The voters have more confidence in the
incumbent.
The latest survey by TNS-RMS has placed
Governor Rauf Aregbesola of the All Progressives
Congress, APC, in pole position to win the August
9 gubernatorial election in Osun State.
TNS-RMS, a member of Gallup International, said
its poll released Thursday, showed the APC
dominating on all critical indicators.
Mr. Aregbesola, the incumbent governor, and
Iyiola Omisore of the Peoples’ Democratic Party,
PDP, are the two major contenders among the 20
contestants for the governorship ticket.
Last Friday, operatives of the Department of
State Services, also known as SSS, stormed the
corporate head office of the Lagos based TNS-
RMS, holding its staff hostage, ransacking its
offices and premises and whisking away three of
its personnel.
A source in the SSS had told PREMIUM TIMES, at
the time of the incident, that the operatives were
dispatched to the company to confiscate
documents relating to an opinion poll they were
conducting.
“We got instruction from above to stop the
company from releasing result of its survey. We
are told the result of the poll was going to
indicate that (Rauf) Aregbesola would win the
election. Government does not want that kind of
poll at this time,” the source, who did not want to
be named because he was not authorized to
speak on the issue, said.
Incidentally, when TNS-RMS released the result
of its poll on Thursday, the APC dominated “the
political landscape” in Osun State based on its
performance on all key indicators evaluated.
“It scored highest and also increased in rating on
first mention, sympathy, and voting intention,”
TNS-RMS stated in its final report.
Candidate of choice
According to the study, Mr. Aregbesola, the
incumbent governor, was the candidate of choice
by Osun voters with a 73 per cent lead over other
candidates,
“The incumbent (Mr. Aregbesola) remains (the)
main voting choice. Voting choice for Senator
Omisore declined by 2 per cent and seem not to
pose a threat to the incumbent’s chances of re-
election as he remains firmly ahead of the race,”
the study said.
The two-phase survey was conducted over a
period that stretched from June into the third
week of July 2014, according to TNS-RMS.
“Not only is APC currently the most preferred
party in Osun State, it has largely retained this
goodwill from way back in the past,” the poll
stated.
“It was the party that most people claimed to
have voted for in the last election and it is still
the party with the highest chances of winning the
election again. More importantly, the gap by
which it outperforms opposition continue to
widen and more convincing in the current
survey,” the report added.
The APC also rated very high in the survey as its
top-of-mind and awareness increased from 75
per cent to 78 per cent from the last poll
conducted, followed distantly by the PDP with 18
per cent, a drop of 3 per cent from 21 per cent in
the first study.
The Labour Party was third with a negligible 1
per cent.
Furthermore, the electorate choice for APC
increased by one per cent to 70 per cent, while
the PDP recorded 19 per cent (a (three per cent
drop).
Electorate choice for Labour Party remained at 1
per cent.
The report went further to say that while Mr.
Aregbesola was more known than his party; Mr.
Omisore was less known than his party.
“Top-of-mind awareness of Ogbeni Rauf
Aregbesola increased to 85 per cent (from per
cent), affinity increased from 72 per cent to 74
per cent and chances of being re-elected
increased from 71 per cent to 73 per cent.”
“Conversely, it is a tale of decline for the man in
second place, Senator Omisore. For top-of-mind
awareness, the PDP candidate toppled to 13 per
cent (from 19 per cent), affinity fell to 19 per cent
(from 21 per cent) and chances of being elected
declined to 19 per cent (from 21 per cent).
“While the affinity of Osun electorates towards
the APC increased by 4 per cent, PDP failed to
maintain its connection to the people. The
favourable perception of Osun voters towards the
All Progressive’s Congress, APC stood at 83 per
cent while on 17 per cent viewed APC as
unfavourable,” the report said.
According to the polls, 98 per cent of the
electorates in Osun State have said they would
participate in the August 9 gubernatorial election.
The survey also revealed the strength of the
candidates and their parties in the local
government areas across the state;
“Repeat of APC high chance to win in all the LGAs
seem to play out again in the next election. APC
is poised to repeat this feat except in Ife Central
and Ife East; the PDP seemed well positioned to
win these two LGAs. The Labour Party’s
weakness is imminent across all the LGAs.
“The incumbent’s chances of being re-elected
remain same across the LGAs except in Ife
Central and Ife East. The incumbent’s chances of
re-election remain high and he leads his closest
rival by a good margin of 54 per cent -an
increment of 4 per cent over last survey,” the
report stated.
Meanwhile, according to the report, the voters’
confidence in the Attahiru Jega-led Independent
National Election Commission, INEC, took a 10
per cent hit, dropping to 57 per cent from 67 per
cent.

