₦airaland Forum

Anybody that cannot see that Iran came out on top in this war is delusional.

This was always going to be the consequence of one man having monopoly over the refining of oil.,

From "unconditional surrender" to a two-week cease-fire deal on Iran's terms.

Trump was making noise all along; he understood the cost of attacking Iran was too high, and I doubt anyone will be attacking Iran again anytime soon. In all of this, it is Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Iranians against the regime that lose the most, because the regime is still in place and angrier than ever.

Trump is increasingly getting desperate. The frustrations in his recent tweets are almost palpable.
It is clear that Trump doesn't want to do this, but if the Iranians don't play ball, he can't back down on his threats without losing credibility, and so he has to do something.
The problem, though, is that Iran has shown that they are willing and able to reciprocate any kind of damage inflicted upon them on the Gulf states. This would have enormous impact not just in the middle east but on the global economy.

Why are people angry at this guy? I understand that his reporting is one-sided, but he is not wrong. After the recent killings in Jos, it is clear more than ever that we need a lot of voices to speak up. Even Nigerians that the thing is happening to seem to have lost their voices, yet you are all trying so hard to silence the one voice that has been brave enough to speak up, and he is not even a Nigerian himself.

You are just reaffirming my point. It's how our brains evolved: always focusing on the things that are not right. It is what drives human evolution and civilization. There are a lot of examples from this same Nigeria in the 50s, 80s, early 2000s, and now that I could use to buttress this point, but I really don't have the energy to type this evening. Not just Nigeria; if you look at even the countries we look up to, their citizens still say the same thing: their country is worse than it was in so-and-so era. It's always like that. Even in our personal lives, it's like that. I am not saying we are where we would want to be or that we should stop holding our governments accountable. But to think we are where we are or worse than we were 20 or 50 years ago is what psychologists describe as negativity bias or rosy retrospection.

lionshare:
I can’t believe any rational, thinking person would argue this. It’s like those old folks waxing nostalgic about walking miles to fetch river water—you get the sentiment, but nobody wants to go back.
This is an even bigger red flag on Nigeria’s educational outcomes. If a graduate thinks this way, they should forfeit their certificate on the spot.
How can society advance when some half-literate people seem to prefer GPRS speed to 5G? Utter madness!

This is an objective fact. But the human brain is programmed to always focus on the negative experience, so it's very hard to see progress.

If Kwankwaso declares Gawuna as his candidate and the current governor somehow loses to him. It will go down as one of the most humiliating defeats in the history of Nigerian politics.

You are correct. But don't forget that Gawuna built what would be considered his own following base during the last election, who will invariably decamp to the ADC with him.
Moreover, Gawuna is already a battle-tested politician whose name on a ballot will carry more weight than, say, an Abdusallam Gwarzo. I believe Kwankwaso will factor this in when picking his candidate. He cannot afford to lose Kano at any cost now, even if Gawuna would not be his preferred choice due to their history; he is his strongest option.

adioolayi:
Mr Nasir Gawuna ...with over 800k votes .. aligning with elections veteran like Kwankwoso in Kano is a plus.

Should this addition naturally translate into increase huge figures...the answer is No.

The reasons sre simple...The only force here is still Kwankwoso and not Gawuna.
This is because, Gawuna reportedly only managed to win his ward in an elections he was on the ballot...he lost 11 wards and lost his LGA in the last elections. NNPP candidate backed by this same Kwankwoso won in 11 wards and this LGA.

So, I believe it is Kwankwoso's figures he will inherit. Kwankwoso needs him as a candidate to run Kano gubernatorial..and that's all.

My own permutations...if there are no other defections from APC to ADC....I think Governor Kabiru has a chance.....teaming up with Ganduje and other APC's heavyweight...his own performance ratings will be decisive to know if he can defeat Kwankwoso.

For now, Gawuna is not adding any electoral figures to Kwankwoso

You really understand the implications of this war for the US. Any little miscalculation will be the beginning of their end as a world empire. That is why this war was avoided by all former US presidents in the last 40 years: because there is so much to lose and very little to gain. I believe that it is inevitable that the US will have to send in ground troops to try to topple the regime or at least secure the Strait of Hormuz, and in all honesty, I can't foresee how that will be possible. Iran will always be able to carry out insurgent attacks on the strait, which will invariably affect shipping. Nonetheless, America has just put itself in a difficult situation that could potentially be the end of the petrodollar system as we know it and with it the end of American hegemony.

