₦airaland Forum

This one na see finish and na this Iran war cause am. Everybody don dey feel like say them fit talk back at the US.

Oga go and open Strait of Hormuz and stop disturbing world peace

Well, the reality is that Iran is currently fighting for its survival. At this point Iran's priority is not to make money off the strait; their main objective is to drive the cost of oil and gas higher to make the war expensive not just for America but for the entire world. Remember at the beginning of the war, Iran set out to push oil prices to $200 per barrel, and by "co-blocking" the strait with Iran, America is helping them achieve just that.

UzorIyke:
They can't humble America, America just want to blockade shipments from their country to other countries as they did to theirs, and also stopping that extortion using Chinese currency they want to implement.
This is greatest step from the US.

So it has finally dawned on Trump that military force cannot clear the Strait, so he has decided to join Iran in blocking it. Perfect.

Iran does not know what God did for them by giving them the Strait of Hormuz. They can now do what very few countries in the world can do: humble America.

I think it is actually one more reason why we should all work together to make Peter Obi president. Obidients think Peter Obi is some kind of Nelson Mandela or Patrice Lumumba. I've listened to that guy speak; he is not intelligent by any stretch of the imagination. If he doesn't become president, they will not let anybody hear word. Same way if Buhari had not ruled Nigeria and we all witnessed his failure together, his followers would have died on the mountain that if only Buhari had ruled Nigeria we would have been better than Dubai.

I want Obi to be president; in fact, I am voting for him in the next election. Let us all learn the lesson together.

seunmsg:
I had a good laugh reading the comments of obidients under the tweet. They went under the tweet to cry and curse. They never fail to disappoint. Looking at their negativity against our country, my resolve to ensure Peter Obi never becomes the president is even more solidified. It is now a task that must be done by all patriotic Nigerians.

This was always going to be the outcome; the distance between their demands is simply too wide to bridge.

You are just reaffirming my point. Iran understands they cannot fight Israel or the US, let alone both, in conventional warfare. So they resort to asymmetric warfare, where they attack America's weaker "friends" and block the Strait of Hormuz. They are not doing this to win against America's military might; they are doing it to hurt America's interests enough to get them to back off. So when a porcupine spreads its quills when threatened by a predator, it's not doing it to win the fight but to inflict just enough pain to make the predator back off.

business360:
Are you sure you are studying the war? Iran is attacking anything, including civilian.
Us-isreal are attacking their base, underground missile facility. Attacking the main people involved in the war.

I have never celebrated the death of a human being and never will. I do not wish death on Trump or Netanyahu. I am just telling the crux of the issue.

Moreover, America is the most powerful country not just on earth but in the history of human civilization. So for Iran to even survive their onslaught, leverage them, and bring them to the negotiating table is a remarkable feat. There is a very short list of countries in the world that can achieve that, and I mean very short.

Sermwell:
Would you be saying thIs if it was America that lost its leadership and military generals to Iran? Would you not have been celebrating that America is finished, even though you know that they can be replaced and America will move in fine?? Tell me!

I don't think so. Iran is not quite at the level where they would be regarded as a "superpower" in the real sense of the word, but they are a significant regional power. We can now see why Israel has been nervous about Iran; they are their only remaining obstacle to becoming the sole hegemon of the Middle East. Netanyahu said he has been dreaming about this war for 40 years.

I have never celebrated the death of a human being and never will. I do not wish death on Trump or Netanyahu. I am just telling the crux of the issue.

Moreover, America is the most powerful country not just on earth but in the history of human civilization. So for Iran to even survive their onslaught, leverage them, and bring them to the negotiating table is a remarkable feat. There is a very short list of countries in the world that can achieve that, and I mean very short.

[quote author=Sermwell post=139063566
Would you be saying thIs if it was America that lost its leadership and military generals to Iran? Would you not have been celebrating that America is finished, even though you know that they can be replaced and America will move in fine?? Tell me! [/quote]

You can't see past your nose. The Iranian government is structured in such a way that it does not revolve around individuals. Every single leader or general that was killed has been replaced by people with the same principles and ideology. In essence, the regime has survived the onslaught of not just Israel but also the US.