http://m.premiumtimesng.com/news/top-news/165875-osun-election-pdps-omisore-trails-apcs-aregbesola-by-wide-margin-survey.html

Good to hear

Omisore is from Ife hence support in Ife central and east. Where is Bola Ige the man you murdered? Omisore and PDP are thieves and have nothing to offer Osun State or any part of Nigeria!

I'm not from Osun state but all I can say is both candidates are not "angels",but Aregbesola is more of a good politician,from the way he speaks,he has a lot of humor and he's aggressive,I wouldn't be surprised if he won.

unuane1: The voters have more confidence in the
incumbent.
The latest survey by TNS-RMS has placed
Governor Rauf Aregbesola of the All Progressives
Congress, APC, in pole position to win the August
9 gubernatorial election in Osun State.
TNS-RMS, a member of Gallup International, said
its poll released Thursday, showed the APC
dominating on all critical indicators.
Mr. Aregbesola, the incumbent governor, and
Iyiola Omisore of the Peoples’ Democratic Party,
PDP, are the two major contenders among the 20
contestants for the governorship ticket.
Last Friday, operatives of the Department of
State Services, also known as SSS, stormed the
corporate head office of the Lagos based TNS-
RMS, holding its staff hostage, ransacking its
offices and premises and whisking away three of
its personnel.
A source in the SSS had told PREMIUM TIMES, at
the time of the incident, that the operatives were
dispatched to the company to confiscate
documents relating to an opinion poll they were
conducting.
“We got instruction from above to stop the
company from releasing result of its survey. We
are told the result of the poll was going to
indicate that (Rauf) Aregbesola would win the
election. Government does not want that kind of
poll at this time,” the source, who did not want to
be named because he was not authorized to
speak on the issue, said.
Incidentally, when TNS-RMS released the result
of its poll on Thursday, the APC dominated “the
political landscape” in Osun State based on its
performance on all key indicators evaluated.
“It scored highest and also increased in rating on
first mention, sympathy, and voting intention,”
TNS-RMS stated in its final report.
Candidate of choice
According to the study, Mr. Aregbesola, the
incumbent governor, was the candidate of choice
by Osun voters with a 73 per cent lead over other
candidates,
“The incumbent (Mr. Aregbesola) remains (the)
main voting choice. Voting choice for Senator
Omisore declined by 2 per cent and seem not to
pose a threat to the incumbent’s chances of re-
election as he remains firmly ahead of the race,”
the study said.
The two-phase survey was conducted over a
period that stretched from June into the third
week of July 2014, according to TNS-RMS.
“Not only is APC currently the most preferred
party in Osun State, it has largely retained this
goodwill from way back in the past,” the poll
stated.
“It was the party that most people claimed to
have voted for in the last election and it is still
the party with the highest chances of winning the
election again. More importantly, the gap by
which it outperforms opposition continue to
widen and more convincing in the current
survey,” the report added.
The APC also rated very high in the survey as its
top-of-mind and awareness increased from 75
per cent to 78 per cent from the last poll
conducted, followed distantly by the PDP with 18
per cent, a drop of 3 per cent from 21 per cent in
the first study.
The Labour Party was third with a negligible 1
per cent.
Furthermore, the electorate choice for APC
increased by one per cent to 70 per cent, while
the PDP recorded 19 per cent (a (three per cent
drop).
Electorate choice for Labour Party remained at 1
per cent.
The report went further to say that while Mr.
Aregbesola was more known than his party; Mr.
Omisore was less known than his party.
“Top-of-mind awareness of Ogbeni Rauf
Aregbesola increased to 85 per cent (from per
cent), affinity increased from 72 per cent to 74
per cent and chances of being re-elected
increased from 71 per cent to 73 per cent.”
“Conversely, it is a tale of decline for the man in
second place, Senator Omisore. For top-of-mind
awareness, the PDP candidate toppled to 13 per
cent (from 19 per cent), affinity fell to 19 per cent
(from 21 per cent) and chances of being elected
declined to 19 per cent (from 21 per cent).
“While the affinity of Osun electorates towards
the APC increased by 4 per cent, PDP failed to
maintain its connection to the people. The
favourable perception of Osun voters towards the
All Progressive’s Congress, APC stood at 83 per
cent while on 17 per cent viewed APC as
unfavourable,” the report said.
According to the polls, 98 per cent of the
electorates in Osun State have said they would
participate in the August 9 gubernatorial election.
The survey also revealed the strength of the
candidates and their parties in the local
government areas across the state;
“Repeat of APC high chance to win in all the LGAs
seem to play out again in the next election. APC
is poised to repeat this feat except in Ife Central
and Ife East; the PDP seemed well positioned to
win these two LGAs. The Labour Party’s
weakness is imminent across all the LGAs.
“The incumbent’s chances of being re-elected
remain same across the LGAs except in Ife
Central and Ife East. The incumbent’s chances of
re-election remain high and he leads his closest
rival by a good margin of 54 per cent -an
increment of 4 per cent over last survey,” the
report stated.
Meanwhile, according to the report, the voters’
confidence in the Attahiru Jega-led Independent
National Election Commission, INEC, took a 10
per cent hit, dropping to 57 per cent from 67 per
cent.

