₦airaland Forum

famouscargo4u:
Igbo was never going to support him anyway. He said the truth. You don't reap from where you have not sown. It is natural to tilt more towards where you have huge support. We can blame Buhari as much as we want but 12 million votes constantly for 16 years is not joke. You don't put all your eggs in a basket and if things don't go your way, you can't blame anyone.

lhordspy:
Lol.

Naralanders, do you know i share this opinion that most yiibo people are not learned? (With due respect) ...But the question is; are they all the same? Is it that bad? Is it real? Or in this instance, just a case of tribalistic-politics in play?

When you have insignificant group from the region like this turning and twisting a very simple statement as that of Bola Tinubu's is just a vindication of my Stand. A statement a Primary 2 kid can comprehend and assimilate easily without having to start attaching different meaning to it.

StrongandMighty:
Rubber stamp senate president...
Where you blindfolded when you were approving the previous loans?

Greenscientist:
Where did I say he is better or where did I campaign for Tinubu? I only said ATIKU is not better than TINUBU. Una body to dty hurt like say Obi turned una Anambra into one big thing.

A 60year old Tinubu was more vibrant than a 60years old Obi.
Stop running around urchin who is your candidate?

tinsel:
As per standard set for Tinubu, the Enugu crowd was small. But for Obi's standard the crowd today in Enugu is huge.

Greenscientist:
How is Atiku better than Tinubu? Is it experience, integrity or what?

Say you don't want a Yoruba or something else.

Dicoomoba:
Lemme enlighten you , total number of southeastern registered voters is just 11 million total compare to only Lagos 8m register voters come on grow small so you can understand how politics is played



Jagaban is coming plus power of incumbency

sangresan:
When you see stupid comments like this, know that the person is an Ipob element. No more, no less. This is their ideology.

owobokiri:
This one is not interested in any national project! All his campaign team are northerners! Just take a look. That podium looks like what you will see when they go for Hajj in Saudi Arabia. He just wants to hyjack power for another 8 years to feed his insatiable Northern people. Kwankwaso is Buhari Pro Max

StrongandMighty:
Only God knows where agbado will be getting his votes from...

BRIMBRAM:
A vote for Peter Obi is a vote for Bola Ahmed Tinubu, same applies to Kwankwaso. It's a welcome development. Bauchi is PDP state.

Ennoloa:
All i know is PO

casualobserver:
says someone who thinks Obi can share votes from the south and Middle belt and become president without the North. I have just explained sharing/splitting of votes to you. you can win a state without winning, if you have no northern votes you have lost before the counting starts. that said

nobody is going to win the south convincingly, so even if as you say Tinubu has no votes in the North, then what you are saying is Atiku is the winner. Under no scenario can a southerner win without Northern votes because when your opponents start counting votes in the core North, you need to have ambulance on standby!.

Aufbauh:
The SE is already disadvantage with just five states as against 6 or 7 states in other zones.

I can see that the ignoble zombidients are celebrating their disadvantage as if those numbers were new.

It's the voters turnout that really count & not even the voters registered.

Righteousness2:
People are swimming and dining in sin and are taking it as a Joke.

Immorality, Adultery, Fornication could be sweet, and fun until you close your eyes in Death and open it on the other side of life. Then will you understand that The HolyBible is not a story book.

Lets Fear God, REPENT from our evils and obey HIS word. The Consequences of disobeying GOD is not fun at All.

casualobserver:
Nigerians tend to talk out of ignorance without looking at the data. The middle belt has never been an election decider and the most inconsequential zone in Nigeria. Why? because the middle belt vote is always split. Every major party does well in the Middle belt such that whoever wins does not win by much even when there were only 2 main contenders. Go and check the election results for the middle belt going way back to the days of Zik/Awo.

If I get 500k votes and you get 450K, yes I won that state but all that state has contributed to my overall victory is 50k votes out of 950k available voters. Do you now understand the inconsequence of marginal states....they are not king makers? Elections are decided by states where you command 80-90% majority. look at 2019 for instance just one relatively small state...Yobe wiped out the victory of PDP in ALL the middle belt states.

many of you do not understand elections. Elections are not won by the number of votes you get in a state, they are won by the cumulative difference between your votes and the opponents! if you get 2m votes in a state and I get 1.95 million, your 2m votes do not help you become president especially if I have a state where I have 700k votes and you only get 70K.

it really is amazing how naive, ignorant and uninformed Nigerians are about the mathematics of elections especially that elections are basically arithmetic.

in 2019 Atiku won Adamawa with only 38k votes out of a total votes of approx 800k despite 410k people voting for him

In Benue the difference was 9,000 votes (i repeat nine thousand votes) out of a total of 700k votes and 356k Atiku votes

in Nassarawa Buhari won by only 6,000 votes,

In kwara Buhari won by 178K, Plateau out of 1m votes PDP only won by 80k votes

and so on and so forth.