Everything Iran lost in this war, from drones to missiles and infrastructure, can be replenished in 10-20 years. They have the technical know-how, money, and political will; these are the most important things. Netanyahu understands this better than anyone; it would even be better if they didn't fight this war in the first place than to end it with this same Iranian regime still in control. They will be more emboldened, vengeful, and motivated than they were before.

Additionally, with their control over the Strait of Hormuz, Iran is in a much better position to negotiate now than they were before the war, which means they will likely get some form of sanction relief.

Sermwell:
You can keep deceiving yourselves, but Iran has suffered deadly blow in thIs war! Supreme leader gone, top military generals gone and the present leader incapacitated! What's left?

What are you even saying? Which one is "the war is between USA Israel and Russia China and North Korea". Shey na North Korea block the Strait of Hormuz or na for Russia, the US, and Israel dey drop bombs.

As for the second part of your statement, if you think Peter Obi or Atiku will do any different than Tinubu, then you cannot see beyond your nose.

Dantatanazzy007:
Oga the war is between USA Israel and Russia China and North Korea...no come here dey yearn dust...na your type go vote tinibu next year

Isn't it remarkable what Iran has been able to achieve in this war? The war started with "The US will accept nothing less than an unconditional surrender." Fast forward 40 days later and see what is coming out of JD Vance's mouth: "We are looking forward to the negotiations with Iran, and we are hoping they will be positive." There are many lessons to be learned from this. Iran has shown that war is not 1+1=2. There are many ways to fight a war, and if you play the cards at your disposal right, you might actually survive and even come out with a victory, even when your opponent is far superior to you in might.

Abba has delivered one of the biggest political shockers of our time. The same people that fought tooth and nail to rig the election you won in 2019 are the same people you have now handed over your government to after betraying the person who stood by you every step of the way since 2019 to 2023, when you had no name, no money, and no voice. Abeg, what is Tinubu promising all these governors.

Wow, this is really interesting. I guess Iran didn't realize all these years that they were already in possession of a weapon more powerful than any nuclear weapon. Just by blocking the Strait of Hormuz, they can hold the entire global economy to ransom. I don't think having a nuclear weapon can give them that much leverage.

Israel is the wild card in this ceasefire. They will never allow peace to reign in the Middle East.

What is there now to sit down and negotiate a permanent peace? Israel should leave their neighbors in peace and treat them with the same dignity as every other human being. Iran should forever give up their quest for nuclear weapons and limit their ballistic missile capabilities. Everybody wins. But no, you say you are God's chosen people and that he has promised you the land from the river Nile to the Euphrates 3,000 years ago. Oya go and carry na.

Trump and the US don't have problem. Even Iran self am sure if they really sit down and talk with one mind, they can iron this out very easily. But you see Israel, that is the real devil; they will never allow peace. Their own is from the "river to the sea" at all cost. Tufiakwa. Thank God say no be this continent them promise them, na we for dey collect.

I just said it. The US doesn't have problem. It is Israel that is the wild card here; they will always find a way to incite war. When somebody fundamentally and ideologically believes that he is "God's chosen people" and he has the right over the land from the river to the sea, how do you deal with that?

Israel's opposition leader, Yair Lapid, spent the whole of yesterday ranting over how Nethanyanhu has failed them. So you can imagine all the destruction Israel has done in the West Bank, Gaza, and Lebanon; yet the people of the country still believe it is not enough; they have failed because they didn't get the land from the river to the sea.

Elusive001:
Stop talking like an APC member.

Read what V.P. Vance said below.

Israel is the wild card in all of this. They will never allow peace to reign in the Middle East.

What is there now to sit down and negotiate a permanent peace? Israel should leave their neighbors in peace and treat them with the same dignity as every other human being. Iran should forever give up their quest for nuclear weapons and limit their ballistic missile capability. Everybody wins. But no, you say you are Gods chosen people and that he has promised you the land from the river nile to the Euphrates 3,000 years ago. Oya go and carry na.

