₦airaland Forum

I too like this man; His level of delusion is on another level.
In fact i think it is one the reasons he has been very successful; he has just the right amount of delusion.

So what does this means for us

And na fine girl o. I don't even know who to blame: the Nigerians who continue to risk everything by traveling to that country or the xenophobes in the country who embody the kind of hatred that has kept us apart and made us slaves to foreigners. In any case, even on a paid-expense vacation, I can never set foot in SA.

Hate him or like him. This man is one of the best things to happen to Nigeria.

I have always considered the idea of staying indoors for sanitation as one of the most archaic remnants of the military regime eras that serves no real purpose in modern-day Nigeria.

So many gibberish and unintelligent statements dished out all at once; I don't even know which to respond to. As they say, ignorance is bliss; i'll live you continue wallowing in it.

Mattswaggz:
You didn't make any real point here.... firstly you seem to lack proper comprehension skills because I can't remember saying the blockade will make them beg for cease fire so soon.... secondly what they're fighting that war for is non of my concern I am just analyzing the situation here. You're the funny one here thinking that it is safe for any government to lose the major source of their revenue generation when it is not just an external threat but also an internal threat...they'll need to pay workers and run the country and also getting agents by external threats will be much more easier since the population have gotten poorer...just give them peanuts and they'll sell anyone out.


Lastly...and yes the US is in a position to care less about the energy crisis... itself is a big crude producing country and also they've now gotten Venezuela as well.... they'd care less doesn't mean they'll be exempted from global effects of lesser oil supply though before you'll look at it from a non-comprehensive manner again. ....and also the gulf states don't want Iran to be regional power so if paying the price now and forgetting about the threat ever achieving it's full potential is a possibility now then they'll likely be willing to endure the temporary economic turmoil for a while.

Afghanistan was not a war, wow. I though i've head it all

Lordly13:
Simple logic:
I come to your nation,
destroy everything,
cripple your economy,
destroy your oil,
Kill almost all the politicians and military commanders.

That means I still didn't win, okay oh.

Vietnam is what it is because of the US intervention. (Plus France and China also attacked Vietnam at that same time, but everybody is talking about only the US)

Afghanistan was not a war, it was a military operation not against the nation or president but against Taliban.
Biden pull them out because Afghanistan president wasn't helping financially.

This analysis of yours is very funny. First of all, Iran is not fighting this war to make money; it is simply in this war for survival. You think Iran is a stranger to economic turmoil. These people were under impossible sanctions for 47 years; they did not surrender, and somehow you think a blockade of two weeks that is not affecting only them but the rest of the Gulf states and the entire world will make them beg for a ceasefire. I am sure even Trump does not believe this.

The funniest part is that you said the US will care less about the energy crisis because of Venezuela. Please delete that statement; it is embarrassing for anyone with some education to make such a statement.

Mattswaggz:
Stop giving Iran false hope.....if the blockade against Iran is very effective then Trump can keep on extending the cease fire while keeping the blockade in place until Iran comes knocking to make a deal because it'll affect them more seeing that their major source of income(oil sale) has been blocked almost completely.

The global economy will continue to bear the burnt of increased energy crisis but the US will care less....they have Venezuela in the bag and sanctions on Russian oil will be lifted which will ease global tensions a little....the world would somehow adjust on the long run while Iran would continue to lose revenue.....either ways, this very idea by Trump is a very good one.

Gawuna polled over 800,000 votes last election; that doesn't simply go away. Whether his ward people don't like him is another issue. But the reality is that Gawanu has been on the battlefield of elections multiple times before; that definitely gives him a significant edge over Abdusallam, who is relatively a novice and will have to rely 100% on Kwankwaso voters.

Gawuna will definitely not win without Kwankwaso while Kwankwaso "might" pull through without him. What I am simply saying is that their chances of winning against Abba and Ganduje (who are also no strangers to the election battleground) will be much stronger if they align together.

Solcampbell:
I live about fifteen minutes from Gawuna ward, where Nasiru Yusuf Gawuna is from. Honestly speaking, the situation on the ground doesn’t match his hype online. Much of what’s pushed on platforms like Nairaland and twitter feels exaggerated. I'm not surprised though, that's what APC data boys are being paid to do.

