRMAN OGBOMOSHO NORTH...APC
MAYBE ATIKU MAY WIN A polling UNIT..at..ILE EWE

senatordave1:

Pdp have little or no presence in ondo.where they were strong in ondo south,sowore will get a lot of votes there.atiku wont get more than 40% in the west.his best showing will be in ekiti and lagos while his heaviest defeat will come from oyo...

Don't sit in Akwa Cross and be quoting........

Oyo has a good number of pdp especially because of Makinde....
There is more pdp presence in Oyo than Ogun sef.......

senatordave1:

Pdp have little or no presence in ondo.where they were strong in ondo south,sowore will get a lot of votes there.atiku wont get more than 40% in the west.his best showing will be in ekiti and lagos while his heaviest defeat will come from oyo...

Guy, allow them to keep deluding themselves. Lol. PDP is practically dead in Ondo, while in Lagos APC will make a loud statement with this coming election,go and write it down. I am currently in Oyo state and Atiku will be very lucky to get 20% here. Even non-Ajimobi supporters are waiting to vote for Buhari. This election is not just about Buhari. Yoruba can clearly see that they have no stake in the Atiku project. Voting Atiku would be tantamount to gong back to the GEJ days when the SW was marginalized. That is what is at stake here. Igbo and SS are free to vote Atiku and if he wins with their votes goodluck to them. But SW are APC and and staying APC at least for this coming election.

Clerverly:


Can I call you Bastard ahead of next week?

You will cry blood next year. Meanwhile, I will deactivate my account here if Atiku gets above 35% in the South West.

Who will deliver the votes i n Ekiti for Atiku?

Who will deliver the votes for Atiku in Oyo?

Who will deliver the votes for Atiku in Ondo?

Who willl deliver the votes for Atiku in Lagos?

Who will deliver the votes Atiku in Osun?

Who will deliver the votes for Atiku in Ogun state? Don't even mention Obasanjo...

Who delivered the votes for Adeleke in osun? Abegi pdp is the people's party with structure and presence all over Nigeria.