Trump and US don't have problem. Even Iran self am sure if they really sit down and talk with one mind, they can iron this out very easily. But you see Israel, that is the real devil, they will never allow peace. Their own is from the "river to the sea" at all cost. Tufiakwa. Thank God say no be this continent them promise them, na we for dey collect.

Anybody that cannot see that Iran came out on top in this war is delusional.

This was always going to be the consequence of one man having monopoly over the refining of oil.,

From "unconditional surrender" to a two-week cease-fire deal on Iran's terms.

Trump was making noise all along; he understood the cost of attacking Iran was too high, and I doubt anyone will be attacking Iran again anytime soon. In all of this, it is Israel, Saudi Arabia, and Iranians against the regime that lose the most, because the regime is still in place and angrier than ever.

Trump is increasingly getting desperate. The frustrations in his recent tweets are almost palpable.
It is clear that Trump doesn't want to do this, but if the Iranians don't play ball, he can't back down on his threats without losing credibility, and so he has to do something.
The problem, though, is that Iran has shown that they are willing and able to reciprocate any kind of damage inflicted upon them on the Gulf states. This would have enormous impact not just in the middle east but on the global economy.

Why are people angry at this guy? I understand that his reporting is one-sided, but he is not wrong. After the recent killings in Jos, it is clear more than ever that we need a lot of voices to speak up. Even Nigerians that the thing is happening to seem to have lost their voices, yet you are all trying so hard to silence the one voice that has been brave enough to speak up, and he is not even a Nigerian himself.

You are just reaffirming my point. It's how our brains evolved: always focusing on the things that are not right. It is what drives human evolution and civilization. There are a lot of examples from this same Nigeria in the 50s, 80s, early 2000s, and now that I could use to buttress this point, but I really don't have the energy to type this evening. Not just Nigeria; if you look at even the countries we look up to, their citizens still say the same thing: their country is worse than it was in so-and-so era. It's always like that. Even in our personal lives, it's like that. I am not saying we are where we would want to be or that we should stop holding our governments accountable. But to think we are where we are or worse than we were 20 or 50 years ago is what psychologists describe as negativity bias or rosy retrospection.

lionshare:
I can’t believe any rational, thinking person would argue this. It’s like those old folks waxing nostalgic about walking miles to fetch river water—you get the sentiment, but nobody wants to go back.
This is an even bigger red flag on Nigeria’s educational outcomes. If a graduate thinks this way, they should forfeit their certificate on the spot.
How can society advance when some half-literate people seem to prefer GPRS speed to 5G? Utter madness!

This is an objective fact. But the human brain is programmed to always focus on the negative experience, so it's very hard to see progress.

If Kwankwaso declares Gawuna as his candidate and the current governor somehow loses to him. It will go down as one of the most humiliating defeats in the history of Nigerian politics.

You are correct. But don't forget that Gawuna built what would be considered his own following base during the last election, who will invariably decamp to the ADC with him.
Moreover, Gawuna is already a battle-tested politician whose name on a ballot will carry more weight than, say, an Abdusallam Gwarzo. I believe Kwankwaso will factor this in when picking his candidate. He cannot afford to lose Kano at any cost now, even if Gawuna would not be his preferred choice due to their history; he is his strongest option.

adioolayi:
Mr Nasir Gawuna ...with over 800k votes .. aligning with elections veteran like Kwankwoso in Kano is a plus.

Should this addition naturally translate into increase huge figures...the answer is No.

The reasons sre simple...The only force here is still Kwankwoso and not Gawuna.
This is because, Gawuna reportedly only managed to win his ward in an elections he was on the ballot...he lost 11 wards and lost his LGA in the last elections. NNPP candidate backed by this same Kwankwoso won in 11 wards and this LGA.

So, I believe it is Kwankwoso's figures he will inherit. Kwankwoso needs him as a candidate to run Kano gubernatorial..and that's all.