In reality, Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso has a much stronger visible presence in that area, with more posters and grassroots support, except right around Gawuna’s father's home.
The bottom line is Kwankwaso doesn't rely on Gawuna, if anything, the dependence runs the other way and both men know this.

If the US is not careful, Iran will emerge from this war a world power.
The leverage Iran has over the entire world is not moi-moi, o. Just imagine fuel went from N790 to N1300 in less than 2 months. Even though Iran's military is no match for the US and Israel, they find themselves in a strategic position that has forced the US and Israel to exercise a level of restraint we have never seen from them before. The US almost never does a cease-fire. If they commit to a war, they usually see it through even if it takes several years. But with Iran the stakes are too high; that's why they negotiated a ceasefire and even extended it when Iran refused to capitulate.

Imagine if Ukraine had similar leverage over the global economy; the world would not have sat back and allowed Russia to pound them like this. But because the war does not affect anybody outside of Ukraine, everybody is just sympathizing with Ukraine from a distance. Now with Iran, the story is very different; everybody is feeling it.

There is simply no easy way out for Trump here; if you continue negotiating, Iran continues to play hardball. If you continue the blockade, oil prices and global inflation keep rising. If you agree to Iran's ceasefire term, America becomes humiliated. If you send in ground troops, many American soldiers will be lost. If you bomb their power plants and bridges, they will bomb the bridges and power plants of countries like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and Kuwait that have been paying you billions for protection. If you withdraw, they will become emboldened and continue with whatever they are doing. Trump must chew one of these bitter pills.
I guess extending the ceasefire is a less bitter pill.

Hmmm. You are right, Gawuna is almost a sure bet to betray Kwankwaso as soon as he becomes governor. But then he already has a political pull of his own, unlike Abdulsalam, who will rely solely on Kwankwaso's voters, and the combination of Abba and Ganduje is not going to be easy to beat. A Gawuna backed by Kwankwaso has much stronger odds of winning than an Abdulsalam. The question is whether Kwankwaso can take the risk with Gawuna or play the safer bet with Abdulsalam and fight it out.

Solcampbell:
The worst mistake that kwankwaso will make is to give the gubernatorial ticket to Gawuna. As soon as he becomes governor, he's returning to APC within months. For all we know, this might be the plan between him and Ganduje to further destroy Kwankwaso.

Better kwankwaso make him fight for the ticket with Abdulsalam and other kwankwasiyya loyalists.

Abba may be accused of betraying Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, they still have decades-long ties with him and are generally viewed as more honest figures than Gawuna. Gawuna has, for years, carried a reputation for being untrustworthy and controversial, with criticisms of his behavior going back to his youth.

His inability to secure victory even in his own ward during the last governorship election is a reflection on his standing amongst his own people.

Abba doesn't need APC to win his second term. Abba decamped out of his volition.

success1smyn:
I have said what was on ground. Kwankwaso's demand from APC was the problem. They wanted to decamp together initially.

Only time will tell. It will definitely not be easy; Kwankwaso has a certain kind of foothold in Kano that very few politicians in Nigeria possess in their home states.

Akpakomiza2:
He will still win his second term

This is a shallow projection. Abba won against an incumbent APC in 2023 with a rather new party. How is it that you think he will lose to APC now that he is already a governor, something he was able to do when he was not even a governor? Do you know the amount of popularity it takes to unseat a sitting party in this country? Abba's second term was never in doubt. That's why his decision to betray Kwankwaso at this point is simply baffling.

success1smyn:
You don’t seem to understand the politics behind all this. Both Abba and Kwankwaso are trying to realign ahead of 2027, and their biggest option was APC. However, Kwankwaso wanted something major for himself within APC without considering others. Abba, on the other hand, calculated that he was unlikely to win if he contested against APC, so he kept persuading Kwankwaso. But Kwankwaso’s “greediness” wouldn’t allow him to reconsider his demands from APC. That’s why Abba decided to leave him and join APC. It’s as simple as that.