You suggested China could be the new global hegemon, but I really don't see that happening; Chinese society is very conservative and inward-looking, not really caring much about the rest of the world. They will dominate the global economy for sure, but I don't see them stepping into the role of America as "world police." Israel is a more likely contender for that role; they have the political will and means to do so. However, we might also see the reawakening of Europe, stepping back into their old role. Anything can happen, and it all depends on the outcome of this war. From an African perspective, all we can say is "May the best man win."

RoadMozart:
Anyone who finally controls the Strait of Hormuz will control the next 100 years in the world. This is a fight for the new world order. Why?

The Strait of Hormuz controls 25% of world energy. And since its partial closure by Iran, oil prices have surged 100%. And Iran is asking that any tanker that wants to pass should trade its oil in Chinese currency instead of the dollar. They are trying to collapse the dollar. Because he who controls trade routes controls the world economy.

In 1453, the Ottoman Empire captured Constantinople. They blocked the shipping harbor and taxed them and became the greatest empire at that time. Then the Europeans discovered another sea route around the Cape of Good Hope and took their goods through it. Then they bypassed the Ottoman chokepoint (checkpoint) and once the trade routes shifted, the Empire slowly declined.

In 1956, another dominant power started losing credibility. It was the Suez Canal crisis. The major route for energy into Europe. Britain controlled the canal, but when Egypt nationalized it, Britain tried to take it back. When the United States failed to support it, the world understood that Britain was no longer the world power. In just one week, Britain lost 104 million pounds in their treasury, trying to defend their currency. Within weeks, they lost over 200 million pounds and never recovered. In 1950, the pound represented 90% of all global currency, but today it's less than 5%.

In 1973, the oil embargo crisis exploded oil from $3 to $12 a barrel and USA inflation surged to 11%. Then the United States changed the world order by the Petrodollar system. They struck a deal with Saudi Arabia that oil must be priced in dollars and in return, the USA would provide protection in all Gulf regions. Then all nations were forced to hold the dollar in their foreign reserves if they wanted energy. This system will only work if the United States can protect the trade routes in the Gulf, and now that system is being tested by Iran. So if the USA can't control the Strait of Hormuz and Iran does, the world will believe that the USA has lost its power and the implications are massive.

Before now, all world foreign reserves were in dollars, but now they have fallen to under 60% as money has moved to other assets.

Now, China is quiet behind the scenes. But they have built a system of international payments that has already processed over $50 billion in transactions in their own currency, yuan. They are now buying 90% of Iran's oil in yuan. So when Iran says oil must be bought in yuan, it's a challenge to the US dollar dominance. If the USA fails to win this war and control Hormuz, China will become the next world power and the dollar will collapse. And a new empire will begin.

That is why Trump is sending ground troops into the Middle East to protect the Gulf and to gain control of the strait and to defend the USA empire - the dollar, and USA will remain the world power for the next 100 years until another threats come by if they win.

Deliverance from what exactly, from the common sense to know that religion is a man-made invention? No, thank you.

Texcyndy:
My friend go for deliverance

This man is either just really living in denial or is using this window to strategize. I suspect he is strategizing. There is no peace to be made in this war; the gap between their interests is just too massive for any diplomacy or negotiation to bring any lasting peace. This war cannot end in a stalemate; there must be a victor and a vanquished. One party has to completely yield to the other's demands; anything less than that is just another war brewing in the next 10-15 years.

Says the person who just said, "The One who fight for Israel is God Himself. Who can defend you when God is against you." Is there a greater witchcraft than believing the nonsense you just wrote.

Texcyndy:
You have been bewitched if you don't understand what is going on

See watin human being dey talk. Religion is indeed the opium of the masses.

Texcyndy:
Iran that is suffering is still saying they reject peace. They should continue to fight and suffer more. God is leading them to their downfall just like He hardened the heart of Pharaoh until he was destroyed.
Stubborn goats. I pity those who support them. They will all suffer together. The One who fight for Israel is God Himself. Who can defend you when God is against you.

Oga respect yourself oo

So where is the "productive talks with Iran to end the war" coming from

From "unconditional surrender" to "productive talks on ending the war." What a turn of fate.

From "unconditional surrender" to "productive talks on ending the war." What a turn of fate.