My own permutations...if there are no other defections from APC to ADC....I think Governor Kabiru has a chance.....teaming up with Ganduje and other APC's heavyweight...his own performance ratings will be decisive to know if he can defeat Kwankwoso.

For now, Gawuna is not adding any electoral figures to Kwankwoso

You really understand the implications of this war for the US. Any little miscalculation will be the beginning of their end as a world empire. That is why this war was avoided by all former US presidents in the last 40 years: because there is so much to lose and very little to gain. I believe that it is inevitable that the US will have to send in ground troops to try to topple the regime or at least secure the Strait of Hormuz, and in all honesty, I can't foresee how that will be possible. Iran will always be able to carry out insurgent attacks on the strait, which will invariably affect shipping. Nonetheless, America has just put itself in a difficult situation that could potentially be the end of the petrodollar system as we know it and with it the end of American hegemony.

You suggested China could be the new global hegemon, but I really don't see that happening; Chinese society is very conservative and inward-looking, not really caring much about the rest of the world. They will dominate the global economy for sure, but I don't see them stepping into the role of America as "world police." Israel is a more likely contender for that role; they have the political will and means to do so. However, we might also see the reawakening of Europe, stepping back into their old role. Anything can happen, and it all depends on the outcome of this war. From an African perspective, all we can say is "May the best man win."

RoadMozart:
Anyone who finally controls the Strait of Hormuz will control the next 100 years in the world. This is a fight for the new world order. Why?

The Strait of Hormuz controls 25% of world energy. And since its partial closure by Iran, oil prices have surged 100%. And Iran is asking that any tanker that wants to pass should trade its oil in Chinese currency instead of the dollar. They are trying to collapse the dollar. Because he who controls trade routes controls the world economy.

In 1453, the Ottoman Empire captured Constantinople. They blocked the shipping harbor and taxed them and became the greatest empire at that time. Then the Europeans discovered another sea route around the Cape of Good Hope and took their goods through it. Then they bypassed the Ottoman chokepoint (checkpoint) and once the trade routes shifted, the Empire slowly declined.

In 1956, another dominant power started losing credibility. It was the Suez Canal crisis. The major route for energy into Europe. Britain controlled the canal, but when Egypt nationalized it, Britain tried to take it back. When the United States failed to support it, the world understood that Britain was no longer the world power. In just one week, Britain lost 104 million pounds in their treasury, trying to defend their currency. Within weeks, they lost over 200 million pounds and never recovered. In 1950, the pound represented 90% of all global currency, but today it's less than 5%.

In 1973, the oil embargo crisis exploded oil from $3 to $12 a barrel and USA inflation surged to 11%. Then the United States changed the world order by the Petrodollar system. They struck a deal with Saudi Arabia that oil must be priced in dollars and in return, the USA would provide protection in all Gulf regions. Then all nations were forced to hold the dollar in their foreign reserves if they wanted energy. This system will only work if the United States can protect the trade routes in the Gulf, and now that system is being tested by Iran. So if the USA can't control the Strait of Hormuz and Iran does, the world will believe that the USA has lost its power and the implications are massive.

Before now, all world foreign reserves were in dollars, but now they have fallen to under 60% as money has moved to other assets.

Now, China is quiet behind the scenes. But they have built a system of international payments that has already processed over $50 billion in transactions in their own currency, yuan. They are now buying 90% of Iran's oil in yuan. So when Iran says oil must be bought in yuan, it's a challenge to the US dollar dominance. If the USA fails to win this war and control Hormuz, China will become the next world power and the dollar will collapse. And a new empire will begin.

That is why Trump is sending ground troops into the Middle East to protect the Gulf and to gain control of the strait and to defend the USA empire - the dollar, and USA will remain the world power for the next 100 years until another threats come by if they win.

Deliverance from what exactly, from the common sense to know that religion is a man-made invention? No, thank you.

Texcyndy:
My friend go for deliverance