This is getting serious. If Kwankwaso really wants to do Abba dirty, he should just pick Gawuna as the gubernatorial candidate. Abba will be done. But seriously, I can't even begin to understand what kind of brain Abba has. Even if you intend to betray your principal, why do it just a year to the election? Why not hold on till you win your second term? Then you can do whatever you like.

Fear, fear. It is now clear to him that there is no victory to be won in Iran. The only outcome he can hope for now is a negotiated settlement.

Na Iran fit US and Israel. No be all those ones wey them they for Gaza and Lebanon. If you want fight, fight person wey fit fight back.

Judaism is probably the most vulnerable as it stands. There are just about 15 million Jews worldwide, and more jews are leaving the religion everyday, especially those in the united states.

Skullminers1:
Actually Judaism will never go extinct because it's both Israeli tradition and their way of life which was handed to them by Hashem(from)through Moshe(Moses)from Mount Sinai

Which of the conclusions?

If it is about the one about all religions going extinct, it is about the historical antecedents and current happenings. Historically, thousands of religions have existed in different human societies. People continue to practice these religions for thousands of years until their general understanding grows and they shift away from the religion and adopt new ones. For thousands of years the Greeks worshiped Zeus and Poseidon. They had temples and performed all sorts of sacrifices in their names. Same with the Vikings and Odin. Our ancestors here worshiped juju and different deities for thousands of years. But today to think that people sacrificed and worshipped these deities is something we laugh at and ridicule. In the same vein, people in a thousand and two thousand years from now will look back and laugh and ridicule the idea that people today believed that God came to earth as man, was tortured and killed by men in order to save men from himself, or that prophet Muhammad flew to heaven on a winged horse.

Currently, we are seeing a shift begin to happen; over 30% of people in the West do not believe in religion, and this trend has been growing for the last 20-25 years. In Africa, it is happening at a much slower pace, but it is happening. More people are shifting away from religion than 50 years ago, especially with the advent of social media and AI.

okwusdidi:
How did you come about this

All religions will go extinct; there is no doubt about this. But among these Abrahamic religions, it is Christianity that will be the first. Christians are very lackadaisical when it comes to their religion, unlike Jews and Muslims.

War is not 1+1; just because you defeated a person militarily doesn't mean you automatically win. America won almost every single battle against the Taliban in Afghanistan, but did they win the war? No. Same thing in Iraq, same in Vietnam.

Iran cannot win a one-on-one battle against the US military, and I don't think they are even trying to. That's why they have resorted to asymmetric warfare, in which they hurt America's allies and the global economy enough to make America back off.

Lordly13:
military lose 150 ships and half of their Commanders but na them dey win.

Dreams won wound you bro.

We are talking about the war; you are bringing up how their women dress. How does that affect us? That's the problem with you religious folks; you view everything through a religious lens, with no objectivity whatsoever.

As things stand, even though Iran's military is no match for the US and Israel, they find themselves in a strategic position of having leverage over the entire world. Think about this: imagine if Ukraine had similar leverage over the global economy; do you think the world would sit back and allow Russia to pound them like this? Obviously not. But because the war does not affect anybody outside of Ukraine, everybody is just sympathizing with Ukraine from a distance.

Now with Iran, the story is very different; everybody is feeling it (fuel went from N790 to N1300) in less than a month. How often do you see the US or Israel doing a cease-fire? Almost never. If they commit to a war, they usually see it through even if it takes several years. But with Iran the stakes are too high; that's why they negotiated a ceasefire.

Lordly13:
this is laughable

Let me just cut the argument short.

Do you know that 10,000 naira is 9.5 million in Iranian currency.
That's the weight of bad governmence.

The government enrich themselves and destroy their nation.

Right now, with their new Supreme leader MIA, there is a power struggle. These guys don't agree on one thing.

1. Iran President say "No more shooting Saudi and Dubai, they're our Muslim brothers"
5 hour later their Revolutionary Guards shots at Saudi

2. President and ministers say "India can pass" yesterday, they shot at 3 Indian tankers


3. President form alliance with China, their Revolutionary Guards turn 3 Chinese ships away

4. President and ministers sees Pakistan as allies, Their military attacked Pakistan ship 2 weeks ago.

The thing you read online is just rubbish use as a defense for losing the war.

