₦airaland Forum

barcanista:
Oga, I have to correct soome impression.
What got Osoba kicked out in 2003 was the combined forces of Obj, OGD and of course Ibikunle Amosun. However, politics is not about what happened yesterday but the strategies of today. In 2007, Amosun contested under ANPP against Daniel, he lost woefully and came 3rd behind late Otunba Dipo Dina of the AC. In 2011 Amosun left CPC and fused their structure into ACN, he pledged allegiance to Osoba and all other ACN candidates were asked to step down. He never won any primaries. GO CHECK! He rode on Osoba's magnanimity and was also helped by the split within the PDP. Today, the story has changed. The Osoba machinery of 2011 is no longer with Amosun, now with SDP. PDP is no longer divided but united. The major split was between the Kashamu faction(which produced Olurin in 2011) and Daniel faction that procduced GNI of the PDP are now united. While Kashamu is the Financier, Daniel is the mobilizer. That is to say, PDP is a united force on like 5years ago. As for Bankole, hahahahahaha he is politically irrelevant as long as Ogun politics is concerned.

The good news is that apart from the fact that Amosun is on his way out, both Pdp and SDP are unapologetic pro-Jonathan. I am yet to see the grassroot person that is mobilising for Buhari in Ogun State(apart from your twitter propaganda). As for Lagos, the truth is that APC have never played catch up position as they are now doing. JK will surprise you.


#Remember Ekiti

ilugunboy:
Why are you lying carelessly like this??
Below is a FB post of a very prominent Ogun state indigene about GEJ visit to Awujale....just like in Ogun state, many of these PDP leaders in various states in SW are mostly deceiving GEJ.

The Oba pointedly told him that before any discussion at all he should first reimburse Amosun for the cost of mobalufon bridge done by Amosun across the Expressway....a bridge the Ijebus see as a life and time saver which no previous admin ever thought of doing until Amosun did it.

Never and never you put popularity contest of Amosun and GEJ on the same page in Ogun state.

Tell me a strong grassroot mobilizer working for GEJ in Ogun Central presently now...even Caterpillar (bankole dad) prefers Amosun to continue.

In Ogun Central...Buhari will win...Ogun East...Buhari will win as their son is on the ticket ( Kashamu can barely do nothing ) and in Ogun West...GNI factor is completely negligible as the people don't really connect with him since the see his coming as the return of OGD...

All in all....APC will coast home comfortably in Ogun states in both the governorship and Presidential elections.

I will advise you to stop discussing the politics of the SW....doing so will only keep exposing the level of your ignorance about the undercurrent of politics of the region.

barcanista:
@ the bold, whoever secures the votes of the electorate is half way smiling to victory.

tit:
gallant!
he kick buhari ass in 1985!
ha ha ha ha

carry on sir!
2019 acerta!

beetruth:
Osun won't waste their votes on anything aregbe or APC totally again. The lies are beginning to see the light.
March 28 will be very shocking for some people. Can't wait
#neveragain
Fool people once they are the fool but twice you are the fool

taharqa:
I said the Yorba, MUMUU. I never said I sun or any one state.

FACT : The SW has NEVER voted for a northern candidate as long as there is a southern opponent since the beginning of elections in Nigeria. And they are not about to start it now.

If this truth bothers you, you can go and kill yourself b4 March 28th o. Though I don't advice that you do

stronger:
Hahaha. . I DEY LAUGH o. Some people just refuse to feel the pulse of the streets or they are just deceiving themselves!

The OPC reign of terror today should tell barcanista and co that GEJ has seen defeat CLEARLY!!!! SO they want to intimidate lagosians to NOT come out to vote! Same way they were using a FAKE BOKO HARM FLYER to tell people to not come out for elections in the North. . lol. . baby tactics!

taharqa:
The same way you talkative Tinubu-Yorubas (a tiny mibority) told us that everybody you knew were voting for APC in Ekiti, and that they hated Fayose the thug. What happened on election day??
Una eyes go soon clear. It's just less than 2 weeks away.

