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Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 9:08am On Mar 26, 2015 |
ziccoit: I was only curious to see how and where they can manufacture a win from. I know GEJ cannot get 40% of votes from SW. 1 Like |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Nobody: 9:30am On Mar 26, 2015 |
Op. You try sha. But you shouldn't be too surprised if GEJ does better in the North, especially the NE, than you have projected here. Also, kill the idea that Buhari will get up to 30% of the votes in any SE state. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Nobody: 9:34am On Mar 26, 2015 |
WisdomFlakes: Calm down and wait for Saturday na, shooo. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 9:34am On Mar 26, 2015 |
dmyke: He will surely get above 25% in Imo. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by nuclearboy(m): 9:53am On Mar 26, 2015 |
Would be surprised if Jonathan gets 30% in Kwara. OP was very generous to Jonathan all round 1 Like |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 10:39am On Mar 26, 2015 |
nuclearboy: It's deliberate. I know GEJ cannot win this election if it's free, fair and credible. 2 Likes 1 Share |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Gogetta(m): 10:49am On Mar 26, 2015 |
PassingShot:Lool, GEJ who didn't win Osun even @ the peak of his popularity in 2011. 2 Likes |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Vyntra(m): 10:56am On Mar 26, 2015 |
50 hrs 2 go can Nigerians do this? 2 Likes
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Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Caseless: 11:12am On Mar 26, 2015 |
ABIOLAXYZ:get da Bleep out of this thread so mature minds could discuss issues. 1 Like |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by tp10: 11:16am On Mar 26, 2015 |
ABIOLAXYZ: you be pdp , haba no need for tori |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by tp10: 11:17am On Mar 26, 2015 |
honestly, this is a good analysis.well done. 1 Like |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by merry02(m): 11:37am On Mar 26, 2015 |
Ur prediction is wrng***buhari can't win Ondo,kaduna state |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by seunmsg(m): 11:42am On Mar 26, 2015 |
Good analysis op. But then, I think you were a little generous to GMB in the south east and a little generous to GEJ in the north west and some states in the north central. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by kay29000(m): 11:43am On Mar 26, 2015 |
EUROFIGHTERR: lol! This is a big joke. Dream on. 2 Likes |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Caseless: 11:46am On Mar 26, 2015 |
This is a balanced analysis. But the notion that christians are more than muslims in population in taraba , and religion might be the determining factor in the state is what i'm not comfortable with. Taraba and Ekiti may as well go to GMB. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 11:49am On Mar 26, 2015 |
merry02: GMB won KD in 2011 with no any structure. So he will win there easily in 2015. Ondo is a battle ground state, so I tip GMB to win it by 55% just as I gave another battleground state, Edo to GEJ. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 11:51am On Mar 26, 2015 |
Caseless: Both scenario are possible but I just tried to share the too-close-to-call states between them. E.G, I gave Ondo, Adamawa, Kogi and Nassarawa to GMB and Edo, Benue, Taraba and Ekiti to GEJ albeit with higher percentage. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 11:53am On Mar 26, 2015 |
seunmsg: The only place in the SE I was generous to GMB is Imo and that's because of Rochas there. Also, unlike 2011, I do not expect a 95% or anything close this time around for any of them. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 11:53am On Mar 26, 2015 |
tp10: Thanks. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 11:56am On Mar 26, 2015 |
dmyke: I have Buhari getting just 16% of the general votes in the SE. Is that too much of a projection? Surely not! The only state in the SE I gave him 30% is Imo and that's because of Rochas. It's between 85% and 90% in other SE states. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Caseless: 11:56am On Mar 26, 2015 |
PassingShot:Don't mind that guy. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by seunmsg(m): 11:58am On Mar 26, 2015 |
PassingShot: I don't see GMB getting more than 10-15% in any south east state, Imo inclusive. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 12:00pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
seunmsg: Ok, let's wait and see. 1 Like |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by sartorius(m): 12:04pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
passingshot your analysis is fair. Buhari cant get 30 percent in Imo. GEJ would do much better in Ondo, lagos, osun, ondo and the north central than you have projected. Buhari would perform worse than you have projected in the north east due to insecurity and electoral fraud. 6 weeks has changed a lot |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by chrisooblog: 12:19pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
@op good one but you forgot to give overall total. plus you were too generous to GEJ in niger state all the same great analysis. do mind doing one for senate, HOR, governorship elections? |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Caseless: 12:19pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
PassingShot:ok, fair enough. |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by Tvegas(m): 12:45pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
I think passingshot is very generous to GEJ in the southwest. The feelers on the street is that people want any other thing apart from GEJ. I conducted a poll among 18 of my colleagues in lagos this morning. About 13 have PVC's. Out of these 13 people only 2 are voting GEJ. I gave them the pullout in punch of today to see GEJ achievements,they threw it back at me. One said "it's all paper achievement". GEJ is not loved like 2011,am curious as to how this ends because PDP seems poised to hold on to power. 2 Likes |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by tuniski: 12:50pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
EUROFIGHTERR:no mind that @passingshot he is a typical APC man. SW will be won by PDP just as NC,SE&SS. Nothing much has changed from 2011 except the wasted votes of ACN then that will be added to buhari with kwara traditionally low voting marginally adding to buhari. As for kogi,benue,nassarawa and plateau these are confirmed PDP. Anyone saying otherwise is delusional! GEJ will win it with not less than 6m while APC will scream rigging as usual even with their bragado on card reader! |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by PassingShot(m): 12:54pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
Tvegas: Thank you bro for relaying your experience. I have been deliberately generous with PDP in SW just to see if it is mathematically possible for them to win this election. PDP know they have lost it already, hence the campaign of calumny and propaganda. Just today, DSS have arrested the supplier of the PVCs requesting for the encryption code which fortunately the man does not even have. 1 Like |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by uchedydy: 12:59pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
sartorius:Check the PVCs collected in the region, that would help u project better |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by HzRF(m): 1:16pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
ziccoit:M on ground too PDP will shock many |
Re: 2015 Presidential Election - Final Prediction by olamieseun(m): 1:16pm On Mar 26, 2015 |
sartorius: My broda I wil advice yu to remove lagos and osun frm yur list because osun in 2011 don't even vote for pdp,and mind yu lagos is de seat of jagaban. |
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