You are delusional if you can't see that Iran has established itself as a regional power at least. The Iranian government is structured in such a way that it does not revolve around individuals. Every single leader or general that was killed has been replaced by people with the same principles and ideology. In essence, the regime has survived the onslaught of not just Israel but also the US.

Everything Iran lost in this war, from drones to missiles and infrastructure, can be replenished in 10-20 years. They have the technical know-how, money, and political will; these are the most important things. Netanyahu understands this better than anyone; it would even be better if they didn't fight this war in the first place than to end it with this same Iranian regime still in control. They will be more emboldened, vengeful, and motivated than they were before.

Additionally, with their control over the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has found itself a weapon probably more effective than a nuclear weapon. They can close and reopen the strait anytime they so wish, just as we have seen these past few weeks. In fact, it was their closure that led Trump to order Netanyahu to stand down in Lebanon.

Lordly13:
World power kai , It'll take them more than 50 years to recover from these destructions.


Steel companies destroyed
Chemical companies destroyed
Oil tankers and reservoirs destroyed
Commercial bridge destroyed
More than half of their military commanders dead


1st supreme leader dead
2nd supreme leader in hospital according to Iran, dead according to some.

World power, even Gaza tried more than Iran.

No, having control over the flow of 20% of the world's oil is "world power."

Elusive001:
So shooting at oil tankers off the shores of Oman is "world power" to you?

No, having control over the flow of 20% of the world's oil, is "world power"

Elusive001:
So shooting at oil tankers off the shores of Oman is "world power" to you?

Iran is emerging from this war as a world power.

Noise maker, after making mouth that you will end their civilization, you still go and hustle for a ceasefire; now you have started making noise again.

Iran has played its cards really well. So immediately after the initial ceasefire, Israel launched an attack on Lebanon that left over 300 people dead. To this effect, the Iranians said Israel has violated the terms of the ceasefire and went ahead to block the Strait of Hormuz. Over the past few days, Trump tried to do a counterblock of Iran's blockade but soon realized that was counterproductive. He now had to order Netanyahu to stop his attacks on Lebanon, and he unilaterally announced a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon this morning. In return, Iran is now lifting the blockade on the Strait of Hormuz.

All in all, it is clear that Iran has found itself in a position where it wields enormous leverage, not just over the US, but over the entire world. If the US makes the mistake of ending this war without effecting regime change, it might well be the beginning of the end of US hegemony, just as the decline of the British Empire came after the Suez Canal crisis.

It's only terrorism when people who refuse to capitulate to imperial powers do it. They once labeled Nelson Mandela, Patrice Lumumba, and Thomas Sankara as terrorists.

Iran was attacked unprovoked in the middle of negotiations, and now they are defending themselves the only way they can, and you open your mouth, wah, and shout terrorist.

Fuckyoumod:
which? Apart from terrorism with other card do they have to play with you and your sympathetic followers.

There was never a ceasefire. There was just a temporary halt for the US to restrategize and wait for reinforcement.

Anybody who knows anything about Iran knows they will never capitulate to the US, and the US is now in a position where ending the war without a regime change or at least securing the 400 kg of enriched uranium will be regarded as a failure.

It is almost inevitable that this war will continue to escalate. There is a reason why all past US presidents have avoided Iran: because even with an inferior military, they have so many cards to play.

I have always had the opinion that buying keke for someone to ride and pay hire purchase is lazy man's business or people who just have money sitting around somewhere not knowing what to do with it. Unless you are doing it to just help the person, there are many other things one can do with 5.2 m that will yield more profit and for a longer duration.

I really struggle to understand boko haram. Like, what is their end goal here? Do they want us to divide Nigeria and create an Islam-based theocracy in the north, or is it that they seek to convert or force the entire country to become Muslims? What is it they want precisely? I really wish I could have the opportunity to speak to a member of Boko Haram leadership so I could really understand their end goal here.

At least with other radicalized groups like Hamas, Houthis, Hezbollah, and the Taliban, they had an objective, even if it was misguided; there was one. But with Boko Haram, nothing. I have watched several interviews and conversations of captured Boko Haram members, and there was nothing coherent coming out of their mouths. Just a bunch of illiterate rumblings.