By the way, the Yorba have NEVER voted a northerner as President when there was an opposing SOUTHERN candidate. NEVER. And it isn't going to start now

integralng:
Let me begin by saying:'Yoruba won't vote for Jonathan' is not a phrase,it is a statement.You don't call a group of words that has verbs such as 'will'(won't) and 'vote' a phrase.Anyway,that was on a light note.In view of the factors you have stated ,I am of the conviction that the next presidential election will tilt towards the candidate of the APC General Muhammadu Buhari.The mushroom political parties such as the SDP and the LP don't have the structures to call out their supporters to give bloc votes to GEJ.Besides Gbenga Kaka who is a former deputy Governor of Ogun,two other senators won the senatorial elections not on the basis of their political structure or popularity but on the strength of the party the A CN then.Although Segun Osoba is a strong factor in Ogun State,you must be aware of the fact that he is not standing any election and his party does not have a candidate in the presidential election.Most of the sympathisers of the SDP in Ogun State may not have much interest in any election except the local election which is the gubernatorial election.You should also take note that the Vice Presidential candidate of the APC Professor Yemi Osinbanjo is an indigene of Ogun State and an in-law to the late late sage Chief Obafemi Awolowo.So a non-party member/neutral indigene of Ogun State will find voting for the APC/GMB more rewarding than throwing their weight to GEJ/Sambo who are foreigners.Concerning your assertion that GEJ will benefit adequately from the Akala/Makinde/Ladoja,please do note that these three people draw their supporters from the PDP so they may not be able to command more votes in this year's election than they did in 2011 when they asked all their supporters to vote for GEJ.It should also be mentioned that during the 2011 presidential election,Akala was still the governor of Oyo State that time so it was very easy for the PDP to mobilise supports for GEJ.But today,Akala,who you claim has a strong support base in Ogbomosho,will need to contend with Soun of Ogbomosho's factor whose son is the House of Representatives candidate of the APC.Soun is a strong/influential traditional ruler in that part of the state.Putting the foregoing into consideration,it is not illogical to posit that the Akala's factor in Ogbomosho may be wittled down in the presidential election.What will happen in Ogbomosho may play out in Oyo town where Alaafin of Oyo holds sway.Alaafin is a strong Oba in Oyo State and he delivered all the four local governments in Oyo Town to the A CN in 2011.This time around,one of his sons is the House of Representatives candidate of the APC in Oyo.On Seyi Makinde,I will not waste my time putting forward any argument to counter your sentiment because nobody knows him.He is a paper- weight politician.In response to your assertion that the PDP is united in Ondo,I want to say that is far from the truth.There is a sharp division in the PDP in the state.The old PDP members led by Oluwole Oke are not on the same page with the New PDP led by Mimiko.The Oluwole Oke's group has accused the Mimiko's group of sidelining them in the presidential campaign hence their resolve to prove a point that they were the ones that actually gave GEJ massive votes in 2011 and not Mimiko.They are ready to sit on the fence in the presidential election. Finally,your mentioning of the one fathom Justice Group(as one of the reasons GEJ will win in Lagos)is very laughable.Who is the leader of that group and what are the positions he has held before?In case you don't know:PDP died in Lagos State in 2011 when like of Demola Seriki(a Minister under Yaradua),Femi Pedro,Hon Salau(a political juggernault from Epe),Dr Wale Ahmed(PDP Publicity Secretary in Lagos),Lanre Rasak dumped the Umbrella for the A CN.Do you mean Bode George(who is the leader of the PDP and godfather of Jimi Agbaje) that has never won any election in his polling unit since 1999 will be the one that will mobilise for GEJ?Or Ogunlewe who since leaving the AD(the platform on which he was voted as a senator in 1999) and pitching his tent with the PDP has never delivered his Ikorodu local government to the PDP before?Or Musiliu Obanikoro who the last election he won was in 2003 (on the platform of the Tinubu's Alliance for Democracy?).I am waiting...patiently...

anepete:
I am from a family of 10 and I am from they north. by the grace of Allah Jonathan will get our block vote. becau he has done for the North what the Northern past president could not do for the North .

stronger:
Nice attempt.

