The SW did not deliver the knockout blow for Buhari, so he needs to clean out at least 4 NC states with sizeable margins, if not the margins
for GEJ from the SE/SS will erase Buhari. Also, GEJ got sizeable numbers in Ekiti to erase any numbers Buhari got in other SW states. The margins will determine this election.

Furthermore, if Buhari wins Adamawa/Taraba in addition to the expected wins in Yobe and Borno, I see no way back for GEJ, however if GEJ wins those 2 states and keeps the margin of defeat in
Borno and Yobe above 30% and is able to secure 30% in target NW states like Sokoto and Kaduna then the big cooking pot from SS/SE might just do the trick.

The battle line is now in the NE.

We have won..its all about change..unseat d perceived unbeatable.. we have been liberalised..common sense voting..we r APC we r 1..sai buhari..sai baba..sai Nigeria. In sha Allah.

All these permutations have taken the ball off Jonathan......it's crystal clear that except a miracle happens to turn SS & SE states into 13 states....GEJ will lose.

shegsky:
. Also, GEJ got sizeable numbers in Ekiti to erase any numbers Buhari got in other SW states. The margins will determine this election.

.

Sizable dreamer... Lol.

This is your ekiti, Pdp 176,351, APC 120,308, that's just 56,043 against Apc. Mind you Buhari's LG with over 60,000 votes has already truncated
this phenomenon.

Results so far from north central.

Nasarawa:
PDP - 273,260
APC- 236,838
Pdp leading with 36,422 [results still coming]

Kogi:
APC - 264,851
PDP - 149,987
Apc leads 114,864.

Do the maths pal, kogi alone covers the deficit in both ekiti and its neighboring nasarawa.

From results so far the General won 6 out of 8released swing states. And more are coming.