Anything to reduce the fuel price, abeg, from N790 to 1400 in less than a month. On top watin no concern us

There is really a lot of tension around this war

There is no clear victory in sight for America. Anyhow you look at it, the only thing that will be considered a victory for the Americans is a complete regime change, in which they will install an Iranian version of Delcy Rodríguez, someone who will bend the knee to America. Anything less than that is a failure. It doesn't matter how many generals they kill or military assets they "obliterate"; as long as the system remains intact, Iran will always be able to rebuild, and this time they will be more motivated than ever.

I believe Trump understands this; from the way he has been talking, calling NATO cowards, it is clear he wants the war to be over as soon as possible. He is at a crossroads now, and there is no easy choice. It's either he simply declear Military victory over Iran and ends the war, giving a now wounded and vengeful Iranian regime time to heal and recover or send in ground troops to finish off the regime now that they are weaker than they will be in the next 10 years. This will cost a very significant number of American lives, a price I think he will be reluctant to pay.

In any case, either of his options comes with an unpredictable risk.

They do not deserve the honor of using them as cadavers to teach students. They should be fed to wild animals in the zoo; that would be more fitting, I guess.

DrChukki:
Any of these terrorists killed should be processed into manure for farmers or sent to a university laboratory as cadaver for Anatomy practicals.

We shouldn't just commit them to vultures after all their atrocities

More power to the elbows of our gallant troops. I know many Nigerians don't think much of them, but those guys are really trying; if not for them, those terrorists would have taken over Aso Rock by now. It was when I watched a documentary about some of the efforts, risks, and sacrifices they make in fighting Boko Haram that I started appreciating them a little bit more. An average Nigerian soldier with the correct tools and is not being sabotaged, can hold his ground against any other military man on this continent.

War is really a bad thing

Omo, even as our democracy bad reach, e better pass this nonsense wey North Korea dey do.

You people are simply not serious.

Senegal doesn't deserve the trophy. At the time I didn't think what the did was a big deal, but looking back it was a terrible behavior, that belittles the AFCON... Such a thing is unimaginable at the EUROs or even CONMEBOL, no matter how bad a referees decision is, highest the players will do is complain, complain, complain and still continue the match. Why must our own be different.

Believe what you will. I just hope we see the end of this ugly chapter in our country's torrid history.

smileyoo:
it's not just another conspiracy theory but facts, confirmed by realities and personalities.
1: sheik gunmi said that the government know the leaders of the terrorists / bandits and their addresses , why is the government not going after the leaders of these terrorists known by the government?
2: during the pdp days Gej complained that they were boko-harram people in his government .
3: the government received the list of 400 terrorists sponsors from one of this Arab countries, but the government is still sitting upon that list, without any arrests or prosecutions .
4: No nation can tolerate her citizens to be frequently killed and kidnapped without discovering the root cause of the carnage and bringing the culprits to the temple of justice.
5: only in Nigeria we hear of dialogue with terrorists, safe corridor for repentant terrorists, even when they are still killing Nigerians, what about the victims of terrorists in Nigeria ?
all these above mentioned few facts, only points to a compromised system.
Boko-harram made their objective known - the total Islamization of Nigeria, and they have been killing Nigerians because of that.

This is another conspiracy theory, and I am not one for it. What is a fact is that northern Muslims are not accepting an Islamic state. If the north were really interested in an Islamic state, it would have gotten it even before independence or during the civil war. The north could have simply broken away and created their Islamic state, and everybody goes home with what they want. But no, the north fought like hell to keep Nigeria as a multi-religious society governed by a constitution that has no affiliations with religion.

Northerners have lived through the freedom and liberty democracy offers, and they would never accept an Islamic state. Moreover, it is the north that enjoys the dividends of democracy in this country. How can you possibly think that the elites and even average northerners would give that up to Boko Haram? Think.

smileyoo:
Mr man, process is the key.
it can only take them time, because it wouldn't happen in a jiffy .
infact the process is already in progress.
few years ago, Nigerians will never believe that these jihadists can invade communities kill hundreds of people, kidnapp more hundreds of people, without any single arrest by the authorities, but it almost daily occurrences now, and the vicious circle continue, because the system is compromised .
the process will always make sure the system is compromised to accommodate any abnormality, because the people who are supposed to be in-charge of your trusted system, are also part of the process.