Add all the PDp victories in the middle belt and just 1 small state of Yobe wiped out all their gains...why? because Yobe votes were not shared....out of 547k votes in Yobe, 497 went to Buhari and 50k to Atiku, leaving Buhari with a margin of 447k to absorb defeats in other states. the irony is that Yobe has less voters than each of all the middle belt states, yet powerful enough to wipe out whatever happens in a whole region......because the votes are shared!! i hope you understand now why Tinubu won the election the minute Obi left PDp and declared for LP...he shared the votes making it impossible for either him or PDP to win.

so the key to victory is having states where your votes are not shared. that is why Tinubu will win the election 1st ballot.

Traditionaly stronghold states of PDP like SS/SE will be shared with Obi voters diluting the margin of victory in those states. APC are the only party with their core stronghold states relatively intact, states like Yobe, Borno. if Obi cannot dent APC in the North he is not winning this election, trust me because the states he will win or do well will be marginal. Even in the SE he will contend with PDP. who is contending with APC in states Borno and Yobe?

Dont forget, i said small Yobe state with only 500K votes wiped out PDP's entire gain in the middle belt without even using the bazooka Borno votes.

lease look at the data before you talk

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019_Nigerian_general_election.


For those who do not understand english, you win a presidential election by adding the difference between you and your opponent in one state and all the other states and whoever is ahead is the winner. so if you are winning states by 20k 8k, 40k when your opponent is winning states by 700k, 900k, 1m....you are not in the race!!! if you get 1m votes in a state and your opponent gets 900k or 1.1m, you are not heading to Aso rock unless you have states that will give you 500k, 700k, 1m difference between you are your opponents. it is not the number of votes you get that matters but the difference!

Obi has no nothern presence so by definition he is out of the race before it starts, his only effect in this race is to make Atiku not win

States cannot be giving your opponents 1m, 1.5m 1.7 m difference and you have no states to deliver that for you and you expect to win. Emotions aside, it is mathematically impossible!

casualobserver:
Well done but it is not nsukka or SE voters that will make him president. Let us see his crowd in Katsina, Kano, Maiduguri, Kaduna, Ilorin, Jigawa, Yobe, Kabba, etc. In short anywhere North because crowd yourself all you like in the south especially SE, without Northern votes no presidency for any southern candidate and vice versa no Northerner can win without southern votes!!!

Okealaaye:
Nsogbu Nsogbu politics of the Tribe. What did Obi give his people when he was governor? Check it out: written by Anambrarians who felt the edge of Obi's misrule. Na dis kaind porsin Ndigbo wan make president? Tufiakwa -

NaughtyBrainiac:
Good one!

I implore everyone to accept the outcome of the Presidential Elections in g ood fate

Some people should not start shouting Biafra this Biafra that, Ipob this Ipob that if their candidate eventually loses

FreeStuffsNG:
Nothing he says can please you ignorant, envious, bitter, hate-filled bigoted lots above and below.

Asiwaju Tinubu was talking to his fellow APC members of Igbo extraction to work extra hard to mobilize more votes for him and APC from top to bottom so that they will have more seats at the national table and negotiating power more than the basic comstitutional representation. Asiwaju was not addressing ipob terrorists and their sympathizers here on NL and SM who are behind the candidate of mushroom lp.

check my signature for free stuffs!

FreeStuffsNG:
When will Sowore Baba bring his own wife and children to Nigeria from US where he hid them as US citizens while other candidates have their own wife and/or children in Nigeria? He will be shocked to know that his American wife and American children will vote for APC's Asiwaju Tinubu.
check my signature for free stuffs!

themayor4542:
In my opinion, i actually think it’s a bit early to resume mating with your wife. But then…… I guess we’re different from one another.
The question is this. Do you have a fetish for lactating woman?
I’m asking cos the mere thought of seeing milk is enough turn off for most men

Trollronaldo:
if that's how you see it, who am I to stop you?

azikiweironsi:
As usual. But why are they not defecting to our online party with people structure ?
May be he needs to give shishi

Salem69:
Why always PDP and APC,why not labour party ����

Polchiz:
So Tinubu is associating himself with IPOB terrorists?

Frosheer:
APC is a disgrace to this nation.. it's suprising that they're campaigning and Some Nigerians are still in support of their evil

Aiel123:
You're not getting me.
Do you support or stand for someone reaping where he did not sow?...
You see it from your own perception lens as Nigeria ( not zoo) needs an administrator and a good one at that not a good politician but I see the ruling party as the culprit which we need to get rid off and in doing this,we need a united opposition,not what Obi and lp is offering. The ruling party are intact while the opposition are scattered ( PDP ,LP and NNPP all from the same family) so they would only end up splitting each other votes which formerly belonged to the head of the family, the PDP.
In this scenario...you need no soothsayer telling you the results of the forthcoming elections can only go one way.

Aiel123:
Why is my harmless comment bothering you?
Or I hit those soft spots...it your conscience is judging you?

Aiel123:
I like your straightforwardness.
Unlike those expecting to reap where they never lifted a finger to sow.

post=119902032:
One beautiful thing about this election is that Tinubu never changed party for once,
But 3 other candidates that were on in the same political party that JAGABAN defeated in 2 presidential elections have now decided to break up into 3 different party.
A win win situation for Bola Ahmed Tinubu.
Even when they were in one party, they were beaten blue and black, not to talk about when they are now 3 mini parties.

As e dey sweet us,
E dey pain dem