Few points:

(1) Bola Ige said the Yorubas are about 50 years more educationally advanced than the rest of the country. This plays a part in the level of "awareness" and lack of ignorance. What am I trying to say, The yorubas are SMART and will ask themselves WHO IS THE RIGHT CANDIDATE! So I insist that they will not follow one party like a bunch of sheep led to slaughter. They will think for themselves. So your party analyses falls apart when you assume because Accord, SPD or LP say so, yorubas will follow. . lol

(2) Unfortunately Ethnicity and "What has he done for us" still plays a part in Nigerian politics. I say "unfortunately" because the choice of a leader should not be about what he did for ME but what he did for us. That said, most Nigerians still feel that way. Bros, go to the streets and feel the pulse. THE YORUBAS feel very SHORTCHANGED by the GEj Admin. You ca take that to the bank!! And they intend to reciprocate in the elections. . which takes me to point (3)

(3) The Osibanjo effect. This is one of the reasons why Amaechi or Oshiomole did not emerge as VP. Of course the main reason is that Tinubu who is the brain behind ACN and the APC merger had to have a "stake". But because they knew they needed a yoruba vote, they made sure the VP is a YORUBA man! You don't seem to consider this in your analyses. The OUR SON effect (Which GEJ is banking on in Rivers/Delta/Bayelsa) is going to work for Osibanjo, at least to an extent.

(4) The last point I will raise is the OPC/AFENIFERE angle! Wait let me laugh. .

This is where you ruined your analyses!!!

The influence of OPC?? Afenifere?!!! Bwahahahahaahah!!

In fact, I won't say much on this except, have you seen the OUTRAGE that has met the current VANDALISATION/PROTESTS of the OPC in Lagos!!! I personally know over 50 people who have switched sides simply because of this action!! Big mistake to think the HATED OPC will get GEj any votes. Wait let me laugh again. .

chukwudi44:
Bros if you like type sai Buhari from now till enternity,GEJ would surely be announced winner come march 30 2015.Elections are not won online but rather on the fields.When the results are announced you can go and show your protesting skills on ikorodu to angry soldiers who would be deployed to maintain law and order

EUROBOMBER:
You should be ashamed of yourself scatterboss. You are trying to battle me with your other handles and you were detected. Did you say dealing with me?

I will mass murder all your handles put together, I have told you that it will not be on this important thread. report ko import ni.

Cry cryboss, you want to see ya moma, Shame!!!!!

EUROBOMBER:
I smh. You are the owner of all these handles trying to battle me here and I know it. I know you have several handles on Nairaland and I am beginning to understand and detect them. Stop lying and come out clean.

EUROBOMBER:
Scatteboss, I will deal with you on another thread.

Obiagelli:
ochejoseph the pathetic liar, tell us or post a link to where the Apc or its spokesman claimed buhari was going for a town hall meeting in London.

ochejoseph the pathetic liar, post a link to where the Apc or its spokesman posted that picture of the interview in London. Please post the source of that picture let's see if it came from the Apc.


ochejoseph the pathetic liar, post a link to where the Apc ever mentioned anything about tinubu and drugs.

ochejoseph the pathetic liar, post a link to where the Apc or its spokesman claimed buhari has an igbo nephew.

ochejoseph the pathetic liar

ochejoseph the pathetic liar


You guys post nonsense online, allow it to fly for a while then later come out to debunk it as Apcs.

Lai Muhammed is the spokesman of apc and garba shehu is the spokesman for the campaign organisation. Anything else is bulls.it

Mrbigman1:
U know the game in there?
The guy has gone to do a grassroot politics in an APC when they re away from home, he dnt need to get a 100% votes dia, if he gets 3 outta 6, have he not shared it with the king?

Apc should stop the media game and come back home, funny enough they might just loose in there zones surprisingly.

My prediction on his move is, if he gets lagos and Kano which his using mohammadu Abacha and former governor (shekaru) and Sunusi to play, he might destabilize APC.
Only maybe

edogirl2:
Why do you guys go around painting yourselves as some kind of victim when that is clearly not the case. This is a terrible trait.


Yoruba supporters of APC are constantly called Northern/Hausa/Fulani slaves by mostly Igbo contributors and you pretend never to have seen that.


Why cant you guys take things on the chin, particularly when you are also protagonists.

Firefire:
Interesting... Enemies of democracy shall be defeated.

Koro relax another day fixed!


Dr. Goodluck Jonathan till 2019. Annoyed ? CHANGE your address.

customized19:
I know you are going to deny cos you are a shameless liar. Here is the proof below (Will have to clear the face to hide the owner of the pics), now give us another story.

berem:
It depends on the type of protection. Maybe for unwanted pregnancies and HIV.

LMAO!!