http://m.premiumtimesng.com/news/top-news/165875-osun-election-pdps-omisore-trails-apcs-aregbesola-by-wide-margin-survey.html

Rubbish ! These are just OPINION polls which depends wholly on WHO you ask ; WHERE you ask , WHAT you ask and HOW you ask. They often bear little relevance to facts on the ground - and Gallup polls predicted anyway that Romney would win 2012 election even over the incumbent Obama. the rest is history

Sloan: Omisore is from Ife hence support in Ife central and east. Where is Bola Ige the man you murdered? Omisore and PDP are thieves and have nothing to offer Osun State or any part of Nigeria!

Can you prove the about statement of yours in any court of competent juridiction.

Op thank u for ur effort to bring this info to us but we didn't expect anytin less. God forbid a man dat openly disgrace one of d dignitary of Osun State by removing his cap in the public wit impunity, dat is grave, dis is yoruba land not somewhere else and he shuld know better if he's not a bastard. Again he is d prime suspect to the murder of the sage, d land of yoruba curse omisore. If he so much desire power he can stage a coup against Oni of Ife, we promise we won't interfere but he is definitely not ruling Osun State.

danot1030: Op thank u for ur effort to bring this info to us but we didn't expect anytin less. God forbid a man dat openly disgrace one of d dignitary of Osun State by removing his cap in the public wit impunity, dat is grave, dis is yoruba land not somewhere else and he shuld know better if he's not a bastard. Again he is d prime suspect to the murder of the sage, d land of yoruba curse omisore. If he so much desire power he can stage a coup against Oni of Ife, we promise we won't interfere but he is definitely not ruling Osun State.

nothing wey pesson no go hear for nairaland

Arrangee poll by APC. May the best candidate win. But from the information I have, Omisore is winning this one. Let's watch out.

felifeli:

nothing wey pesson no go hear for nairaland

Collect all you can from omisore b4 election day because he will loose gallantly( i know you are internet paid agent on NL)

gabriel212:
Collect all you can from omisore b4 election day because he will loose gallantly( i know you are internet paid agent on NL )

Nothing wey pesson no go hear for Nairaland

Survey my foot...


PDP all the way..

warripekin: Arrangee poll by APC. May the best candidate win. But from the information I have, Omisore is winning this one. Let's watch out.

Where did you get your information from?!

danot1030: Op thank u for ur effort to bring this info to us but we didn't expect anytin less. God forbid a man dat openly disgrace one of d dignitary of Osun State by removing his cap in the public wit impunity, dat is grave, dis is yoruba land not somewhere else and he shuld know better if he's not a bastard. Again he is d prime suspect to the murder of the sage, d land of yoruba curse omisore. If he so much desire power he can stage a coup against Oni of Ife, we promise we won't interfere but he is definitely not ruling Osun State.

Abeg no vex ooo...will lyk to see ao bitter u will sound after d election...sorry oooh

It's just an opinion poll and opinion poll cannot prove for certainty the result of the election ahead. APC should not bask in the euphoria of victory before time.

please where is peter power my father friend

may the best for osun win.regardles of party or religion